Mini Normal 2279: VGSR - GAME OVER


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Post Post #1450 (isolation #200) » Sat Sep 03, 2022 8:45 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

UNVOTE: Delta
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1451 (isolation #201) » Sat Sep 03, 2022 8:50 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

VOTE: Greeting

I want to test the claim.
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Post Post #1493 (isolation #202) » Mon Sep 05, 2022 5:52 am

Post by Frogsterking »

VOTE: BBT this seems like a better compromise then.
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Post Post #1577 (isolation #203) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:14 am

Post by Frogsterking »

VOTE: Delta I
think
this is the last one
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
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Post Post #1589 (isolation #204) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:28 am

Post by Frogsterking »

I'm not convinced that BBT bussed themselves into a potential autoloss or makes the Greeting kill. I think what's happening here is that I'm ahead of the curve on my Delta FoS.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1594 (isolation #205) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:38 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1592, Klick wrote:
In post 1589, Frogsterking wrote:I'm not convinced that BBT bussed themselves into a potential autoloss or makes the Greeting kill. I think what's happening here is that I'm ahead of the curve on my Delta FoS.
Because this reads like you want to buffer the wave of suspicion by quickly having another name out there without yet having the reasons to back it up
Fine then:

I think Delta is scum by PoE. I think Delta is most likely to make the Greeting kill. I think Delta tried to pocket me D2 and I think Delta lied about their survey results. I think Delta has a viable (though unlikely) path to end game which doesn't require much work on their part. Delta tried to derail the Hoppip wagon. Delta has some minor negative associatives with Hoppip from D1. Delta was suspected early D1 based on tone and then Townread later for bad reasons which I consider typical "deepscum" trajectory.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1596 (isolation #206) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:40 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1594, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1592, Klick wrote:
In post 1589, Frogsterking wrote:I'm not convinced that BBT bussed themselves into a potential autoloss or makes the Greeting kill. I think what's happening here is that I'm ahead of the curve on my Delta FoS.
Because this reads like you want to buffer the wave of suspicion by quickly having another name out there without yet having the reasons to back it up
Fine then:

I think Delta is scum by PoE. I think Delta is most likely to make the Greeting kill. I think Delta tried to pocket me D2 and I think Delta lied about their survey results. I think Delta has a viable (though unlikely) path to end game which doesn't require much work on their part. Delta tried to derail the Hoppip wagon. Delta has some minor negative associatives with Hoppip from D1. Delta was suspected early D1 based on tone and then Townread later for bad reasons which I consider typical "deepscum" trajectory.
That's just an outline, it's not a very level 1 read. I'd give Delta 33% to flip scum.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
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Post Post #1597 (isolation #207) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:43 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1595, Ausuka wrote:That's a quick 360
:cool:
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1606 (isolation #208) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 2:04 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

*emotionally reacts*

I'm at the movie theaters, I'm about to watch Bodies Bodies Bodies
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1608 (isolation #209) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 4:16 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

Okay I'm like 90% on Delta being the last one now. I think you guys are lazy and don't know how to scum hunt at this stage of the game.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1609 (isolation #210) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 4:22 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1608, Frogsterking wrote:Okay I'm like 90% on Delta being the last one now. I think you guys are lazy and don't know how to scum hunt at this stage of the game.
I don't mind dying a martyr because this Town is H-E-A-V-Y

I expect you guys to fuck this up somehow and allow Delta to solo win. I predict you continue to brain off and execute BBT tomorrow, then scramble at the last minute and fail to realize Delta is the last one.

HALLELUJAH I'M FREE

SEND ME HOME BABIES

SEND ME HOME TO DADDY
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1610 (isolation #211) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 4:28 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 247, Eiralox wrote:
In post 246, DeltaWave wrote:
In post 245, Eiralox wrote:
In post 242, DeltaWave wrote:
In post 239, Frogsterking wrote:
@Delta
@hutmeil
@BBT


What do you make of ?
Clinging to that rvs for dear life lmao
it's page 10. so? juice is still null. im not against any votes there but data-wise iffy. why do I get the feeling that you're hunting for easy elims Delta?
OH yeah that must be why I'm still voting inutile

Try to make up better rationales please

despite 'common consensus' inutile is very elimable today, we all are in theory. i think they are town but hey they are def still a poss. and when you voted inutile, well, at that point it did seem an easy elim?

and you voting one place doesnt mean im not gonna analyze your pushes where you don't vote? what logic even is that? i'm only allowed to comment on where you vote? while your early scum on juice has been reinforced here? better rationale? no. I like my rationale right here, trained on you.

sooooo yeah................... i'll wait for gandhi but you're starting to really sell me on delta/hoppip here.
In post 245, Eiralox wrote:
In post 242, DeltaWave wrote:
In post 239, Frogsterking wrote:
@Delta
@hutmeil
@BBT


What do you make of ?
Clinging to that rvs for dear life lmao
it's page 10. so? juice is still null. im not against any votes there but data-wise iffy. why do I get the feeling that you're hunting for easy elims Delta?
In post 241, Eiralox wrote:
In post 235, DeltaWave wrote:
In post 230, Eiralox wrote:
the fact that you have hoppip above "lurkers always scum in there"(which i disagree with, on rational principle) worries me.
the fact that you don't address Frogster, who is obvious town, worries me.
The fact that you are not happy with the gandhi wagon this early worries me.
The fact that juice isn't at null worries me.

why do you worry me?
It is usually true that at least one mafia will lurk in order to avoid attention. It is very interesting that you perked up now that I've thrown a bit of shade on you by including you in the lurker category.

I forgot about frogater. Id say neutral leaning town but it's not super solid.

I never said I wasn't happy with the ghandi wagon. I just don't really understand it. Don't misrep me.

Let me guess. You are trying to slow walk your way onto my wagon so you can be with bbt.


lol....................................................

i'm used to shade on me. so no, u didnt perk me up, dont convince urself of that. what perked me is your.... untowny tone. Cos..... the way you speak here.... tbh if I weren't voting gandhi i'd be voting u. no slowwalking or whatever toward toffee rekuired, im not a walrus but an orca.


AAAAaaaaaaannndd..........

I love ur diversion of hoppip in this post. regardless of gandhi alignment ur words here make delta/hoppip very likely in my mind.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1612 (isolation #212) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:41 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1611, Ausuka wrote:I mean she isn't wrong about this!
I think you're paying too much attention to the energy behind the words rather than what Delta is actually saying.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1615 (isolation #213) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:48 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1613, Ausuka wrote:She is saying that anyone could kill the claimed cop and I agree with this assessment, anyone could in fact commit a nightkill on the claimed cop?
Is this supposed to be convincing? Delta killed Greeting because Delta can't endgame with Greeting alive after shading them yesterday. It has nothing to do with Greeting's role because Greeting's role is useless. Scum intentionally missed out on killing a real investigative to kill Greeting which implies to me that the final scum feared immediate retaliation from Greeting during the day. Delta is the main slot that has a reason to fear Greeting today.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1616 (isolation #214) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:49 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1614, Ausuka wrote:Am I really stupid for believing that? Yes, whatever, maybe you're going to say something about how it's weird they didn't kill Greeting N1
Yes and no respectively.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
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Post Post #1618 (isolation #215) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:56 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1617, Ausuka wrote:I don't believe that greeting's role.is necessarily useless! I also think you shaded Greeting plenty yesterday so I have no fucking idea what you're talking about frankly
Greeting attributed my actions as bad townplay rather than scummy, which was wise of him. I'll believe your point about me=Delta if you can show me reason to believe Greeting saw Town motivation in Delta's actions.

Greetings role is useless (I'm assuming) after the 2nd goon flips.
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Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1622 (isolation #216) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 8:04 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1621, Ausuka wrote:Greeting's only read on d2 was eiralox scum and I don't think there is a lot there beyond that

If anything eiralox would be the one I'd expect you to call out for making the kill but I don't think it's eiralox.
I don't think Eiralox made the kill because I don't think Eiralox is scum lol
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Post Post #1623 (isolation #217) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 8:27 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1620, Ausuka wrote:With three goons disloyal simple cop is just a cop that's a bit weaker than a cop because it can't clear people.

With two goons it's a role that provides a lot of swing dependent on which mafia you target which to me is just less fun and neat. There is a somewhat similar dynamic with jailkeeper and tracker and such like but I think since mafia have to choose who will perform the kill that's significantly better.

And that doesn't mean it can't be what happened in this game! Maybe the last mafia isn't a goon. I just think it's a strange assumption to make.
I think Normals are designed in part to meet expectations. My expectation is that scum will have one or two PRs so I jumped to that assumption. I feel like I'm making the right call here about what to expect in this game, though I think your design ideas are good.
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Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1624 (isolation #218) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 8:46 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1623, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1620, Ausuka wrote:With three goons disloyal simple cop is just a cop that's a bit weaker than a cop because it can't clear people.

With two goons it's a role that provides a lot of swing dependent on which mafia you target which to me is just less fun and neat. There is a somewhat similar dynamic with jailkeeper and tracker and such like but I think since mafia have to choose who will perform the kill that's significantly better.

And that doesn't mean it can't be what happened in this game! Maybe the last mafia isn't a goon. I just think it's a strange assumption to make.
Yes and I think Normals are designed in part to meet expectations. My expectation is that scum will have one or two PRs so I jumped to that assumption. I feel like I'm making the right call here about what to expect in this game, though I think your design ideas are good.
EBWOP
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Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1626 (isolation #219) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 9:11 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1625, Ausuka wrote:I mean
1) I do not think normals are designed to meet expectations and sometimes mods design setups that violate those expectations just for the sake of doing so

2) even if that were the case I do not think a setup with 3 goons really violates expectations?? I think that's rather normal?
I think you're making good points that aren't shutting down what I'm saying. I'm willing to accept that my argument Delta benefitted the most from the NK is
unorthodox
and I'm not willing to accept that it's
bad
...yet.
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Post Post #1627 (isolation #220) » Fri Sep 09, 2022 10:11 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1606, Frogsterking wrote:*emotionally reacts*

I'm at the movie theaters, I'm about to watch Bodies Bodies Bodies
Was good by the way
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
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Post Post #1630 (isolation #221) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 5:02 am

Post by Frogsterking »

Wolfy pop-ins spotted
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Post Post #1634 (isolation #222) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 5:20 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1633, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Where we at with votes?
We're pretty close to mis-hammer time if you'd like to do the honors.
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Post Post #1635 (isolation #223) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 5:29 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1629, DeltaWave wrote:i have a feeling that frog has some good insights into the composition of the scumteam, which is how he can make this assumption.
This is starting to reach too-scummy-to-be-scum territory for me, I feel like scum don't usually say things which look this bad on paper.

UNVOTE: Delta
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Post Post #1637 (isolation #224) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 5:35 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1635, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1629, DeltaWave wrote:i have a feeling that frog has some good insights into the composition of the scumteam, which is how he can make this assumption.
This is starting to reach too-scummy-to-be-scum territory for me, I feel like scum don't usually say things which look this bad on paper.

UNVOTE: Delta
FMPOV when I've been pushed as scum I've often felt
"Oh this person has good insight" and then deliberately NOT posted that information. I guess I'm either overthinking it, Eira was scum after all, or the scum player is a player who would risk bussing themselves into auto loss.
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Post Post #1638 (isolation #225) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 5:38 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1637, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1635, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1629, DeltaWave wrote:i have a feeling that frog has some good insights into the composition of the scumteam, which is how he can make this assumption.
This is starting to reach too-scummy-to-be-scum territory for me, I feel like scum don't usually say things which look this bad on paper.

UNVOTE: Delta
FMPOV when I've been pushed as scum I've often felt
"Oh this person has good insight" and then deliberately NOT posted that information. I guess I'm either overthinking it, Eira was scum after all, or the scum player is a player who would risk bussing themselves into auto loss.
It's most likely that I'm overthinking it.

VOTE: Delta
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1639 (isolation #226) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 5:42 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1638, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1637, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1635, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 1629, DeltaWave wrote:i have a feeling that frog has some good insights into the composition of the scumteam, which is how he can make this assumption.
This is starting to reach too-scummy-to-be-scum territory for me, I feel like scum don't usually say things which look this bad on paper.

UNVOTE: Delta
FMPOV when I've been pushed as scum I've often felt
"Oh this person has good insight" and then deliberately NOT posted that information. I guess I'm either overthinking it, Eira was scum after all, or the scum player is a player who would risk bussing themselves into auto loss.
It's most likely that I'm overthinking it.

VOTE: Delta
UNVOTE: Delta
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Post Post #1640 (isolation #227) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 5:49 am

Post by Frogsterking »

There is another explanation I just realized:
In post 1130, Nuclear Gandhi wrote:Perhaps crescent being on Greeting is a good look for Greeting? Whatever.
VOTE: hoppip
Start of D2, intended for distancing.
In post 1548, Gamma Emerald wrote:Not Known 15 (6!):
Klick
, Ausuka, BlueBloodedToffee, Nero Cain, Greeting, Mapuche Never Die
It IS possible that Klick forgot to unvote.
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Post Post #1651 (isolation #228) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 10:54 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1643, Ausuka wrote:I think frog is maybe 40% to flip scum?

If this is a townflip I guess I'll have another look at Delta overnight
I think this Town is 100% to be playing very lazy and very bad and the ensuing scramble you're all about to experience D4+ is your collective faults and I will be laughing at you from the dead thread.

VOTE: Delta

imo for future reference:

Delta > Klick > BBT
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Post Post #1652 (isolation #229) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:03 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1651, Frogsterking wrote:Delta > Klick > BBT
The problem is that if it's not Delta I think you're dealing with edge cases, and I think MND is viable as a edge case, so it won't be very easy to win.

The only silver lining I can see to your collective horrible D3 play is that IF it's not Delta it will be easier to win without me because FMPOV no one besides Delta makes a whole lot of sense.
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Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1656 (isolation #230) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:09 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1653, Nero Cain wrote:why doesn't BBT make sense?

I still don't get why you and Klick are townreading Ausuka now. Just the hopip flip?
I think Ausuka seemed like they were having fun yesterday when I was pushing them and I don't think that is a scum response to being pushed *at all*.
In post 1654, Ausuka wrote:I mean call it lazy but I have reviewed your play and I think you absolutely have to die before endgame for that absolutely abhorrent d2 so, shrug
I agree that my D2 play was bad!
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
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Post Post #1657 (isolation #231) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:10 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1655, Nero Cain wrote:claim frogger
I'm a combined multitasking Cop + Tracker with 4 guilties on Delta.
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Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1661 (isolation #232) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:14 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1647, Eiralox wrote:Frogsterking, can you please frame how delta scum fits in with their partners?
I think Delta felt some pressure to play better because their team wasn't doing much of anything. I think Delta was rusty at the start but got back into it over the course of D1.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1663 (isolation #233) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:16 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1659, Ausuka wrote:I mean it's less about the quality of your play and more that you were desperately trying to wagon anyone but the scum who was hard lurking and basically indefensible (but you knew if they got eliminated you would be at risk mechanically)
I think that you just don't understand what Greeting was trying to explain about my play not being AI. I think it's a naive thing. Hopefully you will learn after my flip IMO.
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Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1673 (isolation #234) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:49 am

Post by Frogsterking »

Uh oh. I think I know what happened.
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Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1675 (isolation #235) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 11:51 am

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1674, Nero Cain wrote:oh noes what happened!?
Yall gonna have a rough D4
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1680 (isolation #236) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 12:35 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1678, Klick wrote:And therefore we're all solving other slots.
I laugh :lol:
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1687 (isolation #237) » Sat Sep 10, 2022 4:27 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

Blegh sorry for my tilt earlier.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.
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Post Post #1761 (isolation #238) » Tue Sep 13, 2022 2:20 pm

Post by Frogsterking »

In post 1759, DeltaWave wrote:well see you in another 7 years
Lmao
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.

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