We're essentially in LYLO now assuming that scum manages to get a kill tonight. It's 4 town 2 scum, if we mis-lynch that's 3v2 and if scum gets their kill its 2v2 with no doublevote powers so we're done.
+1 Zoidberg.
I propose a popcorn massclaim starting with CDB. At this point we need as much information as possible, even if we can only confirm 1 or two people as town that would make it much more likely we can find scum today. Unless anyone has something strong to go on other "so and so feels scummy."
With six alive, we basically have a 2/6 chance of lynching scum today.
If we no lynch, then scum kills someone, tomorrow it'll still be LYLO and we'll have a 2/5 chance of lynching scum. It's just better odds and is usually 100% the correct play to make.
So my problem with no lynching is we're giving scum another chance to kill town PRs and all we get in return is a 7% bump in guessing right. (33% versus 40%)
I'd rather massclaim today, if we still can't figure it out, then go no-lynch. I guess we also gain a chance for any investigators to find the scum, so that affects the odds as well. But its not as simple as 2/6 versus 2/5.
Keep in mind that massclaiming just gives scum more information with which to make a better NK choice, whereas if we just no lynch without claiming then they have to take a shot in the dark.
In post 506, shuriken wrote:Well, I'm Fu-Ka, and am vanilliazed. So it would have to have been one of those other roles that saved us from losing another townie during the night.
In post 506, shuriken wrote:Well, I'm Fu-Ka, and am vanilliazed. So it would have to have been one of those other roles that saved us from losing another townie during the night.
Also, why would a no lynch help us reck?
Wait, you got Ellen'd? When?
Did Ellen claim already? I'm confused.
No, mod vanillaizes a number of scum and town for balance pre-game. They still get a role name/alignment but don't have any abilities.
That's a no-lynch!
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-If you stick your ear close enough to the game thread you can actually hear dram suffer in real life.-Beeboy
-Being obtuse is not a consequence of being a mod, it's a prerequisite. I think you may just have overestimated my intelligence before.-Korts
I'm a hoot
Stream: twitch.tv/dramonic
-If you stick your ear close enough to the game thread you can actually hear dram suffer in real life.-Beeboy
-Being obtuse is not a consequence of being a mod, it's a prerequisite. I think you may just have overestimated my intelligence before.-Korts