Strange Cougar
RVS on AJ, AJ flipped town, so not relevant.
Quotes and references both Jagen and Massive fairly early on.
Vote on inte for questioning PV for his vote switch. Noteworthy because I think this is the only time in the game anybody has voted inte.
Pressure on inte, ZZZX.
random townread on Garmr.
Takes a neutral position on Jagen vs Chihiro, "...Why do I have a gut neutral read on both Jaqen and chihiro? It doesn't read town vs. town, it doesn't read scum vs. scum, and there's no evidence of multiple factions, so that leaves town vs. scum. But I could easily see the scum being either, and neither of them are strong reads."
Namedrop of Elyse re: TSO attack.
No opinion on ZZZX, town read on Elyse.
Commentary on Elyse after questioning from TSO.
Votes for Elyse, after fairly minimal improvement from TSO that apparently warrants this.
The trouble I have with this reasoning is that SC assumes that Elyse and TSO are of opposite alignments, and if one is town, then the other must automatically be scum.
However, the scenario of a town-town conflict between TSO and Elyse was also completely plausible and not considered by SC at all. He went from scum reading TSO to essentially town reading him.
The vote came when the tallies looked like this:
Elyse
(4): Garmr,
Kthxbye
, inte,
Boonskiies
massive
(4):
T S O, TheWayItEnds
,
Jaqen Hghar
,
Klingoncelt
RationalMadman
(2):
Ankamius
, PeregrineV
T S O
(3):
Sky_Paladin
, StrangerCoug,
Elyse
Klingoncelt
(1):
massive
Boonskiies
(1):
MonkeyMan576
ZZZX (1):
RationalMadman
And changed it to this:
Elyse
(4): Garmr,
Kthxbye
, inte,
Boonskiies
, StrangerCoug
massive
(4):
T S O, TheWayItEnds
,
Jaqen Hghar
,
Klingoncelt
RationalMadman
(2):
Ankamius
, PeregrineV
T S O
(2):
Sky_Paladin
,
Elyse
Klingoncelt
(1):
massive
Boonskiies
(1):
MonkeyMan576
ZZZX (1):
RationalMadman
At this point in time, we had two competing scum wagons - massive, and Elyse, with the closest third a split between TSO and RMM. Right before SC's sudden heel-face-turn, Elyse had just changed her vote from solo-voting kthxbye to voting TSO. So you might think that scum!SC would have stayed on the wagon at this point. Instead, he hopped off on to the counter wagon.
Scum probably wanted to push for a lynch of TSO or RMM at this point.
After Elyse unvoted, Jagen votes for Kthx (making Elyse the lead wagon) and Kthx votes for RMM (making three wagons tied at three - Elyse, Massive, RMM). This is the time for scum to make their move.
Fresh
votes RMM.
inte
votes Elyse, although he had already been doing so.
Jagen vote Rational Madman. RMM now the lead wagon by two.
TSO revotes Elyse, making RMM lead wagon by one.
TWIE votes madman, RMM now lead wagon by two, massive now down to two votes (Jagen and Klingon). This wagon effectively dead, so the scum plan now would be mainly to attrition more votes on to RMM/away from Elyse. Who is currently being voted by Garmr, inte, SC. Let's see if any of those three move away from Elyse.
When kthx suddenly voting Elyse, the wagons shift again.
Current votes;
Elyse
(6): Garmr,
Boonskiies
, StrangerCoug, inte,
T S O, Kthxbye
RationalMadman
(5):
Ankamius
, PeregrineV, Fresh,
Jaqen Hghar
,
TheWayItEnds
Klingoncelt
(2):
massive
,
RationalMadman
T S O
(2):
Sky_Paladin
,
Elyse
StrangerCoug (1):
MonkeyMan576
massive
(1):
Klingoncelt
At this point, Fresh unvotes, making Elyse the clear wagon. Definitely not a scum move. Town clear on Fresh. Elyse lynch now mainly on the cards, and Jagen, bus driver from hell, votes Elyse. Gotta get that scum flip cred!
At this point the wagons are no longer remotely close, so analysing vote shifts becomes unviable. ZZZX tries for a flash wagon on PV, but that'll be reviewed in ZZZX's iso.
Let's get back to SC. After Jagen was outed, SC barely posted but did vote, roll on to the next day phase of Boon vs Massive.
Starts with Boon vote.
Specifically announces 'no reason to ISO massive, TWIE'. Town clears KC after a super fast (less than five minutes) ISO on KC. Seems faked; KC has an extensive number of detailed posts (more than SC) so a proper ISO should have taken a lot longer. All of mine are taking quite some time.
Reviewing SC's day 4 has a steady stream of let's lynch Boon, leading up to an ambivalent moment, and KC's dare that he hammer massive. Seems like a deal scum!SC wouldn't have gone for, especially as this was really a critical, possibly game ending lynch. If Boon had been hammered and flipped town, nobody would have blinked, and scum would have a whole extra day to try and put somebody else up instead of massive.
Overall it looks plausible. Given that Jason paused the phase instead of updating it, I think that the Exploder was an if-lynched-then-select-target type dealio.
I agree SC looks bad in some places but his vote on Elyse came at the right time and it was in direct defiance to what scum apparently were playing for. Town.
Current reads:
Fresh, Garmr, Peregrine, SC, Inte, ZZZX. Next up, ZZZX.