Open 891: STDBINSBICACOT (Game Over)

[Black]

2 Points

Cop
Jailkeeper
Mason x2
Vigilante
Watcher

There is a 50% chance of any 1 point rolling a 2 point ability, but only if there are 2 points available. By default with 3 points, this results in 2 50% rolls. Thats a 75% chance of rolling 1 of the above 5 abilities. so, there is a 20% chance of rolling a cop on top of that. That's 15% chance of a cop by default.

Although the odds go up when 4, 5, or 6 points are allotted, the underlying idea does not change. There is an informed mafia option available, however.

I actually didn't realize it was this complex but I still don't understand how I could know there isn't a cop if I were scum? Am I missing something or am I correct that Titus was wrong about that?

[pisskop]

Titus is saying youre posting like youre informed of more info than the rest of us have, I think.

Less about 'you know there is a cop' and more 'you know how many points there are so can hedge your bets'

but stop me if I sound crazy

[Black]

Ok. Reading 110 again I can kinda see an interpretation of that

[pisskop]

yeah. The odds are actually a little worse than that even, since I simplified the math. But overall the only way to 'know' the setup is to be the ascetic maf

[davesaz]

VOTE: hero

Any special reason for voting the player who's being replaced?

Spoiler: prediction

or maybe you didn't read at all, so didn't know?

[davesaz]

Titus just sidestepped the whole thing. which isnt terribly indicative either way.

What did Titus sidestep? That would pique my interest if I can find it.

[davesaz]

Opening post being a vote + explanation is usually scum. Town doesn't drop an explanation with their vote because why bother?

Wrong, if you care to pay attention to the difference between random opening votes and points in the game where something significant has already showed up.

[davesaz]

Wait, I'm lecturing someone who never seems to effort.

[davesaz]

And then she just ignores me when I pointed that out

FeelsWeirdMan

I am driving

Same

You're posting while driving?

[Doctor Drew]

My first hot take of the game:

Black and pisskop are buddies.......OR

Black and pisskop are never buddies

This is the expert type of read you have come to expect from me.

(But, their recent interactions seem contrived, not sure what exactly is going on there)

[Titus]

Titus is saying youre posting like youre informed of more info than the rest of us have, I think.

Less about 'you know there is a cop' and more 'you know how many points there are so can hedge your bets'

but stop me if I sound crazy

That

[Titus]

VOTE: Roden

I like Black's response here.

[Doctor Drew]

Titus is saying youre posting like youre informed of more info than the rest of us have, I think.

Less about 'you know there is a cop' and more 'you know how many points there are so can hedge your bets'

but stop me if I sound crazy

That

VOTE: Roden

I like Black's response here.

Why backing off Black?

[Titus]

Because I liked 152.

[Dunnstral]

I think Dunn's post comes from scum, and thought it was clear I think that from my vote post.

What is this post in response to?

[Black]

Titus is saying youre posting like youre informed of more info than the rest of us have, I think.

Less about 'you know there is a cop' and more 'you know how many points there are so can hedge your bets'

but stop me if I sound crazy

That

VOTE: Roden

I like Black's response here.

Why backing off Black?

You should join us on the Roden wagon

[Black]

I think Dunn's post comes from scum, and thought it was clear I think that from my vote post.

VOTE: Dannflor

Do you think Dann is scummier than Dunn?

[shaddowez]

Do you think Dann is scummier than Dunn?

Man, I'm gonna get confused so easy this game.

I had a train of thought, then got pulled into 3 extra meetings at work and need to reread to get it back.

[davesaz]

I think Dunn's post comes from scum, and thought it was clear I think that from my vote post.

What is this post in response to?

I don't think davesaz has indicated that their vote is based on anything other than personally disliking it.

[davesaz]

Opening post being a vote + explanation is usually scum. Town doesn't drop an explanation with their vote because why bother?

And this.

[davesaz]

Opening post being a vote + explanation is usually scum. Town doesn't drop an explanation with their vote because why bother?

Wrong, if you care to pay attention to the difference between random opening votes and points in the game where something significant has already showed up.

Also covered by this.

[davesaz]

davesaz is the only slot that has posted so far that i feel is greater than rand to be scum

This is an example of what gob thinks is scum indicative -- giving a reason that isn't actually a reason.

[Dannflor]

I think Dunn's post comes from scum, and thought it was clear I think that from my vote post.

why does it come from scum

[Dannflor]

davesaz is the only slot that has posted so far that i feel is greater than rand to be scum

This is an example of what gob thinks is scum indicative -- giving a reason that isn't actually a reason.

i think dunnstral's opening was very easy to hop on and you did so without actually digging into what was alignment indicative about it

you just kinda shouted "gross" and voted dunn which feels a little performative and not like you actually care about what dunn's alignment is or showing other people what dunn's alignment might be

[Something_Smart]

davesaz is the only slot that has posted so far that i feel is greater than rand to be scum

This is an example of what gob thinks is scum indicative -- giving a reason that isn't actually a reason.

I'm having such a hard time parsing this post. Who's giving a reason that isn't actually a reason? Do you agree with gob or disagree?