Okay, do you think he can sway either of them in 3p?In post 2470, Flavor Leaf wrote:Why does boxing in a clear matter? He has Purple and Hu Tao setup to be cleared.In post 2468, Gamma Emerald wrote: I feel like the “third scum” is the better aim for today if Dragon is scum because I think he’s boxed into bringing a clear to the end if he ends ip last scum alive.
Has Dragon actually declared he’s ungated JK? This idea only works if he has.
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You see, I don't get a Vig with Dragon living. On a setup level, it doesn't make sense for Dragon to be town here based on the setup.In post 2473, Hu Tao wrote:
If you think it's Gera why not just vote with me on gera?In post 2452, Flavor Leaf wrote:
i saw you say this earlier in my reread against just a Vig/Cop. I am torn with you. There's a lot of things that I can see coming from Tao Town, but I think if you are town, Dragon has used you this game a lot, and thus is forcing an associative from you. Right now, I think 3rd scum is you or maybe Geraint, but frankly, I'm starting to see the town Geraint I know. Purple or Gamma have some, but it's a little harder for me to see on this reread of mine.In post 2449, Hu Tao wrote:
I agree that seems strong for us. But scum probably have 2 strong prs left?In post 2387, Flavor Leaf wrote: Thing is, I can see Vig + Cop vs JK
Vig + Cop + JK has the potential to win N1, which i don’t love.
PEdit: I'm starting to see that, Geraint. Would you be open to voting Dragon? I think that would ease the associations, because I dont believe you bus here.
You talk about scum having 2 Strong PR's still.
What have they been doing with them then? Role Cop. Weak af. Ascetic to block a Jailkeeper shot and cop? Fine, then it still makes sense to hit the JK here.
There's just reasons and reasons why Dragon is objectively and mechanically scum here, and you aren't providing a single reason against it.
And thats because I think you are pocketed probs, could you be defending and you played together that much? Sure.
But speak to me, Hu Tao. Why does Dragon town read you?CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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yes. 100%. Either of them. To be fair, im open to either of them being the partner, but there's too many possibilities of a misfade with going for the 3rd.In post 2475, Gamma Emerald wrote:
Okay, do you think he can sway either of them in 3p?In post 2470, Flavor Leaf wrote:
Why does boxing in a clear matter? He has Purple and Hu Tao setup to be cleared.In post 2468, Gamma Emerald wrote: I feel like the “third scum” is the better aim for today if Dragon is scum because I think he’s boxed into bringing a clear to the end if he ends ip last scum alive.
Has Dragon actually declared he’s ungated JK? This idea only works if he has.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
”Yeah, the moment I realized Flavor was scum I stopped trying because I’m sure as hell not beating him.” - Clemency
”Not bragging about myself as much as I'm actually praising the Scum player of the year...and probably the decade.” - Almost50
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You didn’t telegraph shit and were sounding like you were shooting Dragon. WHY THE FUCK WOULD HE NOT USE HIS NIGHT ACTION TO SURVIVE AS TOWN?In post 2474, Flavor Leaf wrote:
he claimed 2-shot, then acted again.In post 2468, Gamma Emerald wrote: I feel like the “third scum” is the better aim for today if Dragon is scum because I think he’s boxed into bringing a clear to the end if he ends ip last scum alive.
Has Dragon actually declared he’s ungated JK? This idea only works if he has.
They also specifically played survivalistcally on Night 2 with it when I was hitting scum.
Also, in that small situation where Dragon would be town, and then I somehow vig town after that, town is still in a 3-2 scenario.
So it's cap to say it's a terrible vote when worst case scenario, get to play late game mountainous with 4 full days to read off of.
That is WORST case scenario.<Embrace The Void>
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I do agree it was better to try and stop a kill as jk than jail you after getting scum yesterday. But if he was scum why wouldn't he just kill someone else here? Or you and pretend he was on someone else?-
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Going Dragon means I get a vig shot off, and can help shape the finals easier. Dragon has actively been avoiding me letting that happen.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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I actively stated multiple times on Day 2 I would not be shooting Dragon.In post 2478, Gamma Emerald wrote:
You didn’t telegraph shit and were sounding like you were shooting Dragon. WHY THE FUCK WOULD HE NOT USE HIS NIGHT ACTION TO SURVIVE AS TOWN?In post 2474, Flavor Leaf wrote:
he claimed 2-shot, then acted again.In post 2468, Gamma Emerald wrote: I feel like the “third scum” is the better aim for today if Dragon is scum because I think he’s boxed into bringing a clear to the end if he ends ip last scum alive.
Has Dragon actually declared he’s ungated JK? This idea only works if he has.
They also specifically played survivalistcally on Night 2 with it when I was hitting scum.
Also, in that small situation where Dragon would be town, and then I somehow vig town after that, town is still in a 3-2 scenario.
So it's cap to say it's a terrible vote when worst case scenario, get to play late game mountainous with 4 full days to read off of.
That is WORST case scenario.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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I think it's cause he has read me wrong as town before tbh. But regardless I think his claim is town.In post 2476, Flavor Leaf wrote:
You see, I don't get a Vig with Dragon living. On a setup level, it doesn't make sense for Dragon to be town here based on the setup.In post 2473, Hu Tao wrote:
If you think it's Gera why not just vote with me on gera?In post 2452, Flavor Leaf wrote:
i saw you say this earlier in my reread against just a Vig/Cop. I am torn with you. There's a lot of things that I can see coming from Tao Town, but I think if you are town, Dragon has used you this game a lot, and thus is forcing an associative from you. Right now, I think 3rd scum is you or maybe Geraint, but frankly, I'm starting to see the town Geraint I know. Purple or Gamma have some, but it's a little harder for me to see on this reread of mine.In post 2449, Hu Tao wrote:
I agree that seems strong for us. But scum probably have 2 strong prs left?In post 2387, Flavor Leaf wrote: Thing is, I can see Vig + Cop vs JK
Vig + Cop + JK has the potential to win N1, which i don’t love.
PEdit: I'm starting to see that, Geraint. Would you be open to voting Dragon? I think that would ease the associations, because I dont believe you bus here.
You talk about scum having 2 Strong PR's still.
What have they been doing with them then? Role Cop. Weak af. Ascetic to block a Jailkeeper shot and cop? Fine, then it still makes sense to hit the JK here.
There's just reasons and reasons why Dragon is objectively and mechanically scum here, and you aren't providing a single reason against it.
And thats because I think you are pocketed probs, could you be defending and you played together that much? Sure.
But speak to me, Hu Tao. Why does Dragon town read you?-
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he needed the deepwolf plausibility.In post 2479, Hu Tao wrote: I do agree it was better to try and stop a kill as jk than jail you after getting scum yesterday. But if he was scum why wouldn't he just kill someone else here? Or you and pretend he was on someone else?
I do not see Pav or CW ever being scum here. Not with the way HPE was playing towards them.
I do not see Geraint/Purple ever being a thing here either.
Now, with that, Gamma vs Hu Tao almost surely has a scum in them, and both of you are defending Dragon.
What do you take of Kyouko's push on HPE/Dragon?CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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As in I was town and he thought I was scum all game-
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Okay. That's a fair point.In post 2483, Hu Tao wrote:
I think it's cause he has read me wrong as town before tbh. But regardless I think his claim is town.In post 2476, Flavor Leaf wrote:
You see, I don't get a Vig with Dragon living. On a setup level, it doesn't make sense for Dragon to be town here based on the setup.In post 2473, Hu Tao wrote:
If you think it's Gera why not just vote with me on gera?In post 2452, Flavor Leaf wrote:
i saw you say this earlier in my reread against just a Vig/Cop. I am torn with you. There's a lot of things that I can see coming from Tao Town, but I think if you are town, Dragon has used you this game a lot, and thus is forcing an associative from you. Right now, I think 3rd scum is you or maybe Geraint, but frankly, I'm starting to see the town Geraint I know. Purple or Gamma have some, but it's a little harder for me to see on this reread of mine.In post 2449, Hu Tao wrote:
I agree that seems strong for us. But scum probably have 2 strong prs left?In post 2387, Flavor Leaf wrote: Thing is, I can see Vig + Cop vs JK
Vig + Cop + JK has the potential to win N1, which i don’t love.
PEdit: I'm starting to see that, Geraint. Would you be open to voting Dragon? I think that would ease the associations, because I dont believe you bus here.
You talk about scum having 2 Strong PR's still.
What have they been doing with them then? Role Cop. Weak af. Ascetic to block a Jailkeeper shot and cop? Fine, then it still makes sense to hit the JK here.
There's just reasons and reasons why Dragon is objectively and mechanically scum here, and you aren't providing a single reason against it.
And thats because I think you are pocketed probs, could you be defending and you played together that much? Sure.
But speak to me, Hu Tao. Why does Dragon town read you?
I think he's using that to his advantage, personally.
And I think it's blatantly obvious how much HPE was flowing alongside Dragon.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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oooo flavor makes a point that sorta sticks with me<Embrace The Void>
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Yo.In post 2485, Hu Tao wrote: As in I was town and he thought I was scum all game
That is obviously coming from scum then.
He changes that much after 1 single game and doesnt doubt it for a second when his initial gut was to scum read you hard?
I get giving you a little bit of leeway and a pass, but he hasn't doubted it for a second, and without reasons.
Nah, that's a scum case on Dragon for me.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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This response felt like you had some alternative idea that prevented you from really agreebut you didn’t want to share. Have you posted it, if not could you please do so?In post 2372, Flavor Leaf wrote: best pav case imo<Embrace The Void>
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your case on Pav was the best case I've seen for a scum Pav case all game, even though people were trying so hard Day 2 to hit them.In post 2489, Gamma Emerald wrote:
This response felt like you had some alternative idea that prevented you from really agreebut you didn’t want to share. Have you posted it, if not could you please do so?In post 2372, Flavor Leaf wrote: best pav case imo
However, I think that's DragonEater with My reads, not Pav with me.
Pav and I lowkey been vibing together all game, and I really don't think they're trying to pocket.
Dragon has the energy of scum trying to control me and thinks they can, then when i sway away, they get super chaotic.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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Gamma Emerald AnySurvivorAny
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Okay,In post 2490, Flavor Leaf wrote:
your case on Pav was the best case I've seen for a scum Pav case all game, even though people were trying so hard Day 2 to hit them.In post 2489, Gamma Emerald wrote:
This response felt like you had some alternative idea that prevented you from really agreebut you didn’t want to share. Have you posted it, if not could you please do so?In post 2372, Flavor Leaf wrote: best pav case imo
However, I think that's DragonEater with My reads, not Pav with me.
Pav and I lowkey been vibing together all game, and I really don't think they're trying to pocket.
Dragon has the energy of scum trying to control me and thinks they can, then when i sway away, they get super chaotic.there’sthe unspoken “but…”. You think Dragon is a better example of what I’m suggesting.<Embrace The Void>
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How close is dragon on votes rn?<Embrace The Void>
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In post 2463, Flavor Leaf wrote:
yep, the kicker. This is 100% a Dragon/HPE world.In post 1512, ssbm_Kyouko wrote: Lmao - HPE's trajectory on Pavowski is similar to what it is on me. It starts RVS on Pavowski but at some point decides Pavowski is town (which reinforces the push on Laplacian because Laplacian was pushing Pavowski's really early posts like on end of page 2/top of page 3). Once it declares Pavowski towny on D1 it keeps that opinion.
On D2, when DragonEater tells HPE to read Pavowski and Hu Tao, it does so, and at this point still says it thinks Pav is townyin 901. The next time it mentions Pavowski is in 955 where it says to dragon it can maybe see Pav is scum but still thinks he is town, and posts a reminder to itself to check on Kyouko and PM.
In 1028 the read changes from town!Pav to "warming up to the idea of scum!Pav" and take a look at 1149 - Pav has the same complaint about HPE in 1109 that I have now - HPE is vague, by it's own admission, about why it SRs Pav. And yet, when I asked HPE why it SRs Pav it said I would find the reasoning in it's ISO.
HPE is blatantly faking convenient scumreads on players that are under pressure. This is scum.In post 1149, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
You probably think it was a "little too easy" because this one wasn't exhaustively listing the things it didn't about your recent posts.In post 1109, Pavowski wrote: HPE I maybe feel a little better about flipping, I'm a little sus of her recent change of heart on me (felt a little too easy if you ask me) and there has certainly been some opportunistic play there outside of that as well
Anyway, VOTE: cw
Spoiler: raw quotes from HPE's ISO about Pav, but you may as well ISO her yourself and ctrl+f "pav" like I didIn post 2444, Flavor Leaf wrote:
this is huge.In post 1028, HighPrincessErinys wrote: This one is warming up to the idea of scum!Pav but it definitely feels like we're overlooking the lurkers even as we say "well there could be scum there..........."
In post 1015, Flavor Leaf wrote: I wish I could see HPE alignment without having to flip them, lol. that's a big key slot here for me right now.also you could just shoot me anyway
HPE was not afraid of being shot because they knew they could be protected.
DE also likes gambits, and I can tell probably wanted to pull one.
I just think everything is lining up for DE scum.In post 2437, Flavor Leaf wrote:they saw it!!!!
so did CW if Kyouko flips town. Dragon Eater HAD to do something to become townier, so they gambited.In post 899, cw357 wrote:see below
well this means at least one scum in DE/Kyouko, which I could have seen already.
I arrive at the following conclusion:
If Kyouko is town then DE/Flavor ig could be w/w? Maybe both Kyo and DE are scum
But I'm going to go out on a limb and VOTE: ssbm_Kyouko
prob should vig DE if kyouko flips town
good on Pav.In post 900, Pavowski wrote:
I'm not going to pretend to understand the logic of why this post means Kyo or DE or *both* could be scum, but the more I sit with it the more scum!Dragon makes sense to meIn post 899, cw357 wrote:see below
well this means at least one scum in DE/Kyouko, which I could have seen already.
I arrive at the following conclusion:
If Kyouko is town then DE/Flavor ig could be w/w? Maybe both Kyo and DE are scum
But I'm going to go out on a limb and VOTE: ssbm_Kyouko
prob should vig DE if kyouko flips town
VOTE: DragonCHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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This. We talked about all game how CW had given more reasons than HPE. Hu Tao agreed with me. And yet, they talk to Dragon this way.Flavor Leaf Post somewhere wrote:In post 901, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
Pav's ISO has quite a bit of townie energy imo and there's a few standout posts this one particularly likes, such as 335 and 869. In general Pav feels very genuine in alot of his posts and points and this one is happy with putting him down as town. Though this one also finds it weird how you tried to shoot down 870 ngl.In post 862, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
you got it boss, see y'all tomorrowIn post 860, DragonEater70 wrote: Pav and Hu Tao
On the other hand this one has fucking nothing for Hu Tao LMAOOOO. This one couldn't reallllly get anything of note out of reading her ISO and when it took a look at its last games with her, Smuggler's Port and love child, it realized that it just cannot read her well because these ISOs are like all fucking identical. And she was town in SP and scum in LC so like!!! Fuck!!! This one still wants to put her down as a scumlean for her lame pushes on me earlier but that's really about it. Going to look more thoroughly later for sure, though.
This was HPE actively being helped in thread by DE to get a better standing and look like HPE was doing something. HPE gave almost nothing all game, but happens to give it when Dragon asks for it, and HPE calls them Boss even. Like, in the moment, that's fine. In hindsight, the way HPE acted towards DE is exactly what a scum partner following the lead scum does.
I asked that one multiple times for reads, and couldn't get anything from them, and I was Confirmed Town. Confirmed scum flip makes this look very bad on top of everything else.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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just me.In post 2492, Gamma Emerald wrote: How close is dragon on votes rn?
CW is likely to join, and Pav I hope would, but cant remember if they said.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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VOTE: dragoneater70
Not in full agreement but you’ve made enough good points to hold my attention<Embrace The Void>
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Day 1
Spoiler:
Day 2
Spoiler:
Day 3
Spoiler:
Day 4
Spoiler:CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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1.4 to 1.5 is a big one. HPE has unflipped slots in DE and Hu Tao move off when they can pick up steam.
ALWAYS scum in that.
Look at 2.2 to 2.4. Only flip on CW is a red flip. This was around CW having a possible hero solve, and the talk of the day was a lot wanted CW, even after I was off of it. If anything, i got more after I was off of it.
Look at how DE and HPE move together to Kyouko.
2.10 is not good for DE being on Gamma with a sole Kyouko green flip after all that, and I believe thats because 2 scum are already on the Kyouko wagon. 1 in HPE, 1 in an unflipped Hu Tao or Gamma probs.
Day 3, Dragon sits on HPE all day, that's a planned bus if i ever saw one.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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Alright, sorry for all the posts, but i thought it was important to reread and do analysis based off of that.
That's good enough for me for now. Dragon is scum here.CHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
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