Blitz 13 - Bad Omens (Judgment)

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Post Post #375 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 11:01 am

Post by Ether »

Day 1, Votecount 15


3 hi im Yakko (OceanWind, MattP, Wisdom)
2 LucianRoy (hi im Yakko, pisskop)
1 Anxiety Attack (Ranger)
1 OceanWind (LucianRoy)
1 pisskop (Usted)

1 Unvote (Anxiety Attack)

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
The deadline is in (expired on 2015-12-16 14:00:00), on Wednesday, December 16 at 2:00 pm EST.


As I move my vote
Towards your wagon, town is taking note
It fills my head up and gets louder and
LOUDER
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Post Post #376 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:01 pm

Post by LucianRoy »

Alright, Ranger's entrance into the game struck me as outlandish. I really don't put too much stock into voting someone based off their RVS vote when there's already seven pages down. I'll cut her some slack for being late to the game, but... why enter a pretty advanced game and go solely off RVS; creating a convicted list of reads off what seems to be only RVS? SW's "you have got to be kidding" basically sums up my thoughts on that note. At first glance they might sound like nervous scum entering the game oddly, but the I read Matt's post:
In post 196, MattP wrote:I always have a sinking feeling when I realize someone in situations like these might not be scum and actually legitimately believes they can develop reads of every player in the game based on the first 20 RVS posts of the game

I would still like to hear more from Ranger. Specifically her thoughts on Yakko when she gets back to the game. I can't sort her atm.

Ocean going after Yakko was a bit unexpected. I had asked Ocean what his thoughts on Yakko were maybe a page or two before, but I never got a response.
He voted him for what mainly appears to be defaulting on his stance about Anxiety's past town read on pisskop. I think what might've caused this is the lack of Yakko being transparent in his thoughts on the game, which complicated things for people later on. Really, I don't want to be voting Ocean Wind any more. Their jabs seem way more town than they did last night. UNVOTE: Ocean

Wisdom enters the game and then ensues the Yakko tunnel. Oh god.
To be fair, Wisdom is very blunt with his questions. He doesn't dance around any topic, but drives straight to the point. I like this, but you could already tell from Yakko's first couple responses it was going to be gruesome, (as he seemed to lack a direct response about his read on me).
One moment,
In post 227, Anxiety Attack wrote:Cool so ranger is scum claiming.
? Your push on ranger you later say was mainly driven by 201 on account of false premises, but I don't see it. He may not be new to the game, but he's new to mafiascum. Everytime someone joins mafiascum, and they want to play a game, sooner or later they learn the site meta and/or adapt to it. It's actually a sad reality. Also, I only played with Wisdom once when he was scum, I can't remember anything about that game because I played really poorly, but what do you see in Wisdom that's alluring to his scum meta/not town meta? You put up a bunch of meta with scum you caught, but none of those games have wisdom in them. That just drew my attention when SW went into interrogation mode after saying, "This isn't Wisdom's town game."
Back to Yakko,
I really don't like this exchange of posts:
In post 273, hi im Yakko wrote:
In post 272, Anxiety Attack wrote:
In post 270, hi im Yakko wrote:He comes off townier than you ika :( hmmm idk. I think I would hate myself for being so wrong and either I would play better or retrench and start questioning my existence. Wisdom makes some clever points.


What points has he made? Are you saying we are having a TvT or something else cus thats what im reading what your saying it as


If it came down to the wire between you and he. I would lynch you. Am I readingnyou both as town rn? Technically yes. The points he made are mostly his responses to you. I found myself to have been nodding to them.

Yakko seems to be going a bit minimalist here. I read his post about him wanting people to read his thoughts, but really if wen played mafia that way, we might as well be telepathic. This comes off as scummy to me on Yakko's part only because he never really properly explains himself, let alone why he found Wisdom to be more townie than Ika/SW. Really, his read at that moment looks like it's complete gut, or it's made up.
In post 299, hi im Yakko wrote:
In post 288, Anxiety Attack wrote:who else do you not have a read on if any? and if so why


lets see I think oceans vote is bad. Not because he is voting me but because he wants townies tonmake their own argument for why I am scum. So null scum

Pisskop and usted as town
Mattp
Wisdom, anxiety attack
Ranger
Lucian

I get that you explained your read on me, but why is Usted up there as town? You haven't explained maybe half of these, or at least, I don't see your reasoning.
I'll continue reviewing Yakko's tunnel at a later time, as I have some work I need to get done tonight.

As an aside:
In post 226, Usted wrote:Scum is definitely going to play carefully around the chosen mechanic. They don't want to be viewed as the person who led a chosen train probably.

Usted, are you familiar with the term: WIFOM? It's used to describe a logical fallacy about predicting what scum will and won't do.
If you aren't familiar with it, that's fine, you can read a bit more about it here: http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=WIFOM I'm sorry I ICed in that moment, but some of your posts sound like you make some assumptions to reach a conclusion. I thought you might just like to know.
Back to the game, who are you scumreading atm Usted?
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Post Post #377 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:16 pm

Post by Ranger »

Tangent:
Wisdom wrote:Ranger is not doing what you're saying
he's
doing.
I need to switch my avatar to a female scientist or something. >_< /tangent.

Anxiety Attack wrote:Also ranger not reading and then trying to discredit the town reads already made is scummy as fuck
Ironically enough this is a discredit of my content: I read the first page, gave my reads, read the rest of the game, gave a refined version of the reads, and that is the polar opposite of discrediting townreads.
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Post Post #378 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:24 pm

Post by Ranger »

pisskop wrote:???

oh crap this is a straight up mountainous game
Proof that Ether is not, in fact, a robot.

(Not a townslip, in my opinion.)

UNVOTE: Anxiety Attack.
I need to re-think my reads. All of them. Maybe Anxiety Attack is scum, maybe not, but they no longer look like scum to me, so for the moment, I'm not comfortable voting there. That said,
its rangers inactivity. Town ranger would of posted a lot more by now. I dont get how hard that is to grasp.
Burn in hell, ika. Questioning activity is something you should never bring into a game.

Once or twice a day.
No more, no less. Exception of Saturday, which I took off the entirety of for personal reasons and because I thought there wouldn't be anything happening that day.
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Post Post #379 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:29 pm

Post by pisskop »

Ranger, don't you hav any scumgames
beeboy - Everyone thought this game was made to troll pie but it was really made to troll pisskop.
Almost50 pisskop: Overall, that's a townie slot. Don't ask for specifics because with PK everything can be interpreted either way. It's probably WHEN he says/does things that matter, so it's more of a matter of conception rather than solid reasoning.
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Post Post #380 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:29 pm

Post by pisskop »

Townie, townie, jester, pissing dog, townie . . .
beeboy - Everyone thought this game was made to troll pie but it was really made to troll pisskop.
Almost50 pisskop: Overall, that's a townie slot. Don't ask for specifics because with PK everything can be interpreted either way. It's probably WHEN he says/does things that matter, so it's more of a matter of conception rather than solid reasoning.
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Post Post #381 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:31 pm

Post by Ranger »

MattP wrote:I think that might be the strangest thing anyone has ever said to me in a game!
On the one hand: I liked your case.

On the other: I think Yakko's response is perhaps the towniest response ever. Both saying that Yakko cannot mystically develop a read on me (I don't think Yakko says this), and the sheer
bravado
behind thinking your case is a good case for Yakko being town.

And page thirteen is making me re-reconsider my read on Anxiety Attack. This sucks. I hate not being confident.
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Post Post #382 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:34 pm

Post by Ranger »

A small part of me wants to suggest a crazy scumteam theory of Wisdom and Anxiety Attack off of their interactions on page 14, but that's probably crazy talk.
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Post Post #383 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:36 pm

Post by pisskop »

I woulnd't be 100% opposed to a usted lynch.
beeboy - Everyone thought this game was made to troll pie but it was really made to troll pisskop.
Almost50 pisskop: Overall, that's a townie slot. Don't ask for specifics because with PK everything can be interpreted either way. It's probably WHEN he says/does things that matter, so it's more of a matter of conception rather than solid reasoning.
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Post Post #384 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:39 pm

Post by Ranger »

OceanWind wrote:Annoying as Yakko is, I'm leaning towards him being probably town from his responses.
This is my stance as well: Yakko has been posting strongly, especially in the field of explaining actions. I need to give the entire game a re-think, but if I were to offer a list right now, Yakko would be topping the charts town-wise.
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Post Post #385 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:49 pm

Post by MattP »

In post 384, Ranger wrote:Yakko has been posting strongly

Lol
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Post Post #386 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:51 pm

Post by Wisdom »

In post 378, Ranger wrote:(Not a townslip, in my opinion.)

Why not? You think pisskop faked not knowing what the setup is?
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Post Post #387 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:53 pm

Post by Ranger »

LucianRoy wrote:I really don't put too much stock into voting someone based off their RVS vote when there's already seven pages down.
That's your right, but you miss out on so much thinking that way. ;)

why enter a pretty advanced game and go solely off RVS; creating a convicted list of reads off what seems to be only RVS?
The RVS is the most important part of the game. While not all content following it is irrelevant, most of it is fluff that doesn't alter my opinion on players. You see seven pages at the time. I saw about six pages of almost-entirely-worthless material which did nothing to change the opinions I formed from one page: the first. (Minor ordering aside.)

He may not be new to the game, but he's new to mafiascum.
How many games do you need completed before that stops being true? I have eleven completed games on here. That's more than you have. (Going by the definition of "completely finished".) In addition to my five years of mafia-playing experience elsewhere, I'd say that makes me no longer new.

Yakko seems to be going a bit minimalist here.
Why do you call Yakko out for this and not me? I'm more guilty of being a minimalist than Yakko is.

pisskop wrote:Ranger, don't you hav any scumgames
Blitz 1 (C9++) and Blitz 7 (Hardcore Mafia--nightless no flip). Not a great sample size, since Blitz 7 had special mechanics and my play there was highly unusual for me, period, and that leaves just Blitz 1.
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Post Post #388 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:55 pm

Post by MattP »

I mean I personally give no weight to pisskop's "slip" but I also don't care because I'm townreading him anyway and I trust I'll read him correctly over time anyway without giving him some easy WIFOMy copout
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Post Post #389 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:55 pm

Post by Ranger »

Wisdom wrote:Why not? You think pisskop faked not knowing what the setup is?
I've little doubt pisskop legitimately did not know the setup.

I see no reason a scum-pisskop cannot know the setup.

If I were to guess, he is town anyway, but I am certainly not going to make the assumption he is town off of one post like that.
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Post Post #390 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:56 pm

Post by pisskop »

Guys. You'll know if Im scum because PRs tend to die with astounding accuracy when I am :shifty:
beeboy - Everyone thought this game was made to troll pie but it was really made to troll pisskop.
Almost50 pisskop: Overall, that's a townie slot. Don't ask for specifics because with PK everything can be interpreted either way. It's probably WHEN he says/does things that matter, so it's more of a matter of conception rather than solid reasoning.
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Post Post #391 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:57 pm

Post by pisskop »

Im also open to a case on Anxiety.
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Almost50 pisskop: Overall, that's a townie slot. Don't ask for specifics because with PK everything can be interpreted either way. It's probably WHEN he says/does things that matter, so it's more of a matter of conception rather than solid reasoning.
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Post Post #392 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:57 pm

Post by Wisdom »

In post 389, Ranger wrote:I see no reason a scum-pisskop cannot know the setup.

Scum are required to veto in pre-game. It's impossible for them not to know the setup.
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Post Post #393 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:58 pm

Post by Ranger »

MattP wrote:I mean I personally give no weight to pisskop's "slip" but I also don't care because I'm townreading him anyway and I trust I'll read him correctly over time anyway without giving him some easy WIFOMy copout
You said it more eloquently than I did. But ^this.
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Post Post #394 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 2:59 pm

Post by Ranger »

Wisdom wrote:Scum are required to veto in pre-game. It's impossible for them not to know the setup.
Scum are required to veto, yes, but this does not necessitate them knowing the setup: merely them knowing
part
of the setup.
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Post Post #395 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:01 pm

Post by Wisdom »

I fail to see how anyone wouldn't go and look at the setup when they're told to veto, but anyway this is moot discussion as you're correct that pisskop is town regardless.
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Post Post #396 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:04 pm

Post by Ranger »

Arg, I want to get more refined reads up right now, but I don't have the focus for it. I'm going to take a small break from this game, sorry. When I return, with luck, I'll be in a better mind-set for doing the necessary work.

By gut, right now, it'd look something like:
{Yakko}
{MattP, pisskop}
{LucianRoy, OceanWind, Wisdom}
{Anxiety Attack, Usted} (this is Anxiety Attack moving up, not Usted moving down)
I'm not happy with that.
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Post Post #397 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:08 pm

Post by Usted »

In post 376, LucianRoy wrote:
Usted, are you familiar with the term: WIFOM? It's used to describe a logical fallacy about predicting what scum will and won't do.
If you aren't familiar with it, that's fine, you can read a bit more about it here: http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=WIFOM I'm sorry I ICed in that moment, but some of your posts sound like you make some assumptions to reach a conclusion. I thought you might just like to know.
Back to the game, who are you scumreading atm Usted?


I am familiar with WIFOM, however I typically expect for people to fairly normal. I would say the only person that I am scum reading (uncertain leaning scum is how I would describe it really) at the moment is Yakko. This read is from him being a bit sheepish (wishy washy) early on. Not sure if that is part of their townplay meta.

I stated earlier that I could see you as being scum, this feeling has subsided back into neutral with how you have responded.

I am trusting of AA at the moment primarily because of how they handled the amount of attention they have been getting.


Also, I did in fact point out the setup, pisskop also mentioned something about it as well (the moutanious game). I pointed out the fact that there were no TPR, which of course means no doctor, which means no failed Night Kills. I was pointing out the number of mislynches we can afford without losing. No more no less.

Pedit: Am I wrong in thinking this setup is 2 goons and 7 VT's (2 with chosen buff)? That's straight from wikiscum.
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Post Post #398 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:09 pm

Post by Wisdom »

Also Ranger is town if anyone still wondered.
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Post Post #399 (ISO) » Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:09 pm

Post by pisskop »

Def.
beeboy - Everyone thought this game was made to troll pie but it was really made to troll pisskop.
Almost50 pisskop: Overall, that's a townie slot. Don't ask for specifics because with PK everything can be interpreted either way. It's probably WHEN he says/does things that matter, so it's more of a matter of conception rather than solid reasoning.

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