Large Normal 199: L'Hôtel Pleuvoir (Fin)

Titus · Post Post #4675 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 12:57 pm

In post 4674, Elbirn wrote:Titus stole my thunder, now I'll never get credit for catching scum

What about MY ego Titus?

Give it hugs for actually showing up today.

#incrabbymood

ISO · Post Post #4676 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:04 pm

Votecount 6.FTywin 3 (Pine, Aj, Titus)

Not Voting 2 (Tywin, Elbirn)

3 to lynch.

ISO · Post Post #4677 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 3:05 pm

Tywin Lannister has been lynched.

Spoiler:

ISO · Post Post #4678 (ISO) » Wed Feb 01, 2017 7:58 pm

Everyone lived. Go.

Aj The Epic · Post Post #4679 (ISO) » Wed Feb 01, 2017 8:09 pm

Fucking Cephrir is changing alignments on flips I swear to god.

Titus · Post Post #4680 (ISO) » Wed Feb 01, 2017 8:22 pm

4 alive, fucking a.

Pine, who did you block?

Pine · Post Post #4681 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 2:38 am

I didn't. I'm out of shots. If I were still a roleblocker, I'd have blocked N4 and realized Tywin was innocent. I'm essentially a VT now.

Pine · Post Post #4682 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 2:39 am

In post 4681, Pine wrote:I didn't. I'm out of shots. If I were still a roleblocker, I'd have blocked
N5
and realized Tywin was innocent. I'm essentially a VT now.

EBWOP. I can't math. I think the title of the thread hasn't been updated.

Elbirn · Post Post #4683 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 3:46 am

Fuck that shit

VOTE: No Lynch

Pine · Post Post #4684 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 3:47 am

Nonsense. No lynching in MYLO is a myth.

Pine · Post Post #4685 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 3:48 am

That said, it strikes me that there's no advantage to be gained from Elbirn no-killing then no-lynching.

This immediately makes me suspicious of AJ. He's kind of skated by for days when we've been distracted elsewhere.

Elbirn · Post Post #4686 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 3:49 am

Nah I'm not picking out of the three of you and I'm not playing into the scum fucks game. Either they kill and narrow this down to 2 suspects or we "happily ever after" this ish.

Pine · Post Post #4687 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 3:54 am

Yeah, that's not how it works. "Narrow to two suspects" is bullshit and a myth. You're thinking of it from the wrong meta perspective. You've got to get your mind into a scum mindset; they aren't eliminating an opponent, they're choosing which two opponents to take to endgame.

Refusing to participate in MYLO means scum get to shape endgame to their own desire.

Elbirn · Post Post #4688 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:00 am

That doesn't make sense. If this were scum choosing who to take to endgame...they would have killed last night.

This is scum keeping the lynch pool open, knowing that a 25% chance of being lynched is better than 33%. We have a better chance of getting scum with 3 living players than with 4.

Elbirn · Post Post #4689 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:03 am

Can someone better at math than me tell me this, why does scum no kill twice? Wouldn't one no kill have gotten us to a 4 player mylo the previous day phase or something?

Pine · Post Post #4690 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:03 am

Nonsense. It's scum keeping their options open, but percentage-based assessments are a fallacy. Titus doesn't have a 25% chance of getting lynched, it's pretty much 0%. We're not random-lynching here.

Pine · Post Post #4691 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:04 am

In post 4689, Elbirn wrote:Can someone better at math than me tell me this, why does scum no kill twice? Wouldn't one no kill have gotten us to a 4 player mylo the previous day phase or something?

There isn't a good reason. It is objectively an error.

Elbirn · Post Post #4692 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:11 am

In post 4690, Pine wrote:Nonsense. It's scum keeping their options open, but percentage-based assessments are a fallacy. Titus doesn't have a 25% chance of getting lynched, it's pretty much 0%. We're not random-lynching here.

Okay, and if we take that into account, then scum no-kill because a 3p lylo would really be a 50% of getting scum.

Like there's definitely truth in what you're saying, there is a point there, but no matter how you spin it, scum no killed because it is to their advantage and I like the idea of taking that advantage away.

Pine · Post Post #4693 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:41 am

Stop using percentages. That isn't how it works.

Aj The Epic · Post Post #4694 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:42 am

TBH the first no kill can be explained in the fact that it worked as a sort of way to either give Pine a free lynch or abuse Pine's role. This second is probably just WIFOM around Titus.

Also disagree with no lynching. Happily-ever-after is an insult to everyone who played the game and realistically there's no reason to try for it.

Elbirn · Post Post #4695 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:48 am

In post 4693, Pine wrote:Stop using percentages. That isn't how it works.

Jesus christ dude you get my point stop being a pedantic little bitch

Elbirn · Post Post #4696 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:50 am

If there are 3 alive and one of them is titus then one of the 2 other players will be lynched and that is worse for scum then there being a pool of 3 lynch able players

Titus · Post Post #4697 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 4:51 am

In post 4683, Elbirn wrote:Fuck that shit

VOTE: No Lynch

VOTE: No lynch - vote early night

Pine, if scum deliberately no killed, they want the game state like this.

Aj The Epic · Post Post #4698 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 5:25 am

Yeah and they might not stop no-killing.

Pine · Post Post #4699 (ISO) » Thu Feb 02, 2017 5:27 am

In post 4697, Titus wrote:
In post 4683, Elbirn wrote:Fuck that shit

VOTE: No Lynch
VOTE: No lynch - vote early night

Pine, if scum deliberately no killed, they want the game state like this.

Yes, but my point is that no lynching won't change anything. Either they no kill again and we're back here once more, or they kill you or I and we're in this position with less wisdom.

I don't think Elbirn no kills and then stands on principle about no lynch.

Cabd cleared you ages ago.

It isn't me.

AJ is the only reasonable option, and I see it. I won't be voting no lynch.

VOTE: AJ