In post 1887, Almost50 wrote: In post 1854, Liger_Zero wrote: In post 1852, Almost50 wrote: In post 1735, RCEnigma wrote:You become a direct CC to Alchemist at that point who is claiming a guilty. If wisdom flips town there then your read doesn't matter mechanically. If you believe Alchemist is fake claiming there, meh as town he gets himself killed on a mislynch. He's a better player than that.
So you knowing that you are not a cop, continued to press that alchemist's ACTUAL guilty could possibly be wrong because you had a hunch wisdom was town.
If you're town here I don't mind testing out gambits, it's how you get better, but figure out how to bail when you are impeding on towns wincon.
Right now I'm reconsidering everything and building new theories based on what has been revealed, and Liger could be scum if
scum were informed there was no Cop
. That explains why he claimed unprompted on D1, why he specified his target beforehand. Why he wasn't shot on N1 (or N2). I mean, everything!
Umm I am pretty sure I could be scum regardless of that being informed or not....
@Liger (and also those who asked why I thought he was conf!town earlier): I am treating Liger as a good player having a bad game (regardless of alignment) as opposed to someone who really sucks at Mafia. This is why I am trying to build narratives that make more sense for him having brain farted this one time rather than being totally incompetent.
For example, a townie faking Cop clear = would be exposed if dead. It is bad if the target (Wisdom) flips scum or if a real Cop either CC's or gets flipped, but will still prove it was a fake clear. It could be withdrawn later on if it feels like things aren't going the way they were planned.
Now SCUM faking a clear on their partner directly gets them lynched right after their p. It doesn't protect their p if they (Liger) flip first. It makes no sense for scum to claim Cop not knowing if there is a real Cop in the game or not.
So, while the claim was bad it is much more worse play to come from scum still. I see no benefit to it, and -knowing Wisdom was scum regardless of who else is in there- I don't see him approving this kind of silly suicidal gambit.
Faking an innocent result on Wisdom is a risky play for Liger_Zero regardless of his alignment. The question is, does town!Liger or scum!Liger stand to gain more from the gambit? I would argue the answer is clearly that scum!Liger gains far more from the gambit (if it is successful) than town!Liger does. Scum!Liger would potentially be able to indefinitely falsely town clear Wisdom, or at least delay his lynch with the fake innocent result. If Alchemist hadn’t investigated Wisdom on night one, then Wisdom most likely would not have been lynched on day two given Liger’s fake innocent result. The only benefits to town!Liger are really 1) he might have been able to bait the nightkill and 2) he could have stopped someone he was townreading from being mislynched.
I don’t think this kind of gambit is at all likely to come from town!Liger. He mentioned wanting to bait the nightkill (
1716), but by fakeclaiming investigative on day one and saying that he would investigate Wisdom, he was discouraging the real investigative(s) from investigating Wisdom (especially if said investigative(s) were townreading Liger). And I find it hard to believe that town!Liger would be townreading Wisdom so strongly over his day one play that he would consider it appropriate to come out on day two and fake an innocent result on him. If town!Liger believed that strongly that Wisdom was town, why not simply trust that the real investigative(s) would investigate him and resolve the issue? It should have been clear to town!Liger based on the events of day one that Wisdom would be the priority investigation target given the BP claim. Again, here he was just discouraging the real investigative(s) from investigating Wisdom because they assume Liger already has that covered. Fortunately, Alchemist still investigated Wisdom anyways.
This clearly wasn’t just about baiting the nightkill either (as Liger claimed in post
1716), because on day one Liger lied about being an investigative who planned to investigate Wisdom, and then on day two he
extends
the lie by claiming to have gotten an innocent result on Wisdom. If he was simply baiting the nightkill, then he would have revealed that he isn’t really an investigative role at the beginning of day two; not on day three after Wisdom has already been lynched. And he certainly wouldn’t have lied about getting an innocent result on Wisdom if this was all just about baiting the nightkill. Not only that, but even
after
Alchemist came out with his guilty result on Wisdom (
1573), Liger
still
showed resistance to lynching Wisdom and maintained his lie about getting an innocent result on him:
In post 1599, Liger_Zero wrote:I really don't think this role thing is gonna help us here. I want some substance not this other business. I want to leave this Wis/Alch/Me on side for a day or two. I think it will sort itself out.
Alchemist, who else are you scumreading?
What is town!Liger’s motivation in maintaining the lie at this point? Alchemist had just hard-claimed one-shot gunsmith and a guilty result on Wisdom. Town!Liger knows that his innocent result was fake. Even if he had suspicions of Alchemist being scum, he
knows
that his own claim is fake, and he doesn’t know that Alchemist’s claim is fake. And yet he still maintained his fake innocent result on Wisdom and acted as if he was confused as to how he and Alchemist could have possibly gotten different investigative results on the same person, and he tried to shift attention away from Wisdom by saying things like “I want to leave this Wis/Alch/Me on side for a day or two”. He only voted for Wisdom (
1639) after it was essentially a foregone conclusion that he would be lynched due to Alchemist’s guilty result.
If Liger came out at the beginning of day two and just admitted that he isn’t an investigative role and that he was hoping to get nightkilled, that would be one thing. But where he loses all credibility is when he goes on to not only fake an innocent result, but also challenge Alchemist on his guilty result.
The most likely explanation for all of this is that Liger_Zero and Wisdom are scum together, Liger gambitted by publicly declaring that he would investigate Wisdom and then faked an innocent result on him to try and prevent/delay his lynch, and the gambit backfired because Alchemist investigated Wisdom.
- Volxen
YOU. MUST. CONSTRUCT. ADDITIONAL. PYLONS!