New York 180 (Endgame)


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Post Post #6675 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:44 am

Post by Marquis »

8 hours...

:/

PEDIT THERE WAS A VOTE HERE BUT REMOVED BC SELFVOTE

why you're all townreading shin-boi idek
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Post Post #6676 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:45 am

Post by Green Crayons »

because that effort post GM did
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6677 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:46 am

Post by Green Crayons »

Hmmm.

Self vote gives me pause.

However, Kitz jumped the gun and didn't self hammer.

This is the all-in on the gambit if Kitz=scum.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6678 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:46 am

Post by Green Crayons »

UNVOTE: Kitz
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6679 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:47 am

Post by Kitz »

I think we two are the only ones who ain't townreading Shin.
Altho Marquiz, you two are on the same potential slot. It's a matter of figuring out who.

#Edit : GM had bad effort and biased by a questionable / bad play depending on the perception of how things went.
GM wouldn't have been lynched if GM actually bothered to do a few things.
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Post Post #6680 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:47 am

Post by Marquis »

bc all the big posts and big cases this game have been so accurate

i really don't know what to do to convince you guys. i feel like even if i make another big case it'll just be ignored because lol-marquis-could-be-scum or just bc stubborn-ass ppl
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Post Post #6681 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:47 am

Post by Marquis »

In post 6679, Kitz wrote:I think we two are the only ones who ain't townreading Shin.
Altho Marquiz, you two are on the same potential slot. It's a matter of figuring out who.

#Edit : GM had bad effort and biased by a questionable / bad play depending on the perception of how things went.
GM wouldn't have been lynched if GM actually bothered to do a few things.

you should probably vote shinobi if you're town and don't want a mislynch
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Post Post #6682 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:49 am

Post by Kitz »

In post 6681, Marquis wrote:you should probably vote shinobi if you're town and don't want a mislynch


The problem is that I'm not sure which of the two of you are and if I'm left alive then I'm just a lynchbait anyway.
Better to get the low hanging fruit, eh?
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Post Post #6683 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:50 am

Post by Green Crayons »

The GM effortpost is literally "statistically, based off of other normal games, shin is 90% likely town based on being a late-game wagon competing with a scum-wagon," not things he should or shouldn't have done in this game.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6684 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:51 am

Post by Kitz »

In post 6683, Green Crayons wrote:The GM effortpost is literally "statistically, based off of other normal games, shin is 90% likely town based on being a late-game wagon competing with a scum-wagon," not things he should or shouldn't have done in this game.


A statistic or meta, is the same. It can be influenced and differated. Holds no water.
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Post Post #6685 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:59 am

Post by Green Crayons »

In post 5595, ika wrote:
Shinobi: ,
goodmorning
, kitz,
Aeronaut
, [l-3]
Aeronaut
: Marquis,
TSO
, dragonspawn, shinobi, Cheetory6,
Ozgin
[LYNCH]

Not voting:
elusive
,
silverwolf


With 11 alive, it's 6 to lynch

(expired on 2015-04-06 00:00:00)


I was hoping this would help establish that Shin is town, but it doesn't really.


That said:
In post 5417, Ozgin wrote:VOTE: Shinobi

Because I think Aero is townier than Shinobi, and I don't understand the wagon startup on Aero. That's making up my mind, Wolf.

In post 5473, Ozgin wrote:UNVOTE:
Consider this my intent to hammer Aeronaut.


Aero, Shinobi got you here and here and here.

What do you have to say for yourself?

In post 5501, Ozgin wrote:Fine enough. I just wanted to wait for him to get home, but I guess it's time.

VOTE: Aeronaut

Cross your fingers, ladies and gents..

Looks like scum jumping on smaller Shin-wagon, hoping it will push momentum to smaller Shin-wagon, unvoting when that fails, and then doing a really lame bus. Which would support Shin being town.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6686 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 9:59 am

Post by Green Crayons »

Look at that. I'm looking at things that happened before I replaced in ALL ON MY OWN.

Effort.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6687 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:00 am

Post by Marquis »

In post 6682, Kitz wrote:
In post 6681, Marquis wrote:you should probably vote shinobi if you're town and don't want a mislynch


The problem is that I'm not sure which of the two of you are and if I'm left alive then I'm just a lynchbait anyway.
Better to get the low hanging fruit, eh?

...

i dont

...

...

...

maybe we should just lynch you then

pedit i do think aero's jump on the shin wagon was a dying moments bus though
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Post Post #6688 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:03 am

Post by Kitz »

In post 6687, Marquis wrote:
In post 6682, Kitz wrote:
In post 6681, Marquis wrote:you should probably vote shinobi if you're town and don't want a mislynch


The problem is that I'm not sure which of the two of you are and if I'm left alive then I'm just a lynchbait anyway.
Better to get the low hanging fruit, eh?

...

i dont

...

...

...

maybe we should just lynch you then

pedit i do think aero's jump on the shin wagon was a dying moments bus though


Let's look at this way. Either of the two of you are scum.

If we lynch Shin, how do we convince the rest to lynch you over me?
If we lynch Marq, how do we convince the rest to lynch Shin over me?
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Post Post #6689 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:10 am

Post by Shinobi »

Rofl. Okay then.

Gc, dragonspawn died today.
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Post Post #6690 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:11 am

Post by Shinobi »

NOBODY SNAP VOTE TOMORROW.

I DONT TRUST ANY OF YOU NOT TO DO IT.
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Post Post #6691 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:11 am

Post by Green Crayons »

Reduced to phone posting.

Yeah Marq I don't disagree but I still think it makes Shin look more like town, rather than Oz doing a bus of one buddy to deflate a this buddy's lunch and then swinging to the bus of that third buddy.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6692 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:12 am

Post by Green Crayons »

Oh lol then yeah dragon is totes town guys!
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6693 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:12 am

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6677, Green Crayons wrote:Hmmm.

Self vote gives me pause.

However, Kitz jumped the gun and didn't self hammer.

This is the all-in on the gambit if Kitz=scum.


Oh that wasn't hammer? Goody.

I'll be home later, nobody do anything crazy.
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Post Post #6694 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:13 am

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6692, Green Crayons wrote:Oh lol then yeah dragon is totes town guys!


Nice save.
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Post Post #6695 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:17 am

Post by Marquis »

In post 6688, Kitz wrote:
In post 6687, Marquis wrote:
In post 6682, Kitz wrote:
In post 6681, Marquis wrote:you should probably vote shinobi if you're town and don't want a mislynch


The problem is that I'm not sure which of the two of you are and if I'm left alive then I'm just a lynchbait anyway.
Better to get the low hanging fruit, eh?

...

i dont

...

...

...

maybe we should just lynch you then

pedit i do think aero's jump on the shin wagon was a dying moments bus though


Let's look at this way. Either of the two of you are scum.

If we lynch Shin, how do we convince the rest to lynch you over me?
If we lynch Marq, how do we convince the rest to lynch Shin over me?

I can defend myself if absolutely needed
trust me, I haven't been trying at all today bc rl things + i just want to get it over with with a shin lynch now
plus if it comes down to you/me/cheet... well actually town is probably fucked... but we'll see. 3p lylo can bring a lot of clarity
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Post Post #6696 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:19 am

Post by Marquis »

basically if you're actually town kitz you're doing absolutely nobody but scum a favor by selflynching/voting

even just putting off the pressure until tomorrow is better because i'd like to think lylo reads are more easily confirmable/bounceable
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Post Post #6697 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:27 am

Post by Kitz »

In post 6696, Marquis wrote:basically if you're actually town kitz you're doing absolutely nobody but scum a favor by selflynching/voting

even just putting off the pressure until tomorrow is better because i'd like to think lylo reads are more easily confirmable/bounceable


Then convince GC?
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Post Post #6698 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:56 am

Post by Shinobi »

Btw GC, when Ozgin voted me he put me to L-1.
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Post Post #6699 (ISO) » Wed May 13, 2015 10:57 am

Post by Shinobi »

I
still
don't know why Marquis thinks I'm scum.

Like, we discussed it and his read changed almost, and then it changed back and idk why. I'd really like to know soonish.

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