[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/ext/alfredoramos/seometadata/event/listener.php on line 114: Undefined array key 10016206 [phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/ext/alfredoramos/seometadata/event/listener.php on line 114: Trying to access array offset on value of type null Micro 789 - Alternating 9p - Mafia wins - Mafiascum.net
Post
Post #42 (isolation #1) » Tue Mar 13, 2018 7:29 pm
Postby BuJaber »
This is all fishy to me.
Prediction: one of GL, Lovebird, Raska is scum.
Don't think scum!love would be so eager to TR someone so early. It is weird and attracts too much attention.
But seriously this whole discussion seems irrelevant; why would checking profiles be AI? Why is being bored AI? Why is being anxious to start the game AI?
Post
Post #60 (isolation #2) » Wed Mar 14, 2018 9:46 pm
Postby BuJaber »
It's not a contradiction. It was just the chronoligical order of my thoughts.
The prediction comes first. Then I narrow it down to Raska/GL but just because I don't think love would do that if scum doesn't mean my scumpool becomes smaller. Just means I'd want love lynched last out of those 3.
Post
Post #62 (isolation #3) » Thu Mar 15, 2018 3:14 am
Postby BuJaber »
Just telling you how it is. I'm not trying to get you to agree. You either do or don't but I tell you my thoughts and you tell me yours and so on and we end up with a conversation that leads to scum being caught.
Okay you want me to spill some secrets? Here's a small insight into how I play.
The prediction is based on WIFOM. That's usually how I narrow things down between a pool if there is nothing specific that pings me. (Such as this game). Since everyone is more or less a nullread I come up with a theory that makes sense to narrow down the field and split up the players into categories for further analysis.
In this game the theory is that 3 people all deciding to engage in a discussion -that imo is about something irrelevant or NAI- leads me to think one of them has to be doing it as scum to look like they're engaging with the town. Since one scum is doing this the other is likely to follow a different strategy so they will take a more passive approach. So 1 scum among {rask, GL, lovebird} and 1 scum among the rest.
Now as I follow the thread and engage with people I can see who is more likely to be this scum. Or if something happens or someone says something that makes me change my entire assumption I do that and start fresh. So the lovebird townlean makes it more likely in my mind that the scum is between rask and GL. I didn't really like Rask's openings either (my RVS vote was semi-serious) so I kept my vote there.
Not to mention that mathematically the odds of me being right are quite high in a game this small. So really it's not even an impressive prediction.
Post
Post #63 (isolation #4) » Thu Mar 15, 2018 3:16 am
Postby BuJaber »
Disclosure: do not assume I always do this. Do not assume that doing this for me is AI. Do not assume that that is all I do in mafia games. It would be stupid of me to do so and stupid of you to assume so.
Post
Post #65 (isolation #5) » Thu Mar 15, 2018 3:52 am
Postby BuJaber »
Why is it so difficult to understand? Please help me. I run into this situation a lot. Is it my wording that is unclear? My english is bad? What is it?
I don't scumread rask. I don't townread rask.
Because of the whole process I explained above I forced myself to choose between rask and GL for whom to vote. I compared the 2 and decided rask is more likely to be the scum. Fact that it is the same person I voted for in RVS because his openings pinged me played a part in helping me decide.
I knew it pinged me but now I don't remember why. I may have misread it because I read it again now and nothing is pinging me.
I think my prediction is still solid though. I want to lynch one of you 3 but I promise I won't factor in the opening and my RVS vote. Whoever I find the most scummy today I will vote for from GL/Rask/Love.
In post 98, Major Minor wrote:The way he also threw his vote around onto Not_Mafia just felt really town in my gut? I hate gut reads, it's hard to explain, but it was the lack of pretense that pinged me as town. There's no show to put on, nobody to impress with his vote switch, it's just what it is.
In post 98, Major Minor wrote:I dislike Lovebird's empty push on Iconeum, though. No reasons or anything? Feels opportunistic.
I'm having trouble squaring these.
Good point.
As of now:
1 scum in {GL, Rask, Love}
1 scum in {NM, Icon} maybe chris.
I know it's a big pool but one of them flips scum it makes it less likely that there's another scum in the same group imo.
Do you like townread chris or he just doesn't go either pool?
He doesn't go in either pool. He's town by PoE unless I'm wrong on both pools.
@GL - your pool has nothing to do with scumreads. None of you are specifically pinging me but I'm confident that three way convo you guys had was unnatural for TvTvT. One of you was playing along to keep the other 2 distracted and to inflate the thread. I made that pretty clear.
I do a lot of this if x then y sort of stuff and making hypothesies regarding 2 or three players at the same time. I wouldn't know a specific example to quote or link off the top of my head but if you really think that would be helpful I'll go search through my posts. It seems like a waste of time though because even if I showed you the examples how would that help you townread me? You're better off asking someone I've played with before. (NM, Lovebird, christopher, Icon) not all them might agree they've each played different games than me but they're a more believable source than I would be talking about myself. I think chris hasn't seen my town game at all we were scum together once and that's it as far as I recall.
In post 135, BuJaber wrote:
He doesn't go in either pool. He's town by PoE unless I'm wrong on both pools.
@GL - your pool has nothing to do with scumreads. None of you are specifically pinging me but I'm confident that three way convo you guys had was unnatural for TvTvT. One of you was playing along to keep the other 2 distracted and to inflate the thread. I made that pretty clear.
I do a lot of this if x then y sort of stuff and making hypothesies regarding 2 or three players at the same time. I wouldn't know a specific example to quote or link off the top of my head but if you really think that would be helpful I'll go search through my posts. It seems like a waste of time though because even if I showed you the examples how would that help you townread me? You're better off asking someone I've played with before. (NM, Lovebird, christopher, Icon) not all them might agree they've each played different games than me but they're a more believable source than I would be talking about myself. I think chris hasn't seen my town game at all we were scum together once and that's it as far as I recall.
If you showed me an example from a town game, that would make it easier for me to chalk this up as a playstyle quirk instead of a scum tactic.
You didn't answer my question about the {Not_Mafia, Iconeum, Major Minor} pool. What do they have in common?
ZZZX also isn't in either of your pools. What do you think of him?
ZZZX is a nullread.
The thing they have in common is I am scumreading them all. But I am more sure that there is scum in the first group than I am of my scumreads on them so there is no way the 2nd group can all be scum. That is why I can only be right about one of them.
Post
Post #140 (isolation #13) » Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:26 am
Postby BuJaber »
There is no scum motivation for me to do the things you are scumreading me for Icon.
This is how I think. Every game is a little different but all I've done is describe in full detail my process in this game so far and you're punishing me for it.
You want me to sort rask how? It's not my style to manufacture conversation to get a read. If things come up naturally I will. If something in particular he posts I want to respond to or argue against I will.
At best your problem is simply with my playstyle. And at worst you're scum.
Post
Post #149 (isolation #14) » Mon Mar 19, 2018 8:03 pm
Postby BuJaber »
One day I'm going to make a wiki section for my page where I link everytime someone made fun of my logic and I was right 100%.
People seem to forget that if they read something as townie and someone else reads the same thing as scummy somehow their opinion is more correct and it's bullshit. People don't always play the same way every game.
I think I'm fucking right and if you want to lynch me for that do so but I'm gonna rub it in your face when we lose and you decided to let your ego rule the game.
I'm sick of people on MS belittling my thought process.
Post
Post #150 (isolation #15) » Mon Mar 19, 2018 8:06 pm
Postby BuJaber »
I have never played with Z. I don't want to lynch there and by PoE I don't think he's scum but I could see it.
But I don't think chris is scum here. I think he'd be more obvious as scum imo.
Post
Post #158 (isolation #16) » Wed Mar 21, 2018 12:16 am
Postby BuJaber »
@GL:
NM: NM's meta is pretty well known throughout the site. However he usually has one or two good posts from time to time that give you a little insight. This game he has nothing. And that copy paste math lesson is very tongue-in-cheek and completely out of character and unnecessary.
Icon: I guess I expect more from Icon as a leader in this group if he is town. I might be wrong about that. But then he seems to be spending a lot of energy, time and effort on my case but everyone else he either gives a weak read on or a small line about and nothing else. It doesn't seem like town tunneling where he just thinks he's right. It seems like an intentional attack and avoiding to talk about anyone else.
Major: not posting much but also he doesn't seem to scumread icon that strongly so it seemed like a weird choice to make for vote. He also took his RVS vote too seriously.
Post
Post #159 (isolation #17) » Wed Mar 21, 2018 12:23 am
Postby BuJaber »
Ftr the way that major talks about Rask sounds a lot like scum defending scum. It is the sort of thing people comment on when they know the other is phony. I have each in separate pools so if either of them flips scum the other is more likely to be scum. Though if either flips town it doesn't really change the read on the other one way or another.
Post
Post #161 (isolation #18) » Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:07 am
Postby BuJaber »
Shit I missed that chris had a townlean on me.
Okay
1 scum in {NM, chris, Major, Icon}
1 scum in {GL, Rask, Lovebird}.
And since I can't imagine the scum motivation to bus chris here if chris flips scum icon is automatically cleared no matter what (ie even if all 3 of GL, Rask, Love are town and I'd be forced to find the 2nd scum elsewhere wouldn't think Icon is scum if chris flips scum).
Post
Post #164 (isolation #19) » Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:46 am
Postby BuJaber »
I saw his comments that my posts are NAI but did not see that he also claimed I was a townlean. The townlean isn't the problem alone but he hasn't given any reason for me to move from null to townlean as you pointed out.
But my list is very good for associations. Say rask flips scum for example. It clears Love and GL for me (until lylo at least).
Say NM flips scum. I'd focus less on you and more at the GL/Love/Rask trio.
Post
Post #166 (isolation #21) » Wed Mar 21, 2018 4:56 am
Postby BuJaber »
But to be honest as I said previously I think I'd catch you if you were scum. I'm more inclined to sense it if you're scum given that that's the only meta I know.
Post
Post #169 (isolation #22) » Wed Mar 21, 2018 7:48 am
Postby BuJaber »
I get that people might disagree with it as a strategy but it's natural for me.
I am not locking myself to these people as only possible scum. What these lists do for me is make me split up the group of players into smaller categories.
When new posts or information come in I reevaluate.
But as long as I believe that the original reason for the grouping is still valid I stick to that grouping until new evidence comes that reinforces or invalidates it.
For example for the GL, Rask, love pool I strongly believe I am right for thinking that discussion was intentionally encouraged by scum. So until they flip or I can confidently townread all three that pool will remain as it is.
Post
Post #176 (isolation #24) » Thu Mar 22, 2018 3:32 am
Postby BuJaber »
Ah okay
But why is that bad though? The way I've set it up as soon as anyone flips scum I'll have like 3 townreads by elimination.
This game is not typical as you can see. Playerbase is content at being more on the quiet side. Nobody has done anything obviously scummy. Nobody has done anything obviously townie. Would you really be happier if I had like 1 townread 1 scumread and the rest all nulls?
Because this my way is a lot more useful imo.
Post
Post #177 (isolation #25) » Thu Mar 22, 2018 3:42 am
Postby BuJaber »
And as for NM. From my pov the first pool is riskier to lynch from since my theory is based on gamestate theory rather than on the players themselves so I prefer to try to sort them a little later.
So it's between you, NM, MM, chris. Who for the record is back to a townlean (I mean he might be buddying me but I'd like to think I'd catch on to that if he continues).
NM is the stronger scumread among them.
MM I've never played with before. There is a degree of effort in his posts but he went back to not posting so it's meh.
I would vote for you but then I'd be lonely. Also there's scum motivation in trying to discredit me but at the same time you do seem to be dragging this interrogation out in a way which doesn't seem worth it for scum. I would think scum would have ignored me and taken advantage of this dead town but who knows. It really is way too quiet here.
Post
Post #188 (isolation #29) » Thu Mar 22, 2018 5:09 pm
Postby BuJaber »
The townlean was scummy from chris for the reason Ico pointed out. He kept saying I'm null then sort of jumped to townlean without giving a reason. It's not the read I find scummy it's the change and lack of reason. If he had saud scumlean it would be just as scummy.
The rest is a matter of interpretation. It sounds ike you can see me being town just like you can see me beimg scum since you're interpretted me correctly and agree on my major read even if for different reasons.
Post
Post #192 (isolation #30) » Fri Mar 23, 2018 2:01 am
Postby BuJaber »
@GL - I'm not expecting him to have a thorough case to be honest and his explanation was enough to put someone from a null to a townlean. I mean I think I'm being clearly townie here but given your and Icon's reactions that doesn't seem to be the case.
@Icon - given the fickle nature of my chris read and that after his explanation I'm putting him on a townlean myself it isn't suspicious that he's on NM wagon. Also NM typically attracts votes from both scum and town it wouldn't be AI by itself. Thing with NM is, as I'm starting to notice, there seem to be subtle differences in his playstyle. Regardless of how apathetic he seems he tends to still be interested in winning. So when he's town he has his occasional bursts of confident reads and disagreeing with people who have an opposing opinion. There's none of that here. As scum he has bursts of activity when there is something to gain like a legitimate wagon on a strong townie or when it's near mylo for example and town is confused he'll encourage the confusion. I get the feeling he also enjoys being scumread so when he's scum he's quite cheeky about it. And I really really hate that wallpost about some physics concept or whatever it was (i didn't read it).
To townread you I'll need more yet. But since you explained there isn't a specific reason to scumread you so you're back to town by PoE.
What I do know is that if icon flips scum it clears you for sure because no way that was a distancing/bussing post by Icon.
Bu which post please?
160
Doesn't seem like bussing to me. Why would he need to distance himself so early without pressure on chris by noticing and pointing at an inconsistency. It forces us to look at chris' posts more carefully. A bus/distancing vote tries to sever ties with the player but the point isn't to actually get them lynched. More scrutiny on chris does not help Ico if chris is his partner. Therefore I don't think they are scum together.
I find it a little strange you are so against the NM lynch. You admit yourself nobody can read NM with much consistency. Your scumreads are voting there but so am I.
Post
Post #264 (isolation #35) » Sat Mar 24, 2018 6:34 pm
Postby BuJaber »
Not to mention cheeky says she has a read on NM but then tries to back it up by saying scum are pushing that wagon. She doesn't sound confident about NM which begs the question why claim you have a read on him at all.
Post
Post #300 (isolation #36) » Sun Mar 25, 2018 4:22 pm
Postby BuJaber »
In post 177, BuJaber wrote:And as for NM. From my pov the first pool is riskier to lynch from since my theory is based on gamestate theory rather than on the players themselves so I prefer to try to sort them a little later.
So it's between you, NM, MM, chris. Who for the record is back to a townlean (I mean he might be buddying me but I'd like to think I'd catch on to that if he continues).
NM is the stronger scumread among them.
MM I've never played with before. There is a degree of effort in his posts but he went back to not posting so it's meh.
I would vote for you but then I'd be lonely. Also there's scum motivation in trying to discredit me but at the same time you do seem to be dragging this interrogation out in a way which doesn't seem worth it for scum. I would think scum would have ignored me and taken advantage of this dead town but who knows. It really is way too quiet here.
In post 192, BuJaber wrote:@GL - I'm not expecting him to have a thorough case to be honest and his explanation was enough to put someone from a null to a townlean. I mean I think I'm being clearly townie here but given your and Icon's reactions that doesn't seem to be the case.
@Icon - given the fickle nature of my chris read and that after his explanation I'm putting him on a townlean myself it isn't suspicious that he's on NM wagon. Also NM typically attracts votes from both scum and town it wouldn't be AI by itself. Thing with NM is, as I'm starting to notice, there seem to be subtle differences in his playstyle. Regardless of how apathetic he seems he tends to still be interested in winning. So when he's town he has his occasional bursts of confident reads and disagreeing with people who have an opposing opinion. There's none of that here. As scum he has bursts of activity when there is something to gain like a legitimate wagon on a strong townie or when it's near mylo for example and town is confused he'll encourage the confusion. I get the feeling he also enjoys being scumread so when he's scum he's quite cheeky about it. And I really really hate that wallpost about some physics concept or whatever it was (i didn't read it).
@cheeky - I explained my NM read here.
NM - cheeky clearly has played with you before; how strong is his scum game?
I think GL is scum. His push on me is bs and why anyone would defend Icon in this game is beyond me. He is a far better town player than this. He can't be defending him from a town pov. He must either know he's town or he is scum with him.
Cheeky - I admit chris might be scum but I don't think so. We lost as scum together before. I think he would sort me more confidently as scum and also I think he'd get caught as scum here. Maybe he isn't playing great here yet but for now I'm not entertaining the idea he's scum.
In post 300, BuJaber wrote:I think GL is scum. His push on me is bs and why anyone would defend Icon in this game is beyond me. He is a far better town player than this. He can't be defending him from a town pov. He must either know he's town or he is scum with him.
I thought you were townreading ico?
That was very early on. I've had him in one of my scum pools for a while now.
Are you even paying attention?
Okay forget my 2nd pool I'll deal with those later. I want to lynch one of {rask, GL, lovebird} like I wanted at the start. And I no longer TR love because last time he was scum in a game with me he wasn't super active and left town to implode while his partner did a lot of pot stirring.
Post
Post #340 (isolation #40) » Mon Mar 26, 2018 6:07 pm
Postby BuJaber »
Rask said he was strongish I was commenting on that.
I wanted to know if he actually TR's him.
And you think what you want but defending Icon in this game is scummy. Icon himself should admit this is not his best work if he's town and if he's scum he should acceot that he got caught.
Post
Post #341 (isolation #41) » Mon Mar 26, 2018 6:10 pm
Postby BuJaber »
Would you lynch lovebird? The only person I might be willing to vote alongside you. Otherwise unless my reads or yours change I won't vote anyone you vote for.
Post
Post #343 (isolation #42) » Mon Mar 26, 2018 6:13 pm
Postby BuJaber »
Lovebird's opening is significantly more townie than now but really I'm getting a feeling he is following his gameplan in the arsonist game micro we recently finished. He was arso I was firefighter.
Also most of the reasons I townread him earlier were gut based and WIFOMy I realized.
And I am still so confident in my theory of 1 scum between Rask/GL/love. So I'm flip flopping between you.
Post
Post #354 (isolation #45) » Tue Mar 27, 2018 2:31 am
Postby BuJaber »
No it's more an afterthought I'm entertaining.
There are too many possibilities at the moment for possible scum teams to pinpoint them with significant accuracy. I really want to find the scum in my first pool first.
Post
Post #362 (isolation #46) » Tue Mar 27, 2018 6:31 am
Postby BuJaber »
Maybe but considering there are reasons to scumread everyone else unfortunately, so lynching within this pool is at worst a 33% chance instead of 20%.
I was pretty set on lynching NM but cheeky is strongly townreading him and cheeky is currently a townlean all things considered so it gives me pause.
Icon works as a potential lynchee that is not one of you 3 but if icon is town then I lynch what could potentially be a strong townie. (He seems like scum at the moment though so I am inclined to join a wagon there but I might not start one)
If it comes down to either zz or chris I feel it'd be a coin flip honestly. I highly doubt both are scum. So best case scenario it's 50%. That's assuming that not both scum are 'active' players in the game. Also if love does flip scum it also makes it unlikely that either Zz or chris are scum because a lurker scum strategy usuallu requires a partner that is active. Unless they both just give up.
Post
Post #366 (isolation #49) » Tue Mar 27, 2018 6:50 am
Postby BuJaber »
You are what would be 'most improved' on my list. You went from someone I was almost sure was scum but I'm close to removing you from the first pool and just lynching one of {GL/love} and then come up with assoc. For whichever flips scum.
Post
Post #529 (isolation #57) » Mon Apr 02, 2018 9:39 am
Postby BuJaber »
Back from vla.
I am never voting rask now. If you dug that deep into me just to pocket me while I was vla and potentially a day 1 lynch then fucking bravo but you just have to be town rask. So in my mind one of love/GL is guaranteed scum.
GL makes me nervous in general but Love seems more likely to flip scum by play.
Also love/ico makes a lot of sense I reckon but I won't give it too much though before we see a flip.
If you have specific questions cheeky I'll do my best to answer.
Post
Post #557 (isolation #58) » Mon Apr 02, 2018 7:31 pm
Postby BuJaber »
What doesn't make sense love?
I had love, GL, Rask in one pool. Rask is now a confident townread so the pool shrunk to love and GL.
You and icon is just a theory I'm playing with don't see the need to think about it or talk about it more right now until one of you actually flips scum first.
Okay guys since everyoneis flip flopping around we just gotta lynch someone and move on.
If I get to L-1 I'll hammer. We need to find a wagon everybody agrees on.
People they want lynched (correct me if wrong)
Ico: buj/ love
Buj: love / GL
Cheeky: rask / buj / love
Rask: buj / nm / love / icon
Zzzx: need an update
Chris: need an update
NM: love?
GL: need an update
Love: not clear.. rask? Buj?
Seems like love is the most repeated name followed by me. Let's just lynch one of us.
Post
Post #561 (isolation #59) » Mon Apr 02, 2018 9:47 pm
Postby BuJaber »
Y'all are clueless. Just promise me if we don't lose before lylo then cheeky becomes policy lynch at lylo. I refuse to let that slot win if scum because MM did absolutely nothing.
If rask is scum then I'm sorry he fooled me. He's trying to solve the game and he defended me hard which makes no sense for scum.
Honestly cheeky and Icon can't both be town this is rediculous. How many people are you two going to shade? No town is this bad. Someone is sabotaging our attempts to lynch scum.
If cheeky and NM are literally the scumteam that would be hilarious.
Post
Post #562 (isolation #60) » Mon Apr 02, 2018 9:50 pm
Postby BuJaber »
I think it would be wise to open this thread at end game for discussion. I think we fucked up badly somewhere and I for one want to know why. Imo this is my best D1 considering this game was in the muck and I had to figure out who might be scum based on RVS only pretty much but I am the one getting lynched.