Open 905: Pick Your Power X/Y S/S [game over!]

[the worst]

[Oblivion]

We aren’t yeeting dave or Pav today.

what's your cutoff line, then, 4th?

Idk…I don’t want a hard line but the top 3 or 4 likely got a role or got nothing and can get caught…yesireeish is the line.

It has a confession. It sort of forgot Yesiree existed in the game, it had a total void on an opinion on that player. You mentioned the name as the line and it went to go look and was like "okay, so who is this?" and drew a total blank.

[Dannflor]

maybe the real draft was the friends we made along the way

[the worst]

a lotta really sketchy slots are on the borderline honestly I hate mechanics and I will forget to be kind.

[Jake The Wolfie]

I won a draft pick

Congrats, you were the first player not guaranteed a chance to obtain a pick.

[Jake The Wolfie]

a lotta really sketchy slots are on the borderline honestly I hate mechanics and I will forget to be kind.

Be the toughiest duckling, and rebel against the machine. It is a new era, don't let other's opinions stop you from following your heart, and killing Pavlov.

[Jake The Wolfie]

If you do I'll give you the biggest, bestest loaf of bread you've ever seen.

[the worst]

I won a draft pick

Congrats, you were the first player not guaranteed a chance to obtain a pick.

This is not correct

[Jake The Wolfie]

I won a draft pick

Congrats, you were the first player not guaranteed a chance to obtain a pick.

This is not correct :P

How so?

[davesaz]

Rephrase, the first player who needs someone else to not get a pick in order to have a chance.

[May]

It... can someone interact with its thoughts please? It feels like the conversation is moving past it and it's trying with what little energy it has.

the main convo over the last page has been a bit of a fever dream in general. I'm around, and keen to discuss the things. I'm also still recovering from sickness this'll be cute

It knows the feeling, it has felt strongly like it's conveying its thoughts but it admits maybe it is feverdreaming.

Can you talk to it about May? It thinks you and I think differently about that slot.

I'mma drop some very surface thoughts because I'm aware I haven't been digesting this game as well as I need to and May isn't an easy sort.

I think May is really charismatic and very capable of leading original thoughts. I think May has been quick to test ideas and slow to commit to them, and I haven't minded May's ideas for the most part but there's really been nothing in there which has blown me away? Many of her earlier takes felt like they aligned with Firebringer's or were like, quite achievable by kinda following the tone of the thread.

I felt like the conversation between gob & Firebringer & Dann was about things which appear to align with May's interests and I was surprised to see her pop in without really advancing any reads or having a new perspective on anything

Like May is cool perspective incarnate as a player and I'm not seeing anything that excites me yet and it's making me increasingly nervous

BURDEN OF SPICINESS

[Jake The Wolfie]

Rephrase, the first player who needs someone else to not get a pick in order to have a chance.

Yeah, they were not guaranteed a chance to obtain a pick.

Firebringer was 9th in the draft. If players 1st - 8th were to all get picks, Firebringer would be guaranteed to fail. Unless I am missing something rather critical in the drafting process, I'm not understanding why this would be false.

[May]

i have never scum read may before it's kind of exciting

I feel excited but then I remember you might be scum and then it's just a more mundane thing instead of an exciting first. Although you have usually not tried to do it as scum but this game it makes sense. I haven't bright shined or anything.

[May]

i have never scum read may before it's kind of exciting

Bastet asked why I was smiling when I read this

We are not doing video games ATM so I'm not fully vla

[davesaz]

The spoiler has rough hand calculations for the 1st 9 players chance of getting their pick assuming at most one double. (I knew this instinctively but wanted to write it out to check it)
The actual odds are higher than this. There is probably a formula, and I could write a program to do it, but envelope calculation is enough to show it's higher than intuition might say.

Spoiler: odds of getting a pick

p1 : 100%
p2 : 7/8 = 87.5%
p3 : 7/8*6/8 + 1/8*7/8 or .875*.75 + .125*.875 .65625+.109375 76.6%
p4 = .766 * 5/8 + .234*6/8 = .479 + .176 65.5%
p5 = .655 * 4/8 + ,345 * 5/8 = .328+.215 = 54.3%
p6 = .543 * 3/8 + .457 + 4/8 = .204+.228 = 43.2%
p7 = .432 * 2/8 + .568 * 3/8 = .108+.213 = 39.3%
p8 = .393 * 1/8 + .607 * 2/8 = .049+.152 = 20.1%
p9 = .799 * 1/8 = 10%

Minimum

odds 1st 8 players 100%, 87.5%, 76.6%, 65.5%, 54.3%, 43.2%, 39.3%, 20.1%, 10%
Actual odds are higher for players 3rd+, as this calculation only accounts for a single doubled choice.

[gob]

getting high rn

whats up wirh yall

[Jake The Wolfie]

getting high rn

whats up wirh yall

ayooo whats good man

[the worst]

Rephrase, the first player who needs someone else to not get a pick in order to have a chance.

Yeah, they were not guaranteed a chance to obtain a pick.

Firebringer was 9th in the draft. If players 1st - 8th were to all get picks, Firebringer would be guaranteed to fail. Unless I am missing something rather critical in the drafting process, I'm not understanding why this would be false.

ah, okay granted, I glued your words wrong in my brain

[May]

where does the idea that firebringer is an easy late game read come from

The dance game where I was IC

I feel like some other game too that I can't pick out off the top of my head

I think Firebringer is good at mafia but also easy to read

The best players are not hard to read, the best players push objectives well. It's like overwatch

[Firebringer]

worstie i want an essay tomorrow on why gob is town. double spaced, 2 pages.

[Firebringer]

outside u saying u enjoy gob postings, i don't know why u think this is gob town game.

[Firebringer]

The dance game where I was IC

didn't u really struggle to read me in that one

[Firebringer]

I read the ending of that dance game recently for the last dance game btw May

I still find the post where u decided i was town in the final four hilarious when i gave u my dream and u said it was townie and then left the dance for us to win.

[Firebringer]

viewtopic.php?p=12384876#p12384876

So funny

[May]

unvote, but only if I'm voting worst

Idr

Idk if that's allowed.
I'm on oage50