Mini Normal 2139: No Flavor Allowed - Game Over
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Ircher He / Him / HisWhat A Grand IdeaHe / Him / His
- What A Grand Idea
- What A Grand Idea
- Posts: 15190
- Joined: November 9, 2015
- Pronoun: He / Him / His
- Location: CST/CDT
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valoneast Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 71
- Joined: May 1, 2020
In post 287, LuckyLuciano wrote:If you are assuming that the person you are testing is scum, you are giving in to confirmation bias. This also ties back to Zulfy's post asking Clidd if there was any reaction I could have given that wouldn't lead him to arguing that I'm town. Clidd didn't seem to have a coherent idea of what sorts of reactions would indicate that I am town, and what sorts of reactions would indicate that I am scum. It felt more like he was scumpainting and he backed off when I called him out on it.
Hmm okay, but don't you have to have a hypothesis first before testing it? When I go into any type of situation I would test against the null hypothesis.
Ahhh, so the fact that Clidd didn't seem to have what a "positive" and "negative" test would look like? That sounds 'bout right, let me reread how his tone changes when he got called out on it.-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: New York
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SirCakez he/himIs A Liehe/him
- Is A Lie
- Is A Lie
- Posts: 28069
- Joined: June 18, 2015
- Pronoun: he/him
I give you a 2/5 stars on netflixIn post 298, brassherald wrote:
I'm sorry you don't like my stand up specials, I also do magic.In post 292, SirCakez wrote:brassherald is not improving my read on the Atarashi slot. Hate that entrance.Brian Skies - "I just wanna say Cakez is an evil mod and this is an evil setup."
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Get to know a Cakez!-
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brassherald he/himJack of All Tradeshe/him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5176
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: New York
I've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.-
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LuckyLuciano Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 2868
- Joined: March 1, 2020
Nope, it's not the only reason.In post 291, Umlaut wrote:
Why is this? Why not support the wagon by voting on it? I get that it would be L–1 but is that the only reason?In post 264, LuckyLuciano wrote:I'm going to keep my vote where it's at for now, but I support the Ragman wagon.-
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valoneast Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 71
- Joined: May 1, 2020
Meh, I know it seemed easier, but I think it's the fact people (and I) see that you had to feel like you NEEDED to bring it up before.In post 285, LuckyLuciano wrote:
It seemed easier to indicate that my posts were near-exact copies of my posts from a prior game that Clidd was in to illustrate the bad faith in his push.In post 279, valoneast wrote:
I think this is the worry we all have, why bother revealing this idea anyways? Why not just NOT bring of this argument. IMO I think you were trying a new move and are genuinely frustrated that people are fixated on this idea that you had to "copy your town game to seem town" for whatever reason that is. Your past posts have been all about defending that, and you sound genuinely annoyed/frustrated. Breadcrumbing (I think that's what is called) a little less obvious next time, if you're actually breadcrumbing.In post 263, LuckyLuciano wrote:You can take my word for it and keep it in mind later in the game when it's more relevant for me to explain myself, or you can push for my reasoning immediately.
Meta refers to a player's overall tendencies, beyond this particular game. The post I'm talking about is,In post 280, valoneast wrote:
Huh? Im not sure what you mean when you say Meta. But I think you're talking about my "theory"?In post 277, LuckyLuciano wrote:Could you clarify what you meant when you said that you, once again, had to clarify that you couldn't participate in meta discussions? As far as I'm aware, that was your first time mentioning it.
When I play mafia in real life, we generally just chat to see how people feel about each other, the idea is that since the mafia does know some information, they might lean heavier to one side or not, and the general public has no reason to lean any side at all.
I remember that playing in my first game here, but that was 7-8 years ago. What I don't understand are the terminologies. So I started this game quite quiet, as I couldn't contribute to people's playstyle, what "Advanced OMGUS" means and such. And I was genuinely confused as to how to even follow the conversation, let alone how to contribute to it. Leading to my little outburst.
Emphasis on the bolded part. You never mentioned that you couldn't contribute to discussions about prior games before, so I'm trying to figure out what you meant when you said, "once again".In post 174, valoneast wrote:Heard my name.
You guys are absolutely going at breakneck speeds here. I know the newb card will get me more flak, but I've been reading every post so far, trying to follow along. I mean, about 50% of the argument is linked to your prior game(s),which once again, I CAN'T CONTRIBUTE IN.
Not sure how you guys play your games, but when I've got something to contribute. I will.
Ah, so once again I was frustrated. The game just started, I got the email late (I was teaching), so I was reading and trying to teach, and I thought that with post #23 I made it clear that I was slowly coming around, and mentioning I haven't played for a couple of years, I thought it meant that you all would understand if I couldn't comment on people's Meta (If I'm using this correctly). And when I got "called out", I was angry since people were still talking about you and your meta, I couldn't actually contribute.-
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LuckyLuciano Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 2868
- Joined: March 1, 2020
Pretty sure the Atarashi slot is town.In post 292, SirCakez wrote:
I'm disengaged :/In post 244, farside22 wrote:
Cakez makes more of an effort typically. The lack of follow through and really good reads or free following thoughts are missing from him.In post 238, Umlaut wrote:
Talk to me about this read because I'm not seeing Cakez scum at all. He could certainly be efforting more (hey Cakez, you really need to effort more) but he just seems like low-energy town. His tone is pretty free and his impressions of the game look natural and unforced, and he's transparent about being sort of lost.In post 235, farside22 wrote:I feel like i did when i created a game where everyone had 2 votes that they could use to either vote a player twice or split their votes between 2 scum reads. If i could do that I'd vote for cakez too right now.
IE: this game not the typical town cakez.
Trying to effort more now
brassherald is not improving my read on the Atarashi slot. Hate that entrance.
I like Lucky's recent posts better. I think it's plausible that he just had foot in mouth.
Klick has done nothing to improve my read there so
VOTE: Klick-
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valoneast Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 71
- Joined: May 1, 2020
Arghhh! It's stuff like this. By your posts and our interaction, you seem genuine and logical. But then you say something like this and everyone raises their eyebrows and all collectively go "Huh? Why?". Maybe this is some advanced play that I don't understand. Maybe there's a "King in the palace" type of role in this open game.In post 305, LuckyLuciano wrote:Nope, it's not the only reason.
... I keep flip flopping on you for reasons like these. XD-
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
I like your comments, but I don't see anything outside of your scum-rage. The reason I'm townreading you is because of your emotional reaction to my push, especially when Zulfy joined the conversation. So basically from my point of view you are a town with incorrect reads about me and I probably feel that my vote on Ragman intensified your feeling that he would be scum on the Scum!Clidd scenario. In this context, your scumreads start from a distorted perception of the game state, which weakens the accuracy of your general reads on the slots, unless, of course, your evaluation encompasses interpretations outside the speculation that I am scum.In post 263, LuckyLuciano wrote:Spoiler: Lucky-Clidd-Zulfy Interaction
Spoiler: Klick's #59
Spoiler: SirCakez' #82
Spoiler: We're back to talking about my opening
Spoiler: Persivul's #144
Spoiler: Klick's 149
Spoiler: Persivul
Spoiler: Lucky's Opening: The Trilogy
Spoiler: valoneast
Spoiler: Reundo
Spoiler: Page 11
I'm most confident on Ragman/Clidd right now. I need to check the votecount real quick.-
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LuckyLuciano Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 2868
- Joined: March 1, 2020
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
Simple: my imagination. In the same way that I can see that you are town scumreading my slot, I can analyze what your scum game would be like.In post 310, LuckyLuciano wrote:Clidd, when have you ever seen me play scum? What's your basis for establishing a scum-range for me?-
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SirCakez he/himIs A Liehe/him
- Is A Lie
- Is A Lie
- Posts: 28069
- Joined: June 18, 2015
- Pronoun: he/him
?In post 307, LuckyLuciano wrote:
Pretty sure the Atarashi slot is town.In post 292, SirCakez wrote:
I'm disengaged :/In post 244, farside22 wrote:
Cakez makes more of an effort typically. The lack of follow through and really good reads or free following thoughts are missing from him.In post 238, Umlaut wrote:
Talk to me about this read because I'm not seeing Cakez scum at all. He could certainly be efforting more (hey Cakez, you really need to effort more) but he just seems like low-energy town. His tone is pretty free and his impressions of the game look natural and unforced, and he's transparent about being sort of lost.In post 235, farside22 wrote:I feel like i did when i created a game where everyone had 2 votes that they could use to either vote a player twice or split their votes between 2 scum reads. If i could do that I'd vote for cakez too right now.
IE: this game not the typical town cakez.
Trying to effort more now
brassherald is not improving my read on the Atarashi slot. Hate that entrance.
I like Lucky's recent posts better. I think it's plausible that he just had foot in mouth.
Klick has done nothing to improve my read there so
VOTE: KlickBrian Skies - "I just wanna say Cakez is an evil mod and this is an evil setup."
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Get to know a Cakez!-
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LuckyLuciano Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 2868
- Joined: March 1, 2020
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
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valoneast Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 71
- Joined: May 1, 2020
Once again, it's fine to read someone based on their initial scummyness, but have you read what he's been doing afterwards? I had the same thought as you, but from reading his iso and his willingness to admit his frustrations, (coming from a guy who was also frustrated), does it not seem like he is actually, just frustrated? He willingly admits this! That can't be a scum thing to do can it? it's just TOO obvious I feel. His explanations do seem well thought out. Even if a bit defensive.In post 309, clidd wrote:I like your comments, but I don't see anything outside of your scum-rage. The reason I'm townreading you is because of your emotional reaction to my push, especially when Zulfy joined the conversation. So basically from my point of view you are a town with incorrect reads about me and I probably feel that my vote on Ragman intensified your feeling that he would be scum on the Scum!Clidd scenario. In this context, your scumreads start from a distorted perception of the game state, which weakens the accuracy of your general reads on the slots, unless, of course, your evaluation encompasses interpretations outside the speculation that I am scum.
Now, you might think I'm defending him, but the fact that he is hiding something does sound off alarms, I just can't imagine a scenario that he's scum!Lucky, but why so many secrets.
Maybe he as scum!Lucky is playing that obviously so that town WON'T lynch. Maybe I'm giving him too much credit?-
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LuckyLuciano Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 2868
- Joined: March 1, 2020
You don't know how heavily I was targeted on my old site. I still talk to Atari outside of mafia on a daily basis. He's my DM in D&D. Scum!Atari would see the easy lynch on me and join it to rub it in my face later. Especially because he knows how much I hate getting misrepped. I only see scum!Atari defending me under some crazy pretense that the players in this game, with how poorly they've handled my opening, would then buy an offsite meta driven push against him after I flip green. I also think that scum!Atari prefers town!Lucky dead rather than alive. I see him defending me as having massive opportunity cost from his perspective.In post 312, SirCakez wrote:
?In post 307, LuckyLuciano wrote:Pretty sure the Atarashi slot is town.-
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valoneast Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 71
- Joined: May 1, 2020
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
Which post are you talking about ?In post 319, valoneast wrote:@Clidd, so help me out. Let's discount that whole initial argument, what do you think about his explanation to me and farside about what he did? Did it seem well thought out, or panicked "omg what have I done?"-
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
I can give you a list of reasons for Town!Luciano in the current scenario, but I would like to focus more on locating who is scum than protecting a townread.In post 317, valoneast wrote:
Once again, it's fine to read someone based on their initial scummyness, but have you read what he's been doing afterwards? I had the same thought as you, but from reading his iso and his willingness to admit his frustrations, (coming from a guy who was also frustrated), does it not seem like he is actually, just frustrated? He willingly admits this! That can't be a scum thing to do can it? it's just TOO obvious I feel. His explanations do seem well thought out. Even if a bit defensive.In post 309, clidd wrote:I like your comments, but I don't see anything outside of your scum-rage. The reason I'm townreading you is because of your emotional reaction to my push, especially when Zulfy joined the conversation. So basically from my point of view you are a town with incorrect reads about me and I probably feel that my vote on Ragman intensified your feeling that he would be scum on the Scum!Clidd scenario. In this context, your scumreads start from a distorted perception of the game state, which weakens the accuracy of your general reads on the slots, unless, of course, your evaluation encompasses interpretations outside the speculation that I am scum.
Now, you might think I'm defending him, but the fact that he is hiding something does sound off alarms, I just can't imagine a scenario that he's scum!Lucky, but why so many secrets.
Maybe he as scum!Lucky is playing that obviously so that town WON'T lynch. Maybe I'm giving him too much credit?-
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LuckyLuciano Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 2868
- Joined: March 1, 2020
This doesn't sound like you.In post 314, clidd wrote:Yes, half experience, half pattern analysis/imagination.
Anyhoo, can you explain why you assumed I would die N1?-
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valoneast Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 71
- Joined: May 1, 2020
In post 281, LuckyLuciano wrote:@farside, it's slightly more nuanced than that. Clidd attacked my opening under pretenses that he knows to be false. He explained that it was a reaction test, but my experience with him doesn't lead me to believe that he's the reaction test sort of player. The timing in which he switched from pushing me to defending me lines up with when I called him out on knowingly making a false attack. I'm also worried that he seemed to have operated under the assumption that I was scum prior to engaging in the reaction test, which doesn't show good faith, and that he seems to believe that I will be killed N1. I'm pretty sure he's said in another game that he would kill me N1 if he was mafia, so him already thinking about that this game is concerning to me. It also requires him to assume that I am town, which doesn't align with reaction testing me, and his presumption of guilt when engaging in the reaction test.In post 285, LuckyLuciano wrote:
It seemed easier to indicate that my posts were near-exact copies of my posts from a prior game that Clidd was in to illustrate the bad faith in his push.In post 279, valoneast wrote:
I think this is the worry we all have, why bother revealing this idea anyways? Why not just NOT bring of this argument. IMO I think you were trying a new move and are genuinely frustrated that people are fixated on this idea that you had to "copy your town game to seem town" for whatever reason that is. Your past posts have been all about defending that, and you sound genuinely annoyed/frustrated. Breadcrumbing (I think that's what is called) a little less obvious next time, if you're actually breadcrumbing.In post 263, LuckyLuciano wrote:You can take my word for it and keep it in mind later in the game when it's more relevant for me to explain myself, or you can push for my reasoning immediately.
Meta refers to a player's overall tendencies, beyond this particular game. The post I'm talking about is,In post 280, valoneast wrote:
Huh? Im not sure what you mean when you say Meta. But I think you're talking about my "theory"?In post 277, LuckyLuciano wrote:Could you clarify what you meant when you said that you, once again, had to clarify that you couldn't participate in meta discussions? As far as I'm aware, that was your first time mentioning it.
When I play mafia in real life, we generally just chat to see how people feel about each other, the idea is that since the mafia does know some information, they might lean heavier to one side or not, and the general public has no reason to lean any side at all.
I remember that playing in my first game here, but that was 7-8 years ago. What I don't understand are the terminologies. So I started this game quite quiet, as I couldn't contribute to people's playstyle, what "Advanced OMGUS" means and such. And I was genuinely confused as to how to even follow the conversation, let alone how to contribute to it. Leading to my little outburst.
Emphasis on the bolded part. You never mentioned that you couldn't contribute to discussions about prior games before, so I'm trying to figure out what you meant when you said, "once again".In post 174, valoneast wrote:Heard my name.
You guys are absolutely going at breakneck speeds here. I know the newb card will get me more flak, but I've been reading every post so far, trying to follow along. I mean, about 50% of the argument is linked to your prior game(s),which once again, I CAN'T CONTRIBUTE IN.
Not sure how you guys play your games, but when I've got something to contribute. I will.In post 287, LuckyLuciano wrote:
If you are assuming that the person you are testing is scum, you are giving in to confirmation bias. This also ties back to Zulfy's post asking Clidd if there was any reaction I could have given that wouldn't lead him to arguing that I'm town. Clidd didn't seem to have a coherent idea of what sorts of reactions would indicate that I am town, and what sorts of reactions would indicate that I am scum. It felt more like he was scumpainting and he backed off when I called him out on it.In post 284, valoneast wrote:
Why not? Isn't the point to see if any scum alarms get alerted when doing said reaction test? If you don't trigger it, then the assumption goes away? I'm confused about this.In post 281, LuckyLuciano wrote:I'm also worried that he seemed to have operated under the assumption that I was scum prior to engaging in the reaction test, which doesn't show good faith-
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clidd Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8348
- Joined: January 18, 2020
- Location: Spain
I felt that you are TPR and I think that if you really are, mafia has probably been able to reason that out, which is why you would die N1.In post 322, LuckyLuciano wrote:
This doesn't sound like you.In post 314, clidd wrote:Yes, half experience, half pattern analysis/imagination.
Anyhoo, can you explain why you assumed I would die N1?
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