Kast wrote:-I'm not clear on what specifically you are looking for in my other games. I think I play fairly similarly as town or scum. It sounds like you want to see some examples of my town play to determine Kast-as-townie also engaged in the behavior that you dislike in my current play style?
Yes; thanks. From a cursory glance fair enough.
Kmd4390 wrote:Plum, I think Rising realized he had a bad vote out and was looking for somewhere to put it and found Dry-fit.
Taking a look back at that . . .
Rereading stuff on evolution of Rising's positions, especially in the theory discussion. Sorry if this contains more info than analysis; I find it personally useful to type out the line of logic and it may come in handy for someone else, so here we are:
Excedrin wrote:If you're saying that scum has to be proven by a case that includes multiple points, then I disagree.
For example, you have a reliable read based on meta that whenever a particular player does X, they're likely scum, then you observe that behavior on the first page.
Actually, I find that scum sometimes does something really obvious at the start of a game and then gradually appears more and more town as the game progresses because they explain away and fix their scummy behavior.
^^ Okay, that's the post Rising objects to. In context of the flow of conversation at that time, Excedrin was explaining to Sigma why he believed it's never too early to try to convince people you've found scum. He elaborates why early-game reads can be extremely significant in finding scum, which is very true (case-by-case basis, but true) and therefore that if one thinks one has found a strong scumtell, even in early stages, starting to convince people that the person who committed the scumtell is scum is entirely appropriate. Furthermore, he adds the last sentence, which comes to indicate further why early-game reads are extremely significant: scum can slip up early and eventually cover up and explain away their early scummy behavior, making an even stronger case for acting strongly on early-game scumtells.
First Rising calls it a trap; he used the word "reinforces" which was clearly misrepresentative of Excedrin's position. He also for the first time calls it a "trap". It clearly was not a trap of any sort; it was Excedrin's view of how to weight early-game scumtells and why not to downplay their importance. He calls the "trap" "not pro-town". But even misinterpreted, why does Rising vote Excedrin on what should be considered a theory disagreement not indicative of alignment? Why did he not at least try to determine whether this was a scummy, manufactured stance or one which Excedrin, regardless of alignment, stands by? He later, in response to me, actually calls it a tell. And implies that it's one of those fairly strong early-game tells we've been discussing.
Rising wrote:Excedrin wrote:vote: Excedrin
becuase I disagree.
He states explicitly that it's because he disagrees and later calls it a tell. So Rising, when did a disagreement with you on theory matters turn into an indication of alignment rather than, you know, a more overarching thing like
disagreeing with you on a theory matter
?
I'm trying to refrain, looking at Rising's posts in isolation, from writing another few paragraphs of frustrated rantings on how Rising is grossly misinterpreting, whether through error or malice, Excedrin's point. Must. Refrain.
[quote="Rising"I think it is a pretty good scumtell and I'd like to hear Excedrin explain himself so that I could get a better read on him.
^^Keeping an eye on that statement to see if anything materialized.
Yeah, and then Rising says that his beef with Excedrin is that he "
justified and over-explained
" his vote on Zito, which was clearly not his problem when he voted him (which was actually that he thought that Excedrin's "I find that scum sometimes does something really obvious at the start of a game and then gradually appears more and more town as the game progresses because they explain away and fix their scummy behavior" statement was what he considered the scumtell and the reason for his vote.
The thing I can see in Rising's favor is:
Rising wrote:uot;]
Plum wrote:it's about being "screwed" if one makes what he considers a strong early-game scumtell period.
If this was a case of a really
strong
scumtell - an actual "mistake" - then of course I would've been fine with it. "Ouch. You did something really bad there, buddy. There's just no way for you to talk yourself out of this mess, I'm sorry. You're definitely the lynch for today." Nothing wrong with that. But when all you've got is a person that didn't post a vote in his first post, and responded with a sarcasm when attacked for it, then it's a completely different issue. I don't think what you just wrote applies to this case - or anything that I've written (or at least what I meant by it)
at all
.
There's a huge difference between:
1. "Hmm... I've noticed scum do this before." - Perfectly reasonable for a pro-town scumhunter.
and
2. "Hmm... I've noticed scum do this before, and they always come up with a good explanation afterwards, managing to explain away and fix their scummy behavior. " - why did this person add that last part? That wasn't necessary for pointing out the scumtell. This sets off my alarm, because scum have a tendency to go ahead of themselves, like proposing chain lynches (another scumtell I believe in).
It's obviously not a
strong
scumtell by any means (not even for day 1) but I would still like to hear Excedrin comment on it.
Here he connects Rising's vote and statement back to Excedrin's actual Zito vote based on what Zito implied he considered a strong early-game scumtell. If he believed, as I'm stating to see is likely, that Excedrin, according to his statement would not let Zito go whether or not he gave a good explanation for his actions . . . he wasn't extremely clear about that in his previous posts:
Okay, so I'm sorta kinda feeling better about Rising's actions now. Next comes the something that made me not want to do this whole recap/analysis earlier because I didn't have the time or desire to see how hard it was to parse through Rising's vote in Dry-fit.
Rising wrote:]
Dry-fit wrote:The reason I disliked his [Sigma's] vote
is because I don't believe Kmd was seriously trying to "convince other players
to vote your lynch target
" at all, and I don't see how his post could have possibly been interpreted that way.
O RLY? Because what Sigma said
when he voted
was "Don't you think it's a little early to start convincing players
that you've found scum?
" That is hardly a misinterpretation, since KMD said "Yep. You're scum. I'm sure of it."
Sigma didn't suggest that KMD was trying to convince other players to
vote his lynch target
until his
next
post, #38, so you're clearly not remembering things right. And if you thought this was such a misrepresentation, why didn't you
say
so in post #43? In post #43 you discussed a
completely different
(and quite silly) issue.
I think you're making this up in retrospect.
Dry-fit wrote:If there's anyone who's overexpaining here, it's you
Yeah, you've convinced me. My case against Excedrin was a bit too much of a stretch, I'm actually much happier with a vote on you.
Unvote.
Vote: Dry-fit
Because Sigma actually posted both clauses ("convince other players to vote your lynch target" and "convincing players that you've found scum?") before Dry-fit's comments and Sigma's actual posts make it pretty clear that he equates the two clauses. It's not in any way a case of Dry-fit "not remembering things right", it's a case of Dry-fit not liking the vote or the little bit that expounded upon the vote/reexplained it. Also
Post #43 does
imply a misrepresentation of Sigma's part to Dry-fit's mind clearly indicated when Dry-fit stated his entirely different (from Sigma's) interpretation of Kmd's post and questions him with implications of Sigma-suspicion/incredulosity at Sigma's interpretation of said post.
Therefore the entire argument starts to look kinda fabricated. You know what I mean? It's quite possible that Rising felt pressured, after his logic regarding the Excedrin vote was shown to be severely lacking by multiple players, to come up with some other case to jump to and making up one which was even worse.
Rising wrote:KMD was just instigating with his
first post
- that's true - but Sigma responded to a later post, where KMD said that he was
sure
that Papa was scum (and KMD
has not changed his opinion since then!
- he does it again in #71). That's how serious he is.
Kmd4390 wrote:Not sure what to make of Plum's reaction. Yes, the original attack was weak. But Plum has been around long enough to know when someone is looking for a reaction. Hmm.
Clear implication that he was not
sure
that Zito was scum and that his vote was more to draw reactions than to vote someone he was certian, or near-certain, was scum. Post #71 indicates that Kmd continued - for reasons other than just his original attack - that Zito was scummy, but not that he was sure that Zito's scum.
Rising wrote:Plum wrote:I will say that Rising, Kmd made it clear that he was not sure Zito was scum
Which is what I meant. Also I meant "considering how you emphasize Kmd was sure that Zito's scum" when that's not the case. Again, if you believe(d) that Kmd thought that Zito was certain scum, what is/would have been your comment on the fact that he wasn't and isn't voting Zito?
Porkens wrote:Ok guys, TOO MANY WORDS. All of the megaposting should stop now. It is detrimental to the town's motivation and ability. I beg you to keep things concise and easy to follow.
unvote
You know, I wouldn't be TOO surprised to see the scum budding up right away. A town-plum shouldn't have defended Zito at all. I can't seem to let that go, despite all the other noise in the thread.
Vote: Plum
At first I twitched a good deal at Kmd because, as I said, I saw similar behavior very recently from Kmd scum. The other bits, where I questioned you and Excedrin, were to gauge how serious you were in your votes and if the reasons for your votes looked legitimate (not scum-motivated) or good (possibly indicative of scumhood in my mind). Along we the other stuff in the thread it got some attention from me especially since sarcasm without context does not, to me, a viable scumtell make. Excedrin's reason for considering Zito's sarcasm a scumtell looked legit and Kmd's looked good, or verging on - I thought it had some merit as an insight.
Kmd4390 wrote:I wouldn't say react less. Just.. I don't think it bothers town as much as scum, so it doesn't distract them from scumhunting. TownZito is better than this. In Boost 2, he was actively scumhunting and recieved one of three boosts (mechanic where players vote to boost protown appearing players) for it. Here, he's managed to suspect two players on his wagon for their votes on him and that's it.
Yes. From what I've heard about Zito, he's a pretty decent player. Not the sort whose suspicions basically boil down to "OMGUS, and yes that's a legit scumtell because the early-stage votes are on me, a Townie". hat is lack of scumhunting or interest in scumhunting and that's a major effective scumtell in my book.
@Zito
: What do you think of Porkens, who has removed his vote from the wagon on you and is now voting for me?[/b]
Jelly, for goodness' sake SHOW UP. Though I dislike Sigma's willingness to turn and lynch lurkers at this point. I generally avoid policy lynches because I still find that going after actual scummy players is better for the Town.
@Locke
: Re: Zito pushing BS:
Plum wrote:The fact that he insists getting on his own bandwagon early was opportunistic and scummy (and that not doing so was a towntell) is pushing BS.
Getting on an early bandwagon - page 2 - is not opportunistic and scummy, especially because at least one of the two gave what looks to me a legit reason for doing so, mostly because page 2 bandwagons that reach three players are not opportunistic. They're game-starting; as Porkens appeared to do it for reactions (nulltell, plenty of motivation as just about any alignment) and Excedrin indicated that it was a slight tell (appropriate for that stage of the game) which I believe to be okay (scum try to dismiss attacks on them as worthless and sarcasm can be used as a tool to dismiss attacks as worthless). It's unlikely to be truly opportunistic (pouncing on a case or wagon with the intent to exploit the opportunity for a lynch) at that stage of the game and it's nearly impossible to discern true opportunism from doing the best you can with the RVS one a Page-2, three-vote bandwagon.
But moreso: Townies mislynch and Townies suspect townies. A heckuva lot. The statement that because someone wasn't on a wagon that was on a Townie is itself a Towntell is completely fallacious.
I bet I could explain that with better wording if it wasn't 2 a.m. and I hadn't been working on this post for around and hour. Toss in Zito's lack of vote and more importantly general lack of real scumhunting (the above OMGUS-genus suspicions above + flavor info don't count as decent scumhunting, what with basically ignoring everything else, a related problem) in this game and I like Zito vote.
FOS: Rising
@Excedrin
: Further thoughts on Zito as he's progressed through the game thus far? New impressions? Reinforced impressions?