Mini 2110: I hate Mafia (Day 8)

Farkran · Post Post #325 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 3:04 am

I did not count the earlier venmar vote, he was at L-1.

Wake1 · Post Post #326 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 3:30 am

In post 319, Creature wrote:Yep, better to keep Wake alive to be the last lynch of the game

He should also keep his shot for as long as possible

Why?

DrDolittle · Post Post #327 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 6:09 am

you should shoot farkran

Gyro Zeppeli · Post Post #328 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 6:25 am

So is anything gunna happen

Farkran · Post Post #329 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 6:43 am

2 days to deadline.

I'm fairly sure vig shoot does not reset the nolynch counter because the mod said it doesn't end the day

Hectic · Post Post #330 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 7:04 am

Wake doesn't need to shoot straight away. He could shoot after we lynch, and that gives us more time to discuss the shot after seeing the lynchee's flip.

I don't mind lynching Venmar or Farkran. We keep Rau around as conftown.

VOTE: Venmar

Gyro Zeppeli · Post Post #331 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 7:05 am

VOTE: /vote venmar

Gamma Emerald · Post Post #332 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 7:30 am

In post 315, Wake1 wrote:
Since I am confirmed Town I will be the last Town member to be lynched, and I will vote myself.

Then again if we leave all 3 Mimes alive how do I get lynched if they won't allow it?

Town has to all agree to it
That’s why I feel vig should be saved for later

Farkran · Post Post #333 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 8:06 am

In post 331, Gyro Zeppeli wrote:VOTE: /vote venmar

I am a bit wary of this vote. Gyro, why weren't you willing to vote rauth but now you jumped on venmar with a blank vote? Is it just because you weren't around when the rauth wagon was developing, or is there any other reason?

Gyro Zeppeli · Post Post #334 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 9:04 am

I justsaw venmar get a vote

Enter · Post Post #335 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 9:36 am

VOTE: Rau

I support this plan. Also I'm a mime, so don't shoot or lynch me unless it's a last resort sort of deal.

Enter · Post Post #336 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 9:36 am

People leaving Rau wagon make me nervous.

Creature · Post Post #337 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 9:37 am

Sorry

Creature · Post Post #338 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 9:37 am

In post 326, Wake1 wrote:
In post 319, Creature wrote:Yep, better to keep Wake alive to be the last lynch of the game

He should also keep his shot for as long as possible
Why?

If it's 5v3 it will also be hella hard to push a lynch on town

Rautherdir · Post Post #339 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 9:43 am

In post 338, Creature wrote:
In post 326, Wake1 wrote:
In post 319, Creature wrote:Yep, better to keep Wake alive to be the last lynch of the game

He should also keep his shot for as long as possible
Why?
If it's 5v3 it will also be hella hard to push a lynch on town

Well a possible solution to that is to take someone everyone agrees is town and save them for the second to last lynch. Which might end up being me, except we're getting close to deadline now.

VOTE: Farkran
If we're needing an alternative to me for today's lynch, this could be it.

Creature · Post Post #340 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 9:44 am

VOTE: Farkran

DrDolittle · Post Post #341 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 10:26 am

mmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

DrDolittle · Post Post #342 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 10:27 am

enter who are the other mimes

Hectic · Post Post #343 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 11:19 am

In post 335, Enter wrote:VOTE: Rau

I support this plan. Also I'm a mime, so don't shoot or lynch me unless it's a last resort sort of deal.

In post 336, Enter wrote:People leaving Rau wagon make me nervous.

Why not leave Rau around, so that he can help us gamesolve, and we can treat him as conftown?

Really don't think we should be lynching Rau here. He's basically confirmed from his early solving and not hammering himself.

Hectic · Post Post #344 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 11:20 am

VOTE: Farkran

Farkran · Post Post #345 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 12:06 pm

Taking notes in case i die today as it's late in my timezone and i might not survive the night

Aside from rauth who is my highest tr, i think you can safely lynch enter and DDL in my group; creature and probably gamma (needs to be prodded a bit though) in the other. I'm a bit wary of the gyro/venmar duo, i would leave those for later. Hectic has been a bit quick on sheeping, but i think he's also safe from his introduction.

All in all the volunteer group looks cleaner than the other, the only name i'd be a bit afraid of is venmar because of weird interactions with me/enter and now gyro. It's still a weak read though. 0-1 mime in this group is likely.

Outside those names, i would probably avoid Pine (i've seen him lurking the early days as scum in my past games) and pyrrha (content/posts ratio is not satisfying, she seems committed to look active but does not look like solving, i.e. if you read her iso she's mostly answering cosmetic questions). Map wolf is my nullest read, i'd leave him for later and let him post more - prod him to produce more reads and content before the kill.

As a rule of thumb, i suggest not quicklynching anyone who has not produced enough content.

Hectic · Post Post #346 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 12:26 pm

@Rau Could you explain why lynching using your group system is any better than lynching randomly?
Your group system gives us clear odds and percentages of when we should expect to win, but I don't see how it actually increases our chances of winning, statistically speaking, over random lynching?

Creature · Post Post #347 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 12:26 pm

This is feeling strangely easy

Hectic · Post Post #348 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 12:27 pm

What is?

Rautherdir · Post Post #349 (ISO) » Mon Dec 09, 2019 12:32 pm

In post 346, Hectic wrote:@Rau Could you explain why lynching using your group system is any better than lynching randomly?
Your group system gives us clear odds and percentages of when we should expect to win, but I don't see how it actually increases our chances of winning, statistically speaking, over random lynching?

Because mimes got to choose if they wanted to volunteer or not.