S1)
D3: 5-2-2, Lynch scum, 5-2-1
N3: Assuming worst case scenario- 3-2-1
D4: Cannot lynch the 1-man scumgroup- 3-1-1
N4: Assuming worst case scenario- 1-1-1
D5: Prisoner's dilemma
S2)
D3: 5-2-2, Lynch town, 4-2-2
N3: Assuming worst case scenario- 2-2-2
D4: Town loss is assured, Prisoner's dilemma of a kind.
S3)
D3: 5-2-2, Lynch scum, 5-2-1
N3: Assuming worst case scenario- 3-2-1
D4: lynch the 1-man scumgroup- 3-2
N4: Town loses
Meh. We really need to lynch scum, on this day, and we need to get lucky with a crosskill/ doc save.
We're doomed.
If I had to choose right now, my townlist is Myself, DX, cirno, VE. Anybody outside that list probably is scum.