Mini 1657 — Taylor Swift UPick — Game Over


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Post Post #175 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:29 pm

Post by Marquis »



V O T E C O U N T
1 0 7


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You put up walls and paint them all a shade of gray,
and I stood there loving you and wished them all away.

And you come away with a great little story
of a mess of a dreamer with the nerve to adore you...


— "Cold as You",
Taylor Swift



(2)
Antihero
— Empking, killerjester
(L-5)

(0)
Aristophanes

(2)
Bookitty
— Om of the Nom, LucianRoy
(L-5)

(0)
Elyse

(0)
Empking

(0)
Endless Possibilities

(1)
Espeonage
— Not_Mafia
(L-6)

(1)
killerjester
— The Bulge
(L-6)

(2)
LucianRoy
— Antihero, Elyse
(L-5)

(1)
Not_Mafia
— Espeonage
(L-6)

(2)
Om of the Nom
— Endless Possibilities
(L-5)

(2)
Soren
— Bookitty, Aristophanes
(L-5)

(0)
The Bulge


(1)
Not Voting
— Soren

With
13
alive, it takes
7
votes to lynch.

Deadline is in
(expired on 2015-04-05 21:15:00)
(Sun Apr 5 @ 21:15:00 EDT).

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Limited activity from me until the weekend due to school. I'll be here, but probably not as often.
Last edited by Marquis on Sat Mar 28, 2015 12:50 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Post Post #176 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:35 pm

Post by Aristophanes »

In post 172, LucianRoy wrote:@Aristo In regards to scum "blending in," that's kind of wine-ish, but it is rooted in a common strategy.
Sorry, I thought you didn't read my post so I brought it up without elaboration.

pedit: What do you mean? When you scumread people, don't you make logical connections with the other people you scumread? If you want to out scum, you have to find those connections early so they don't disappear later. I connected all the people I currently scumread for different reasons because it was simple, and seemed like a simple thing to do. You don't need a scum flip to "confirm" one of them as scum in order to form cohesive scum reads on the others. Plus, I'm trying to lynch one of my reads right now, if they flip scum, then the rest will be easy.

Well, if it seems like a stretch, then you might want to blame it on nearly half the roster having less posts than the mod. I don't have a ton to go at the moment, and we aren't making a ton of progress.
Yeah, this is a bit of a quiet group. Sorry for being a part of that.

It's all well and good to look for connections. I just think at this point they aren't substantial enough to link a full scum team.
Plus, how often have you played a game where in D1 you can see obvious scum links and actually had them hold true?

I'm talking in circles I think, and this isn't really helping the game, so I'll stop.
I'm curious how strongly linked you feel these three are. If you get a scum flip from one today, will the others be definite scum to you?
If a town flip, does that absolve them of their guilt?
Basically, how interconnected are these three reads for you?
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Post Post #177 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:36 pm

Post by Aristophanes »

In post 173, Elyse wrote:Aristophanes
Empking
The Bulge

All three haven't voted each other. I found the scumteam guys.
Dat snark! lol
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Post Post #178 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:38 pm

Post by LucianRoy »

"The only reason I think it's a little weird is because, from my point of view, Bookitty voted me for my read on Elyse, Soren stacked his vote, and once people saw the shift, Elyse jumped at the first post she thought looked relatively scummy from me. Now Bookitty is going after Soren partly due to him questioning Antihero, and partly because of him sheeping her vote."

Boo Kitty is also currently voting my town-read Soren. I didn't like the vote Elyse made on me after Bookitty and Soren both voted.
Antihero RVS voted Bookitty. Elyse is still the strange piece in this puzzle, but the slight defense that Boo gave on Elyse seems to fit.
Boo and Elyse are relatively active, (compared to most people), and I've seen minimal interaction between them except for when I voted Elyse. Boo hadn't even commented on Elyse until I voted her. And Elyse has barely commented on Bookitty at all. They've almost avoided each other.

Also, NM is probably town.
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Post Post #179 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:44 pm

Post by LucianRoy »

@Aristo
, my scum reads day one are weird.
If one of them flips scum, I might pursue the others, that being the logical thing to do.
If one of the flips scum, I might not scum read the others as much.

Really, what I'm trying to do is to link together scumminess in order for our chances of lynching scum being higher. I've found connections among three people, and I scum read all three of them. The odds of lynching scum increase this way as well.
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Post Post #180 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:44 pm

Post by Om of the Nom »

In post 178, LucianRoy wrote:Also, NM is probably town.

gonna need this one explained thx
“Leftover lady, let alone the strongest to be subdued.
If I only had the magic key that would unlock the realms to the plateau of the highest me.
Even though I’ve been badly bruised, living in a house to become a popular muse.”

hey beautiful ! how was your day ?
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Post Post #181 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:49 pm

Post by LucianRoy »

In post 180, Om of the Nom wrote:
In post 178, LucianRoy wrote:Also, NM is probably town.

gonna need this one explained thx

Boo voted him. I scumread boo. Boo OMGUS voted him at that.
Plus, there was a giant train earlier. The likelihood that one of those people are scum is most likely.
He also voted ESP when we saw the strange question.

The only thing kind of scummy is the fact that he has no scumreads... I think.
Or at least, he certainly hasn't posted them.
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Post Post #182 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:51 pm

Post by Aristophanes »

In post 179, LucianRoy wrote:
@Aristo
, my scum reads day one are weird.
If one of them flips scum, I might pursue the others, that being the logical thing to do.
If one of the flips scum, I might not scum read the others as much.

Really, what I'm trying to do is to link together scumminess in order for our chances of lynching scum being higher. I've found connections among three people, and I scum read all three of them. The odds of lynching scum increase this way as well.
Okay, I can respect that.
[Also, I assume you mean "If one flips town" in the third line there?]

It just seemed like you made the link and were thus scumreading them rather than the other way around.
After reading your reasoning about 10 times I started to get it a but more.
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Post Post #183 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 4:59 pm

Post by LucianRoy »

Whoops, ye "If one flips town, I might not scum read the others as much."

My reasoning is kind of hard to grasp, I suppose, but I think it makes sense.
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Post Post #184 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 5:15 pm

Post by Marquis »



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    has informed me that he will be V/LA until Mar 30.

    ttyl <3


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Post Post #185 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 5:29 pm

Post by Elyse »

Connecting three people on day one as scum together when like half the game isn't active is ridiculous. Your "links" between us can apply to over half of the players in this game. Your stances seem pretty coincidental with who is scumreading you and who isn't. I don't even understand why you're scumreading Bookitty. Her vote on Soren? Or solely her interactions (or lack thereof) with me? Neither is a good reason since Soren's latest posts have been bad and I haven't flipped scum so using associative tells is pointless.
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Post Post #186 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 5:35 pm

Post by Om of the Nom »

In post 181, LucianRoy wrote:
In post 180, Om of the Nom wrote:
In post 178, LucianRoy wrote:Also, NM is probably town.

gonna need this one explained thx

Boo voted him. I scumread boo. Boo OMGUS voted him at that.
Plus, there was a giant train earlier. The likelihood that one of those people are scum is most likely.
He also voted ESP when we saw the strange question.

The only thing kind of scummy is the fact that he has no scumreads... I think.
Or at least, he certainly hasn't posted them.

okay but
by himself hes definitely not radiating towniness
if you stop thinking in connections and start thinking individually your reads might make more sense
i understand your efforts but this isnt going to get u anymore that bragging rights at this point in the game
“Leftover lady, let alone the strongest to be subdued.
If I only had the magic key that would unlock the realms to the plateau of the highest me.
Even though I’ve been badly bruised, living in a house to become a popular muse.”

hey beautiful ! how was your day ?
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Post Post #187 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 5:49 pm

Post by Endless Possibilities »

I haven't analyzed LR's recent posts in depth, but one thing I wanna point out immediately: I agree with the assessment that LR is posting a lot of stuff that appears to be filler, but I disagree that the way he's doing it is scummy. despite posting a lot of obvious stuff, there isn't a lack of stances or original content in his posts. if I scum read him, it would be for other reasons.

also I'm busy as hell recently with a group project that's basically impossible to complete -.-
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Post Post #188 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 6:01 pm

Post by Endless Possibilities »

In post 145, Bookitty wrote:I don't like your "trying to look busy" questions that don't seem designed to elicit anything even remotely alignment indicative.

yo Bookitty, can you do me a favor and look through Soren's ISO in this game?

http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=60450

I'm asking this bc what you're pointing out is what he did when he was scum, but it's not what he's doing here.

I agree that he's asking some questions that appear to be irrelevant, but I disagree that it comes off as forced or scummy. I think it makes sense from a POV of town who is eager to play the game, so they constantly scan the thread looking for any single thing to ask about. it's something I've done before as town and, if you look through his ISO, it's really pretty obvious how different the quality of his questions are from there to here.
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Post Post #189 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 6:14 pm

Post by Endless Possibilities »

vote: Aris


there's a lot of weak questions that don't really lead anywhere. most of his pushes have been on relatively easy targets (Soren, LR) and the Soren push was directly in response to Bookitty asking him who he thought was scummy (as opposed to directly pushing Soren himself). plus he keeps WK'ing people without explaining why he thinks they're town, which is a textbook scum play when they want an easy way to gain town credit without actually being involved in the discussion.

I also don't get what the point of the first paragraph of is. it feels more like he's trying to get me to buy into the Bookitty/Soren shitstorm that's going on as opposed to asking about anything that's alignment indicative. Bookitty is town for generally being proactive and making strong pushes on people - I haven't put too much thought into it but MS also agrees with me there.
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Post Post #190 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 6:16 pm

Post by Endless Possibilities »

Emp might be town. still don't particularly like Anti.
@Anti:
what do you think about Aris so far? if you're interested in people asking a bunch of filler questions, I think you should direct your attention here.

I still don't have a read on LR. will think more about it later
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Post Post #191 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 6:23 pm

Post by Om of the Nom »

In post 190, Endless Possibilities wrote:I still don't have a read on LR. will think more about it later

im p sure hes town

did you have a read on elyse?
“Leftover lady, let alone the strongest to be subdued.
If I only had the magic key that would unlock the realms to the plateau of the highest me.
Even though I’ve been badly bruised, living in a house to become a popular muse.”

hey beautiful ! how was your day ?
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Post Post #192 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 6:40 pm

Post by Endless Possibilities »

In post 191, Om of the Nom wrote:im p sure hes town

walk me through why?

In post 191, Om of the Nom wrote:did you have a read on elyse?

nope. nothing she's posted so far has been telling either way.

do you have a read on Aris?
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Post Post #193 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 6:45 pm

Post by Om of the Nom »

In post 192, Endless Possibilities wrote:
In post 191, Om of the Nom wrote:im p sure hes town

walk me through why?

i really think hes trying to help to the best of his abilities

do you have a read on Aris?

no not yet, havent rlly been paying attention to him, i'll give a quick iso check
“Leftover lady, let alone the strongest to be subdued.
If I only had the magic key that would unlock the realms to the plateau of the highest me.
Even though I’ve been badly bruised, living in a house to become a popular muse.”

hey beautiful ! how was your day ?
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Post Post #194 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 6:48 pm

Post by Om of the Nom »

yeah ok i am happy to join u
VOTE: aristophanes
“Leftover lady, let alone the strongest to be subdued.
If I only had the magic key that would unlock the realms to the plateau of the highest me.
Even though I’ve been badly bruised, living in a house to become a popular muse.”

hey beautiful ! how was your day ?
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Post Post #195 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 7:05 pm

Post by Marquis »



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    has not posted in over 48 hours, and is being prodded.


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Post Post #196 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 11:52 pm

Post by Empking »

I've been leaning on 'Too Scummy to be Scummy' to be scum, before, but nah

Unvote
Vote: LR
Plus, if you guys want to make a point, skip the walls, because everyone else in the game does as well. - Magister Ludi
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Post Post #197 (ISO) » Thu Mar 26, 2015 11:52 pm

Post by Empking »

I've been leaning on 'Too Scummy to be Scummy' to be scum, before, but nah

Unvote
Vote: LR
Plus, if you guys want to make a point, skip the walls, because everyone else in the game does as well. - Magister Ludi
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Post Post #198 (ISO) » Fri Mar 27, 2015 12:03 am

Post by Bookitty »

In post 188, Endless Possibilities wrote:yo Bookitty, can you do me a favor and look through Soren's ISO in this game?


I did that. I didn't glean a lot from it, because it's pretty obviously one of the first games he played here. It's pretty jam-packed with newbie questions or questions intended to look newbie, which I agree is not the same situation as in this game. Soren is asking more pointed questions here while still maintaining all innocence and disavowing any agenda with those questions:

In post 137, Soren wrote:What do you make of all those votes on you anti?


I didn't like this because Antihero hasn't actually posted much in this game. No one has explained their vote on him very well. His vote is on LucianRoy, whom Soren was voting earlier for "meta" reasons that apparently both of them now agree were not very strong. LucianRoy is clearly not immune to OMGUS since he is scumreading two people currently on his wagon and one who was; it seems a little out of place for him to resolutely resist the same OMGUS urge where Soren is concerned.

In post 139, Soren wrote:I don't know why there was a need to tell us that you love all of us. Especially for the first post of the game.

And then proceeds with a OMGUS vote?


This was interesting because I was voting LucianRoy at the time. It's like Soren is only interested in asking questions among the people who were voting LucianRoy. Soren also says he just wanted to see what I would say -- again, not owning the suspicion that is pretty clear in the question imo.

It's not just the questions for me, though I watch for that more since Farside pointed out it is one of her scumhunting tools. (Yes, I shamelessly borrow from other players.) Soren hasn't had any strong views -- in fact, he sheeped me onto LucianRoy and then immediately backed off his own vote without unvoting. Soren eventually unvotes and says this:

In post 155, Soren wrote:After going over some of your posts again, I didn't really put much thought when I voted for you. I was mainly influenced by other people's reasons for voting for you.


I see what looks to me to be inexpert distancing between LucianRoy and Soren. LucianRoy is playing it a bit better, but the whole interaction is off because Soren backs off far too quickly. It's also possible LucianRoy-scum is buddying Soren-town, but I'm not so confident there.

My one caveat is that it could be due to the two of them being friends from previous games. Interactions can be a little odd in those cases; the problem I have with just chalking it up to that is the meta discussion between the two, which doesn't seem particularly friendly at first.

@Endless Possibilities: Do you think that Soren is typically pretty wishy-washy on his own opinions or generally easily led? Do you have experience of him as town in a completed game? I read this:

Mini 1650: Greatest Idea Mafia

and Soren seemed a lot more forceful in that as town. His questions were much more pointed toward alignment and less busy-seeming. I don't see much other meta, but if you have it, I'll read it.
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Post Post #199 (ISO) » Fri Mar 27, 2015 1:14 am

Post by Endless Possibilities »

In post 198, Bookitty wrote:I did that. I didn't glean a lot from it, because it's pretty obviously one of the first games he played here. It's pretty jam-packed with newbie questions or questions intended to look newbie, which I agree is not the same situation as in this game.

Soren claims he has over 40 games completed. I don't think that's what he was going for there; I think he was just asking as much stuff as he could to look busy and not realizing nothing he was asking had any town motivation.

In post 198, Bookitty wrote:@Endless Possibilities: Do you think that Soren is typically pretty wishy-washy on his own opinions or generally easily led? Do you have experience of him as town in a completed game? I read this:

Mini 1650: Greatest Idea Mafia

and Soren seemed a lot more forceful in that as town. His questions were much more pointed toward alignment and less busy-seeming. I don't see much other meta, but if you have it, I'll read it.

mm, I looked through this and the first thing I noticed is that in that game, he wasn't following closely at the start of the game (he says this in 268). it's usually easier to step back and take a fully objective view of the game when you already have a body of work of content to go off of, as opposed to seeing everything unfold firsthand.

also in that game, his opening (and his play in general) hardly consisted of any questions, as opposed to him primarily commenting on stuff. it's possible he just took a different approach here, or is having an off game

there's also some other things that I think might be different but haven't looked into it yet: for example, it's possible a lot of people were acting obviously scummy/town in that game, compared to this game which is rather slow (with at least 3 people having practically no content at all). I suppose what I'm saying here is that I don't find a lack of strong scum reads scummy, given my 2nd strongest scum read is fucking Anti just for not doing anything at all besides one somewhat-off-looking push.

besides that, I don't have any experience with town Soren, but I think the differences from his ISO here to the ISO in his scum game are a lot greater than the differences from his ISOs here/this game. I usually don't agree with calling someone scum because of minor differences to their town game, in no small part because I used to (and still am, to some extent) be known for being extremely obvious town as town and I would have that pushed on me a lot whenever I did so much as one thing that was different from any of my town games. this is moreso my method of reading people so make of it what you will.


In post 198, Bookitty wrote:I didn't like this because Antihero hasn't actually posted much in this game. No one has explained their vote on him very well. His vote is on LucianRoy, whom Soren was voting earlier for "meta" reasons that apparently both of them now agree were not very strong. LucianRoy is clearly not immune to OMGUS since he is scumreading two people currently on his wagon and one who was; it seems a little out of place for him to resolutely resist the same OMGUS urge where Soren is concerned.

I'm still not particularly seeing why this is scummy, explicitly because Anti hasn't posted much. it makes sense to poke at a lurker in order to get them to do shit. there were better questions he could have asked, but I could easily enough see it coming from town.

LR had also declared a town read on me after I started pushing on him (although I never voted him) so I'm not sure what to make of the second point. either way, I don't really think it makes sense as a scum strategy to OMGUS every town player who pressures you, so I don't think it makes sense him not OMGUS'ing Soren would be indicative of Soren scum, either.

In post 198, Bookitty wrote:This was interesting because I was voting LucianRoy at the time. It's like Soren is only interested in asking questions among the people who were voting LucianRoy. Soren also says he just wanted to see what I would say -- again, not owning the suspicion that is pretty clear in the question imo.

It's not just the questions for me, though I watch for that more since Farside pointed out it is one of her scumhunting tools. (Yes, I shamelessly borrow from other players.) Soren hasn't had any strong views -- in fact, he sheeped me onto LucianRoy and then immediately backed off his own vote without unvoting.

IMO a lack of strong stances isn't particularly scummy. it's either indicative of scum who don't want to fake reads, or town who legitimately don't have any reads and don't see it fit to pretend like they have reads that they really don't. what I find scummy is when people act like they have strong stances, but then don't actually do anything to follow through with them (ex. Aris WK'ing a lot of people who are under pressure but not doing anything to explain why).

in Soren's case, I think it's plausible enough he just doesn't have any strong reads yet. he's either scum who made a push and then didn't feel like continuing with it, or he's town telling the truth about not having a strong read on you and backed off for exactly the reason he said - that he asked the question to see what you would say as opposed to feeling strongly you were scum. either way, I don't think it's inconsistent.

one thing that I noticed when I played with him as scum was that there were basically no stances *at all*, which is kind of similar. I suppose it's not too unreasonable he's stepped up his game as scum to some extent and is more capable of taking stances but is not yet comfortable faking the strong pushes he made in his town game. however, I still think there's more stuff that points to him being town.

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