Open 748: Jungle Republic - Over!
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Auro Survivor
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- Location: India
It's worth taking the 1/3 chance of hitting WW.
Let's talk reads.
Rebut my case on McQueen.-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
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Does a WW really push a kill on someone scum reading them? I feel like that's just obvious. Personally, I'd rather take on the 1v1 than making it that obvious.
Then again I don't know McQueen as a player. If he were Steve McQueen, he'd be a man's man, though.I've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.-
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Auro Survivor
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Umm, the best NK candidates are those who are townread, and are on the right track. You personally might do that but scum almost always just kill the person most likely to go after them. There's another reason I think why GL was NK'd (which leads me to suspect another player as wolf but I'll case that after McQueen).
Anyway, that's the weakest of my reasons and just supporting my main case. Do you agree with the bulk of my numbered case?-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
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Auro Survivor
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GuiltyLion was NK'd because of a weighted combination of these reasons:
1. He was one of the most competent players on the playerlist
2. Pretty townread; or if not was in the process of it, as he was actively solving the game
3. Had generally correct reads.
4. (Will list this next game day)
It's probable in this case that (1) and (2) hold a lot more weight which is why it's not a *main* reason I'm pushing McQueen.-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
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I'd also say that chances are WWs are probably people not fully familiar with GL, in general. I know he was a strong town voice yesterday, but, in multiball, you can probably get someone that proficient at scum lynched based on pure paranoia.
Dude is absurdly good at scum and I hate it. (Love you, GL)I've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.-
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Auro Survivor
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That would apply if people were > average townread; in this game there are a LOT of scummy slots. For scum it's worth killing a competent strong voice.-
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Auro Survivor
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Besides, if you're agreeing with my case on McQueen, vote there please.-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
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VOTE: McQueenIn post 582, Auro wrote:Besides, if you're agreeing with my case on McQueen, vote there please.
Sure.
By the way, I think the town block is Auro, A50, BuJaber and one other slot to be named later.I've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: New York
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: New York
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: New York
Unless we get a Boggart and then set it on everyone and see which person makes it turn into the moon. For me, it would be like a giant lobster. Lobsters are terrifying.In post 585, brassherald wrote:I think town hunting may be the strat here, because I sure as hell do not know how to figure out if the scums are mafia or WW, and associatives are out the window until one of them flips.I've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.-
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Vedith Survivor
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I really like this post. Most likely town too.In post 583, brassherald wrote:
VOTE: McQueenIn post 582, Auro wrote:Besides, if you're agreeing with my case on McQueen, vote there please.
Sure.
By the way, I think the town block is Auro, A50, BuJaber and one other slot to be named later.
VOTE: McQueen
Lets do this!I claim scum \o/-
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Bambi Jay Mafia Scum
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Auro Survivor
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He's at L-1 I think and I don't want a quickhammer there; I'll unvote for now.
I'm up for posting reads lists in the A50-proposed fashion. If everyone agrees to do that, I'll start.-
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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Town
{Vedith}
{Hydra, BuJaber}
{Bambi, BrassHerald}
{A50, Egix}
{RosterFoster}
{McQueen}
Scum-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
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- Location: New York
Yeah, I'm not doing this.In post 591, Auro wrote:Town
{Vedith}
{Hydra, BuJaber}
{Bambi, BrassHerald}
{A50, Egix}
{RosterFoster}
{McQueen}
Scum
I believe someone will remember me bitching about these in the past, and my refusal to make one still stands.I've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.-
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Auro Survivor
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- Posts: 11076
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- Location: India
The rationale is for seer to effectively crumb results without giving away who the seer is, in case seer is NK'd.-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: New York
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Auro Survivor
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- Posts: 11076
- Joined: October 9, 2018
- Location: India
Eh, changed my mind again actually, screw it.
VOTE: McQueen-
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Egix96 he/himMafia Scumhe/him
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Almost50 Monkey Business
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@Auro: Funny that you'd say GL was shot for his reads and then decide you want to lynch mcqueen when GL's last post was:
In post 433, GuiltyLion wrote:wolves I say take a shot in {brassherald/foster/bambi} if they're not on your team and you're trying to thin down Mafia
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: New York
But, this is his guess for a mafia team. McQueen not being on the list helps the case, buddaroo!In post 597, Almost50 wrote:@Auro: Funny that you'd say GL was shot for his reads and then decide you want to lynch mcqueen when GL's last post was:
In post 433, GuiltyLion wrote:wolves I say take a shot in {brassherald/foster/bambi} if they're not on your team and you're trying to thin down MafiaI've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.-
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Almost50 Monkey Business
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A;sp. funny that you've claimed Mafiaat least four times nowand nobody commented on it. The last was when you said ynching wolves is a 1/3 chance when (from a town PoV) it should be 2/9 (excluding your own slot). From a Mafia PoV though it is 2/7 indeed (close enough) and if you have identified the Seerit is indeed2/6 = 1/3
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.
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