Mini 2251: Triplicate! GAME OVER!
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T3 crossed my mind.In post 1550, Amy Dunne wrote:@Chloe do you have any theories on who most likely killed RCE? I have some thoughts on that but so far no one is really saying too much about it.
He presents like a deer in headlights, and exclusively listed RCEnigma as town prior to the NK.
I think it's a potential frame, though. Tis why I've let Dunnstral and Dwlee to champion that pledge alone until I see more.Yes, this is Taly. Yes, I accept she/her pronouns on this alt. Yes, I am a cis-man. Yes, I am experimenting with gender fluidity.- Lady Chloe
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In post 1461, Almost50 wrote:
What is your favourite position?In post 1447, Jingle wrote:Never feel bad about asking me questions.
Spoiler:This may be a bit controversial, but I've always preferred standing. I'm not a huge fan of sitting or lying down in soccer.This is a Parachute.- Jingle
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Sorry, gonna need to delay this.In post 1492, mastina wrote:(also, while I'm home, I'm not really here yet--I'll be catching up and replying later, but in my phoneposting, I somehow hit an option that gives me nonstop constant emails every time someone posts, which is obviously not something I wanted enabled, so I needed to log in and disable it. I think it was hitting bookmark or subscribe or something but I undid it I think so I think my email will not get spammed anymore)
Most of what I want to do requires EITHER:
-Rereading the thread and formulating responses to things that I didn't respond to on my phone,
OR:
-Thinking critically about the game and analyzing who is more likely to be town/scum/etc. across two games, where, when, etc.
I've been feeling REALLY badly fatigued today. It's possible I'll have a miraculous recovery of lucidity where I can suddenly start thinking and turning my brain back on but unless that happens, well...I was literally struggling to not fall asleep at the keyboard while watching my favorite streamer.Favoritestreamer, and I almost felt asleep at the keyboard. So like...I'm tired. I'm mentally dead. Today's been very very physically exhausting to me for whatever reason.
I'll try to make my workload tomorrow be less tho by covering more things tonight:
House not showing up means he couldn't have contributed to the scum PT overnight. While it'sIn post 1500, Amy Dunne wrote:
Why would that make anyone confitown?In post 1490, mastina wrote:(On that note: House is conftown for not having shown up btw.)possibleto contribute in advance (actions submitted before night) and it'spossiblefor scumbuddies to submit without him, he's probably just town for using the same tell I was.
I'm too tired to do proper analysis here but I think that this conftowns House, barring a town Demon Lord claim. (Since a Demon Lord won't claim tho, House should be conftown from it.)In post 1506, CheekyTeeky wrote:
So I'm a wagon analyzer (what I've called it) and my result was that the wagon had 4 alignment differences between voters on MegA. I'm just trying to confirm if it includes demon lord, but that's a pretty colourful wagon ^.^In post 1173, Jingle wrote:
From there, the options for the remaining three are:
-House->me->Cheeky (2/3) (would require me to not be town tho obv and still would leave a final alignment change--for instance, if the change was at RR then RR and Dwlee would both be scum; if the change was at Dwlee then Dwlee would be scum)
-me->Cheeky->T3 (2/3) (would require Cheeky to not be town tho in spite of this being Cheeky giving the result--seems kinda ridiculous)
-Cheeky->T3->RR->Dwlee (3/3) (would mean T3 and Dwlee are scum I think?)
I might not be thinking of all the possibilities but my townreads on T3/Dwlee do not override the chance of there being scum there.
I'm pretty sure that if you assume Cheeky is town here, then the only possible nontown are {mastina, T3, Dwlee} here?
Again, might be not thinking, should be more lucid to give it a better thought runthrough.
But I think that regardless, Dwlee might be confscum here?
VOTE: Dwlee99
Not sure, feel free to correct me, am tired, not thinking at full capacity, but I think that it has to fit regardless of your thoughts elsewhere.
I might be overlooking in my tiredness the RR scum world, I can't figure the math out there right now but that's probably where I am flawed in thinking.In post 1519, CheekyTeeky wrote:So T3 or RR likely middle scum. House could be scum and Dwlee definitely scum.- Almost50
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Which game? (This IS starting to confuse me a bit)In post 1477, Lady Chloe wrote: House's blood looks delicious, I do say.
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That's OK.. I guess. Assuming 6 scums (3 in each game) that's already 50% of one game and more than half in the other, and that's if you're dead certain. Now add the unsure slots and you can suspect almost everyone in one game or the other.In post 1478, Lady Chloe wrote:I'm afraid to have more players I'd like to declare war on than signing a peace treaty with.
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I am probably going to wait for him to explain why he voted you twice. I would not have had a problem if he either voted you once (for both games) or voted RCE second (meaning he's voting you in the Normal because RCE is already dead in that).In post 1479, Radical Rat wrote:VOTE: House
A bit of OMGUS, but even if it weren't on me, I don't like him showing up just to drop a naked vote
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Well, I won't be the one doing that for sure, because it takes me about that long (30 seconds) to post even once, so it gives the Demon Lord a full minute to hammer in the ThemeIn post 1494, mastina wrote:You do need to be careful to time the hammer IMMEDIATELY after a votecount where the demon lord is not on the wagon (and I do mean IMMEDIATELY, as in, within 30 seconds or so), as to make sure the demon lord isn't on the wagon and doesn't have time to join, but it's still doable.
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I sure hope it does, because if it doesn't it means we have TWO different 3P alignments (I've excluded 2 Mafia squads because of the No Kill)In post 1506, CheekyTeeky wrote:So I'm a wagon analyzer (what I've called it) and my result was that the wagon had 4 alignment differences between voters on MegA. I'm just trying to confirm if it includes demon lord, but that's a pretty colourful wagon ^.^
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?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????In post 1508, CheekyTeeky wrote:I think it's likely Dwlee is scum in B, could be A,B but I think that's unlikely so VOTE: Dunnstral instead. If Dwlee is scum in B, Lady probably is too.
You have a result.. and it says 4 different alignments were ON the wagon... so you vote OFF the wagon????
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Yes but her logic sometimes works to set up a game state that is good for town.In post 1502, Ircher wrote:mastina has some strange logic at times.- Almost50
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If we assume House & mastina are truly Town this means T3 + Dwlee are confirmed "Non-Town"In post 1510, CheekyTeeky wrote:I will be told how many time 2 sequential votes are different. Like town scum town = 2
Town town scum scum = 1
And the demon vote alignment is considered in the result.
Like..Lord Demon/1st switch/House, mastina, CT/2nd switch/T3/3rd switch/RR/4th switch/Dwlee
@CT: Can you please try to paraphrase the exact role? Like .. how it works.. "you may analyze the lim wagon and get told how many sequential alignment switches"??
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In post 1555, CheekyTeeky wrote:Lady can you write a simple question I can answer I can't make beaks or tails of what you're getting at. Like if you think I'm scum what are you trying to convince me you're town?
Because I do not believe it is impossible you are town in one game, and I have no intention of trying to convince you that I am town.In post 1556, CheekyTeeky wrote:Why*
Simply, I do not believe your assessment of me is sound and I make that clear.
This pledging mechanic is a nightmare.
I can't tell, but from a recent experience with House, I do not know if this is unlike town!him.In post 1558, Almost50 wrote:
Which game? (This IS starting to confuse me a bit)In post 1477, Lady Chloe wrote: House's blood looks delicious, I do say.
Suspecting and not townreading are different, I have three relatively powerful purity reads outside of myself.In post 1559, Almost50 wrote:
That's OK.. I guess. Assuming 6 scums (3 in each game) that's already 50% of one game and more than half in the other, and that's if you're dead certain. Now add the unsure slots and you can suspect almost everyone in one game or the other.In post 1478, Lady Chloe wrote:I'm afraid to have more players I'd like to declare war on than signing a peace treaty with.
I believe most non-town are only a scoundrel in one game. For anyone who could be a scoundrel in more than one? I do not have the heart (confidence) to assert such.Yes, this is Taly. Yes, I accept she/her pronouns on this alt. Yes, I am a cis-man. Yes, I am experimenting with gender fluidity.- Almost50
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If Demon is Town 2 Scum on the wagon still (but not next to each other)In post 1512, CheekyTeeky wrote:Basically there 2 scum on the wagon if Demon is scum and all 3 are on the wagon if Demon is town...I think?
Examples:
Demon,(1)House,(2)mastina, CheekyTeeky,(3)T3,(4)Radical Rat, Dwlee99
Demon, House,(1)mastina,(2)CheekyTeeky,(3)T3,(4)Radical Rat, Dwlee99
Demon,(1)House,(2)mastina, CheekyTeeky, T3,(3)Radical Rat,(4)Dwlee99
So, basically 1 scum in mastina/House and another in T3/RR (THAT IS ASSUMING THE DEMON IS TOWN)
Demon, House,(1)mastina,(2)CheekyTeeky, T3,(3)Radical Rat,(4)Dwlee99
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Shit.. switch the last 2 lines for the correct format (the conclusion should be at the bottom)
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Basically if we lim Dwlee and he flips red we lim T3 and Demon is confirmed Scum controlled. If Dwlee flips Town Demon is confirmed a Town utility, and we have 2 lims in 2 pairs to net 2 scums.
VOTE: Dwlee
Sorry, mate, but your lim is so informative I can't go elsewhere
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EITHER WAY it's 2 Scums on the wagon. The question is WHICH 2.In post 1513, CheekyTeeky wrote:So more likely 2 scum on and 1 off imo
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Correct. Dwlee and Demon are same alignment, yes.In post 1516, CheekyTeeky wrote:If demon is scum then hammerer is also scum. Hey Dwlee! *waves*
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Scummy, tbh. If Dwlee flips green I know whom I'm voting out of RR/T3In post 1517, Radical Rat wrote:Is Demon Lord even being counted in that, since it's not really a player slot?
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