Micro 622: Queen Mafia GAME OVER
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Hi everyone! I brought pizza!
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Unless you're in a player list full of idiots, a quickhammer isn't something to really be afraid of.In post 28, Iprobablysuck wrote:Wait, is there really THREE votes on Aristophanes this early in the game? I get its RVS but I've never seen the point in piling more than one vote on somebody in RVS. Not saying anybody there is scum but I don't think you should put somebody onto L-2 so quickly.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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In other news, my vote is now serious.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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In post 30, Aristophanes wrote:I find it interesting that you are more worried about it than I am, IPS.In post 31, Elyse wrote:Vote him
I think it's off Ari threw a little shade at IPS in post 30 but then immediately balked at voting him when Elyse asked him too. I also think noting IPS as "displaying a newbie characteristic" in a way doesn't mesh with the "interesting" note. What's interesting?In post 32, Aristophanes wrote:
Because you Omgus'd him?In post 31, Elyse wrote:Vote him
Or because he is displaying a newbie characteristic?
The exchange just comes off as awkward to me.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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You must have memory loss, old man. You obviously read my post.In post 60, Fire Assassin wrote:What important things did TTH say exactly? Am I missing something in these three pages, TTH has basically done nothing memorable...
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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About what? :SIn post 63, Elyse wrote:I agree with FA and duppin.
duppin's not even scumreading Aris as far as I can tell.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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In post 51, BNL wrote:I'm going to switch to
UNVOTE: GulityLion
VOTE: Elyse
as I feel that her posting has been fake.
<snip>
I don't know about all that. But do you have an opinion regarding Aristophanes?-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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My mistake, I missed Post 47.
Short aside: mentioning post numbers without links is super annoying. Really, it's not that hard to include links.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Doesn't matter, it's still a pet peeve of mine (I'm a little OCD).In post 81, duppin wrote:I assume you're referring to my post, but I saw no reason to do it seeing as it was on the same page.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Not really following you here. What do you mean?In post 84, Elyse wrote:Postie's read on FA seems very genuine. He's going against the grain and there are multiple avenues for him to take if he were scum going for a lynch. I don't see him going for FA out of everyone.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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I just got my Xanax prescription refilled. Thanks for noticing.In post 89, Fire Assassin wrote:
I am getting to old to kill all the scum, one day i will select an heir to be the Ras Al Ghul. But today is not that day.In post 76, TellTaleHeart wrote:You must have memory loss, old man. You obviously read my post.
Why you so relaxed in your tone TTH? Do you worry about my skills at reading you (even with your calm demeanor its too calm.....)-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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That... was not the criticism I had in mind. :SIn post 96, Fire Assassin wrote:
Its word choices and tone.In post 95, Elyse wrote:I'm guessing FA is going to say I'm scum with Aris for saying that FA is looked upon favorably for the Aris wagon which is stupid since I obviously meant that he's at the forefront of the Aris push. He looks good for scumhunting and stuff. And I'm also scumreading Aris, so if you incorrectly interpreted it as me saying he'll look good because Aris is flipping scum, that's in line with my reads.
If it's something else then idk lol.
First off lets show case it:
This rings of awareness of what scum is likely to do in a certain scenario and words "right now" bring attention that they could act in this way, but aren't doing it yet.. Postie's FA suspicion just doesn't seem like something scumwould do right now.
Hyper awareness of the situation. Scum are usually the most aware players of scenarios.Aris is getting run up, there's some heat on me, FA is probably getting looked upon favorably because of the Aris wagon.
Timing is key in this section. The idea is that they are aware of what will and won't look good for scum to do in certain scenarios at certain moments in time. Elyse is looking at the game in the perspective as a scum player. They are not looking at it from the perspective of it in the terms they are town and how scum would act, but what they would personally do. This is what I am seeing.It'd be a weird time for him to switch focus onto FA under no pressure as scum. It just feels genuine.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Alright-y.In post 98, BNL wrote:{TellTaleHeart, Fire Assassin}
{duppin}
{Aristophanes, Iprobablysuck, GuiltyLion}
{Postie}
{Elyse}
Is there going to be any explanation on how the middle tier was constructed? Or even what it means?
I don't really get how Ari and IPS/GuiltyLion are occupying the same space.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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I like Postie a lot less after the last couple posts.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Short, crappy answer: Yes.
Long(er) answer: Post 109 is simplistic and strawman-y regarding Fire's points and a tad heavy handed on the defense. Personally, I thought your Postie read outlined in Post 88 was alittlebit of a bizarre position to have in the context of your Ari scum read (whywouldn'tPostie, as scum, push an alternate wagon that she felt like she would be able to justify?). So declaring you town and taking your side here with Fire Assassin is coming on a little strong and, yes, like "buddying." That is, if you're into buzzwords that only approximate my thoughts on the matter.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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I might agree with your premise if Postie were either very green or an exceptionally slow learner but she strikes me as neither. I feel like you're using a framework for a newbie to intermediate-level player on a lot more of an advanced player.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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OK, I'll put it more bluntly and less nicely: any scum player worth half a shit could've easily made the post you did. "Having trouble articulating" a read can be gamed by even the most elementary scum players. (I have a pathetic scum game and I do that. It gets town reads, likely because "uncertainty" is pretty closely associated with "uninformed." But now I'm sort of getting off on a tangent. @_@)-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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It doesn't and I wasn't really speaking to that point (but I don't think it's a compelling point regardless).-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Mod: I will have limited access starting yesterday and going to July 5th. I will try to keep up with the thread but, for the most part, I will be otherwise occupied with holiday activities.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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I got prodded for some reason. o.O
But I'm back today anyway! ^_^-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Alright-y, I'm about to go to sleep but I am all caught up on reading the thread.
Quick thoughts: I like GuiltyLion for town and I still like my vote on Ari. I would be good with that or a Postie lynch.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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What's the relevance of him being at L-1 to how much I like the vote?In post 309, BNL wrote:
Why do you say that you like your vote on Ari even though he was at L-1?In post 298, TellTaleHeart wrote:Alright-y, I'm about to go to sleep but I am all caught up on reading the thread.
Quick thoughts: I like GuiltyLion for town and I still like my vote on Ari. I would be good with that or a Postie lynch.
In Post 206, the cobbled-together, loaded-word filled ("backtracking" "flipflopping") BNL read doesn't give much of an indication that the BNL read is solid or legitimate.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Now I'd like to hear why that's even a question for you because the only thing you've done with me this game is give me these weird potshots.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Other than "gut" and something about ~wagon feels~, is there a reason for this insistence?In post 327, Postie wrote:So yeah. Aristo's still a mislynch.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Spoiler: Context, your only two previous interactions with me-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Sure, as long as you don't ask me things that I literallyIn post 331, Fire Assassin wrote:TTH you want to talk with me because I have been taking "potshots" at you?justtalked about. :3-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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"Counterwagon" arguments are about on the same level as "wagon speed" arguments.In post 332, Postie wrote:I didn't say wagon speed. I wouldn't make a wagon speed argument I'm not that bad anymore god.
He's town because there have been no counterwagons that have gotten any traction. And scum aren't bussing or there'd be people making a bigger deal of getting Aristo lynched.
Both of which are garbage.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Thought experiment: what if the partner is relatively inactive?In post 336, Postie wrote:
OH MY GODIn post 330, TellTaleHeart wrote:Other than "gut" and something about ~wagon feels~, is there a reason for this insistence?
Scum aren't going to sit there and twiddle their thumbs while their partner gets lynched. They'll either push a counterwagon or start actively pushing for his lynch so they can take credit for it, and no one is doing either of those things.
That's precisely why those arguments are garbage. It's reducing something with a million variables into an overly simplistic model.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Seriously?In post 340, Fire Assassin wrote:I am always interested in your opinions though since I consider you a quality player.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Having 4 townreads is "horrible on every level"?In post 344, Fire Assassin wrote:Okay your scum team is in a group of four players, when their is nine players total in the game. You have just slightly below 50% of the player base in your group of possible scum.
I really think that is horrible on every level.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Distinct possibility. I'm not townreading the slot.In post 346, Postie wrote:
Okay so he couldIn post 342, TellTaleHeart wrote:Thought experiment: what if the partner is relatively inactive?
That's precisely why those arguments are garbage. It's reducing something with a million variables into an overly simplistic model.possiblybe scum in a world where Iprobablysuck/Wingback is scum.
Is Iprobablysuck/Wingback scum?-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Are you saying I should have what I consider developed reads oneveryonebefore voting/lynching? Because If I did that, I would never vote and Day 1s would never end.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Not sure where you're getting that I think he could only reasonably be scum with Wingback.
If you're talking about our conversation just then, that was justoneof the things wrong with your reasoning that I just thought of off-hand.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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In post 363, Postie wrote:Okay then explain the other things.- You could be scum with Ari.
- Someone could be bussing.
- The partner is simply avoiding the wagon, possibly thinking Ari can handle the pressure or the wagon will die down on its own.
This is why I don't base scumhunting on Day 1 off of associatives. It's an exercise in futility.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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In post 366, Postie wrote:Although I do feel like I'm more likely to be wrong on BNL than I am you, and TTH is being pretty bad.Oh fuck no.
I'm not arrogant enough to buy into your claptrap so now that makes me scum?
VOTE: Postie-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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In post 372, Postie wrote:If I die, you lynch in GL/TTH. No exceptions.
Thatisan excellent nightkill pool.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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You were there for JK9++.In post 381, Postie wrote:Anyone have some TTH town games they can link me?
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=51&t=66008-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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In post 402, BNL wrote:I find it weird that you didn't call Fire out or even mention that he didn't read the post above the one where he asked the question.
In post 315, TellTaleHeart wrote:because the only thing you've done with me this game is give me these weird potshots.Now I'd like to hear why that's even a question for you-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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What the fuck...In post 401, BNL wrote:Though, I must say that I am worried about the Postie wagon. I think almost everyone has basically agreed to her lynch, and there has been zero resistance to the wagon. This leaves Wingback as Postie's only possible partner.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Please give a link to a game where you were able to identify an entire scum team on Day 1 based on associatives.In post 401, BNL wrote:Though, I must say that I am worried about the Postie wagon. I think almost everyone has basically agreed to her lynch, and there has been zero resistance to the wagon. This leaves Wingback as Postie's only possible partner.
I'll wait.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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What'sIn post 417, BNL wrote:
What's your point?In post 413, TellTaleHeart wrote:
Please give a link to a game where you were able to identify an entire scum team on Day 1 based on associatives.In post 401, BNL wrote:Though, I must say that I am worried about the Postie wagon. I think almost everyone has basically agreed to her lynch, and there has been zero resistance to the wagon. This leaves Wingback as Postie's only possible partner.
I'll wait.yourpoint? Saying there's "no resistance" is meaningless.
9:12 there was no "resistance" to the wagon because the buddy was inactive.
DoA there was little "resistance" to the wagon because scum were being bussed.
Unless youarescum, you're not going to be able to accurately predict scumteam dynamics.
That's what I'm asking you. Tell me a time you could accurately assess what the scumteam's strategy was in the game thread as it was ongoing.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Alternatively, an explanation for why Ari couldn't be scum with Postie would be good.In post 401, BNL wrote:Though, I must say that I am worried about the Postie wagon. I think almost everyone has basically agreed to her lynch, and there has been zero resistance to the wagon. This leaves Wingback as Postie's only possible partner.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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If you legitimately think a really tame and mild conversation "definitely doesn't look like scum/scum interactions" then "gullible" doesn't even come close to describing my opinion of you.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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~Saturday post~
RC: I'm usually otherwise occupied on weekends so please consider me V/LA then.
I'm writing up my reads list post, hopefully I can get that out tonight but that's probably ambitious. Tomorrow's more realistic.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Then I have excellent news. Both TTHIn post 563, GuiltyLion wrote:FA kill is odd to me, makes me think there's scum in the neighborhood or scum is very commonly townread. I'm probably game for a BNL lynch today, if that doesn't end it I'm happy to hear opinions on who I should shoot. Wingback felt very town to me in twilight and everyone else pushed on Aristophanes in a mostly convincing manner. If TTH or Elyse is scum then we're in for a rough goandElyse are town.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Also, I'm townreading BnL though I'm unsure if the reason I'm doing it is really justified. :S
Right off the bat, Wingback's SK obsession is pretty awful.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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I suspected as much. The claim and summary of PT events reinforce the read.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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There isn't.
I was going to slow dance this, but I can't keep it in my pants. I'm a one-shot neapolitan.I crumbed it in my first post and in the course of doing so, learned that there is a "neapolitan pizza."
I can confirm that Elyse is town. She's not getting lynched. Ever.
VOTE: Wingback-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Correct.In post 616, Wingback wrote:Just to be clear - you get results as VT or not VT, correct?
I...didn't really?In post 621, BNL wrote:Why did you want to hide this?
I thought Post 586 might've been heavy handed enough to make it clear I had an investigative result, but when I saw Wingback casing Elyse I decided to just nip that in bud.
Took a smidgen of a risk, but I was townreading her.duppin wrote:
Why did you check her?In post 615, TellTaleHeart wrote:There isn't.
I was going to slow dance this, but I can't keep it in my pants. I'm a one-shot neapolitan.I crumbed it in my first post and in the course of doing so, learned that there is a "neapolitan pizza."
I can confirm that Elyse is town. She's not getting lynched. Ever.
VOTE: Wingback-
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You could be right, depending on what specials scum have, but I would wager that the Normal Review Group does not agree with you.In post 627, GuiltyLion wrote:Town feels a little OP but yeah let's lynch Wingback and then I'll shoot BNL tonight if Wingback flips town. If somehow that doesn't end it then it'll be a LYLO decision between duppin/TTH, hopefully I would get killed so it would be Elyse that has to deal with it
That's actually the reason I think BnL is town. Two town neighbors would further narrow the pool of people I could possibly confirm and nerf the utility of my role. (This is all with the caveat that setup speculation is not really my thing.)-
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UNVOTE:
I'd like the conftown slot to get filled and that person to speak before today ends. More eyes on the thread are better.
I still think it's more likely Wingback than BnL.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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I'm still alive (barely).
I'm doingonething, I promise I won't hold you up!-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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Alright-y, I was going over Wingback and BnL's posting when it occurred to me "Why am I doing this? All I need to do is be 100% sure in my duppin read and it's autowin."
So I went back overduppin'sposting to double check myself on that read and I am confident he is town.
The important thing that makes me think so is the Aristophanes vote on Day 1 (Post 237). I know the Wiki lore is that the "middle of the wagon is prime bussing real estate," but I think that's not applicable in this case. At the time, there were two other burgeoning wagons:
A bus is generally suboptimal for scum on Day 1 unless the slot's doomed anyway. Taking a pair of defibrillator paddles to the Aristophanes wagon is not an optimal move for scum!duppin in this situation.In post 225, The Show Must Go On wrote:Votecount 1.10:
Elyse (2): Fire Assassin, BulletNLynchproof
Aristophanes (2): GuiltyLion, TellTaleHeart
BulletNLynchproof (2): Elyse, Aristophanes
Fire Assassin (1): Wingback
Postie (1): duppin
GuiltyLion (1): Postie
TellTaleHeart (0):
Wingback (0):
duppin (0):
Then there's thewayduppin voted Ari. Here's the post:
The push isn't overdone. There's not aIn post 245, duppin wrote:Honestly it's a mostly a character read. I'm not getting any townvibes from you, which I usually do when your town. I will admit it is possible some of it has to do with you going V/LA so yeah.
In any case, why isn't your vote on Postie?
Perhaps, not sure. However this does not feel like his town game so I see no reason not to apply pressure.In post 244, Postie wrote:Does it feel like his scumplay? Because I agree but I see little reason to suppose this is scum!Aristo as opposed to just different!Aristo.
I'm honestly not sure what to think of this post. You agree that this does not seem like his townplay, so where exactly are you going with this?tonof reasons heaped on even though Aristophanes does have a number of posts up to this point. It's also not lazily tossed on just for the sake of participating in the wagon. In short, it doesn't fit the profile of a bus vote.
There's also the matter of the Fire Assassin kill. Given the couple of shots duppin took at him in his Day 1 activity (Post 144, Post 172, and Post 548) and Fire Assassin's stated intentions to not go after duppin the next day (Post 505), I don't think a Fire Assassin kill makes much sense from a scum!duppin POV.
tl;dr: duppin is town. Let's get on with it.
VOTE: Wingback-
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Well I suck. I thought I was being smart and I managed to fuck that up.
VOTE: duppin-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
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I crumbed my role as town JK before and I'm pretty proud of this crumb.In post 756, serrapaladin wrote:@TTH: do you have a history of crumbing your role as a town PR? What about as scum?
That's the only one I have, but I don't have an extensive history rolling specials.
That defeats the purpose of the neapolitan role.In post 759, serrapaladin wrote:Also, why did you target my slot, and not someone you were scumreading?
The "Not Vanilla Townie" result isn't definitive, that doesn't mean that whoever I got the result on is scum. But the "Vanilla Townie" resultisindisputable evidence of my target being town. The idea behind neapolitan isn't to catch scum. It's to confirm town.
And with that in mind:
Simply because a town neighbor gives one fewer "vanilla town" slot to confirm. Neapolitan is a role that becomesIn post 758, serrapaladin wrote:
Explain how this link suggests doc+vig+neighbours+1-shot neap is balanced in a 2:7.In post 633, TellTaleHeart wrote:
You could be right, depending on what specials scum have, but I would wager that the Normal Review Group does not agree with you.In post 627, GuiltyLion wrote:Town feels a little OP but yeah let's lynch Wingback and then I'll shoot BNL tonight if Wingback flips town. If somehow that doesn't end it then it'll be a LYLO decision between duppin/TTH, hopefully I would get killed so it would be Elyse that has to deal with it
That's actually the reason I think BnL is town. Two town neighbors would further narrow the pool of people I could possibly confirm and nerf the utility of my role. (This is all with the caveat that setup speculation is not really my thing.)lesspowerful as it's surrounded with more non-VTs.
I don't really know how to answer this other than to give my opinion, which is that I think scum have an investigative perk like tracker or watcher. Watcher is my pick here because it can nab all the specials including the vig through the ascetic modifier. Jailkeeper is another possibility, albeit a little less elegant.In post 760, serrapaladin wrote:I have this nagging voice in my head telling me that the neap is a twist on rolecop and the neighbours are decoys. I guess scum have daytalk, so it's possible they have no PR. Giving them 1 BP is not fun, and there's no indication of a different PR.
Regardless, you are correct that the all-town neighborhood is a "decoy." In theory they give zero net power, but in practice they tend to be slightly negative utility given that players tend to assume neighborhoods always have at least one scum.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4505
- Joined: August 6, 2014
This was from the DC UPick. That was two games in one. The mechanic was that there were two separate "Earths" where each player had two separate roles on each "Earth" that the game toggled between upon a mislynch. I happened to be a VT on Earth One (when I made the post you quoted) and a scum rolecop on Earth Two (which I didn't know until the first night when the game moved to Earth Two after the first mislynch).In post 764, serrapaladin wrote:
Could you briefly explain this game to me, please? Was that a post by you as scum?In post 15, TellTaleHeart wrote:I'm the one who steps from the shadows,
all trenchcoat and cigarette and arrogance,
ready to deal with the madness.
VOTE: lane
The post was from when I was town. I was John Constantine and in my first post I used a John Constantine quote, so I "crumbed" my flavor there but not my role.
That was silliness. I was scum there, but the game featured a scum traitor (which I wasn't) so the joke was that I was making a ham fisted "traitor" crumb, I wasn't making a serious attempt at crumbing.In post 765, serrapaladin wrote:
And what's up with this.In post 8, TellTaleHeart wrote:heTerre no breadcrumbsanihis ptst to be found. Moveoight along.r
VOTE: RC
Looks to me like you've been toying with crumbing/fake-crumbing as either faction.-
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TellTaleHeart Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4505
- Joined: August 6, 2014
Going through Fire Assassin's posting, it didn't take me long to figure out who the other neighbor was.In post 767, duppin wrote:Well I just realised something, TTH yesterday you claimed you were townreading BNL but you weren't sure the reason you were scumreading him was justified (#587) and in #633 you claimed the reason you were townreading him was because of his role.
BNL claimed in #588, which was after you claimed to have a townread on him. While I honestly don't really care about your answer, I'd still like to hear it. For what reason were you townreading him in 587 and why weren't unsure about it being justified?
I'm curious as to if you actually have a reason or if you're just going to pull a weird read out of nowhere now.
In post 139, Fire Assassin wrote:Theres actually a reason BNL might be just weird in general, so its kind of a reason I don't want to lynch him today at all.
Elsye, why wouldn't scum tag team together based on the reasoning nobody would suspect them? You are using a preflip associaiton when you should be looking at players motivations, then analyzing each individually.
Unlesss you can do good preflip associations, they are usually not good in my experience.In post 150, Fire Assassin wrote:
Yes, I am not liking bullet so my read on elsye was predicated on that and I said it was bad, and since scrapped.In post 144, duppin wrote:But what associations? It sounded to me like you thought Elyse was suddenly town because Bullet pushed on her. I assumed that meant you thought that Bullet was scum, but that doesn't really line up your follow up posts.
I have very good reasons not to push Bullet.In post 145, duppin wrote:Or well you called him "meh", but you didn't push or vote on him after, which I thought was rather odd since you seemed to imply he was scum (and that Elyse was town for thar reason), unless I misunderstood your post in which case I'd like you to explain exactly what you meant.