House of the Dragon - Game Over!

[Firebringer]

Andante was so bleeding town. Are u really gonna go down this paranoia road.

[fireisredsir]

idk why andres flipping would affect my suspicion on anyone else. him being town doesn't make anyone else more likely to be scum

[Thestatusquo]

Firebringer who do you think the scum are.

[Thestatusquo]

Like give me a team solve

[Firebringer]

No.

[Thestatusquo]

idk why andres flipping would affect my suspicion on anyone else. him being town doesn't make anyone else more likely to be scum

That's actually not really true.

Kind of a variation of the Monty hall problem, yeah?

[Thestatusquo]

No.

Why

[Datisi]

tbh i find that council members repeatedly dying is more a sign it's pure than it's not

but that's not the way i think about it anyway

why would i be getting paranoid of firebringer when he keeps giving me money and i don't find his play suspicious

[Thestatusquo]

Will you give me a team solve?

Are you still town reading gl and vpb both?

[Firebringer]

Because im not giving it to you, when you can find who i think is scum.
I dislike how ur so little invested in this game that u do this now for a second day of questioning me like this.
Ur not going to sheep my reads, so no. I won't just share my solve with u because u asked for it.

[Datisi]

i don't have a team solve and yes

[Firebringer]

Are you still town reading gl and vpb both?

I am less town on GL than yesterday but he is still town.
VPB i feel is more town.
Both are town to me.

[Thestatusquo]

It feels like if you think I'm town fb is town fireisred is town gl and vpb is town

Mastina and Titus conf town fypov.

Kind of running out of pov.

[fireisredsir]

idk why andres flipping would affect my suspicion on anyone else. him being town doesn't make anyone else more likely to be scum

That's actually not really true.

Kind of a variation of the Monty hall problem, yeah?

no??

for it to be the monty hall problem you would have to know that someone on the council is scum

my estimation of the probability that you picked an all town council is based on my individual estimates of the probability of each slot being town

doing the reverse of that would be stupid because why would you do that

unless you think there is something that indicates there is scum on the council beyond a vague "well its unlikely for me to pick all town"? we can talk about that if you want, bc i haven't seen anything that does so im not currently taking that into account

[Datisi]

i am not unaware of the fact i might be misclearing someone by reads but i really don't think that that's in gl/vpb and i am not currently able to properly reeval anyway

[Thestatusquo]

Roden
Dannflor
Unowen
Lady Lambdadelta
ProfessorDrapion
furtiveglance
Enchant

Fypov there's 4 scum here.

[Thestatusquo]

I really find it hard to believe that scum basically don't have a single person trying to control the game more aggressively than this list.

[Firebringer]

to enchant point. the fact scum keep killing tracker doesn't inspire the scum team to be really that good....

[Firebringer]

cant we just have dats check one of VPB/GL to settle this?

[Datisi]

shea, if you have a good case on a deepwolf/powerwolf this game i am listening

the current talk is not helping me

[Thestatusquo]

Maybe eventually.

I don't really think either of those players are going to be likely Elim right now so it seems like kind of a waste of a shot in the moment.

[fireisredsir]

Roden
Dannflor
Unowen
Lady Lambdadelta
ProfessorDrapion
furtiveglance
Enchant

Fypov there's 4 scum here.

my pov is that there's 2 worlds, one world is that yes, there are 4 scum here. i think thats pretty likely actually

the other world is that there's scum in datisi/GL/baltar. im not sure who the team is in that case and there's a lot of possibilities there. the most fun world is they're all scum

im considering both worlds but i still lean towards the first one

[Firebringer]

i was gonna say i think its actually highly likely we live in a world where theres four scum in that list.

[fireisredsir]

drapion is trying to control the game everyone is just rightfully ignoring him lol

[Thestatusquo]

I kind of think FBs point about killing the tracker repeatedly is interesting.

Maybe that makes lld less likely as scum.