White Flag - TM2020
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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No I expect him to figure out that all the people pushing you/Dann are town. Look at that wagon on you Day 1.In post 3373, Auro wrote:What gives you that confidence?
You said Molla was dumb for pushing you today, why will he not be dumb at LyLo? I quoted a recent enough post of him suspecting Dong which isn't an associative with you, and thus independent of your flip. You expect Molla of all people to go "Oh cheeky is town, lemme sheep her read"?-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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The confidence came from your reaction to me putting you at L-1 with gobbles in the thread/PoE of teams/your hedging on reads of everyone except Dann.
I wouldn't talk to someone putting me at L-1 one lynch away from Lylo like I was talking them calmly off a ledge. I would be furious and confident they were scum from that point on. You're still hedging a read on me to suit a scum agenda while you look for a way out. It's pretty simple. I'm 100% sure you're scum so you don't need anything from pops.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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No because he has Math screaming at him I'm scum. He needs me dead to wake the eff up and actually see what's going on here.In post 3376, Auro wrote:But you wouldn't expect him to figure that out without your flip?-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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Dann don't you get the feeling Auro knows people's alignments?
I feel like he isn't genuinely reassessing anyone. At first glance one might assume this is ubecause he was tunneled on gobbles but he's since indicated that he expects his own read to flip on that slot.
He hasn't attempted to sort the alignments of those who are voting him such as Dong and FF, instead Auro chooses to attack the arguments as wrong. This leads me to believe that he doesn't need to know if these votes are coming from scum or town, he just needs to discredit the arguments for his own appearance. You could say he's leaving his options open as you accused me of earlier. I direct you to exhibit A: Auro refusing to give reads prior to anyone else.
Aside from Auro demonstrating disregard for actual sorting, he has offered to be lynched, gladiator style, twice now. Sure I'm an emotional, impulsive player, but Auro accuses me of stupidity when he believes town would listen to his reads after death. He's not that stupid, rather he thinks that by pairing himself with you or I, either of our flips might clear him -(if town!dann). This false offering is clearly a show of bravado that he thinks might buy him some towncred. The benefits to a town player making this offering < the benefits to a scum player gambiting.
If you could explain how Auro's behaviour today comes from town I'd like to hear it.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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Auro who was scum that could have piled on in this hypothetical?In post 3052, Auro wrote:Reminder that FF put me at L-2. Scum can easily pile on and derp hammer again. FF should know this.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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In post 3178, Auro wrote:Why would FF+Dong come into the day antagonizing me when I'm tunneled on Gobble?
Auro can you answer your own question in quote 1 and share the reasons you thought FF was townier in quote 2?In post 3183, Auro wrote:Cheeky/Me works better for a paranoid win. A Gobbles town flip would lend me a LOT of scum equity.
I think FF is townier for a few reasons, I'll make a note in sometime. While it shouldn't matter in theory, LyLo shenanigans are still a thing.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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Gut. I've been more than transparent on my thoughts on FF D1, it's the majority of the beginning of my ISO. I've pointed out a couple of towny posts but I'm more concerned about Auro rather than confidently townreading FF. I still think he has decent scum equity however I don't think Dunn dies before you if FF is scum.In post 3450, Dannflor wrote:Cheeky, why did you lockscum FF D1 and why has that reversed since?-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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Auro has more partners and is definitely achievable. Are you not trying to find scum?In post 3524, BBmolla wrote:
More possible partners, more achievable lynch than youIn post 3513, CheekyTeeky wrote:BB are you just omgus voting Dong here? Can you talk about why Dong is scummiest than me?-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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I scumread Dong D1 because of their scummy af push on my entrance. I lost the scumread after their NSG hammer. Dunn dying over Dann/Auro makes sense from a Dong team. The constant promising of content makes sense from scum holding on. Pushing Auro today is bold and town indicative because Dong dies tomorrow if Auro is town. So this read is a mixed bag for me.
Possible Dong partners are gobbles/FF. Most likely FF so if Dong flips town it doesn't really clear much because FF/gobbles FF/BB FF/Dan Gobbles/Dann Gobbles/BB are still possibilities.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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I've said previously that it really looked like she didn't know NSG was scum.In post 3580, BBmolla wrote:
Why?In post 3578, CheekyTeeky wrote:I lost the scumread after their NSG hammer.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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Dong wasn't a feasible lynch until just now? FF could be Dongs buddy?In post 3581, BBmolla wrote:If FF is scum, why does he instead try to get the harder Auro lynch over Dong?
Auro is the easiest lynch today and has been until Dong.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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What?In post 3583, BBmolla wrote:Like I genuinely can't fathom how that makes sense here. You could say "because Dong is scum too" but in that case lol yknow?-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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I thought we didn't do that in public? Lol what are you talking about?In post 3600, Formerfish wrote:
Cheeky has to do a thing and then i can talk about this.In post 3577, BBmolla wrote:
what does this meanIn post 3575, Formerfish wrote:
I cant say the thought hasnt crossed my mind. Cheeky will know why soonish.In post 3574, BBmolla wrote:If Dong is town do you really think we're not going to catch Auro and his partner tomorrow?-
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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>.>In post 3572, Formerfish wrote:I dont like the dong wagon, I think its auro and you guys are just being bowled over by how much hes posting.
I get that my word here doesnt mean much, and i wish I could say more about why I feel this way, but I cant.
I dont know why scum hasnt pushed there seriously before, maybe they were afriad thta dong was playing possum, I did like dongs case against Auro.
Does dong try to pocket me by casing Auro like that?
<.<
Also that hammer is mine.-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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Why?In post 3646, Dannflor wrote:I think Gobbles is town now-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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Does this impact your read on BB?In post 3644, Dannflor wrote:No one should be town reading Former Fish-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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What would your solve be if there was a town flip?In post 3669, BBmolla wrote:Well if it’s not I’m still good to end the day, I want this lynch. If I’m wrong I’m truly sorry but I think we can solve this in LYLO if there’s a town flip.-
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CheekyTeeky
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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In post 1195, Dannflor wrote:it seems pretty likely there’s at least 1 scum within nsg and FF due to nsg pushing FFIn post 1196, Hopkirk wrote:NSG can easily flip scum but that's still 40%ish at best. FF has scum equity with Gobble/Dunn but feels town taken on his own.
Hop 'hoppop' hopIn post 1197, gobbledygook wrote:How does FF have scum equity with me?
Here's a flashback.In post 1198, Hopkirk wrote:Dong I scumread, and this may change when I actually read the last dozen pages, but I remember everyone seeming to scumread him. I also remember someone saying he wasn't getting voted/there was resistance, so I can easily be mistaken and this is subject to change on an actual non drunk catch up.
Hop 'hipkork' hopkirk-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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In post 1228, Dunnstral wrote:She said her team thought gobble was scum and then said FF is the only wagon she can see flipping scum
And then she won't answer to numerous inquiries about what is going on
Plus her play when she comes back is pretty blatantly scum-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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In post 1273, Dannflor wrote:Why didn't Dong vote Former there
Oh boo that's lame. He knew he wasn't hammer.In post 1274, Dunnstral wrote:^ And Dong is posturing around voting Former, yes-
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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CheekyTeeky Survivor
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