Open 794 Pick Your Power X/Y (finished)

[Iconeum]

that's fine

gypyx is here now, tho

[Grumpy Cat]

Speedrunner

[Datisi]

gypyx is here now, tho

also now that the mini trainwreck 2157 is over i can talk about it
ico and i were t/t and i was hard townreading him day one and he was being pushed for shit reasons and i felt a very strong urge to protecc him and it worked out in the end
and i saw votes rolling in here and i *didn't* feel that strong urge and that made me worry
anyway

[Grumpy Cat]

Slow response time

speedrunner

[Datisi]

fuck you got me

[Something_Smart]

thanks for answering it for me

ewww

[Gypyx]

Mind explaining this post?

I was bemused by the events preceding it.

Could you explain more? Like, is it a reaction to "hammer" happening or what

[Something_Smart]

Yes. It was a blatant fake hammer because it's unbelievable that you could have gotten that many votes in the five preceding pages and not notice, so I was surprised to see you acting as though it was real.

[Gypyx]

Also, i'm kinda late on the number analysis talk, but yes, i see the logic with singletons being more likely scum, i think doubled / tripled / ect... numbers are on the same level on towniness

[Something_Smart]

I mean, according to the statistics, they aren't.

[Datisi]

VOTE: gypyx

[Gypyx]

Statistics aren't perfect though, especially considered the not-so-big sample of games at our disposal

[Something_Smart]

Sure. But the statistics belie an underlying pattern, unlikely to be a coincidence, that would make tripled players less likely scum than doubled ones.

[Gypyx]

Here's what i think :

We have established that scum rarely goes for the same numbers as thier teamates therefore, each "group" of player contain only one scum, which now that i think about it points towards what you said

But at the same time, scum doesn't know town numbers, therefore, the odds of having a scum in a trio for instance, is higher than in a duo right?

So pretty sure it balances things out

[Gypyx]

it's clear that the only realistic way it could have happened is if i'm scum.

fwiw i'd also fairly-strongly encourage my team to pair

Scumping from this post

[Something_Smart]

But at the same time, scum doesn't know town numbers, therefore, the odds of having a scum in a trio for instance, is higher than in a duo right?

So pretty sure it balances things out

I can do the math if you want, but I think the bottom line here is just that each townie can collide with 13 other players, and each scum can collide with 11 other players, so scum are less likely to have collisions, and if they do collide, they're less likely to collide with more people.

[Gypyx]

I can do the math if you want, but I think the bottom line here is just that each townie can collide with 13 other players, and each scum can collide with 11 other players, so scum are less likely to have collisions,

and if they do collide, they're less likely to collide with more people.

I mean, that's true, but i don't think the bolded part is correct, pretty the unlikeliness for 2+ players to collide is affected by the presence of scum

[Gypyx]

Pretty sure*

[davesaz]

Official Vote Count 1.5

Iconeum(3) - Green Crayons, Hoopla, Grumpy Cat
Gypyx(3) - Marquis, Iconeum, Datisi
Something_Smart(2) - Gypyx, Umlaut
Dr Dolittle(2) - word321, iamausername
Umlaut(1) - DrDolittle
Datisi(1) - the worst
Green Crayons(1) - Clover Ebi

Not Voting(1) - Something_Smart
With 14 alive, elimination requires 8 votes

Day ends in (expired on 2020-09-13 23:00:00)

Mod notes: Marquis is V/LA until 9/3

[Clover Ebi]

Was my vote on Green missed? Ah well, I don't mind joining this
VOTE: Dr Dolittle

[DrDolittle]

"productive" as in posting something that looks substantive and contributing to the game wincon but isn't scumhunting

'joining'

[DrDolittle]

Whoops ghost quote. Anyways I'll be on tonight after I finish work

[DrDolittle]

I have an issue that I have a too many scum reads this game, which usually doesn't happen to me

[the worst]

I can't wait til tomorrow. I feel like we're all just talking around obvscum Marquis and I demand to be vindicated.

[word321]

hmmm
the worst actively ascended to a tl for me