Newbie 2003: Earth [game over!]
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Maduisha She/HerGoonShe/Her
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 914
- Joined: February 18, 2020
- Pronoun: She/Her
- Location: Spain
Also, I'm interested in a deeper analysis of Votato + Ydrasse when you have the time for it, Apogee. I find it kind of weird that she posted right after your reveal of scumreads but didn't react to the fact that she's in your solve, but we'll see. Maybe she didn't have time to write a post about it or maybe she's waiting until you flesh it out because it can be hard to address concerns without the full accusation on the table.-
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Ydrasse She*twirls hair*She
- *twirls hair*
- *twirls hair*
- Posts: 14185
- Joined: May 1, 2020
- Pronoun: She
i don't see a world where you flip town. your logic about your hammer and trying to explain it through your explanation b situation didn't make sense because your intentions don't match up with the reality of your posts at all. in reality what you've done today is little more than ate to people when the pressure gets on you and try to deflect their reads as bad.In post 2390, joqiza wrote:
It really feels like at no point does Ydrasse want to consider the possibility that I might flip town. I mean this is probably the most uncharitable way you could view events as is possible. What bothers me is that she wasn't the sort of player previously who would confirmation bias like this, Day 1 I found her really towny because it felt like for each player she was considering "both sides of the coin" in a sense. But she hasn't treated me like a possible villager/mafia today, she just wants me lynched and she hasn't really done any serious inquiry as to my alignment. I was having problems articulating this before but it really feels like a break in behavior and it's why I called it out.In post 2366, Ydrasse wrote:and hint, joqiza claimed because they think claiming vt will somehow make them seem more innocent — they're trying to appear as if they're a noble townie trying to prevent the pr from getting outted. when in reality they know it's the only way to get the scrutiny off of them at all, and the other option, which is ACTUALLY fishing for pr, would be the final nail in their coffin. it's ate.
i've tried to understand where you're coming from and i just can't. your behavior is at odds with what you've been saying no matter how many times you try to explain it.
what is the suspicion, and why do you have to trust your gut and not think logically about this? whatever was important you should post about it instead of making vague associations.In post 2395, DkKoba wrote:
its my way of realigning where I should be looking and what i should be pushing on, and reaffirming certain suspicions.In post 2394, joqiza wrote::
as for your reads list I can't say I agree with all of it but ydrasse is a slot i 100% want to push harder. I have a really sneaking suspicion and I just cant shake it but I have to do the uncomfortable thing and trust my gut. I had the gut read on ydrasse on d1 and I waved it off but there's somethign really fking important that you had in another post concerning midway that prompted me to pay attention to a certain type of play more.
i can't really reply to apogee's suspicion because it's half-way there and hedges more on a team read, and he's waiting more to hear the case on me from other people than willing to make it himself. there's not much of anything to reply to other than saying, "hey why?" and then have it be fleshed out.In post 2400, Maduisha wrote:Also, I'm interested in a deeper analysis of Votato + Ydrasse when you have the time for it, Apogee. I find it kind of weird that she posted right after your reveal of scumreads but didn't react to the fact that she's in your solve, but we'll see. Maybe she didn't have time to write a post about it or maybe she's waiting until you flesh it out because it can be hard to address concerns without the full accusation on the table.-
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DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20910
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
i swear no one wants to talk unless im here
Anyways i want to go carry mode today.retired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
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DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20910
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
y'all......better have some content before i get homeretired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
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Apogee Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 450
- Joined: May 1, 2020
In post 238, votato wrote:sorta. i explained that already. I think DK is fairly easy to read when under pressure. So I turned up the heat. I wasnt planning on making up scumreads all game, but the thread is completely dead, and apathy is really bad for towns, so I want to keep people active, emotional, and engaged.In post 261, votato wrote:another good way to generate content is to get some wagons going. there are four of us who arent even voting! thats no good. not voting means you arent expressing an opinion, and not engaging with the game is scummy.
VOTE: joqiza
joqiza has been actively posting, but hasnt voted or said anything meaningful iirc.
pedit: ok, then why are you lurking now? i guess you said you forgot about this game, but tsk tsk.
midway, do you really interpret me backing off of DkK as "i give up" that seems like a pretty bad misrepresentation of what i said.In post 432, votato wrote:i revived this game from the dead by starting some pressure on some people. Yeah, it was bullshit pressure, but look at all the stuff thats happening. I am also providing reads, asking probing questions, and doing some pretty effective shitposting.In post 435, votato wrote:
look at posts per hour before i did that, look at posts per hour now. look at the number of people who were coming under pressure then and now. i generally wait a bit to form firm reads, and the game was awkwardly not in RVS and awkwardly wagon-less. So i made up some stuff to get things going. look. it worked. except that people still arent voting. please vote. this isnt real life, your vote here matters. im pushing at someone i legit think is scummy now. i voted that person, and am waiting for replies and other people's reactions. im pretty sure DkK is pretty easy to read under pressure based on 1997. you were there.In post 434, midwaybear wrote:i don't think this game was really dead, and you even admit that your pressure was stupid. Iirc the push you did outside of pushing DK was saying apogee+maidusha were scummy which I don't really get. Why don't you push people you think are scum instead of doing your so called bs pressure? Also, you said that DK was fairly easy to read under pressure, how do you even know that??In post 728, votato wrote:for the record, i accused maduisha and apogee in post 229. the game started 3 and a half days before that, and there were 9 full pages of content. in ~52 hours since then there are 20 full pages of content. sounds like things got more lively. im not sure why thats such a big deal, but there you have it.
You will have it working on some ISO reads right nowIn post 870, votato wrote:midway, this is a game of cooperation. for the uninformed majority to win, we have to work together. by hiding our thoughts, we allow the scum to hide their thoughts too. that said, blatantly anti-town behavior comes from town more often than scum. I'll unvote you provided that you share your reads and they make some measure of sense.-
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Apogee Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 450
- Joined: May 1, 2020
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votato Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4028
- Joined: April 17, 2020
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votato Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4028
- Joined: April 17, 2020
also @maduisha, a lot of my posts are short. you but its about the trend as much as the volume. and volume suggests willingness to engage. just because i dont write boring wallposts every time doesnt mean im not solving when i post"It is not our ignorance that will kill us, but our arrogance"
"I expect that 90% of what you say to me is one form of trickery or another" - a friend irl-
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Apogee Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 450
- Joined: May 1, 2020
Long post incoming on votato and his scummy behavior. Followup to come on pairings. I'm not doing a full ISO but I'll cite some posts under each of my main points.
Alright. Most people are at least open to the idea that votato is scum. Personally, I'm not 100% sure (I'll get my hedge out of the way right at the beginning and you won't have to listen to any more for the rest), and I'm not going to tunnel him, but I think votato has displayed major scummy behavior and is a worthy lynch.
Let's break down the case into three big categories: sheeping and false wagons, seeking towncred, and falsehoods (lies of omission, partial defenses, and contradictions).
1. Votato has repeatedly joined wagons with the intent of "pushing" a slot, often after someone else has started one. Generally, the reasoning for these wagons is either vague and not based in citations or he primarily follows along on someone else's (the wagon on myself and joqiza as the prime examples).
Here is a spoiler with all of his votes, to help facilitate rereads. Some posts speak for themselves, others take going back and reading contextSpoiler: Votato vote posts
He attacks people in many posts for self-doubt and hedgy behavior. While it's true he hasn't hedged verbally as much, he hedges in action all the time. He's happy to drop wagons he expresses conviction on with marginal explanation. Again, for someone who has gone after people for lacking sources and analysis, he provides very little genuine work of his own. Like, read his ISO. Compare how many posts he cites or provides good original analysis in to how often he attacks people for not citing or analyzing. Look at the number of wagon's he joins or "randoms/bs" into compared to how often he provides original or even substantive support to those wagons. His persistent insistence that people give read lists ties into this as well. On its own that would be NAI, but in this context it is circumstantial evidence. He wants information on who he can go after safetly. Look at his two read lists he offered:
In post 878, votato wrote:town: DK, joqiza, ydrasse, votato
mild scum lean: enomis, quick
scum lean: midway, apogee
scum: maduisha
that should all be pretty apparent from my ISO. your slot comes with a slight scumlean from clemency, and youve done nothing to change that.
your turn. whats your readlist?
Both are "safe." Both include people who have moved around a lot for reasons "explained in ISOs" which may or may not actually be explained. He shifts votes a ton.In post 2318, votato wrote:sure.
town: ydrasse, apogee, votato
null town: DkK
null scum: enomis
scum: Maduisha, joqiza
my reasoning for all these reads has been pretty clearly stated in my ISO, but id be happy to clarify.
2. Votato also has a big problem with seeking towncred. I'm going to spoiler pretty much all the posts where he claims either because of posting habits, WIFOM nightkills, or some other reason he should be considered town. I really don't think a town would feel the need to do this to the extent he did even when not being actively wagon-ed.
Spoiler: Votato seeking towncred
Also note how its possible he sets up this "refugee in midwaybear dying" plan early on -- see 1360 and one other similar post way back I saw in his ISO and then lost where he says midway is too scummy to die. This is easy-to-see WIFOM, like really easy WIFOM, so votato trying to take refuge in it is concerning and a sign of scuminess. It could be a premeditated strat.
3. Votato often partially or fails to respond to cases on him, and like I've mentioned before doesn't really offer much original analysis or citation back while at the same time loudly extolling the virtues of citations. He has stumbled into fallacies and contradictions in a number of places. This point also comes in as you read his material and it just kind of feels evasive at some points. It seems a lot of the time his criticism of others deflects from his behavior.
Also, I'm not certain about scum-slips, and I am hesitant to speculate about power roles, but look at these three posts -- PS if you are a town power role that provides support/opposition to this case one way or another please please do not bring it up even obliquely we don't want to give away more information:
Spoiler: Scumslip maybe
As a final note, this could be bad analysis, and if I'm making a big deal out of a bunch of NAI behavoir, I'd appriciate if people would let me know. But I am pretty convinced there is enough here that votato has to be one of the main focuses of pushes today. I'd like to hear from votato ofc but also other people about what they think.
Pairings up next-
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DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20910
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
I stopped by my families but apogee has progressed my thoughts on my final scumpool for lynch for today.retired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
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Apogee Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 450
- Joined: May 1, 2020
OK possible pairings for votato:
DkKoba: Don't see it. Earlier on conflict felt real, also don't think he is scum anyways.
Enomis: Outside possibility but unlikely. Could be some distancing earlier but nothing about interactions suggest a pairing.
Madiusha. Most unlikely to be pair in my opinion. EOD and start of the day today the conflict felt too real. Also, she was the only one on his wagon. I've suggested before how risky it would be to do that.
Onto the more interesting:
Joqiza. I could be convinced. I honestly don't find his actions today super scummy, but the tone shift is mildly concerning. Put off by the fact that almost certainly one person on his wagon is scum as well. Interesting interaction with votato in 1805 that could be setting up distancing earlier however if the "safe delay" crowd on the lynch is right.
Ydrasse: Ok I think there is real merit to this scumpair, but what I am concerned by is the lack of a case imo for overall scumminess, which is why I have been asking DkKoba and Joqiza about thier votes there. Here are all the posts where Votato mentions or quotes Ydrasse in a substantive manner:
Spoiler: Ydrasse/Votato
Obviously the vast majority of this is NAI. However, a few things stand out.
1) Ydrasse is a townlock to votato. The fact votato props her up quite a bit, often subtly
2) His suggestion Ydrasse and I should form/are a townblock
3) Hints of mild distancing early on turning to more outright support later
4) More interaction between the slots in the latter half of the game
I'm not 100% certain, and Ydrasse would 100% be the second lynch I'd advocate for, and ofc I want to hear a defense and more arguments about Ydrasse's inherent scuminess. I'll probably look at that next.-
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Apogee Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 450
- Joined: May 1, 2020
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DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20910
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
I am HOME.
*cracks knuckles*retired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
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DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20910
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
also I feel better now mentally, so no more v/la for me.
it's time to do another iso adventure.
i was gonna do votato but that is 2 many posts for tonight + I think the case against him has been exhausted.
my scumpool as of now based on recent posts is Ydrasse-Votato-------Joqiza
before I begin I'm going to repark my vote here: VOTE: votato
I think I feel my confidence in this game coming back. Now I will be back in 45 minutes - 2 hours with longpostretired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
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DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20910
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
requoting this post bc it is important.In post 790, joqiza wrote:Sorry, was busy earlier, but wanted to write this post before I go to sleep.
I wanna preface that I think that the “pushes for content” are at the point where they are not conducive to town win condition. This is simply because we are at the point where we are forcing multiple players to L-1 and starting to narrow down PRs via claims/softclaims. We’ve already forced a softclaim out of Maduisha which means if she is not scum than mafia have a narrowed list of players to hit for PR. Following that, I’ve gone through and re-evaluated the players that I think are up for the lynch today. You can skip to the end but the tl;dr is that I want enomis lynched and I’m going to push for it from this point on. He is the one player that I am most confident will flip scum, based both on evaluation of his slot as well as PoE. I expand on this below, starting with the current midwaybear wagon:
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Midwaybear
@Dk I need to talk to you at some point, maybe tomorrow, but I’m not sure I really follow the reason for this lynch, and I don’t really understand the incentive behind running this guy up again if it’s for content because we already had a wagon on him earlier in the day.
I think I mentioned I was having problems reading this guy in the beginning of this game: posts like 188 and 209 I simply have trouble reading for alignment. I’m naturally paranoid of these sorts of “too innocent to be scum” posts due to certain players I’ve played with on my home site. Honestly the majority of midwaybear’s early game is of little to no value and I am just disregarding it.
In order to try to determine midwaybear’s alignment I’ve gone through not only this game but his latest 1997 game, in which he was mafia, linked here: viewtopic.php?f=11&t=82731. Side note day 1 of that game was fucking hilarious. What’s really worth noting is that some of midwaybear’s posts in 1997 were truly terrible (he outed read lists a couple times that were genuinely scummy, usually justified with a single vague sentence). The other thing is that as scum he would ask so many damn QUESTIONS. Literally take a look at his ISO and see how many question marks there are:
(below posts are all screenshots from midwaybear 1997 scum game. Look at the lack of conviction in every single post he makes)
Nowhere in the ISO of midwaybear’s 1997 game will you find a post such as 566 or 696, in which midwaybear expresses strong conviction in reads supported with actual, post-cited evidence. Admittedly, in both 566 or 595, I find the bear’s chain of logic somewhat twisted, but I think this may be one of those journey over destination sort of things. Maybe I am looking at it with confirmation bias because 1997 bear is confirmed to me whereas 2003 bear is still an unknown quantity, but every post 1997 bear made leaps off the page as scum, he is basically hardclaiming it to me in every post, his absolute refusal to take any kind of definitive stance in that game is extremely scum-indicative.
I am going to make a rough evaluation of bear as a player and say that he is not radically capable of switching his scum-game up this much between two consecutive games, I think based on Occam’s razor just suggests he is town here. I will hear you out Dk but for now that is my read on midwaybear.
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Maduisha
There are two players that I’ve scumread throughout the course of the day, but at this present time I don’t feel that either of them would make a good lynch today, these players are Maduisha and Apogee.
On Maduisha, it is difficult to evaluate the slot for me personally, I found the most recent content somewhat upsetting in that I felt I upset her if she does flip town. I do think that her inability to give scumreads is troubling: this is my preferred “thing” to look for when I’m determining alignment, so my best tool in evaluating her is basically taken away from me. Secondly, even if she’s town—and I truly mean no offense by this, it is showing a weakness in identifying mafia which would be obviously problematic going forward.
My hesitation in lynching her today is simply her response to being put at L-1.
One: She essentially put the gun to her forehead and shouted “DO IT” which is generally town-indicative although very frustrating and anti-town in general.
Two: She has essentially hardclaimed vanilla townie in post 492, and furthermore softed it in posts 366, 368, 459—probably others. This consistency in a VT softclaim is simply not what I’d expect from a scum player being racked up to L-1, with intense scrutiny on them, if I were scum there I would probably claim PR there in order to fish, or at least permit myself the flexibility to do so if I thought I might be hammered. Claiming VT is obviously not totally alignment-indicative, but it indicates that if Maduisha is scum she essentially gambited here, as I do think she was in danger of being lynched at that point in time.
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Apogee
When I outed my initial scumread on post 375 on Apogee, I did not scumread him as strongly as I perhaps tried to indicate during this push—I did find his behavior scummy but I “leaned into it” in a sense in order to try to get a better gauge on him. I do still feel like much of his early game behavior is questionable, but Apogee responded with about as fair an explanation as one could offer: I rate his scum game fairly high if he does indeed flip scum. He stayed very cool under pressure, offered a town-POV explanation for every action he made, made no attempt to “bully” me off my read and even conceded certain points, and lastly I just really like his opening to post 388.
I am not sure why Apogee immediately reciprocated midwaybear’s TR only to then walk it back—I think that was another questionable thing that has happened, but I really don’t think it reads at all like a midwaybear/Apogee scumteam, I think that’s kind of wild frankly and if anything it is a pocket of one player to another. I really don’t know where the scumteam read comes from as I very rarely have seen scum defend each other so blatantly at this stage of the game.
Lastly, Apogee outs a fairly strong readlist on post 730, which is enough to convince me to argue against a lynch of him today. Yes, out of personal preference I would rather have him be taking harder stances on players rather than null/light scumleans, but I also respect the need to be honest to one’s level of read if town, and in general I think his willingness to engage with us and actually make these sorts of posts means we should keep him around. I think after 730, despite certain behavior patterns I find suspicious, I do ultimately townread him or at least townlean him.
Enomis
First thing I’m gonna do is re-hash my initial read on enomis, which remains relatively unchanged.
With enomis I have not gotten the sense that any of his reads are genuine, whether it be scumread OR townread.In post 373, joqiza wrote:Enomis
Cites some basic mechanics in their intro post, I consider that NAI given it’s a newbie game. Questions both Apogee and Clemency immediately based on misconstruing their words, interpreting their statements in the most literal way possible, possibly a slight language barrier. Super questionable how they double down both on the scumslip and on pretty much everything DkKoba says, also their TR on Apogee makes absolutely no sense, I rr post #65, dude TRs Apogee because they are “genuinely scumhunting” because they are using the term “wolf” and newb town wouldn’t do that? Dafuq?? On Post #301 has an absolutely garbage teamread on me/Koba which I think he knows he can’t even commit to, let me ask you something, have you EVER seen one scum partner say “my partner is hard town I will never vote them until I die” on DAY 1 of a game where you have TWO mislynches? Answer is no, that is never a scumteam and any experienced player should know that. Remains obsessed with pushing clemency as of #303 for more nai statements after I already clarified why their logic on Clemency’s slip doesn’t make sense, really seems to be working backwards from a “Clemency is scum” which they’ve already decided on, so at best is confirmation bias, at worst is scum-motivated. Analysis: scum read
Let me quote part of post 65 which is probably one of the most damning IMO:
I would like to go ahead and add Post 166 to the case file: seems to express intent to have DkKoba lynched despite referring to them in a town which implies they think they are town.In post 65, enomis wrote:Publishing my reads so far:
Apogee- Town Lean. Feels like genuinely scumhunting and using terms like "wolf" which sometimes newb town uses because they are not used to calling scums "mafia".
Clemency- Scum Lean. For the scumslip and a few other stuff which i don't like.
Also:
Feels like a convoluted way to explain the slip. I don't know, probably NAI.In post 24, Clemency wrote:statistically speaking everyone is town until proven otherwise
Then:
But went ahead to post a few posts without pushing anyone.In post 30, Clemency wrote:UNVOTE:
i think other slots are higher priority to push rn
i'd pick one if i wasnt walking home atm
My vote stays on Clemency until I find someone else scummier.
@Clemency: I would like to see your push on someone else.
Enomis has avoided engaging me since I entered the game and has basically slipped away from any of my attempts to point out the flaws in his logic. None of his reads make any sense to me, and in the past couple days his content has dried up completely.
The last reason I scumread him is entirely speculative/admittedly a reach, but I think it may possible that enomis is slipping maf knowledge at several points in the game. Post 202 potentially reads as a slip of midwaybear being town, and there is another post I can’t find rn but might look for later where I thought enomis might be slipping Maduisha as town as well.
I have been asking for them to re-evaluate the Clemency slot, and, in general, play the game in a more holistic manner for a long time now, and they are (along with Clemency himself) one of the players who has most steadfastly refused to do so. As a result, I believe that even if I’m wrong and they are town, they are still an adequate lynch today in terms of playing to the larger town win condition, I do not want them going forward to tomorrow or possibly LYLO. I do not trust their logic nor their reads, and I find a lot of their posts insincere. This is the only player at the table that at the moment I can say I genuinely and truly scumread.
TL;DR/Summary
The three lynches I have really considered today are Maduisha/Apogee/enomis, and of those three my strong preference is enomis. This is not a reaction test nor a “push for content,” as of rn my intent is to have enomis in the graveyard unless he comes back and truly drops thunder and makes me re-evaluate. I have learned to keep an open mind about these things but rn the urge to death tunnel within me.
To give some space for discussion/re-evaluation, @enomis, what I would want is a read list, and who you would want lynched if it were not you, and why.
If there is a 4th player I would throw into my above lynchlist, it would be votato, simply because he seems more capable as a player and there are certain red flags which I’ve noticed. That said, if he is scum he is playing fairly well IMO and he was the first person outside of Koba to actually take initiative and try to evaluate my slot, even if the attempt was surface-level, in my personal experience this has been strongly strongly town-indicative.
The rest of the players at the table I don’t really want lynched today for reasons I’m already talked about. To be honest, as of rn I am evaluating every single one of my TRs, but I think this is an inter-day thing, I want enomis lynched and if I am alive on Day 2 then I come back and re-think everything based on the information from his flip.
It’s about 2am my time and I have work tomorrow so I’m probably not going to respond to any questions for awhile, but I should be around a bit for my lunch break and tomorrow evening.
VOTE: Enomisretired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
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Apogee Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 450
- Joined: May 1, 2020
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DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20910
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
im slow and easily distracted by youtube sorry. im like 33% done lolretired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
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votato Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4028
- Joined: April 17, 2020
ok let me take the apogee case
1)joining wagons with the intent of pressuring.
guilty. early game, thats how you get the game moving. thats the site meta. i did it, was pretty up front about it, and stopped doing it after we were solidly out of RVS. note that after about post 500, my votes become very stable for the majority of the day, until the very end of the day when we were deciding a lynch, so my vote moved around between viable wagons. Compromising is important - you might not get the lynch you prefer, but its important to have a lynch. I was pretty happy with the lynch we got, although i would have preferred Maduisha. again, you have to look at the context. and you ignored all the posts where i justified my views. thats pretty dishonest. Theres a difference between joining a wagon for the sake of creating wagons and game progression in the early game and not having a justified reason for being on a wagon late-game.
2)looking for towncred
meh, half true. a lot of what you cited as examples of this arent seeking towncred, just explaining my actions since its a newbie lobby and even some of the experienced players arent familiar with site meta. But its flat out not true that i wasnt under pressure. I was consistently one of the most popular wagons yesterday. Almost from the second i replaced in there was pressure on me. Two players deathtunneled me all day yesterday, plus quick who was pretty close to doing the same. I was at L-1 for a significant period. Convincing people not to kill me was pretty important.
3)not responding to cases and scumslips
you say i didn't respond to cases, but you didnt cite a single example of something i didnt address. not one. how the fuck am i supposed to defend myself if you say you state a case but dont actually? and if you ask pretty much any of the most experienced players on the site theyll tell you that scumslips arent a real thing 99% of the time. maybe an idiot does something really dumb once in a while, but certainly not three times per game. we are talking like one out of 10-15 games maybe youll see something, and even then people wont pick up on it because its only possible to see it if youre scum. And if you dont think i provided original analysis you didnt read my ISO. in fact you cited a few examples above of my original analysis.
the things you're looking for as scum tells arent necessarily AI. points 2 and 3 certainly arent. point 1 isnt in this context. look at my reads. look at how they evolved. does it feel natural to you? it should.
as for my scum pairings, pretty much everyone saw ydrasse as town yesterday. but today youlll note ive been starting to question whether thats a good idea. ydrasse kinda just floated by actively lurking.
did i respond to your case? my guess is that people will say i didnt, but then not actually point to things that i didnt answer. because thats how its been all game. you dont get to ignore half my posts and then make up your own bullshit story based on the other half to paint whatever narrative is convenient. this case is bullshit."It is not our ignorance that will kill us, but our arrogance"
"I expect that 90% of what you say to me is one form of trickery or another" - a friend irl-
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joqiza Goon
- Goon
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- Posts: 939
- Joined: May 3, 2020
This post didn't feel right to me so I broke it down.In post 2401, Ydrasse wrote: i don't see a world where you flip town. your logic about your hammer and trying to explain it through your explanation b situation didn't make sense because your intentions don't match up with the reality of your posts at all. in reality what you've done today is little more than ate to people when the pressure gets on you and try to deflect their reads as bad.
i've tried to understand where you're coming from and i just can't. your behavior is at odds with what you've been saying no matter how many times you try to explain it.
1. i don't see a world where you flip town
I feel like we’ve interacted maybe three times so far on Day 2. I accept reasonable suspicion, but it doesn’t feel like you’ve put in a sincere effort to determine my alignment, and it’s that which concerns me. Your level of read here isn’t commensurate with the level of content/scumhunting that should be required to attain it. You are either wildly overconfident or just trying to get me lynched… neither is a particularly good look.
2. your explanation b situation didn't make sense because your intentions don't match up with the reality of your posts at all.
Okay, let’s rewind and look at my “explanation B.” I am trying to get in your brain here.
Now let’s see how you refuted this explanation.In post 2289, joqiza wrote:B: I wanted to temporarily make it seem like I was genuinely considering between Quick/votato because I wanted to know if I should hammer quick or lead a counterwagon on an alternative, (and once I'd settled on Quick I explained this very thing.)
It’s still a bit unclear to me exactly what you’re arguing in this post, but if I’m interpreting correctly, you’re saying that my explanation B doesn’t make sense because you don’t believe I was ever going to hammer votato. And you’d probably be correct. I tried to reread with an open mind, but I don’t think I ever saw myself ever hammering votato. The reread of both player’s ISOs just cemented that.In post 2290, Ydrasse wrote:the reality is is that... you are explaining yourself, and have explained yourself multiple times now. but you say b to me, and tell me you wanted everyone to think that you were considering between the two, but your actions don't... line up with it?
as early as 1517 you said you'd be okay with voting quick. and you confirm in 1748 that you... weren't going to hammer votato, i.e. the implication everyone else receives is that you'll hammer quick. like, nowhere is it really conveyed at any point that you were ever going to really consider votato.
it is your reality; only you know your intentions, and i am trying to follow along here but i genuinely don't see how your posts convey explanation b at all, i'm sorry. the logic just... breaks for me.
But thathas nothing to do with my explanation B.
My explanation B is not about whether I was going to hammer between votato or Quick, it was that I wantedQuick and the other players at the hammer in realtime with me to think I might hammer votato.
And let’s see how those players reacted?
Spoiler: Midwaybear
Spoiler: Quick
Spoiler: DkKoba
Are you really trying to argue that the three players present did not take the posts I brought up on votato seriously? The intention of my posts wasn't so much fake consideration, it was more an assessment of reactions from Quick (and other players present at the moment). My original intent was to assess if Quick would use the posts opportunistically to push a votato lynch and if he flipped scum, the reactions would prove useful. In another universe, Quick is mafia and midwaybear is his partner, but unfortunately it didn’t turn out that way. Regardless, even though the utility of the reaction test is limited simply by the fact that two of those players are already dead and their alignments confirmed, I still maintain it was a useful move and gave us information and reactions in real-time.
Now, for the real question Ydrasse, which is:why are you pretending to read my posts?
If you are genuinely trying to follow along, why are you refuting my intention of assessing Quick’s reaction without citing any posts of Quick’s reaction? Why did you simply cite two posts which relate to my intention of hammering votato instead of my intent to make Quick believe that I might hammer votato? I understand that the logic requires a little bit of thought, but I think if you actually go back and reread the pages… it’s not really that hard. And I’ve asked you multiple times by now. I hope you understand why I’m starting to feel like you’re not arguing in good faith.In post 2290, Ydrasse wrote: it is your reality; only you know your intentions, and i am trying to follow along here but i genuinely don't see how your posts convey explanation b at all, i'm sorry. the logic just... breaks for me.
Lastly, from the final part of your quote on me:
3. in reality what you've done today is little more than ate to people when the pressure gets on you and try to deflect their reads as bad.
I accept that I responded emotionally at the beginning of Day 2, and I don’t think there’s any reason for anyone to TR that. I don’t think that kind of response is necessarily AI, though, I think AtE is generally a red flag when it’s accompanied by a lack of other content. But I took a breath, stepped back, and for most of today I’ve been trying to assess the alignments of the people on my wagon. Can you really say with a straight face that 2286 and 2289 are AtE and deflecting reads? I am trying to engage with the three people who voted me directly.
I will be honest, my self-centered/slightly ego style of gameplay gives me the urge to simply OMGUS you into the graveyard without regard for your flip. But I’m faced with the certainty that at least one of you/Maduisha/votato is town and I’m trying to play to my win condition despite the fact that this game feels somewhat like purgatory. So, read through my posts again and tell me if you still reject “explanation B,” and if so, explain.-
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joqiza Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 939
- Joined: May 3, 2020
and btw, I'm tired of responses like this:
In post 2288, Ydrasse wrote: however, i don't see the point in trying to argue this when it's ultimately a perspective thing on how you want to view the motivations of the players; we all currently have our narratives going on for why people are doing x or y, and going around in a circle gets us nowhere.In post 2290, Ydrasse wrote:it is your reality; only you know your intentions, and i am trying to follow along here but i genuinely don't see how your posts convey explanation b at all, i'm sorry. the logic just... breaks for me.
You don't get to handwave away a scumread with intent to lynch.In post 2401, Ydrasse wrote: i've tried to understand where you're coming from and i just can't. your behavior is at odds with what you've been saying no matter how many times you try to explain it.-
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Ydrasse She*twirls hair*She
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- Posts: 14185
- Joined: May 1, 2020
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you know, i was going to try and level that yet again, despite the intentions that joqiza tries to explain in his 'b' scenario fall apart because the simple reality of his actions being at direct odds with his ~intentions. however, i don't think it's going to get much farther, because it seems that me pointing out that saying "i am not gonna hammer votato" etc etc directly cancels out this supposed mindset doesn't garner much scrutiny.
people are reading the vt claim as "oh no, he wouldn't do that". they're refusing to look at the ate and defeatist attitude and "oh i'll just omgus you to the grace idc what you are " as scum who's been caught out and knows, and i'm not gonna play that charade when i know the mafia is very well why i am being confident day two, given the fact joqiza is very obviously talking about my break in attitude. the fact that there have been so many softs/outright claims to roles too means that i feel it is easier to simply do it like this, since the mafia most likely knows:
i hard claim town cop. joqiza is mafia. i am currently choosing to view votato's "mafia goon" post as an informed scumslip as of this moment.
yell at me if you want for outing this but i feel this is the safest move for now. a lot of people have their eyes on me, so i most likely was going to be pushed to this point anyways — in reality, i am quite happy i got by yesterday as i did given all the people that seemed intent on talking about roles. i want to avoid the risk of being quickhammered.-
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joqiza
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joqiza
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Ydrasse She*twirls hair*
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Ydrasse She*twirls hair*She
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- Posts: 14185
- Joined: May 1, 2020
- Pronoun: She
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