I wasn't active for this challenge and didn't do anythingIn post 4168, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:In post 4116, Firebringer wrote:
who shot dunnstral? was it you psyche?
But yes, who shot me?
I wasn't active for this challenge and didn't do anythingIn post 4168, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:In post 4116, Firebringer wrote:
who shot dunnstral? was it you psyche?
this is also like a pretty bad response lmfaoIn post 2338, Gamma Emerald wrote:I’ll grant that your Alisae read isn’t as bad as it seemed at first but I still don’t trust you when you’re going after the most obvtown player in the challenge imo, and I don’t like your shade of Haschel.In post 2335, Save The Dragons wrote:i think gamma needs to get limmed my tr is completely gone
why i think an enchant townread is at worst worth betting the game onIn post 2581, Psyche wrote: ooh oooh ooh ok i have something
have obsessed some over how i should read that one enchant post about elo that tried to break the game. and has implied that the take contained may not be as cold as i originally thought so why not write it out? warning note that i still haven't read most of the posts in this thread.
It's definitely pro-town to outline such a strategy but otoh scum could notice the potential strategy and decide to divulge it for town points.
This alternative though requires that the scum player was thoughtful enough to identify the strategy and then presumably just as thoughtfully determined that the downsides for scum of revealing the strategy were outweighed by the upside of being the party that revealed it
Prima facie, since the strategy as outlined was so powerful, the scenario above seems hard to take seriously, leaning me toward a townread. so question to me is how firm the townread should actually be.
One interesting factor this hinges on is that firebringer really didn't do any clarification until after the public discussion. I think this assumption is reasonable primarily based my belief that he'd want to address apparent gaps in his design promptly. This belief also suggests that the team swap strategy wasn't discussed in a private thread -- at least not substantially enough for FB to take action. I feel like the strategy was apparently powerful enough that scum who'd noticed it would at least discuss a bit before bringing it up in the public thread, perhaps even actively reaching out to FB first for clarification. So the observation that FB's clarification occurred after public discussion makes me feel all the more sure that the team swap strategy wasn't proposed by scum.
This conclusion withstands consideration of some other assumptions that might seem weak on their own.
For example, one factor that might motivate scum to reveal even a powerful town strategy is if they think the strategy's discovery by the town is inevitable. If they don't think the strategy's implementation depends on whether they specifically are the ones who outlined it, they might decide to reveal it themselves in hopes of minimizing harm. If a scum player has high respect for the analytical players of someone in the player list, then maybe they'd be especially inclined to this reasoning. The problem w/ this argument is that it assumes a pattern of caution in the scum player that contradicts with FB's behavior. Cautious scum would workshop this move first with their teammates.
But what about the possibility that scum-enchant is the opposite of cautious-scum? That he detected the strategy, and then revealed it w/o much discussion with his teammates? After all, cleverness and caution don't always occur together. Some recent posts by enchant have even convinced me that he has a whimsical streak. I guess it's possible but I think I'm more whimsical than Enchant and in that situation I'd still probably talk the gambit through in my PT first, though perhaps primarily to bask in its absurdity. So I don't really read enchant as the sort of player to be so simultaneously spontaneous and focused that the issue wasn't discussed in thread and flagged by FB beforehand.
Oh but a possibility more serious: maybe FB is a slack or overloaded guy who isn't following along in realtime. He's managing like 50 different threads and mechanics, I guess. But idk. It was earlygame and reading scum pts are among the more enjoyable duties of a game moderator. So I discount the importance of that possibility.
so yeah pretty strong townread for enchant. wonder what in this thread could possibly shake it. hope everyone else is as easy to read.
on the other hand i really thought furtive was scum why am i wasting my energy when i'm dumb and permanently wrong and have an irl job i'm blowing off someone pls fix me i can't do it i have a 100 page thread to read
lmfao i have that sense at all times regardless of who is being wagonedIn post 4118, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: as i stare at this vc i cant help but feel a sense of impending doom if these two are both town
no stfuIn post 4119, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: maybe we should just yeet cakeboi
LOL in what world are StD and I scum togetherIn post 4125, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: what if the scum team was some bullshit like STD + Enchant + Sir Cakes + NorwegianBoy
In post 4134, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: like cakes progression on shirou doesnt make a lot of sense to me
In post 4141, Save The Dragons wrote:In post 4139, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: ok does any1 here actually think cakes is town
no
wow look at the wolves circling back around for new mislim targetsIn post 4144, Lazy Shirou wrote:not reallyIn post 4139, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: ok does any1 here actually think cakes is town
Are any of you voters budging or not? (I know someone unvoted after this VC) I know I'm undermining myself a bit but I'm willing to budge I guess. Anything to progress at this point.In post 4113, Firebringer wrote:
another scintillating and reasonable contribution designed to find scum.In post 4192, NorwegianboyEE wrote: Isn't provably randomness a big no no
i could be mod confirmed IC and u would still push meIn post 4197, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: also even if Psyche v Shirou is T/S I still think Cakes is scum