SIR Disease Mafia - Game Over!

[Covid 19]

Day 2 VC #12

Creature (1): Quick (3232)
Auro (0):
Hoctac (3): davesaz (2775), Flavor Leaf (3134), TrueSoulEnergy (3148)
5G Tower (0):
Jake the Wolfie (0):
Aristophanes (2): Alchemist21 (2731), mastina (2852)
Quick (3): 50 Judge Powers (2919), Saudade (2924), gobbledygook (3083)
TrueSoulEnergy (0):
Voted (1): Jake the Wolfie (3095)
Alchemist21 (0):
Nahdia (0):
Flavor Leaf (0):
davesaz (1): Nero Cain (2987)
mastina (1): Creature (3241)
Tchill13 (0):

Saudade (7): Nahdia (3229), Aristophanes (3234), Hoctac (3239), Auro (3243), 5G Tower (3348), Tchill13 (3367), Voted (3393)

Not Voting (0): OkaPoka (3446)

With 20 alive, it takes 11 votes to lynch a player.

This phase will end on May 26, 2020 1:00 PM EDT (GMT-4:00) or in (expired on 2020-05-26 13:00:00).

Moderator Notes

1. If you have regular weekend V/LA, you must either notify me each time or set V/LA tags each time.
2.

Please note the prodding rules. You are prodded after 32 hours of inactivity on Tuesday-Friday.

3. If you see any errors in a votecount or in the voting history, please feel free to inform me either in-thread (by bolding) or via pm.
4. As a note, if I'm not around to provide a VC, you can easily obtain one using MathBlade's tool. There's a link to the thread in the opening post of this thread. (Please remember to clearly label all unofficial votecounts as such.)
5. Seeking a replacement for Saudade.

[OkaPoka]

i feel like this game is very hard and makes absolutely no sense until we are at least like 4-5 days in to understand the setup

the only thing that matters right now is for us to not attrition ourselves and burnout to quickly so lets just kill negative equity slots

[OkaPoka]

now i know absolutely nothing about game theory other than pop culture references but consider this: its possibly optimal for both parties to have infected claim and be lynched thereby creating some sort of nash equilibrium variant

the payoff of town lynching infected is not risking lynching a townie

the payoff of scum having infected claim and being lynched is changing another townie into an infected instead of possibly losing scum

and knowing ircher, who is a massive maths fan and to my knowledge is not a epidemiologist, maybe that's the intent of this game, a great game theory experiment

[OkaPoka]

so scum are you in for a win win situation

[Voted]

and i must say

theoretically since infected shouldn't be able to recruit it would be optimal for infected to claim they are infected so we can definitely lynch you because theoretically it would be optimal for town to lynch a claimed infected over anyone else due to nature of more town than scum

so just theoretically its optimal and to your win condition as infected to claim infected and in fact is bannable not to claim infected once you take into account town's mentality just saying

Nah. For town it is better to lynch a player who has a chance of being mafia than a player who has no chance of being mafia.

[TrueSoulEnergy]

Say no to drugs.

[TrueSoulEnergy]

Don’t talk to strangers

[TrueSoulEnergy]

Don’t MB in your mommas basement.
(I’ll stop now)

[Jake The Wolfie]

Say no to drugs.

Drugs: Why not save some for later

TSE: Say no to drugs.

[Aristophanes]

and i must say

theoretically since infected shouldn't be able to recruit it would be optimal for infected to claim they are infected so we can definitely lynch you because theoretically it would be optimal for town to lynch a claimed infected over anyone else due to nature of more town than scum

so just theoretically its optimal and to your win condition as infected to claim infected and in fact is bannable not to claim infected once you take into account town's mentality just saying

Nah. For town it is better to lynch a player who has a chance of being mafia than a player who has no chance of being mafia.

I've been thinking about this, and for now it may be better for town to NL rather than risk lynching a townie, further depleating our numbers.

Unless we are sure we have scum, and until we have a cure, this is probably best!

Tho also one sec, gotta ask the mod a Question

[Aristophanes]

There, I confirmed a thing and the game won't end after endless NLs.

So literally we should be conserving our numbers until we catch scum for sure and/or find a cure!

VOTE: No Lynch

Scumhunting should still occur as normen, but scum can only kill infected this way, keeping our town numbers optimally high!

[OkaPoka]

VOTE: aristophanes

[Aristophanes]

For why, Mr. Poka?

[OkaPoka]

i have a machine learning algorithm that says the chances of you being scum is 63%

[Jake The Wolfie]

i have a machine learning algorithm that says the chances of you being scum is 63%

I have an AGI that's 63% sure you pulled that number out of your anus.

[OkaPoka]

yes its a troll post wow thank you captain obvious

[Aristophanes]

i have a machine learning algorithm that says the chances of you being scum is 63%

Oh. Neat!

So nothing to do with your thoughts on my posts or my most recent stance on gamesolving?

There is no reasonable way to read this.

Ummm
Was 63% your highest output number from said machine? Am I merely one of the lucky ones who you checked out or was this done on everyone? And is this based on a deep meta analysis of a given player or based upon this game in a bubble?

[Aristophanes]

Oh, it was a trollpost

I'm just dumb don't mind me.

Still wouldn't mind a real elaboration here.

[Jake The Wolfie]

yes its a troll post wow thank you captain obvious

*Admiral Obvious

[Aristophanes]

yes its a troll post wow thank you captain obvious

*Admiral Obvious

** Admiral Wolfious

[OkaPoka]

you made bad post and i vote you for bad post

[Aristophanes]

you made bad post and i vote you for bad post

Okie, I can get behind that!

You think my strategy is flawed?

[OkaPoka]

no your strategy is flawless, ircher designed a game to create meta commentary on the destructiveness of mob mentality and lawlessness during a time of societal stress (pandemic)

[Jake The Wolfie]

yes its a troll post wow thank you captain obvious

*Admiral Obvious

** Admiral Wolfious

That's Fleet Admiral Obvious, 4th Wolf to the Royal Throne of Hell to you!

[Nahdia]

am actually mad saudade replaces out as soon as we run him up. i dont wanna add to the pity party but that's like, super demoralizing.

might just deathtunnel anyway. feels like we need more information ie more flips.