Micro 887: the coaLITion [game over]

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Post Post #1275 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:01 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

In post 1266, NC 39 wrote:@Gg, Hectic? thoughts on this?
I just realized that this applied to me. :lol: I don't think I've ever been referred as Gg.

I like EP's reasoning in those posts. I don't quite get the NC connection though. I will need that explained.
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Post Post #1276 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:01 pm

Post by NC 39 »

In post 1272, Hectic wrote:
In post 1266, NC 39 wrote:
In post 1079, EspressoPatronum wrote:@Spangled my progression and reasons for LUV
Spoiler:
In post 475, EspressoPatronum wrote:
In post 455, Spangled wrote:@EP
What’s your take on LUV, post-NC 39’s observation about how consensus seems to be that LUV is scum?
NC raises an interesting point, but I'm not comfortable enough with it to put LUV in my coalition.

First, I want active people in my coalition so I have a better chance at correctly sorting them. Putting LUV in because of inactivity and everyone else's behaviour seems backwards.

Second, all of my previous thoughts on LUV still apply. If we consider LUV's universal scum read ("USR") as a town factor in reading him, I'm still left with:
In post 369, EspressoPatronum wrote:
In post 368, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:VOTE: EspressoPatronum
LUV, for
two
three
four reasons:
1. The lurking
2. I didn't like his early posts
3. I don't like his recent posts
4. I don't like the OMGUS vote
To expand:

1. My experience thus far has scum lurks surprisingly often. I even advocate for lurker policy lynches in most of my games bcz of how often I've seen scum skate by under the radar by lurking.

2. He wasn't helpful early. Telling us to ignore the mechanics of the game was anti-town. His early RC tr looks like he was trying to avoid attention. Alchemist gave a meta reason for his read, but I recall LUV leaving the TR without any reasons.

3. I disagreed with most of his catch-up posts. I also think that anyone touting a 'low activity' meta for town is doing a disservice to everyone else playing.

4. He again provided no reasons for what he was doing. I'm not even sure if OMGUS is scum indicative, but it's not a good look either way.
In post 676, EspressoPatronum wrote:
In post 673, Alchemist21 wrote:
In post 670, EspressoPatronum wrote:
In post 651, Alchemist21 wrote:
In post 642, NC 39 wrote:
In post 638, Alchemist21 wrote:And NOW we have a problem.

3 people outside of the Coalition voting for it is a red flag.

HURT: Gamma

HEAL: Alchemist21
Who’s the 3rd?
Spangled
Spangled has GREAT in his. It isn't the same.
m

Oh, whoops. Thought he had completely aligned his with the others.

That makes me feel a bit better about compromising again.
Compromise is the only way I see this coalition getting passed. Everyone is too paranoid and it's making things chaotic.

I don't feel great about LUV in the coalition and I don't know about Gamma, but I'm keeping them in to get the coalition passed.
In post 682, EspressoPatronum wrote:I also agree that Gamma is more town out of LUV and Gamma.

VOTE: LUV

Per my reasoning above, LUV is a good lynch if the coalition fails because:
1. He's within the coalition (see my earlier reasoning)
2. If he's town, I feel even better about town!NC
3. If he's scum, I feel very strongly about scum!NC (see reasoning above)


The NC connection wasn't my only reason at the time. Although I didn't cite it (and I kind of wish I did now), my scumread on LUV also informed my vote.
@Gg, Hectic? thoughts on this?
so Espresso here didn't want LUV in the coalition badly, but then used that same logic to say NC and LUV could be a thing because NC didn't want LUV in the coalition too?
is that what you're getting at?
Actually, I didn’t even think of that but on rereading this, I see your point. Why was he linking me and LUV, when he was doing the exact same thing?
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Post Post #1277 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:02 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

holy clucking feathers...
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Post Post #1278 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:03 pm

Post by NC 39 »

In post 1274, Hectic wrote:yeah, this game is hard
who was RCMA scumreading again other than Alchemist?
Espresso, Spangled and Gamma, in the event Alchemist was his buddy.
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Post Post #1279 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:04 pm

Post by NC 39 »

In post 1275, gobbledygook wrote:
In post 1266, NC 39 wrote:@Gg, Hectic? thoughts on this?
I just realized that this applied to me. :lol: I don't think I've ever been referred as Gg.

I like EP's reasoning in those posts. I don't quite get the NC connection though. I will need that explained.
NC connection sounds like a Columbia drug cartel.
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Post Post #1280 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:05 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

Colombia*
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Post Post #1281 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:06 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

In post 1277, gobbledygook wrote:
holy clucking feathers...
I am thinking that Hectic is town which is like further destroying me
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Post Post #1282 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:09 pm

Post by NC 39 »

He thinks if LUV is scum, I could be his buddy, because coalition. I still don’t get it, since it was very clearly Alchemist and Spangled I wanted. I only removed them because RC objected to either being in coalition.
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Post Post #1283 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:11 pm

Post by NC 39 »

In post 1281, gobbledygook wrote:
In post 1277, gobbledygook wrote:
holy clucking feathers...
I am thinking that Hectic is town which is like further destroying me
If he is than that probably means two scum in coalition? So, LUV/Espresso wouldn’t be clear then in case of a Gamma scum flip.
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Post Post #1284 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:15 pm

Post by Hectic »

true, would like to hear some expansion from Espresso on that association actually, seems kinda hypocritical and loosely based
i could see Gamma+Espresso

once again, i don't think the 1 in 1 out is that big of a think
gobbly, are you still basing you reads on that? why do you think it's so likely? isn't this exact approach most people are having this game makes the 1 in 1 out in some ways worse than 2 in?
because once we lynch 1 in the coalition, we're inclined to lynch out because of this meta, so 2 in can actually be not a bad thing at all, if not even an advantage
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Post Post #1285 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:16 pm

Post by Hectic »

In post 1283, NC 39 wrote:
In post 1281, gobbledygook wrote:
In post 1277, gobbledygook wrote:
holy clucking feathers...
I am thinking that Hectic is town which is like further destroying me
If he is than that probably means two scum in coalition? So, LUV/Espresso wouldn’t be clear then in case of a Gamma scum flip.
like this kind of reasoning is exactly why scum don't have to focus on 1 in and 1 out
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Post Post #1286 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:16 pm

Post by Hectic »

(i mean the reasoning that LUV/Espresso would be clear with a Gamma scumflip)
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Post Post #1287 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:17 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

In post 1283, NC 39 wrote:
In post 1281, gobbledygook wrote:
In post 1277, gobbledygook wrote:
holy clucking feathers...
I am thinking that Hectic is town which is like further destroying me
If he is than that probably means two scum in coalition? So, LUV/Espresso wouldn’t be clear then in case of a Gamma scum flip.
Yeah, but 1 in, 1 out makes more sense I think. I'm stuck in a loop of constantly going back to square one with this game.

Pedit:

Yeah, you're right Hectic. It is dangerous thinking. I just think that getting 1 scum into the coalition is easier than getting both into the coalition. But I am bad at scum and so I tend to examine others' actions in a "I would do this as low effort scum move" lens.

My issue is that if there are 2 scum in I have no team in mind that accurately fits that.
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Post Post #1288 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:19 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

I'm starting to wonder if a tarot card reading will be better for my reads than thinking about this.
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Post Post #1289 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:23 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

Actually, RCMA wanted Gamma and Alchemist, so I feel like I have the appropriate level of absolution that I need in this wagon. I can rest now. :death:
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Post Post #1290 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:30 pm

Post by Nancy Drew 39 »

In post 981, RC most awesomest wrote:I think that the odds of Gamma/Alch overwhelm the odds of any other scumteam.
In post 990, RC most awesomest wrote:
In post 986, EspressoPatronum wrote:
In post 981, RC most awesomest wrote:I think that the odds of Gamma/Alch overwhelm the odds of any other scumteam.
I am willing to move onto Gamma to test this.
You're the other likely Alch partner though, so...
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Post Post #1291 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:30 pm

Post by NC 39 »

In post 1290, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:
In post 981, RC most awesomest wrote:I think that the odds of Gamma/Alch overwhelm the odds of any other scumteam.
In post 990, RC most awesomest wrote:
In post 986, EspressoPatronum wrote:
In post 981, RC most awesomest wrote:I think that the odds of Gamma/Alch overwhelm the odds of any other scumteam.
I am willing to move onto Gamma to test this.
You're the other likely Alch partner though, so...
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Post Post #1292 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 2:52 pm

Post by gobbledygook »

I think RCMA was wrong about EP. I get a townie vibe from his posts
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Post Post #1293 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 3:38 pm

Post by NC 39 »

So, what if you’re wrong on Hectic, who do you think is the second scum then?
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Post Post #1294 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 4:22 pm

Post by Spangled »

I think we need a lynch here. Going to read the last few pages thoroughly but a mislynch is infinitely preferable to two no-lynches, or one no lynch and a lynch in MyLo (or whatever), because no lynches just let scum dictate who is going to MyLo - we need both the scummy and the hard-to-read people out of the way so that we have a LyLo that benefits us, not scum. Yes kill choice can be interesting, but there's all kinds of WIFOM scum can play with there, whereas a flip and wagon on town's terms can give all kinds of information - and hopefully scumflips too :D
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Post Post #1295 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 4:35 pm

Post by NC 39 »

So where I’m at is I read Gamma not voting as non-survivalistic but by not voting, even if you and me were to vote LUV, that would still lead to a no lynch, so do we wait for that or should I just hammer Gamma?
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Post Post #1296 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 4:42 pm

Post by NC 39 »

In post 1295, NC 39 wrote:So where I’m at is I read Gamma not voting as non-survivalistic but by not voting, even if you and me were to vote LUV, that would still lead to a no lynch, so do we wait for that or should I just hammer Gamma?
For Gamma to vote
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Post Post #1297 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 4:44 pm

Post by Spangled »

I'm cool with a Gamma lynch; their nonchalance and weird tone is ultimately NAI, and if those are gone my (much earlier) point about their sheepiness and weird changing of reads stands. I do want to know from everybody, though, especially Gamma and LUV - what scumteams do you think can there be, at this point, making no foolish assumptions about 1-in-1-out or not?
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Post Post #1298 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 4:50 pm

Post by NC 39 »

In post 1297, Spangled wrote:I'm cool with a Gamma lynch; their nonchalance and weird tone is ultimately NAI, and if those are gone my (much earlier) point about their sheepiness and weird changing of reads stands. I do want to know from everybody, though, especially Gamma and LUV - what scumteams do you think can there be, at this point, making no foolish assumptions about 1-in-1-out or not?
Well this is what is making this so hard. If LUV was hellbent on Espresso scum, why suddenly jump on Gamma once Gg started a wagon on him?
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Post Post #1299 (ISO) » Sun Sep 22, 2019 5:40 pm

Post by Hectic »

and him disappearing right after to not have to answer any questions is pretty scummy
if it's LUV+Gamma, it makes sense though, LUV could tell one of them was getting lynched so an early vote to start the wagon there would be useful for townie points

then again, his nonchalant vote on Gamma does fit the rest of his play this game
like careless posting without thinking, scum would give a little more thought/explanation there. probably
so i'm still leaning Gamma over him right now for the lynch

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