Open 570: Making Friends and Enemies (Mafia Wins!)
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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Aw yes
The good news: I'm town
The bad news: I'm on vacation in Chicago still, will be back Monday night
Will wait till the SO is asleep at night to make posts, will be back regularly at work lunchtime on Tuesday-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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Back
Zeb (but he's replaced) is town. He saw the partner "slip" (which in my opinion is not a scum slip, but a slip of trying to be funny in his post style) from Metal. In my opinion, that was an attempt at a scum hunt.
Mala's attempt at trying to meta someone well enough (I think Mala goes into meta during the past few pages) is enough of a town read for me.
Toffee is also town. There was a part where he was into it against Metal Sonic, but I've seen enough town v town arguments, to where you notice how they break down, because two townies realize they're butting heads with each other.
Shinobi's reactions to Toffee are scummy. Especially hist post 70 (sorry I don't have time to do linking ATM, I just got back and I need to get to bed soon).
I have a read on Metal Sonic, but I need to ask goodmorning something because I don't want to influence what she says:
goodmorning, what is your read on Metal Sonic? As in, what is your reading of him right now at this point in the game (town/scum, smart/annoying, clever/daft, etc).-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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In post 475, Malakittens wrote:Can you explain that town read on me please because it does not make sense.
Same as I said before, I think it's genuine scumhunting when you spend time trying to figure out someone's alignment using meta with them in the past. In general, I take effort put into the game to be more townie than scummy (not that it's set in stone, as goodmorning wishes to appeal to everyone), and I'm working off of that.
Does it worry you that I give you a town read? Am I possibly buddying you?-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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In post 509, davesaz wrote:TBH the sites where I've played before almost never used that role and therefore I'm not used to thinking about it.
Do you consider yourself a veteran of Mafia and general?-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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hephaestus what concerns you about Josh? You pinged him in 463
In post 463, hephaestus wrote:Hmm, Josh why are you voting Peabody?
There's often a distinction in the difference between town and scum asking questions, and I want to know your motivation behind it. In your ISO, this random prod to Josh pops up.-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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davesaz is town, as is metal sonic.
heph is anti-town, but still town.
goodmorning is still a good vote (i have a weird gut that says town goodmorning would be a lot less brash and more helpful other than saying I'm trying, but for the life of me I can't find which game/s we shared for evidence), and plus there's confirmation bias from voting MS.-
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In post 622, Scripten wrote:uctriton00: Why do you read Heph as town?
Meta.
Unflattering meta, but meta. When he's vanilla townie, he is like, incredibly unhelpful. But when he's scum, he actually tries much harder.-
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In post 660, Scripten wrote:Case on NPAU
Jumpy vote hopping (All of his votes so far have apparently been serious, as per (105)): (33) (105) (224) (320) (439)
Finds MS unlikely to be scum, (224) but, despite MS's playstyle not changing, he considers him scum by (521). Yet, he barely pushes at MS, which is a marked change from his other accusations. I also did not notice him voting MS. Considering how much his votes have jumped around, this is inconsistent, especially when he jumps onto GM in (634). After all, if he was changing his playstyle because it made him look scummy, he should have stopped vote-hopping by that time. (If he was town, stopping scummy behavior would have made sense. Even if it cast suspicion on him, it would ultimately make the game clearer for the town. Scum thrive in confusion.)
There's some scummy wording and opportunistic attacks in those posts, too.
I also find it interesting just how fast the NPAU wagon broke up and how fast the GM wagon grew at the same time. I'll go back and see where votes changed from one wagon to the other and check if my thoughts match up.
This is a good enough post to make Scripten town if NPAU was lynched and flipped scum today.-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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i am "vi" reading hephaestus and am town reading BBT, I don't think they're the scum.
NPAU put it on L-1, and that's a gut shot bet that scum can get away with that. (There's no science to prove that D1 L-1 is a scum spot, although someone like Wake can try to calculate that out for us one day, cause I'd be interested in that stat as well).
And I'm town too so yeah, this is a fine counterwagon.
Vote: NPAU-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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In post 688, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Does this mean you're town-reading GM?
I'm reading them not being on the same team don't you agree-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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although if NPAU flipped first and flipped scum then GM would be conftown already (pretty sure I'm not alone in thinking that)
NPAU, regarding your 701, it looks like you very clearly do say that MS made a scummy post, you can't say that he makes a scummy post but is not a scum. You've used the term anti town before, so if you meant anti town, you meant anti town. You repped it as scummy back then. My vote stays on NPAU.
If NPAU flips scum, then I can see a scum partner saying exactly what 703 said. It's not a sure thing, it's a gut shot, but damn, it's incredibly uneasy to read that.-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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Your 729 answers it. I think if we are right on NPAU being scum it sets up some people to be town.
GM for same reasons why I've said I don't think they're on the same team.
Scripten for that well thought out case on NPAU (I would doubt its worth it to bus on Day 1 with 13 players, and I doubt a bus would have that much effort Scripten put. In my personal cases of bussing, usually it's some half assed sentence or idea, not a thought out case like that)-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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In post 751, Shinobi wrote:I've discovered that uct is scum and you should vote him with me.
hi there reaction test-
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In post 741, davesaz wrote:If NPAU showed up as town, would that change things? That was what I was really asking.
Why the heck wouldn't it?-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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I slept on it and thought about it the rest of the day, unfortunately there's no update. I'm just not seeing the town motivation behind anything being said right now.
Bar him cueing up a total backtrack right now (which he basically gave up his only out of calling it a reaction test, and has said that it's a straight scum read), I don't see how his poking is town motivated. I've wrapped it around my head for a while and still can't see it.-
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In post 764, davesaz wrote:The reason it doesn't swing all the way to town for me is that scum could make the same point that Shinobi did in order to cast doubts on the townpeople on the NPAU wagon to deflect suspicion from a buddy.
Do you see town motivation in Shinobi's posts, esp. the latest ones where he started stabbing at me?-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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^^^ Actually hold on, scratch that, I'd prefer you don't answer that until Shinobi comes in and speaks, I don't want him to parrot off anything you or anyone else has to say.
Hold onto the thought and come back to it later.-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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Also ISO'd huntress because I don't think I've ever talked about her yet.
At first I'd agree that she just sits and asks questions (which is the easiest way to play scum IMO, but that's a whole other discussion) which is suspicious, but her calling out the NPAU vote on her is good. If NPAU was scum, and probably bussing or something, they would at least get a bit more "into it", i.e. a bus usually looks more legitimate than a very dim passive interaction. I'd call her probable town too, using the power of more speculative associative reading.-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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In post 791, Shinobi wrote:I'm going to hold on to my case for a while, because how it turns out depends on how you answer my next few questions.
That answers that.
If you had an actual case or backing behind your vote, why not share it?-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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My case on shinobi: he took my saying and applied it against me. I said, you either lynch scum, or if you're wrong or if the wagon feels bad, you go to the wagon and find the bullshit vote.
Shinobi says "you're the bullshit vote".
I ask him "why am I it". His reasoning:
1. I don't have to explain anything to you
2. good morning, vote him
3. Fucking lol
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There is nothing of substance in that case. No analysis, no evidence of a theory, no logical thought progression. I called him out saying it's likely a reaction test, but he denies it's not, implying that there's a reason behind it.
I think you lied about having a case, just to make a vote on me, and now you're trying to rally votes (at least you tried recruiting GM), to possibly "blame" them for it later on. In fact you'd love to lunch me as town, then you'd analyze my wagon saying you'll try to pay homage to me by attacking someone on the wagon, and you'd get another mislynch probably.
Ladies and gentlemen, this is why I think Shinobi is scum. He lied about having a case, and is trying to randomly get people on it without substance.-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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Shinobi you implied you didn't want to answer the question or post your case, you said you're not required to answer.
Please do post your case then, sorry to cut you off.-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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Here is where my genuine annoyedness came from; I spent the whole day thinking that Shinobi had a reason for voting me (other than being a reaction test). I'm like, well maybe he's scumhunting. But Shinobi responded saying it's not a reaction test (meaning he has a case on me).
I was trying to see your town motivation in not just outright saying what your case was. Yet you BOAST that "i'm gonna get people to vote you" and even start rallying goodmorning to put votes on me, even when you haven't said anything.
You then said "I don't have to explain anything to you". That's even more annoying, I just want to hear your case. I'm keeping the thought in my back pocket that you are scum trying to hide your thoughts. One scum strategy is to manipulate what someone says and twist it (I did it in Mini 1365, sorry I'm too lazy to link it, just meta it from me) when you don't have an organic case against someone.
When have I ever said "I will not answer any of your questions that you ask me, Shinobi?"-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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Sorry it was Mini 1315: Theatre Mafia
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... er_sort=Go
Basically I began picking on people with no cases or follow ups (was on Psyche and Smudger for a bit) and tried to basically mud them. Kinda hard to get just by reading an ISO but it was definitely my thought process as scum
1. Put a vote on someone
2. Get reactions from them
3. Run those reactions through mud
4. Make a case based on #3-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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In post 822, Shinobi wrote:The issue is that uct's reasoning completely falls apart if NPAU is town. In theory, town lynches are all illogical because lynching town inherently makes no sense. Uct's reasoning for his scumread boils down to "it sets people up to be town" which is nothing more than convenience for the sake of convenience.
The primary reason for voting is NPAU being a scum read. If NPAU is town, then I start all over.
Heck, look at this completed game: I hammered mathbandit because I thought he was scum.
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 2#p6102032
Turns out mathbandit flipped town, so I was wrong. I'm like, ok well damn, let's go rethink my logic.
The associative reasoning, that's allsecondaryand is not the primary motivator of lynching NPAU.
I'm not lynching NPAU for an info lynch (which is what you are implying). I don't have a town read on NPAU at all. I'm lynching him primarily because I think he's scum. Associative reading is *not* set in concrete; they could have night 1, day 2, night 2, day 3, night 3, etc.-
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In post 815, Shinobi wrote:1) I called you scummy because of reasons that I haven't yet disclosed.
2) You flipped out and said I have no town motivation for anything.
3) I asked you a question, and you still haven't answered it because I haven't posted my case.
4) You made a case which I've already debunked.
5) You came up with more reasons to vote me because of things that you did in another game.
You're making it impossible for me to get a good read on you because I really can't tell where you're coming from. You can't call someone scum and come up with reasoning afterwards because that doesn't make sense.
As for your proposed scumteam, I've already come out with reasons as to why I would vote NPAU. Why is it that you think that I'm his scumpartner if I already said I'm totally willing to vote him?
Alternatively, if I'm not scum, who is and why?
Here is my view on your 1-5
1) You called me scummy but didn't say why (we agree)
2) I flipped out and said I have no town motivation for anything (because I'm wondering what the heck is going on, and am thinking you're scum trying to save NPAU. As town, I would have thought you would have asked me questions to try to sort me out, but instead you claimed you had a set case and wanted everyone to vote me instead, yet never posted a case. I *would* have retracted this idea HAD you posted your case last night, but instead you came in and said "I don't have to explain anything" which is dumb.)
3) I missed it; answering it now: the scum motivation is that you said you had a case on me and started voting, instead of immediately sharing it.
4) You haven't debunked anything
5) It's called making a theory
This is going back to my original point: "I don't have to explain anything to you".
That is scummy beyond belief.-
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Why could you and NPAU be scum together? Imagine NPAU is scum, and then a counterwagon attempt was brought to try to derail it, started by Shinobi.
Is any of this fact? No, we have no facts whatsoever. I could be wrong all over the place. This is called playing Day 1 Mafia.
I think you asked me who else could be scum. Hell I have no idea who else could be scum. I have a few town reads based on some associative reading, but nothing firm yet. I know I'm town, that's about it. I can tell you who my no lynch pool today is: MS, Mala, Scripten, Goodmorning, Heph, and maybe Huntress, even though I spent all of 1 day reading that ISO.-
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Forgot BBT is in the no lynch list for me as well
In post 824, Shinobi wrote:His reasoning for voting NPAU is "it sets people up to be town."
Nope.
I'm going off the idea (not fact, just an idea) that goodmorning is a town, and the wagon was bad. I looked and the only one that seemed plausible to be on it (assuming it wasn't an all-townie wagon) was NPAU. There's sheeping in there for me because Scripten did make a good organic case and I liked it so much that I followed it.-
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NPAU is scummier; the Shinobi case's standing is that he's bringing a fake vote on, with motivation to get off NPAU
I'd still want NPAU lynched, and would be willing to Intent if he ever gets to L-1 one day-
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uctriton00 Mafia Scum
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In post 835, Shinobi wrote:You are never going to convince your target that they are mafia. That is simply not how this game works.
I reread this like 3 times but am assuming you misworded it. "You are never going to convince your target that they are mafia."
What are you talking about? Are you saying I am trying to convince you that you are Mafia? Are you trying to convince me that I am Mafia? What? As far as I know, all I did was ask "Shinobi, why am I the bullshit on the wagon? Why is it me?"
I'm mad at you because you simply said "I don't have to explain anything to you". That to me is scummy.-
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In post 861, goodmorning wrote:I need to eat something, but main Shinobi problem: case a bit weak, reluctance to share not great. main uct problem: prodding people is absolutely not antitown and he needs to explain why he said that.
It wasn't a prod, it was him saying "lets lynch this fuck"
You can't read his abrasive language and think it was a townie prodding for info-
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In post 862, Shinobi wrote:Mala wagon isn't happening, so if we could just not.
@GM: So what if my case was weak? I thought it was strong. I pushed it and I figured out I was wrong. What's the problem with that?
Can you rehash everything you learned please, I'm not getting why you think I'm town as opposed to before all of a sudden when you cursed me out-
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And it would be nice if you did it in an easy to understand format, with your "case" to boot again
This wouldn't be just for me, this would be for everyone to read. You wouldn't mind doing that now, thx.-
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In post 841, Shinobi wrote:In post 839, uctriton00 wrote:In post 835, Shinobi wrote:You are never going to convince your target that they are mafia. That is simply not how this game works.
I reread this like 3 times but am assuming you misworded it. "You are never going to convince your target that they are mafia."
What are you talking about? Are you saying I am trying to convince you that you are Mafia? Are you trying to convince me that I am Mafia? What? As far as I know, all I did was ask "Shinobi, why am I the bullshit on the wagon? Why is it me?"
I'm mad at you because you simply said "I don't have to explain anything to you". That to me is scummy.
So am I scummy because you're mad at me or am I scummy because I play the game differently than you?
You're scummy because you are acting scummy and pretty flaky. I'm trying to follow your logical thought processes and I don't get it, I'm worried you're trying to fake things and make up stuff you don't really see. So yes, it answers both.
And also address that slip I quoted of you; what do you mean "you are never going to convince your target they are mafia". Who is convincing who? When did that happen?-
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In post 899, davesaz wrote:Now, is NPAU really the right target? I think, without looking back, that a lot of the case was on inactivity, which is really easy to target.
why does this feel bad to read out loud-
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In post 901, Malakittens wrote:Well reading back to BBT's one link I just realized that Uct never did answer a question in regards to Heph and his meta.
What was it, I missed it then-
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Plus I'm still waiting on a Shinobi response; he posted earlier today, and I'll give him benefit of the doubt that he's at work.
Just hope that I don't get a "I don't have to explain anything" scummy response again. Rehashing the question again:
"What was your original case on me, and how did it change to a town read all of a sudden?"-
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In post 907, Shinobi wrote:I just really don't feel like dealing with you.
If both NPAU and Shinobi are scum I'll glady vote myself out the very next day in a blaze of glory because this is hilarious as ****.
This guy seriously won't answer a simple question.-
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In post 911, davesaz wrote:In post 905, uctriton00 wrote:Plus I'm still waiting on a Shinobi response; he posted earlier today, and I'll give him benefit of the doubt that he's at work.
Just hope that I don't get a "I don't have to explain anything" scummy response again. Rehashing the question again:
"What was your original case on me, and how did it change to a town read all of a sudden?"
In post 907, Shinobi wrote:I just really don't feel like dealing with you.
Can we have a refresh? Someone wants a question answered and the other one refuses to answer the question because the asker hasn't posted something. Can't recall who is asking, who is refusing to answer, and what the various cases are.
Dave, reread my post and tell me where in there you don't see me asking the question to shinobi-
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In post 931, Metal Sonic wrote:if i replace out and request access to spoilers i think it would make it very easier wouldn't it
i just want to know if im right
If Shinobi or NPAU isn't lynched I'll join you-
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In post 937, davesaz wrote:Because if you're town and think you have caught scum, why even think of replacing out? If you're town and think you're right about town, you'd stay to play the next day and catch the scum on the wagon.
When a player pool is collectively deciding to not participate or take a side then it's inactivity and that's how you let scum win
Tired of inactivity
Someone just come in already and comment on my case in Shinobi (other than the passive as **** "oh it's town v town") argument. Give words and reasons behind your opinions.-
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Huntress sorry I keep missing stuff if you ask I'm just miffed that more people down weigh in on something I think we clearly need to address
He'll if Shinobi is town then it's in my meta I'm totally willing to admit I'm wrong but that's neither here nor there because I think I'm right but would at least like outside opinions
To answer your 870. The one vote bothers me because it didnt look backed up at all (I know Shinobi goes "yeah look at post number blah blah", because if it was a genuine vote, Town would have zero problem reiterating it when challenged. Simply put, if you're a townie and you have an idea, you easily spit it out and share your logic when someone asks. Shinobi decided to go "I don't explain anything" and is now trolling along because he knows he has 0 outside pressure, which I'm applying for people to put.
My early scum read came from a catch up when I was joining the game. Did you want me to go over them?-
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