In post 395, northsidegal wrote:hey all, i'm honestly just here to collect my free victory from shoshin (and auro) carrying.
my heuristic for day 1 scumlynches in micros is that scum is almost never on the wagon or if they are it's the hammer vote. granted, i'm fairly certain that comes mostly from newbies, but i would bet that it holds true regardless. i don't actually have the hard data on this like i would for normal games, but still.
i have read very little but i'm gonna get on that now.
@shoshin
, to someone who is nearly totally ignorant, could you explain why you switched from oversoul to kop, and if you still scumread my slot?
(i'm also interested in why you think your scumgame is bad – from what i've seen it was fairly good, but this is less game related and moreso just for my own interest.)
I hate to disappoint but I'm not sure I'll be carrying anything this game. I haven't read much either, and I'd need to reread things more in-depth to really solve the game, which maybe I'll do at some point. I was hoping you'd carry after replacing in, that would be very nice. I tend to be very lazy sometimes, and especially it seems when I'm in a hydra. I think it's something about the feeling that others will do the work for me so I don't have to.
I never really scumread your slot. The truth is that I secretly scumread Kop the whole time (and especially R&M -- Auro can confirm our discussions about this in discord) and was always planning to switch my vote there at the end.
My main point in voting Oversoul was to get an explanation on town TDC (he left the game before explaining, which is super annoying). I wanted to know if it was role related or behavioral, and if the latter, why. Clearing up reads strong divergences (strongest town to strongest scum) is very important to me. In past games, I've had it turn out that the scumread was in fact scum, but in others it turns out my read was wrong, and the clarification was enough to then completely solve the game with that new insight.
I also thought a sole wagon on Kop would be very boring, and voting Oversoul was an interesting way to test alignments across the board. I preferred Oversoul to TDC because I suspected TDC, and I thought a counter wagon on scum wouldn't be as interesting as a counter wagon on town. And as I said yesterday, I didn't think scum were a viable counter wagon to Kop because scum would simply vote one of the two at that point, defeating the purpose of the test. I think we got some possibly-useful reactions on this front -- notably the fact that LUV didn't jump on the Oversoul wagon when he could have made that lynch much more viable. I'm not sure what it means yet but it's something to think about.
There's another aspect to this as well but I'll keep that part to myself. It's just some underlying stuff about what I was doing in terms of sorting TDC.
I disagree that my scum game is good -- I have a 0% win rate after all -- but if you think it's good, that's nice to know. I also just hate playing scum and never want to do it, and I'd only ever replace into slots that I was very confident are town. I hope you at least believe me on that, even if you think my scum game is good.
-Shoshin