(micro 1101) mystery box of silver 16: tinkleton (it tinkled)

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Post Post #886 (isolation #0) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:11 am

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hey!
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Post Post #888 (isolation #1) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:12 am

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how can we make it more fun?
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Post Post #892 (isolation #2) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:15 am

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In post 889, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 888, the worst wrote: how can we make it more fun?
make it make sense
I'll try my best but I'm not always super great at that
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Post Post #898 (isolation #3) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:19 am

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In post 891, Psyche wrote:
In post 888, the worst wrote: how can we make it more fun?
Can you claim? Then I'd love to get your reads on stuff. Can even back and forth if you're one of those people who are into that.
I'm a vt.

I haven't read much yet my first impression is that HPE really wants to win this game. A back and forth will probably help me get my reads up to date where should I start?
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Post Post #901 (isolation #4) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:29 am

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I'm on page 4 and ausuka is already town
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Post Post #903 (isolation #5) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:31 am

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That's helpful to know, thank you. Actually asking for guidance was kind of goofy of me esp given there's like an entire 5 people alive and it's yeetlo so I'm gonna do my own thing & not listen anyway
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Post Post #905 (isolation #6) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:41 am

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I came in on my toes and I'll go out on my toes. unless I'm tired. I was never much good at ballet.

pg 6 update I like your replace in. Klick's vote on Deus was pretty half cooked and I'm really into the cakez wagon. I realise it was not correct but I feel the spirit of it.
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Post Post #906 (isolation #7) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:42 am

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I also forgot to hit submit on another thing but I liked ausuka's initial vote on cakez & the way she interacted in earnest w deus feels really authentic.
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Post Post #908 (isolation #8) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:04 am

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D1 is a really annoying read I'm taking my time tbh. It's not an issue with any personality either. It's like, this game so far has been really interesting and polarising but it feels like everyone is voting the same people, not many meaningful questions are being flung around and there's like 3/9 people who are playing the game while everyone else is like "cursory observation *disappears*"

this might be uncharitable I just keep seeing tiny stuff that I would've yelled abt if I'd been here at the start of the game
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Post Post #909 (isolation #9) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:05 am

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In post 907, HighPrincessErinys wrote: as someone who knows that we lose if its voted out today, we should probably kersplode gypyx
which scum teams do you see as viable?
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Post Post #910 (isolation #10) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:10 am

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In post 238, schadd_ wrote:
vote count 1.3 !


Robert2424 (4):
Snow2697, T3, Layla, SirCakez
SirCakez (2):
Ausuka, Psyche
Psyche (1):
Gypyx
Political Clout (1):
Robert2424

not voting (1):
Political Clout


with 9 alive, it takes 5 to pickle someone's peppers. day 1 ends in (expired on 2024-03-26 04:08:11).


moderateur notes
  • e


[.....treetrunk..]
[.........tree...]
[.......an.......]
[....t...t.......]
[....r...........]
[....e...statue..]
[....e......tree.]
[...........pond.]
[.........pond...]
[................]
[................]
[................]
[.........bush...]
[flowerbush......]
[..patchofgrass..]
[...bush...bush..]
it feels uninteresting but noteworthy that the entire wagon on robert at this point was town. I can't read robert to save myself esp on d1.

huh maybe that's part of the apathy I'm feeling interesting
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Post Post #912 (isolation #11) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:21 am

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I'm starting to pick up a bit of momentum so I'm gonna try to not see anything else insightful until I catch up

I like your point that a lot of like, ostensibly towny players, on d1 are reaching the same reads even though those reads are not consistently correct. like either scum is comfortable w the status quo or scum do not have a way to establish revised status quo I guess.

I can already feel myself feeling like this game is solved but I think the universe is telling me to proceed a lot more cautiously w assuming you & ausuka are both town
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Post Post #913 (isolation #12) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:27 am

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In post 380, SirCakez wrote: people talking about n2 watcher being a bad claim - like yes no shit. Why would I claim this as scum? So many better options
this is kind of accurate tho
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Post Post #915 (isolation #13) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:30 am

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I see why the cakez wagon happened and I'm not sure I would've had the same opinion on day 1 honestly

The gypyx cw feels really good

T3 would have been like, my new strongest townread, I think. I guess T3 is still tied my strongest townread.
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Post Post #916 (isolation #14) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:33 am

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In post 407, schadd_ wrote:
vote count 1.final !


SirCakez (5):
Ausuka, Gypyx, Robert2424,
Snow2697
, Psyche

Gypyx (3):
SirCakez
,
T3
,
Layla

Robert2424 (1):
Political Clout


not voting (0):



with 9 alive, it took 5 to pickle someone's peppers.


moderateur notes
  • .


[.....treetrunk..]
[.........tree...]
[................]
[pi..t...........]
[.dg.r....an.....]
[..eoe...statue..]
[...ne......tree.]
[...........pond.]
[.........pond...]
[................]
[................]
[................]
[.........bush...]
[flowerbush......]
[..patchofgrass..]
[...bush...bush..]
:skull:
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Post Post #917 (isolation #15) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:33 am

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we should probably lim on wagon.

[pause for laughter]
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Post Post #918 (isolation #16) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:34 am

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I'm going to let my thoughts on the hammer post roll around in my head a little longer I think
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Post Post #922 (isolation #17) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:38 am

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In post 919, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 909, the worst wrote:
In post 907, HighPrincessErinys wrote: as someone who knows that we lose if its voted out today, we should probably kersplode gypyx
which scum teams do you see as viable?
This is a real bitch of a question to answer because you and gypyx is unlikely, but then that leaves only me and gypyx or gypyx and The Other Consensusly Townread Slots. like. yikes.
just having reads on slots isn't going to help anymore - town need to find pairs of two players who can be scum together to eliminate to win the game.
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Post Post #923 (isolation #18) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:39 am

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DEEPWOLF :detective:
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Post Post #926 (isolation #19) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:42 am

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In post 920, Psyche wrote:
In post 918, the worst wrote: I'm going to let my thoughts on the hammer post roll around in my head a little longer I think
woah that's the most believable rationale for scumreading me that i've seen so far
I think in a vacuum I understand the hammer post. feeling absolutely correct on cakez when he had a claim that was clearly diffusing the pressure on him a bit would feel not very good.

I also think if I was scum on d1 here and *knew* cakez was town he would be a deeply annoying person to have cleared and treated like town. particularly if e.g. I had a partner who wasn't exactly swimming.

I'm also wary that a d1 tpr claim doesn't get you ~cleared~ exactly and if scum are confident enough they can just leave a n2 watcher alive into yeetlo and kinda hope for a guilty so they can push back lol BUT if scum are in any kind of trouble of losing a member and d1 then a n2 watcher is an instant loss condition
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Post Post #928 (isolation #20) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:44 am

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there's also this tremendous spectrum and on one end is conspiracy and the other is text as written and I don't have all that much time to assess where on the spectrum I exist or where I need to exist so that's neat and cool I guess
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Post Post #930 (isolation #21) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:46 am

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In post 924, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 922, the worst wrote:
In post 919, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 909, the worst wrote:
In post 907, HighPrincessErinys wrote: as someone who knows that we lose if its voted out today, we should probably kersplode gypyx
which scum teams do you see as viable?
This is a real bitch of a question to answer because you and gypyx is unlikely, but then that leaves only me and gypyx or gypyx and The Other Consensusly Townread Slots. like. yikes.
just having reads on slots isn't going to help anymore - town need to find pairs of two players who can be scum together to eliminate to win the game.
psyche/drew

shrugs the mightiest shrug of all time
My d1 reads are usually not fantastic but like dang that would make me so sad

Is there anything about Psyche & drew that seems like, aligned or specifically working to get each other to a winning endgame, from your pov?
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Post Post #931 (isolation #22) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:47 am

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this game is crazy lol isn't this game so crazy? wow I sure can't solve it hehe lol
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Post Post #932 (isolation #23) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 11:53 am

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In post 930, the worst wrote:
In post 924, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 922, the worst wrote:
In post 919, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 909, the worst wrote:
In post 907, HighPrincessErinys wrote: as someone who knows that we lose if its voted out today, we should probably kersplode gypyx
which scum teams do you see as viable?
This is a real bitch of a question to answer because you and gypyx is unlikely, but then that leaves only me and gypyx or gypyx and The Other Consensusly Townread Slots. like. yikes.
just having reads on slots isn't going to help anymore - town need to find pairs of two players who can be scum together to eliminate to win the game.
psyche/drew

shrugs the mightiest shrug of all time
My d1 reads are usually not fantastic but like dang that would make me so sad

Is there anything about Psyche & drew that seems like, aligned or specifically working to get each other to a winning endgame, from your pov?
This isn't scepticism btw I genuinely feel like I need a check on Psyche & drewsuka. there's this like kinda simplistic world where the scumteam is you/gypyx and that's right some of the time but if it's not right this time I kind of need to check myself.

Psyche's d1 is mostly pretty solid but it gets content and I do see a world where scum views that hammer as a considered necessity. I also trust Psyche to know Psyche well enough to know whether the hammer is redeemable or not.

Ausuka's handling of d1 wagons feels really pure - I liked her play around Deus like, a lot. I like the way she approached Cakez and in broad strokes I tended to either agree with or at least vibe with most of her reads. She was also just really low presence by the end of d1 so I probably need to see more from her/drew on d1 to feel like, phenomenally confident.
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Post Post #933 (isolation #24) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:02 pm

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In post 419, Gypyx wrote:
In post 415, Psyche wrote: oh in retrospect its only a little better than a null read
i liked his soliloquy about voting cakez enough to not want to lim him that day
still wonder if there's anything to anyone's votes on him
i don't think i ever saw anything really articulated
I kinda like how psyche corrects himself in answer to me asking for more, as if he really didn't think about how to present this read (which is a step that scum kinda has to go through)

the reaction to the wagon also looks very much content focus? like, i'm not saying effort = town but i feel like he cares more about the votes being hard to extract content from
In post 420, Psyche wrote: it seems pretty easy to write a believable interpretation of my posts on this page that convey the opposite take so i guess i should credit you for not doing that
In post 421, Gypyx wrote: Psyche we have to tone down our theater a bit i fear they'll be onto something
I'm onto u two.

I kind of think I'd have voted gypyx for this post on d2.

a better takeaway for solving yeetlo is that gypyx is either tmi-img a fairly unnatural position to reach or gypyx has just had a moment of divine intervention. psyche's reaction feels tangibly relieved. so I guess what I'm getting at is I specifically don't think this chain of posts comes from a psyche/gypyx scumteam.
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Post Post #934 (isolation #25) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:07 pm

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In post 431, Psyche wrote: by the way, me trying to draft a post and not pulling it off is at worst only around as bad as actively deciding to just float through the game and hope everything turns out okay
actually I guess promising to write the post is weakly positive because that felt like something psyche would specifically benefit from at the time. not following through tends to be a decision or indecision which is not connected to the promise which I don't think is alignment indicative given there's just no enthusiasm about solving the game at this point. gamestate very underdeveloped.
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Post Post #936 (isolation #26) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:13 pm

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I don't actually think that post is AI fwiw, Psyche is right though and I thought it was funny
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Post Post #938 (isolation #27) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:44 pm

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Potentially. The other voice in my head is like "what if psyche just townreads ausuka". Do you think psyche's reasoning feels pretty believable and authentic overall?
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Post Post #939 (isolation #28) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:47 pm

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In post 435, Gypyx wrote: Snow is obviously struggling but i kinda like where his head's at in a general sense, there's also a few smaller towntells here and there

actually it's PC who i'm getting my eye on right now (as well as robert but this read is getting a bit stale)

PC seems very complaceant and happy to keep the game in it's state of semi-stagnation, the insistance on Psyche and the cakez post for instance really feels like willingly going down a dead end
This read feels really underdeveloped tbh I know it's my slot so I'm a bit biased but PC was the one who pushed a half baked wagon to e-1, I'm not sure how that's consistent with trying to enforce a glacial gamestate. PC just feels busy.
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Post Post #940 (isolation #29) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:52 pm

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In post 439, Psyche wrote: think gypx/robert has better likelihood of the combos that seem plausible. despite signposting a robert scumread a few times, she missed the wagon when it had momentum and settled on cakez instead. but i could afford to take a closer look at wagon status across her posts to further examine these ideas.

gypx/snow back and forth by comparison doesn't seem very likely to be scum talking to scum but this is a vague take
I did not piece things together this concisely really good point.
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Post Post #941 (isolation #30) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 12:53 pm

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In post 444, Psyche wrote: pc's posts on page 14 read as a sincere attempt to shift momentum toward a robert lim
thank you!!!
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Post Post #943 (isolation #31) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 1:07 pm

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Gypyx is seeing something I fundamentally do not see. It's also about my own slot but I don't know why she would think PC was pro stagnant gamestate and I also don't fully understand why she would think that would work as an angle I'm just left kinda confused
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Post Post #944 (isolation #32) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 1:10 pm

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In post 942, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 938, the worst wrote: Potentially. The other voice in my head is like "what if psyche just townreads ausuka". Do you think psyche's reasoning feels pretty believable and authentic overall?
Yeah.
I generally think it's pretty hard to fake an authentic seeming read on someone you know that you're scum with, so I'd probably in the abstract call that a point against an ausuka/psyche scumteam. Its also a little hard to fake authentic sounding reads as scum but it's obviously a skill that you'd want to develop so I think I'd call it a point against psyche being scum too
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Post Post #945 (isolation #33) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 1:10 pm

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Or maybe it's not necessarily "hard" but it increases cognitive load step by step by step until your brain starts breaking
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Post Post #953 (isolation #34) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 9:54 pm

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In post 946, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 937, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 932, the worst wrote:
In post 930, the worst wrote:
In post 924, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 922, the worst wrote:
In post 919, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 909, the worst wrote:
In post 907, HighPrincessErinys wrote: as someone who knows that we lose if its voted out today, we should probably kersplode gypyx
which scum teams do you see as viable?
This is a real bitch of a question to answer because you and gypyx is unlikely, but then that leaves only me and gypyx or gypyx and The Other Consensusly Townread Slots. like. yikes.
just having reads on slots isn't going to help anymore - town need to find pairs of two players who can be scum together to eliminate to win the game.
psyche/drew

shrugs the mightiest shrug of all time
My d1 reads are usually not fantastic but like dang that would make me so sad

Is there anything about Psyche & drew that seems like, aligned or specifically working to get each other to a winning endgame, from your pov?
This isn't scepticism btw I genuinely feel like I need a check on Psyche & drewsuka. there's this like kinda simplistic world where the scumteam is you/gypyx and that's right some of the time but if it's not right this time I kind of need to check myself.

Psyche's d1 is mostly pretty solid but it gets content and I do see a world where scum views that hammer as a considered necessity. I also trust Psyche to know Psyche well enough to know whether the hammer is redeemable or not.

Ausuka's handling of d1 wagons feels really pure - I liked her play around Deus like, a lot. I like the way she approached Cakez and in broad strokes I tended to either agree with or at least vibe with most of her reads. She was also just really low presence by the end of d1 so I probably need to see more from her/drew on d1 to feel like, phenomenally confident.
In all honesty Psyche's reasons for townreading Drewsuka seem overall pretty good but like this one's said before alot of it is perhaps Drew using Ausuka's strong posting as a smokescreen. Like his vibes are good but this one doesn't think his content is as good. Would need to properly check in on that idea, though.
Psyche commented on it, but what are your opinions on my take about the voting pattern I pointed out yesterday? And why it still makes a gyp/PC team possible

Also since I am now Drewsuka, I am trying to find a good name for PC and the worst.

the worst poilitics
Politically worst
the worst Clout

I got nothing
Worstical Clout is the best I could think of, drewsuka came so naturally
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Post Post #954 (isolation #35) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 9:55 pm

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In post 947, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 944, the worst wrote:
In post 942, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 938, the worst wrote: Potentially. The other voice in my head is like "what if psyche just townreads ausuka". Do you think psyche's reasoning feels pretty believable and authentic overall?
Yeah.
I generally think it's pretty hard to fake an authentic seeming read on someone you know that you're scum with, so I'd probably in the abstract call that a point against an ausuka/psyche scumteam. Its also a little hard to fake authentic sounding reads as scum but it's obviously a skill that you'd want to develop so I think I'd call it a point against psyche being scum too
I have been at work, but skimmed today's posting and your catchup

Like why is this something you are considering?
I'm talking thru HPE's perspective bc I haven't quite worked out where they're coming from yet
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Post Post #955 (isolation #36) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 9:55 pm

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where it's coming from yet*

Sorry.
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Post Post #956 (isolation #37) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:08 pm

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In post 525, schadd_ wrote:
vote count 2.4 !


Political Clout (2):
Gypyx, HighPrincessErinys
Psyche (1):
T3

not voting (4):
Snow2697, Psyche, Ausuka, Political Clout


with 7 alive, it takes 4 to scrimble. day 2 ends in (expired on 2024-04-04 16:37:01).


moderateur notes
  • prodding snow2697


[.....treetrunk..]
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[....e...statue..]
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The PC wagon is a lil surreal I don't vibe with gypyx's read on my slot like, at all, but I think I don't mind HPE's read on my pred. I also wonder how natural it is for scum!HPE ti replace in, see its partner Gypyx slowly wind up to a vote on PC with an awkward explanation, then thoroughly talk through its own read on PC just to justify jumping onto a wagon with only its scumbuddy on it
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Post Post #957 (isolation #38) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:14 pm

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In post 526, Ausuka wrote:
In post 507, Psyche wrote: think scum gypx is capable of seeing the value in pushing a snowtown case at this step in the game though yeah it has town equity
i mean i think most people are capable of doing most things as scum. in this game in particular i think it's difficult to read into things because scum aren't being, like, forced into things. which like i will hold my hand up and say yeah that's partially my fault but it's still true

i think it's like a counterintuitive thing to do as scum so +town
I keep rereading this post like why does it feel like ausuka was forced to paraphrase Psyche's post at gunpoint

I guess it's possible she just had no strong feeling I guess
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Post Post #958 (isolation #39) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:17 pm

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In post 531, Psyche wrote: T3's opposition to the cakez wagon seems robust. Dived into meta, produced reasoning about cakez's claim that seems like it should have been even more compelling in retrospect. If it were just white-knighting, I think the townread would have either been half-hearted or been motivated more by gut / town / leaky reasons. The swap from Gypx to Robert for counterwagon purposes also seems organic. Is unfortunate for me, but think my T3 townread is in "I'm willing to bet the game on this" territory.
+2 posts above I'm just calling it I really don't think you're scum this game.
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Post Post #959 (isolation #40) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:19 pm

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In post 534, Psyche wrote: also think it unlikely that layla would have been killed N1 if her reads were bad
and all of layla's posts put robert and gypx at the bottom of her reads lists, with clout/snow safely perched above three other candidates, and only below obvtown

further think there's a lot of informational value in limming robert's slot if we can neither clear it nor agree on someone else
this post should include a take on HPE's current iso but it doesn't, vry disappointing
I'm not sure it's as easy to sheep dead town in micros tbh but I'll grant this.
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Post Post #961 (isolation #41) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:23 pm

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In post 540, Psyche wrote: i sort of want to give HPE the game
but i've felt that way about scum before

maybe the most important part of the iso to look at is the basis for the PC read
oh i think i see an error
Can you remember what inspired this?

Ah I wasn't even thinking pr fishing. Layla also felt p wildcardy while reading up.
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Post Post #964 (isolation #42) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:27 pm

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I feel like HPE has a lot of surface level takes and can't seem to commit to reads, afaict this is a theme in the pbps and also its solving this phase
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Post Post #966 (isolation #43) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:29 pm

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I still get the lump in my throat a lil if I slow down long enough
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Post Post #967 (isolation #44) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:32 pm

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In post 562, Psyche wrote: can i get more opinions on T3?
am i right to townlock him despite these recent posts? is the trajectory of his psyche read believable?
it's so stubborn

huh. maybe I actually secretly like the stubbornness of gypyx's posts a little bit.
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Post Post #968 (isolation #45) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:36 pm

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In post 598, HighPrincessErinys wrote: snow flipping scum might resolve PC, also. So yeah, let's see this guy flipped today, please.
Where did this come from?
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Post Post #969 (isolation #46) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:40 pm

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In post 613, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 612, Psyche wrote: i will now go through the trouble of summarizing my towncase for PC in a single, decently formatted post
if my confidence in this towncase can be broken in a way that makes snowscum way less likely, i'll push off
otherwise i'll spend the rest of the day trying to form a town bloc with drew and (???) T3
Honestly, I would be shocked if HPE isn't town
In post 615, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 614, Psyche wrote: can you list out all your "i would be shocked if" takes
You, and maybe Gyp
Wait how x2
I get psyche
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Post Post #970 (isolation #47) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:43 pm

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In post 630, Gypyx wrote: Plurality lim anyways so we aren't actually needing to hammer but like, i urge y'all to look at HPE
I do like snow's vote change to HPE here and I'm not super sure I see the value in Gypyx encouraging folks to join her on HPE.
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Post Post #971 (isolation #48) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:43 pm

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In post 633, Gypyx wrote: "-if no majority is reached by the deadline, whoever has the most votes is executed. if there are multiple tied wagons, i will choose randomly between them"
Gypyx is aware of the risk of calling for even one more vote on her buddy
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Post Post #972 (isolation #49) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:48 pm

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Has everyone claimed at this point? Low-key I've finished d2 and I feel caught up
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Post Post #974 (isolation #50) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:52 pm

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I do not think psyche is scum.
I don't super love the gypyx/hpe solve. It just feels like they've made some strange decisions if they're scum together
Specifically on d2, HPE talking itself onto a wagon Gypyx was championing, then Gypyx calling for tying votes on HPE at end, feels...actually fuck maybe this bus makes a lot more sense than it felt in the moment. I guess an HPE/Gypyx team is actually p vulnerable and doing some weird shit to distance does make sense.

The point I wanted to make is that i townread ausuka earlier and I don't really feel all that strongly about that read anymore.

pedit: oh no maf? cool let's go get ice cream
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Post Post #976 (isolation #51) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:57 pm

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Valid. I'm a bit of a sceptic about solving out of ELo content at all but I guess my entire read on drew so far has been some brand of "this sure is drew"
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Post Post #977 (isolation #52) » Thu Apr 11, 2024 10:59 pm

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Just posting for my own benefit there's like 3.25 days left before deadline so I'm not like, in a frantic rush
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Post Post #980 (isolation #53) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:36 pm

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In post 978, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 968, the worst wrote:
In post 598, HighPrincessErinys wrote: snow flipping scum might resolve PC, also. So yeah, let's see this guy flipped today, please.
Where did this come from?
snow and PC were throwing hands
ah like there's no chance snow & PC are aligned

I missed "flipping scum" and kinda thought you just said snow's flip would solve my slot
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Post Post #981 (isolation #54) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:36 pm

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I also kinda hoped I'd wake up and the scumteam would have said sorry and resigned
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Post Post #983 (isolation #55) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:40 pm

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In post 982, Psyche wrote: how about let's just mindmeld and see how that goes. are we agreed about gypyx at least?
aaaaaaahhhh I think so
maybe I'm slightly more inclined to go HPE
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Post Post #985 (isolation #56) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:42 pm

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Honestly all things considered I think I'm just looking for gypyx/hpe to *not* be the solve. when I revisit like hpe finding a way onto gypyx's wagon and gypyx calling for votes on HPE actually kinda makes sense. I also think we should be looking a bit closer at drewsuka though and I'm not confident on who drew has better partner equity with.
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Post Post #986 (isolation #57) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:43 pm

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Drew had better townread me my heart is on my sleeve rn :sob: :sob:
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Post Post #988 (isolation #58) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:45 pm

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Drew, Gypyx and HPE what actually are your team solves? I can help y'all if you want a creative thinking exercise or something

pedit: actually you're kinda right
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Post Post #999 (isolation #59) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:55 pm

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In post 989, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 986, the worst wrote: Drew had better townread me my heart is on my sleeve rn :sob: :sob:
Sorry, but not really lol

You have seemed towny since your repp in, but I have seen that song and dance before

Psyche

HPE

Worst
Gyp(though you could flip flop these two)

Still feel confident this is it
how have you got HPE so high? if it's poe I would love some info on why you actually think my slot is scum
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Post Post #1000 (isolation #60) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:56 pm

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that sounded combative that was meant to sound inquisitive lol sorry
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Post Post #1003 (isolation #61) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:57 pm

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In post 996, Psyche wrote: but why does drew even persist this discord if he's scum? i think it can only make sense if gypyx is also scum.
literally drew/gypyx is a solve but I'm going to have to find HPE if it's town and that terrifies me
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Post Post #1005 (isolation #62) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 12:59 pm

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In post 998, Psyche wrote:
In post 996, Psyche wrote: but why does drew even persist this discord if he's scum? i think it can only make sense if gypyx is also scum.
the reasoning is that if flipping gypyx wins the game for drew, all he has to do is say "yeah worst is town" and wait for checkmate
point taken.

I do think hpe/gypyx is kind of a slightly weirder solve than drewsuka/gypyx but they're fairly insignificant differences actually I don't know if they're meaningfully different at all
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Post Post #1007 (isolation #63) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:01 pm

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In post 1002, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 995, Psyche wrote: ugghh. i really have a hard time believing you have these reads drew!

talk to me. what's so town about HPE? at least quote a post you're blown away by
Why?

I have been town reading you pretty hard, and hpe to a lesser extent(and yes, there literally is one hpe post I will quote in a moment that when I read it I said 'yup, that one is town's)

So that leaves Gyp and worst to me(which I know we will never agree on lol)
you're making me nervous drew, if you're town then you feel a bit tunnelled. this phase is kind of the last shot you've got to meaningfully reconsider whether your townreads are correct and I really want to hear where you're at with HPE
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Post Post #1012 (isolation #64) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:09 pm

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In post 1006, Psyche wrote: ausuka's iso lowkey leans against a pairing with gypyx but i can't find anything concrete enough to feel convinced. ill look a lttle more closely
I probably won't have a chance to do this over the next few hours. That would be very convenient!! if you're not scum and I'm not scum and gypyx/drewsuka isn't a solve then this game gets really easy for me. also wary that others need a solve which potentially shows me not being guarantees town I guess.

flash forward to a psyche/drew scumteam standing triumphantly in endgame this joke isn't even original hpe had it first but as a read
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Post Post #1015 (isolation #65) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:11 pm

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In post 1009, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 625, HighPrincessErinys wrote: Snow, do you actually have any real input on your voters? Anything you'd like to share with the class? A claim, perhaps?
In post 627, HighPrincessErinys wrote:
In post 626, Snow2697 wrote: And no, I won't claim.
Honey, we're 7 hours to deadline and you're E-1, idk if you have a
choice
on that one.
In post 653, HighPrincessErinys wrote: This one is prettttttttty confident in Snow flipping scum here. As weird and perhaps towntell-y as not claiming and just trying to shrug off the wagon is, Snow is pretty new and hasn't been around all that much this game, it's possible he's just been floundering and didn't have anything to challenge or redirect the wagon with.
In post 654, HighPrincessErinys wrote: Think tomorrow we need to hit T3 with a baseball bat until he shows up again. Or maybe get PC to talk instead of nakedvote. We're really just working on the info of like 3 or 4 players now.
Sorry was of few posts basically right in a row at EOD yesterDay.

This just seems like someone who is not informed, yes you could say they wanted them to claim as a rolefish....but they were basically gonna be the lim either way.

And the last quote about T3, I dunno seemed a bit more odd when I remembered it after the T3 NK(but quoting it anyways since I just mentioned it)
*squint*

I don't even think these posts are scummy I'm just so fascinated by your perspective that I don't even know how to ask you to elaborate

these posts feel so standard issue mafia player to me. at a policy level I don't vibe w the pre-flip associatives & think planning the following day in advance (outside of mech solves) is p detrimental. I don't think it's alignment indicative though
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Post Post #1017 (isolation #66) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:12 pm

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In post 1013, Psyche wrote: we wouldve limmed you before replacement if it was me/drew
actually true.

pedit: feeling so bullied rn
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Post Post #1018 (isolation #67) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:12 pm

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is pc/gypyx a solve?
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Post Post #1021 (isolation #68) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:15 pm

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just cursorily rereading PC's posts I feel like he was kind of fascinated by gypyx. his input to the game outside of the snow vote starts & ends with a gypyx vote. he asks her questions and asks people about her. I don't really get partner from it. I'm mobile posting but maybe I'll do gypyx > pc.

pedit: yeah,,
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Post Post #1024 (isolation #69) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:17 pm

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In post 435, Gypyx wrote: Snow is obviously struggling but i kinda like where his head's at in a general sense, there's also a few smaller towntells here and there

actually it's PC who i'm getting my eye on right now (as well as robert but this read is getting a bit stale)

PC seems very complaceant and happy to keep the game in it's state of semi-stagnation, the insistance on Psyche and the cakez post for instance really feels like willingly going down a dead end
In post 443, Gypyx wrote: btw what makes you reject a robert / PC pairing? that's the conclusion i'm getting at but it's more based on PoE than anything really
In post 518, Gypyx wrote:
In post 516, Psyche wrote: still think PC-scum is hard to fit in with other possible scumreads
don't really see people weighing that sufficiently, and his play is not sufficiently scummy on its own to justify that
need to think over that but i guess even if it was true it would not make me fully give up on scum PC
In post 590, Gypyx wrote: it was me !

To be fair like, i'm not fully convinced in my towncase myself, it's more of a 20% scum read (default would be 40% in our context) but i'd really be happier if we tried PC / HPE
In post 687, Gypyx wrote: leaning towards PC / HPE (especially considering how hard it has been to get this pairing over) but i'm not disregarding Drew yet, T3 though i doubt he's scum

it's been gypyx's sole mission in life to make PC nervous sweat as much as possible drew can you please re-evaluate how much you think me/gypyx is actually the scumteam?
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Post Post #1029 (isolation #70) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:24 pm

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In post 526, Ausuka wrote:
In post 507, Psyche wrote: think scum gypx is capable of seeing the value in pushing a snowtown case at this step in the game though yeah it has town equity
i mean i think most people are capable of doing most things as scum. in this game in particular i think it's difficult to read into things because scum aren't being, like, forced into things. which like i will hold my hand up and say yeah that's partially my fault but it's still true

i think it's like a counterintuitive thing to do as scum so +town
I actually got kinda partnery energy from this post I'm sorry. it feels like ausuka is repeating your words paraphrased but also her mouth is full of glue. if she'd prompted this conversation I'd agree w you but it feels stilted and she's just responding.
In post 460, Ausuka wrote:
In post 357, Gypyx wrote: Starting to think you're probably town but also what's done is done

i feel like we have done enough for today, maybe we could've made more but it was also a weird day 1
Gypyx can you explain where your head is at here

Like why did you think cakez was town at this point and why did you not try and go after Robert instead

Also like potentially nitpicky but would you stand by the idea that we did enough on day 1
I kind of would like to ask Ausuka about this but she has been replaced. I don't think this level of probing is out of the question for scumbuddies. I need to check whether gypyx replied & whether ausuka seemed to care about the response.
In post 458, Ausuka wrote:
In post 435, Gypyx wrote: Snow is obviously struggling but i kinda like where his head's at in a general sense, there's also a few smaller towntells here and there

actually it's PC who i'm getting my eye on right now (as well as robert but this read is getting a bit stale)

PC seems very complaceant and happy to keep the game in it's state of semi-stagnation, the insistance on Psyche and the cakez post for instance really feels like willingly going down a dead end
Where exactly is Snow's head at to you
I guess this is a fairly distracting/disqualifying thing to throw at your partner when they're tryna work an angle.
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Post Post #1030 (isolation #71) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:25 pm

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In post 492, Ausuka wrote:
In post 468, Gypyx wrote:
In post 458, Ausuka wrote:
In post 435, Gypyx wrote: Snow is obviously struggling but i kinda like where his head's at in a general sense, there's also a few smaller towntells here and there

actually it's PC who i'm getting my eye on right now (as well as robert but this read is getting a bit stale)

PC seems very complaceant and happy to keep the game in it's state of semi-stagnation, the insistance on Psyche and the cakez post for instance really feels like willingly going down a dead end
Where exactly is Snow's head at to you
well that's exactly the thing, i think snow himself is kinda confused on where his head's at ? in a town way ofc
I don't really think I see this tbh looking at Snow's posts? Like the closest thing to making me think that is the "are there two scums in this game" post which to me does feel like something scum could say pretty easily.

I want to do a more in depth response and stuff but it's really late here sooooo I'll do it tomorrow morning
Ausuka replied to this response but it was the one I was less curious about. idk.
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Post Post #1032 (isolation #72) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:27 pm

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okay look none of this is damning. I don't really expect to find a smoking gun because I'm not finning a smoking gun for any scumteam. just doing the ausuka+gypyx check I don't really want to clear that pair.

pedit: in the abstract I do really want ausuka's d1 to come from town this game honestly.
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Post Post #1034 (isolation #73) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:29 pm

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I'll give you that I'm looking for more certainty than I think it's realistic to ever actually get.
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Post Post #1038 (isolation #74) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:34 pm

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If I can I want to get to a world where I can remove one scum pairing from hpe/gypyx/ausuka and vote the person who appears in both of my solves. I know I'm playing in possibilities more than probabilities I'm just wired peculiarly.

pedit: ugh maybe ausuka is literally just town.
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Post Post #1039 (isolation #75) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:35 pm

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ok I'm overthinking it.

I do think ausuka/robert-hpe is somewhat worse than ausuka/gypyx so I'm kind of inclined to vote hpe at some point.
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Post Post #1041 (isolation #76) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:37 pm

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Ausuka is experienced enough to know to play scum in a micro quickly not to plan for a long game too. This is why I didn't want to read d3 I hate being convinced.
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Post Post #1042 (isolation #77) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:37 pm

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It's helping though.
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Post Post #1046 (isolation #78) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:45 pm

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Intending to vote HPE, speak now or speak after that I guess
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Post Post #1051 (isolation #79) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 1:57 pm

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if your solve is correct, the biggest loss vector is me voting hpe, hpe voting me, drew voting me, gypyx hammering me. if the solve isn't correct, the biggest loss vector fmpov is me voting the town in [gypyx, hpe] and then the scum in [gypyx, hpe] & drew hammering. I guess you can also be scum but I don't really feel like living in any of those universes.

I do think hpe/drew is more likely than gypyx/drew in a manner of like, 67% to 19% to 14% or something.

At some point we're gonna have to prove that there is scum within 2 slots tho and drew tunnelling me seems like a problem whether it's today or in f3.
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Post Post #1057 (isolation #80) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:02 pm

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I literally pedited a vote out.
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Post Post #1059 (isolation #81) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:04 pm

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No rush
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Post Post #1060 (isolation #82) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:05 pm

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Actually there's a world where we use this phase to hammer test drew/gypyx or me/hpe if we want to really lower the odds
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Post Post #1064 (isolation #83) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:15 pm

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In post 1061, Psyche wrote: ok, the flaw im noticing in my reasoning in 1054 is that at the time drew could have chosen to townread you (instead of maintaining his scumread), we were teed up to lim gypyx. And in fact, he might have looked suspicious if he didn't signpost a preference to lim gypyx supposing he did turn out to townread you.

So townreading you probably would have compelled him to back a gypyx lim. Does this push the needle for me though? I guess I already had reasons to reject a gypyx/drew team but it might move the needle for you.
I think this is within the realm of doubt that I've accounted for tbh, like drew/gypyx is a slightly more difficult world to find than drew/hype and you seem extremely confident on this point and I do agree with it a moderate amount but either way I just think HPE is scum and I'm probably going to be here overthinking my partner solve tomorrow.
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Post Post #1065 (isolation #84) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:15 pm

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VOTE: HPE probably not going to find a path to win if this is wrong
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Post Post #1068 (isolation #85) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:21 pm

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I'm probably more nervous than I have any right to be but I don't feel bamboozled so maybe it's just my natural state.
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Post Post #1075 (isolation #86) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:27 pm

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:cold_sweat:
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Post Post #1078 (isolation #87) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:28 pm

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you can use discord emoji codes e.g. : cold_sweat :
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Post Post #1080 (isolation #88) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:31 pm

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Beats me. I hope not.
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Post Post #1082 (isolation #89) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 2:34 pm

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I'm not scum. I'm like second guessing how likely we were wrong on drew/gypyx right now.
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Post Post #1087 (isolation #90) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:15 pm

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I hate claiming scum until the game is called but I felt so so so so so bad.
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Post Post #1088 (isolation #91) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:15 pm

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Ausuka is overpowered its unreal
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Post Post #1090 (isolation #92) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 3:19 pm

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I generally think the threat of roles is a much more interesting game mechanic than actual roles but I'm pretty pretentious so I'm getting ready to sound silly
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Post Post #1106 (isolation #93) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:40 pm

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I do think gypyx was a bit lost and HPE was like, solving this game in a different way but potentially had a very different rate of finalising a satisfying final solve to what you had. Ausuka had already shown her slot as one which is quite capable of competing with an active gamestate. I think hopefully I'm okay at doing that too. I do think it was pretty hard for town to find each other here.
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Post Post #1115 (isolation #94) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 7:57 pm

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In post 1112, Psyche wrote: It seems possible to do this in a way that doesn't just come down to gut, and it would have detected drew this game too, as well as potentially upweighted how much I valued some discrepancies I found in ausuka's D2 play. But it seems easy to get hung up on certain town this way too — like cakez's case on deus that in retrospect was probably so flawed bc of motivated reasoning / animus against deus as a player. Maybe just keeping awareness of these other potential motives for disingenuous behavior can pump up success rates along this path too.
i think no matter how one approaches scumhunting, there's always false positives. there's a lot of merit in that more logical method (what actually makes a scum?) and there's always interesting anecdotes like the activity tells that were really popular a few years ago. i also think activity & scum habits tend to shift with site meta as much as individual meta so sometimes looking for objective signs of scumminess can also be a bit of a fast moving target

i also don't think your method has much to do with seeking objectively scummy tells so much as a logical approach to forming a basis which you apply more flexibly. i'm also ruminating a bit i suppose.

as much as i tend to say my reads are just like, based on a vibe or the energy of a particular state of the game or something like that, i think there's a lot of brain-thoughts which inform a lot of those gut reads as well.
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Post Post #1120 (isolation #95) » Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:03 pm

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This set-up is so cool. Thank you schadd. I'd totally play this same thing but w 8 scum vs 2 town
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Post Post #1128 (isolation #96) » Sat Apr 13, 2024 9:53 am

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I do enjoy the thought of being able to venge that darned townie who caught u

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