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Post Post #2400 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:24 am

Post by SirCakez »

I'm looking at the pool of (Hu Tao, Dan, Theta) right now. maestro flipping scum (unclear if convert or traitor) still unfortunately means that my read of Dan may have been off, which is tragic
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Post Post #2401 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:25 am

Post by Thomith »

In post 2400, SirCakez wrote: I'm looking at the pool of (Hu Tao, Dan, Theta) right now. maestro flipping scum (unclear if convert or traitor) still unfortunately means that my read of Dan may have been off, which is tragic
Looking at the Role PM, I'm assuming they were an OG traitor.
thomith could be a court jester

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Post Post #2402 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:25 am

Post by SirCakez »

if maestro is og traitor then i think that makes the rest of the fg a lot more likely town
if maestro was convert then that probably doesn't tell us much
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Post Post #2403 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:26 am

Post by SirCakez »

VOTE: theta alpine
i feel this is the person most likely to be scum right now
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Post Post #2404 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:27 am

Post by Thomith »

In post 2402, SirCakez wrote: if maestro is og traitor then i think that makes the rest of the fg a lot more likely town
if maestro was convert then that probably doesn't tell us much
I feel like a traitor and a scum in the same hood makes a fair bit of sense?
Granted because Maestro was a messenger I could see that not being the case though.
thomith could be a court jester

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Post Post #2405 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:28 am

Post by Thomith »

In post 2403, SirCakez wrote: VOTE: theta alpine
i feel this is the person most likely to be scum right now
Is this read dependant on Maestro being OG traitor or a convert, or is it unrelated?
thomith could be a court jester

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Post Post #2406 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:28 am

Post by SirCakez »

In post 2404, Thomith wrote:
In post 2402, SirCakez wrote: if maestro is og traitor then i think that makes the rest of the fg a lot more likely town
if maestro was convert then that probably doesn't tell us much
I feel like a traitor and a scum in the same hood makes a fair bit of sense?
Granted because Maestro was a messenger I could see that not being the case though.
yeah it could be, and i've been wrong about hood analysis before when i've thought there was only one scum in hoods that ended up having two. i still don't really get main groupscum vibes from Dan or anyone else in the FG though. i feel like they are more likely to be elsewhere.
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Post Post #2407 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:29 am

Post by SirCakez »

In post 2405, Thomith wrote:
In post 2403, SirCakez wrote: VOTE: theta alpine
i feel this is the person most likely to be scum right now
Is this read dependant on Maestro being OG traitor or a convert, or is it unrelated?
unrelated, i just think theta has been playing like scum for a couple days now
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Post Post #2408 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:29 am

Post by SirCakez »

and they also seem like a good candidate for groupscum as they have been relatively under the radar this game compared to some of the popularly discussed wagons, despite imo not really being that townie at all
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Post Post #2409 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:32 am

Post by ActionDan »

In post 2398, Titus wrote: Dan, you feel like a school student gluing things to see what sticks.
Yes that is a great analogy thanks! I am trying to build a complete picture of what makes sense and what doesnt.
I'll give you a moment to let that sink in
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Post Post #2410 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 4:57 am

Post by ActionDan »

In post 2404, Thomith wrote:
In post 2402, SirCakez wrote: if maestro is og traitor then i think that makes the rest of the fg a lot more likely town
if maestro was convert then that probably doesn't tell us much
I feel like a traitor and a scum in the same hood makes a fair bit of sense?
Granted because Maestro was a messenger I could see that not being the case though.
In terms of the context of a 5-man hood, sure. But in the context of this game, with these roles, and cumulative knowledge, no. That this is not intuitive to most of the players right now is scary.

There may not be positive definitive airtight bow-tied mod confirmed evidence. But there certainly is a staggering heap of information leading to the conclusion there isn't group scum in FG.

1) conversions due to an FG member circumvent risk and render FG roles impotent (save mine)

2) Nk15's role becomes overly strong and effective.

3) The scum ability claimed by FL becomes redundant

4) Maestro's ability to msg scum does not serve to give out our names, merely to inform them he's the traitor.

5) FG's role pool is synergistic. The one role that didnt make much sense, Maestro's, was scum
I'll give you a moment to let that sink in
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Post Post #2411 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 5:24 am

Post by ActionDan »

I reread gamma's d2. It's clear they are scum at this point. They don't crumb roden is town ever. Instead they do that for FL if anything.

Also they dicuss still being ascetic even though Hu has claimed they were informed they lost the ability D2.
I'll give you a moment to let that sink in
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Post Post #2412 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 7:26 am

Post by biancospino »

I have a coffee to give, suggestions on who I whould give it to? Looking at the claims only {Dan, Drew, FL, Theta} seem to make sense.

Anyway, I agree with Dan here that putting a Traitor messager toghether with groupscum in the FG doesn't look particularly likely.
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Post Post #2413 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 7:45 am

Post by ActionDan »

I'd give it to FL or Theta.
I'll give you a moment to let that sink in
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Post Post #2414 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 7:46 am

Post by Titus »

In post 2410, ActionDan wrote:
In post 2404, Thomith wrote:
In post 2402, SirCakez wrote: if maestro is og traitor then i think that makes the rest of the fg a lot more likely town
if maestro was convert then that probably doesn't tell us much
I feel like a traitor and a scum in the same hood makes a fair bit of sense?
Granted because Maestro was a messenger I could see that not being the case though.
In terms of the context of a 5-man hood, sure. But in the context of this game, with these roles, and cumulative knowledge, no. That this is not intuitive to most of the players right now is scary.

There may not be positive definitive airtight bow-tied mod confirmed evidence. But there certainly is a staggering heap of information leading to the conclusion there isn't group scum in FG.

1) conversions due to an FG member circumvent risk and render FG roles impotent (save mine)

2) Nk15's role becomes overly strong and effective.

3) The scum ability claimed by FL becomes redundant

4) Maestro's ability to msg scum does not serve to give out our names, merely to inform them he's the traitor.

5) FG's role pool is synergistic. The one role that didnt make much sense, Maestro's, was scum
1) Huh?

2) As discussed no.

3) huh?

4) That's purpose enough. Bonus he can give input.

5) Scum should have good fakes...
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Post Post #2415 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 8:07 am

Post by ActionDan »

1) cakez and Drew roles stop affect non-fg players only.

2) the conclusion remains the same for me that Nk15 role is relatively more powerful than anyone else's if 2 scum started in FG

3) see 1) A strongman recruit would only counter me not drew if used by scum in FG

4) I guess. Still lame.

5) Maybe, still doubtful to me. If so bravo cakez for picking a really really good fakeclaim.
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Post Post #2416 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 10:22 am

Post by Flavor Leaf »

In post 2261, Flavor Leaf wrote: I have this aching feeling Theta is trying to sway us over to Maestro too, and Dan/Theta is one of my potential pairings.
____

Also, asking mod that question from earlier regarding RR role.
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Post Post #2417 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 11:03 am

Post by Titus »

What's nagging me is that the FG has flipped scum, they exchanged names yet they are still of the same position as yesterday...
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Post Post #2418 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 11:39 am

Post by Hu Tao »

My savior Roden, where do we lay our votes today?
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Post Post #2419 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 12:03 pm

Post by Flavor Leaf »

In post 2417, Titus wrote: What's nagging me is that the FG has flipped scum, they exchanged names yet they are still of the same position as yesterday...
Easiest solution is Maestro saved Dan from elimination
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Post Post #2420 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 12:05 pm

Post by Flavor Leaf »

Or Cakez is Group scum converting the entire friend group.
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Post Post #2421 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 12:48 pm

Post by Doctor Drew »

In post 2419, Flavor Leaf wrote:
In post 2417, Titus wrote: What's nagging me is that the FG has flipped scum, they exchanged names yet they are still of the same position as yesterday...
Easiest solution is Maestro saved Dan from elimination
In post 2420, Flavor Leaf wrote: Or Cakez is Group scum converting the entire friend group.
I tend to believe the former.

It is of course possible that Cakez converted Maestro N1, then tried to convert Dan N2 but was blocked, and then converted him N3, in your scenario.

And if that is true I am angry that he converted them over me lol.
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Post Post #2422 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 12:50 pm

Post by Flavor Leaf »

In post 2421, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 2419, Flavor Leaf wrote:
In post 2417, Titus wrote: What's nagging me is that the FG has flipped scum, they exchanged names yet they are still of the same position as yesterday...
Easiest solution is Maestro saved Dan from elimination
In post 2420, Flavor Leaf wrote: Or Cakez is Group scum converting the entire friend group.
I tend to believe the former.

It is of course possible that Cakez converted Maestro N1, then tried to convert Dan N2 but was blocked, and then converted him N3, in your scenario.

And if that is true I am angry that he converted them over me lol.
They could have done it any night because of the 1-shot Unstoppablizer or whatever
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Post Post #2423 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 12:51 pm

Post by Doctor Drew »

In post 2422, Flavor Leaf wrote:
In post 2421, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 2419, Flavor Leaf wrote:
In post 2417, Titus wrote: What's nagging me is that the FG has flipped scum, they exchanged names yet they are still of the same position as yesterday...
Easiest solution is Maestro saved Dan from elimination
In post 2420, Flavor Leaf wrote: Or Cakez is Group scum converting the entire friend group.
I tend to believe the former.

It is of course possible that Cakez converted Maestro N1, then tried to convert Dan N2 but was blocked, and then converted him N3, in your scenario.

And if that is true I am angry that he converted them over me lol.
They could have done it any night because of the 1-shot Unstoppablizer or whatever
There is that as well
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Post Post #2424 (ISO) » Mon Jan 22, 2024 12:59 pm

Post by Doctor Drew »

Also I wish there was a tracker of some sort that was on Cakez last night, they claimed to target me.
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