Newbie 2001 | Game Over
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Petrichorus Townie
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Petrichorus Townie
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RVS is either okay or awful dependent on who you're playing with imho. I have ran a lot of games of mafia in Meat Space and I find that, discounting lucky rolecopping and kills, you can tell if the townies have a chance by how they react in RVS. If they're being observant and seeing who is 'randomly' voting for who they've got a good chance. Harder to get that tell on a forum though, got to assume everyone is picking up on everything.
Also, Tuxedo Mask is a great name ngl.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Aw man, that love's contagious and rather accusatory. BV You've been on here since I was last playing Runescape, how do you stay sane or have you given up on that?In post 48, bv310 wrote:Man, I haven't played Mafia on here in years. It's nice to see some things don't change.
VOTE: Petrichorus
Gotta spread the Day 1 love around.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Petrichorus Townie
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In post 70, Tuxedo Mask wrote: But I don't wanna tunnel on you, so if other people can start posting that'd be great. I'm very bored in quarantine.
Aren't wagons considered more effective to move out of RVS?In post 48, bv310 wrote:Man, I haven't played Mafia on here in years. It's nice to see some things don't change.
VOTE: Petrichorus
Gotta spread the Day 1 love around.
Thank you for the delightful praise. Looking at the balancing in this game, I'm wary of bringing down the hammer on Day 1. Wagoning to threaten a hammer and then glean information seems to be in the Scum's favour as the best that town will get is that a scum calls basic townie as it is statistically hard to disprove. The best outcome for scum is that a role gets called and is then a target, especially being as it is not in town's interest for their powered folk to either lie or call.In post 70, Tuxedo Mask wrote:And I like Petrichorus's intro.
That said, it's my first game here and I'd love a run down of why you think that Wagoning is a good option day 1 here. I agree that it would draw the day to a close faster, which seems to be the point. My interpretation of your reaction was that you think others would like to expedite the first day, and that their actions to spread the vote around is counter intuitive to that end, but it does raise my suspicions that you seem to be pushing for wagoning.
That said, nice to hear some new voices and Gypyx, nice to have you around.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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To address wagoning. I suppose there is still some value in it as long as there is a credible threat of hammering behind it, so to that end nothing is off the table.
To pick up on something Gyp addresses above, Fwog listing himself as town is suspicious and being defended by 72 is also suspicious. so VOTE: Fwogcarf
Fwog, I haven't played with you before, and it wouldn't be so odd if 72 hadn't come to def. I mean, everyone will outwardly say they're town, but you were asked for your read on other players and read yourself. That said, I'm glad you've done some soul-searching and introspection.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Personally I feel that listing yourself in any reads if it is just generic alignment is redundant, but if that's the rough convention on here then so be it. I don't find that in itself suspicious, apologies if I was not clear enough before.In post 95, fwogcarf wrote: Two things wrong here.
1. Almost ALWAYS people in their reads will list themselves as town if they include themselves. Why would you put yourself as null or scum? It wouldn't make any sense.
2. 72 wasn't defending me in that post, more he was actually focusing on the post content that was provided there. Gyp had stated that "fwog/petri/micc are on the same level of townreads as you?" Now whether or not he forgot that I posted that remains to be seen, but I do agree with his logic there.
I also see now that I mis-read Gyp's statement and he was highlighting Micc and Frog's posts, not solely Frog. As such, this mitigates some of the feelings I had before about 72's post.
See above regarding listing and suspicions. My suspicions were peaked according to how I would usually think during a meat space game vis a vis this scenario.In post 96, Tuxedo Mask wrote:
Let's talk about this. What makes Fwog listing himself as town so suspicious, especially if you admit everyone will say they're town? If it's suspicious for 72 to defend him, why is it not suspicious for Micc? If it is 72 that is being suspicious why is your vote on Fwogcarf?
To contract the events that have interested me:
Fwog - Reads Micc as town,
Gyp - Queries Fwog's Reading - highlighting Micc
72 - Immediately votes Gyp
I was voting for Fwog to put him at L-2 (Apologies if the formatting is incorrect) to see if there was more to the read and also to get a strong reaction regarding listing yourself as town, which i have got in spades. As such, shifting a vote to 72 to query this "Gut feeling" seems logical. I'd like to query 72 first however.
72offsuit, this is a strong reaction to a small query. Is this your playstyle or is there something in particular that you object to in the above?In post 80, 72offsuit wrote:
This post is rubbing me the wrong way.
It reads to me like an awkward post from scum who don't know what to post, but feel like they need to post something that appears to be like contributing.
I don;t think its genuine to expect a layered townleans/reads order by page 3.
Non-RVS vote based on gut:
VOTE: Gyp
JV, has 72's playstyle matched or differed from the two games you've played with them?
UNVOTE: fwogcarf-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Tuxedo, in my book, ask as many questions as you feel pertinent. I'm not aware of conventions here but trying to lead the conversation is a pretty sweet gig if you're scum unless there's precedence from someone's playstyle.
Regarding quarantine, i hope we all stay safe and sane.
Couldn't have said it better myself.In post 102, Gypyx wrote:In post 95, fwogcarf wrote:2. 72 wasn't defending me in that post, more he was actually focusing on the post content that was provided there. Gyp had stated that "fwog/petri/micc are on the same level of townreads as you?" Now whether or not he forgot that I posted that remains to be seen, but I do agree with his logic there.
well tbf, even if he isn't directly defending you, 72's post made the focus shift on another person, so the end result is the same as if he defended you-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Petrichorus Townie
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Hi Luciano, a pleasure. So let's address these one at a time:
1 - Post 54 - I think town has a decent chance being as there seems to be a genuine passion for investigation that I rarely see day one in Meat Space. I have come to this conclusion from the challenges such as Micc's post 30 and 37 (Apologies for not hyperlinking these, can someone throw me the coding?) and also Tuxedo's post 81. Just a couple of examples.
2 - Fwog has been forthcoming with content but only since post 85. Prior to that I'm not a fan of the tone of most if not all of their posts as it portends to helping town. As such my initial read was scum defending scum. It was waylaid a little by their response to my vote but post 97 seems to be an interesting way to instigate discussion. 72 hasn't given much other content and has not responded to my query and as such it's harder to pin him down. It's difficult to know if that is by design or through external factors.
3 - Regarding the vote for 72, I thought about this before just unvoting. I don't like to swing my vote around and while fwog had already been pressed on his read, I wasn't entirely satisfied with their response, thus the added pressure. At this point I might as well add a vote to 72 as he hasn't responded, but that will affect my appearance as kowtowing to loud voices, so I think if by midday tomorrow if he hasn't responded that will be way over 24 hours since last contributions and I'll happily throw that vote out.
If there's anything else you would like to press me on, go ahead,-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Oh and regarding the bv quote here:
I initially mis-read him and thought that he had been on here for years, thus the runescape quip. The love being accusatory was just a jovial response in reply to what I assume was a semi-sarcastic remark after casting a vote.In post 55, Petrichorus wrote:
Aw man, that love's contagious and rather accusatory. BV You've been on here since I was last playing Runescape, how do you stay sane or have you given up on that?In post 48, bv310 wrote:Man, I haven't played Mafia on here in years. It's nice to see some things don't change.
VOTE: Petrichorus
Gotta spread the Day 1 love around.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Please define 'pocket' in this context. I think I have an idea but I'd rather know for sure. Regarding scum v scum, I agree it would be a grave mistake to make such a rash what-aboutism, but that does not entirely vindicate fwog.In post 122, fwogcarf wrote:
if that's actual scum defending scum then ladies and gentlemen the worst scum team in the history of mafia.In post 120, Petrichorus wrote:Hi Luciano, a pleasure. So let's address these one at a time:
1 - Post 54 - I think town has a decent chance being as there seems to be a genuine passion for investigation that I rarely see day one in Meat Space. I have come to this conclusion from the challenges such as Micc's post 30 and 37 (Apologies for not hyperlinking these, can someone throw me the coding?) and also Tuxedo's post 81. Just a couple of examples.
2 - Fwog has been forthcoming with content but only since post 85. Prior to that I'm not a fan of the tone of most if not all of their posts as it portends to helping town. As such my initial read was scum defending scum. It was waylaid a little by their response to my vote but post 97 seems to be an interesting way to instigate discussion. 72 hasn't given much other content and has not responded to my query and as such it's harder to pin him down. It's difficult to know if that is by design or through external factors.
3 - Regarding the vote for 72, I thought about this before just unvoting. I don't like to swing my vote around and while fwog had already been pressed on his read, I wasn't entirely satisfied with their response, thus the added pressure. At this point I might as well add a vote to 72 as he hasn't responded, but that will affect my appearance as kowtowing to loud voices, so I think if by midday tomorrow if he hasn't responded that will be way over 24 hours since last contributions and I'll happily throw that vote out.
If there's anything else you would like to press me on, go ahead,
im actually wondering now if 72 is trying to pocket me
Either way, as discussed, with no more content coming from 72, VOTE: 72offsuit-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Hi Tuxedo,
Regarding experience on Forum Mafia: I have taken part in two custom mafia games on forums set up by an old LARP group about 5 years ago. In Meat Space I play and usually run games of Mafia as often as possible, before all this probably a few sessions every fortnight.
I always present as amicable no matter which medium I am connecting on. There's no reason to be anything other as far as I see it.
Regarding the above, I did not call it an immediate success. I said that I got responses regarding self-listing in spades. This was from more than fwog and informed me more on how things are run in here.In post 134, Tuxedo Mask wrote:
Says the vote was for pressure and reaction test. Calls it an immediate success, doesn't explain what it proved if anything. Then hops off the wagon while casting suspicion on another player (already being questions by others) without voting them. He also backed off this Fwog extremely fast, giving up at the first sign of resistance.In post 111, Petrichorus wrote:
I was voting for Fwog to put him at L-2 (Apologies if the formatting is incorrect) to see if there was more to the read and also to get a strong reaction regarding listing yourself as town, which i have got in spades. As such, shifting a vote to 72 to query this "Gut feeling" seems logical. I'd like to query 72 first however.
72offsuit, this is a strong reaction to a small query. Is this your playstyle or is there something in particular that you object to in the above?
JV, has 72's playstyle matched or differed from the two games you've played with them?
UNVOTE: fwogcarf
Regarding the 'contradiction' I say immediately in this statement that in itself self listing isn't by itself 'so odd'. As such the sentence prior should instead have read "Fwog listing himself as town and being defended by 72 is suspicious" or "Fwog listing himself as town is mildly suspicious and being defended by 72 is moreso". As discussed later, a counter-wagon is still potentially a form of defense, whether meant that way or not. The contradiction discussed is a matter of minced words as far as I see it, but read it how you will. I did however make a mistake as discussed previously in that Gyp was marking Micc's attitude as suspicious where as I mis-read it as Gyp picking up on Fwog. I identified this mistake in post 111. Noting this mistake, my opinion did shift slightly as it relates to the interaction and I feel I have made this clear in following posts.In post 92, Petrichorus wrote:To address wagoning. I suppose there is still some value in it as long as there is a credible threat of hammering behind it, so to that end nothing is off the table.
To pick up on something Gyp addresses above, Fwog listing himself as town is suspicious and being defended by 72 is also suspicious. so VOTE: Fwogcarf
Fwog, I haven't played with you before, and itwouldn't be so odd if 72 hadn't come to def. I mean, everyone will outwardly say they're town, but you were asked for your read on other players and read yourself. That said, I'm glad you've done some soul-searching and introspection.
To note of 'new angles', my suspicions are still present regarding the same event, but my focus, I think rightfully so is now on 72o. The counter-wagon and following idleness don't sit well with me. I'd like to discuss with them why in their view gyp's post was 'rubbing them the wrong way' but until they return, I cannot.
If there's anything else Tuxedo, let me know.
In addition, JV, when you have some time, if you could talk about your experience with 72 in other games, that would be greatly appreciated.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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My post was conjecture and I thought that posts 83 and 85 were compelling arguments. The answer to your question is that I changed my conclusion. I'll address the other points in the morning on my PC. Till then I bid you all a fine night/day in Meat Space.In post 136, LuckyLuciano wrote:Petri, can you respond to this, you seem to have missed it earlier.
In post 119, LuckyLuciano wrote:Further, I don't see how we get from
In post 82, Petrichorus wrote:
Wagoning to threaten a hammer and then glean information seems to be in the Scum's favour
to
In post 92, Petrichorus wrote:
VOTE: Fwogcarf
to
In post 111, Petrichorus wrote:
I was voting for Fwog to put him at L-2 (Apologies if the formatting is incorrect) to see if there was more to the read and also to get a strong reaction regarding listing yourself as town, which i have got in spades.
How does one, as town and in good faith, conclude that wagoning to generate content is pro-scum, and then proceed to use a wagon to generate content?-
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Petrichorus Townie
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So I've got a few questions to address it appears. Let's start from the top:
Spoiler: 72offsuit - Post 147
Spoiler: 72offsuit - Post 149
Spoiler: 72offsuit - Post 150
Spoiler: 72offsuit - Post 154
Spoiler: 72offsuit - Post 156
Spoiler: LuckyLuciano - Post 137
Spoiler: Luciano - Post 165
I think that's all of them, let me know if I've missed any. F for JV. Man that was a long one.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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If I wanted to avoid unwanted attention on my opinions, would I not simply minimise or not post them to the lengths that I have? The more I post, the more there is to analyse. Everyone chipping in on this is good for the town as it helps build reads, thus the lengths I go to to describe my process. Regarding my opinion changing, I am being truthful in that I did find 83 and 85 compelling enough to change my mind.In post 202, Gypyx wrote:My general thoughts on Petri is that he focuses way too hard on being friendly with others / his reads and way of playing don't make me feel like he wants to find scum
In post 142, Petrichorus wrote:In post 136, LuckyLuciano wrote:Petri, can you respond to this, you seem to have missed it earlier.
In post 119, LuckyLuciano wrote:Further, I don't see how we get from
In post 82, Petrichorus wrote:
Wagoning to threaten a hammer and then glean information seems to be in the Scum's favour
to
In post 92, Petrichorus wrote:
VOTE: Fwogcarf
to
In post 111, Petrichorus wrote:
I was voting for Fwog to put him at L-2 (Apologies if the formatting is incorrect) to see if there was more to the read and also to get a strong reaction regarding listing yourself as town, which i have got in spades.
How does one, as town and in good faith, conclude that wagoning to generate content is pro-scum, and then proceed to use a wagon to generate content?
My post was conjecture and I thought that posts 83 and 85 were compelling arguments. The answer to your question is that I changed my conclusion. I'll address the other points in the morning on my PC. Till then I bid you all a fine night/day in Meat Space.
- so there, Petri states that his opinion changed, but it feels like there wasn't much needed to make him change his mind, as if he wanted to avoid getting unwanted attention for his opinions on the game
in conclusion, i'd like to see what gets out of Petri if there's more pressure on him
UNVOTE:
VOTE: Petrichorus
I'm aware that this question was directed at Gyp but I want to throw it wider. For me, it's Fwog and 72o.In post 205, 72offsuit wrote:@Gyp: If $1,000,000 bucks was on the line, up for the taking, and all you had to was to choose a solve right here and now, who would you say are the 2 scum?
@72offsuit, with the exception of your 'gut read' on Gyp, you haven't posted any other content that I can see that gives any other read. You've asked plenty of people for their reads, but given no others from yourself. You say your gut read was to move us away from RVS but you've taken no other steps since your return to continue that momentum. As such, I would like to know whether your read on Gyp has changed and if not, who else do you read as Scum.
@Fwog, regarding your earlier conjecture that 72 might be trying to pocket you, how has your opinion on this changed? Personally he doesn't seem to have interacted with you since. It's an interesting situation and not a play that I would have thought that an informed minority would do from 72's side, but your response to call pocket is probably the move I'd make if i was scum being defended by scum. I'd also like to know, after reading through the game, what are your strongest reads?-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Happy to. In my MeSp games, myself and a few other vets go into detail behind what we say and how we say it. It's just the meta. In describing why we think what we do it's easier to pull apart fallacies and sniff out scum as it is harder for them to make a valid case without incriminating themselves. As such I'm sure I've shared more on how i operate than the norm here, including times where I have changed my mind. This is not meant to build a case or or against me, just to share how I operate, apologies if it came across as more meaningful.In post 211, LuckyLuciano wrote:
Could you elaborate? I'm not sure what you are trying to say.In post 193, Petrichorus wrote:Regarding the last point, are you asking if my appearance to follow louder voices matters? If so, then yes, in that it has been a point of suspicion.As an insight into me, in Meat Space, myself and several compatriots share effectively the reasoning behind statements and behaviour.
Can I just check I'm using the term 'flipping' appropriately? I used the word flipping to describe changing my vote. I struggle to see which part of this implies that I know 72o is town. If you could elaborate I would be more than happy to go into more detail.In post 212, LuckyLuciano wrote:
This implies you know that 72o is town.In post 193, Petrichorus wrote:I did want to see if there would be more content to read before building that wagon. There wasn't and so I did.I still stick by that if I had immediately switched to wagoning 72 I would have been pulled up on flipping.As it is I've been pulled up on inconsistency, which may indeed be worse. That's the reasoning behind it. Was it a poor decision? Probably.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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That makes sense, so yes I was using it inappropriately. To rephrase my earlier post using correct terms:In post 238, fwogcarf wrote: I think flipping is regarded by most players as if somebody dies they either flip town or flip scum
"I still stick by that if I had immediately switched to wagoning 72 I would have been pulled up on a the speed of that change."
Welcome man!In post 248, enomis wrote:Hello Guys, Pleased to join this game. Will read through the thread and post soon.
It's been a while since my last game so super excited to be in this game.
Are there any interactions in D1 that you think are scumxscum or do you feel that they've avoided prolonged interaction?In post 253, enomis wrote:Hey guys, skimmed through the threads and make some notes.
Town:
Tuxedo seems town to me.[The part where he talks about quarantine being the reason why he tries to skim the thread very often to try to inspect people]
Fwog can be town for now as i grouped some of his interactions with tuxedo,gypsy and 72 as not scumxscum interaction.
@Tuxedo. Rather than adress it point by point, which I started doing, I thought I'd better lay out the case properly.
The series of events as it transpires is notable to me for the following reasons. Firstly, 72o gave his first vote, with no strong read, in the middle of a discussion between Fwog and Gyp. This discussion was about Micc casting suspicions. Initially I mis-read this conversation and thought that Gyp was insinuating that Fwog was casting those suspicions. I have discussed this mistake before. This correction was the primary reason that I unvoted Fwog.
I still find this event suspicious as it was a very direct derailing of the discussion on Micc's post. I don't like 72s tone and while I cannot prove that 72 was building a wagon to stop that line of questioning, I do think it is potentially incriminating.
I don't think so. I think I've made my thoughts on 72o clear in 207 and that is why I am still on the wagon for 72o. In addition, I think that my vote on 72 was on a more substantial suspicion initially, compared to a 'gut read'In post 255, Tuxedo Mask wrote: By your own reasons for voting Fwog and now 72, does it not look like you're doing the same? Defending the actions of Gyp by voting the people disagreeing with him?
He joked he was scum, I threw him a joke vote. 3 of the first 4 posts by players included a vote, are you telling me that they were all heavily reasoned thesises? I don't understand why this is relevant.In post 264, fwogcarf wrote:12 - Petri starts off with vote on JV without any explanation
92 - Just because 72 came to defend me means I'm locktown? Sorry Petri that doesn't make sense, especially when you congratulate me on doing something you think I'm scum for
RE: 92 - Please define 'locktown'. I'd like to know before I answer so as not to be misconstrued.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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A couple of things I don't want to get lost and would like answered:
@Enomis,
@FwogIn post 274, Petrichorus wrote:Are there any interactions in D1 that you think are scumxscum or do you feel that they've avoided prolonged interaction?In post 274, Petrichorus wrote:
RE: 92 - Please define 'locktown'. I'd like to know before I answer so as not to be misconstrued.In post 264, fwogcarf wrote:
92 - Just because 72 came to defend me means I'm locktown? Sorry Petri that doesn't make sense, especially when you congratulate me on doing something you think I'm scum forIn post 207, Petrichorus wrote:@72offsuit, with the exception of your 'gut read' on Gyp, you haven't posted any other content that I can see that gives any other read. You've asked plenty of people for their reads, but given no others from yourself. You say your gut read was to move us away from RVS but you've taken no other steps since your return to continue that momentum. As such, I would like to know whether your read on Gyp has changed and if not, who else do you read as Scum.
In addition, new questions and answers:In post 193, Petrichorus wrote:Can someone explain the jargon 'chainsaw' to me?
Spoiler: @bv310
Spoiler: @Lucky
Spoiler: @enomis
Weighing in on Gyp:
I think the formatting and questions is NAI. When catching up, it's easy to re-ask questions. It's strange that they're so close together but I don't think it's a major suspicion.
301 seems to be well reasoned and a good answer to Lucky's question as far as I see it. As previously discussed I'd personally focus on who we want as a D1 lynch.-
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Petrichorus Townie
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Thanks for the explanation of chainsaw. That makes more sense now.
@Micc, I was responding to Lucky regarding what I thought of the wagon on me. You voted for me and then didn't engage with the discussion on the wagon, then jumped to wagon BV. I happen to agree with wagoning bv, though if you have any thoughts on my wagon while we're at this junction, that would be good.
I'm going to move my vote to BV as it seems more pertinent to do so. In heart, I want my vote to be on 72, but unless he actually engages with the forum, there's no point building pressure unless we're just going to lynch him.
VOTE: bv310
My reasons for voting BV:
This is disingenuous I feel. I don't think, either through external factors or not, that he has been looking at interactions regularly. If you've not been active through RL getting in the way, own up, as he does later. This section of the post makes it seem like its a choice that he's made to not comment, and that I do not think is true. Even if it is the case, then lurking but not making any comment at all is not helpful for the town. Refusing to interact to avoid analysis is just a defense for scum. BV has made 3 posts of some content, not giving any strong reads and voted Fwog as a 'point of interest' but not following this with any kind of momentum or investigation. By the time they come back, they longer appear to be interested in questioning fwog as the group seems to have come to a consesus for now without him.In post 276, bv310 wrote:1) Yes. I've been following but lurking because I don't believe posting 20-odd one-liners is needed when there's already others taking that role. I feel comfortable right now looking at interactions and trying to spot inconsistencies.
BV's top scumreads it appears are me and Micc. I cannot see why he reads Micc this way and thus far has not elaborated.
There's also a contradiction here:
With his statement on 72 above. Doesn't add up for me.In post 87, bv310 wrote:I do not like the posts from either person involved in this conversation. Flipping your vote on to the person who's voting for you is sketchy in general, especially here where it's just "gut" with a flimsy excuse. Also, Read lists with no content are bad. They provide Mafia with a ton of information on how they're doing, with very little actionable information.
@Tuxedo, I thought I answered you comprehensively in post 274. Were you wanting a more clear answer on my position on self-listing? I think I've laid it out elsewhere but I'll reiterate and elaborate here. I have concluded that self-listing on a forum medium is NAI. You cannot tell tone from a list. IRL self-town-reading is what I am used to and often people have tells you can catch. Being as that is not the case here, no it is not in itself suspicious. It never was the main focus on my suspicions regarding that chain of posts and still isn't. After I realised my mistake vis a vis Gyp calling Micc into suspicion not Fwog, fwogs original post ceased to really be pertinent aside from being context to Gyp's post. I don't think it's a chainsaw moment, I dislike 72o's wagoning on what appears to me to be a rather benign post.
In addition, the oxford comma is throwing me, are you asking whether there is a difference beween defending a [suspicious action] and a [non-suspicious action] or a difference between [defending a suspicious action] and a [non-suspicious action]
Either way, the answer is yes I agree there is a difference-
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Noted, I will check next time. My apologies.In post 318, Tuxedo Mask wrote:Is that L-1?
I think it is, Petri, you should signal if your vote puts someone to L-1 to avoid accidental hammers.
As for defending suspicious vs non suspicious actions. I suppose it depends on context to how it appears. The difference is most defined by the person who is suspicious. If you're talking about the defense itself. People will defend their position differently based on whether they feel that their action is suspicious to others or not and how justified others are in their suspicion.
I.e. I'm sure that I have defended my positions differently based on whether I think the suspicions that others have are somewhat justified. I haven't strongly defended my position on, for example,: In post 274 I discussed my mistake in using 'flipping' incorrectly. Luciano had justified suspicion on my original use of that word and I think it deserved a thorough explanation. Conversely -
If this answered your question, great. If it doesn't then I ask that you rephrase the question.In post 274, Petrichorus wrote:In post 264, fwogcarf wrote:
12 - Petri starts off with vote on JV without any explanation
He joked he was scum, I threw him a joke vote. 3 of the first 4 posts by players included a vote, are you telling me that they were all heavily reasoned thesises? I don't understand why this is relevant.-
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Even if that is the case, dead town still win with town. If you are town, then it's in your best interest to at the very least respond to questions levelled your way.In post 358, bv310 wrote:I'm not making any gesture, I'm tired and trying to get people to do some actual thinking about their own thoughts and influences instead of hand-waving away D1 as it being all my fault, which I've seen many times. I don't see any of the 4 currently on my wagon changing that opinion with 2 days left.
If it's external factors that are affecting your attitude and activity, then my apologies, but I'm going to do and say what I think is best for town.
I do know for sure that with no extra content, it wouldn't make sense to jump off the wagon and stop this lynching. So, bring that content.
So, you insinuate that there are those of us here who are sheeping. Who do you think they are and why?-
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This should answer your question 72. If you want me to elaborate on this, let me know but I think this is reasonably comprehensive.In post 317, Petrichorus wrote:Tuxedo, I thought I answered you comprehensively in post 274. Were you wanting a more clear answer on my position on self-listing? I think I've laid it out elsewhere but I'll reiterate and elaborate here. I have concluded that self-listing on a forum medium is NAI. You cannot tell tone from a list. IRL self-town-reading is what I am used to and often people have tells you can catch. Being as that is not the case here, no it is not in itself suspicious. It never was the main focus on my suspicions regarding that chain of posts and still isn't. After I realised my mistake vis a vis Gyp calling Micc into suspicion not Fwog, fwogs original post ceased to really be pertinent aside from being context to Gyp's post. I don't think it's a chainsaw moment, I dislike 72o's wagoning on what appears to me to be a rather benign post.
Feels like this is pretty genuine. NAI imho but I can understand that mindset and I think it's a good thing that he explained it and also didn't tunnel based on emotion only.In post 393, Tuxedo Mask wrote:In post 304, LuckyLuciano wrote:
I feel myself wanting you to be scum right now, so I'm going to take a step back and let other people weigh in before I end up confbias tunneling you.
This part I don't really understand. It feels kind of awkward and out of line with how they've been playing the rest of the day.
In post 373, Gypyx wrote:Well, bv is in my lynch triangle for this day, even though i would prefere to lynch between {petri / 72} as BV has barely generated any content
I don't really like Petri's vote on him right now, the reasons he told are okay, but the fact that he said nothing about BV earlier, and the timing at which this vote was done kinda bothers me
I feel similarly except I tunnelled on 72 a bit harder than I probably should have, but to be fair, I wasn't really getting any response for most of the day. Regarding bv, @gyp - There wasn't really anything to read on bv imho prior to 276 My first response to bv was the same day as post 276 on post 308. My first read on him was this:In post 399, Tuxedo Mask wrote:
Hell in this game, I directly questioned BV about his weird RVS, and never followed up. That was something I could have pursued way earlier in the day but tunneled Petri way too hard.In post 308, Petrichorus wrote:In post 276, bv310 wrote:
72offsuit - The opposite of Fwog for me. Comes in early with reads and details, then drops off that entirely when other people start arguing.
What details or reads does he give at the start of the game before his disappearance with the exception of a single 'gut read' post on Gyp. You're giving him a lot of credit for all the nothing he did and seem to be reading into his drop-off when it seems NAI.
I'm getting some bad juju over this.
@BV, are there any contributions from 72 that you think are particularly notable or that show any leaning to you? I personally see mostly conjecture and bs.
That's alright Tux. It's factored into other people's reads as well and you haven't asked me to change, just spoke your mind and that's not a bad thing. Being as that's already established, I'm not going to change unless the time is tight and it's important that I post quickly.In post 405, Tuxedo Mask wrote:
It's fine man, play the game in a way that's fun for you. There are lots of worse playstyles than makes jokes. Some real toxic people out there, that being toxic is to them a strategy.In post 402, fwogcarf wrote:I've also somehow managed to fill up about 1/4 of this game with my shit
nice
I regret bringing Petri's friendless up in my case against them. I feel like I may have told them to shut and treat everyone like a combatant. Which isn't true, and I'd rather play with someone who greets everyone than not.
So yeah, sorry @Petri.
@BV, thank you for giving us a post before the end of the day.
This may become pertinent after the hammer. An attempt to distance and elevate away from suspicion. If bv flips scum, this is potentially something to read as susp, though it's just their read. If bv flips town, this may be an informed scum focusing suspicions on town who are on the wagon.In post 401, fwogcarf wrote:However I've seen and been the guy who's given up as town multiple times. I will not trust anybody on the BV wagon if he flips town, which I think he will.
Could be neutral, it's hard to pin fwog down based on the variety of posts, but I would like to put a pin in it.
Why is Micc a stronger townread than the nulls? Specifically why do you consider Gyp to be null? You raised suspicion on them early and then said they came across as genuine later. Has their later content changed your read on their initial post that brought out a gut-vote at all?In post 387, 72offsuit wrote:Not getting any real overall town vibes on anyone.
I feel like I'm somewhere here:
townlean: micc
null logjam: enom/fwog/gyp/LL/petri/tux
scumlean: bv-
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Definitely not who I expected tonight. I expected a general townread to go. Tux at the top of that list. Still, WIFOM when trying to figure out what the mafia are thinking. On the earlier note of Masonry, I hadn't considered that. This isn't a question to catch someone out, but a genuine newb question. Does a mafia special action happen alongside a kill or at a different time. I.e. if there was a rolecop or blocker does their action happen seperately chronologically or alongside? I'm assuming that the latter is the case, otherwise mafia rolecop would be OP.
I assume this is part of Lucky's reason for the vote but I look forward to hearing your reasoning. I can't tell if this is scum trying to press forwards the line of thinking that they tried to set-up with the kill, but if so that's rather sloppy. After that it spirals into WIFOM.In post 441, Gypyx wrote:
That's a fair point, but is there any reason why you aren't considering the possibility that Lucky killed Fwog? (unless i misunderstood your point)In post 439, Tuxedo Mask wrote:
Finger of SuspicionIn post 438, Gypyx wrote:Well, there might be something more than just putting FoS susp on Lucky (btw what does that exactly mean?) as if this really was scum's plan, they probably would've killed you i think
But people didn't town read, or follow Fwog. While people did for me. So they could hope I'd carry the momentum from the day ended, and really push Lucky, with the added evidence of that flip.
Basically I'm more likely to convince people than Fwog was.
That said, I think it's interesting that Lucky's reasoning for fwog being strongest town-read was so quick after reveal. Could be NAI.
This whole interaction feels very genuine. If it's a scumxscum conversation, they're extremely convincing. I don't think that's the case.In post 455, Tuxedo Mask wrote:
It's okay, I'm bad at picking up tone over text. I just felt that was more condescending what it could have been rewarded to be more educational. It is still a newbie game.In post 454, LuckyLuciano wrote:That last part wasn't meant to come across negatively. It's more so that I'm drained from elsewhere and talking to you here is an excuse for a break from that commitment.
I'm down to hear your Petri read. I think I lost the thread on them and was starting to town read their last few posts.-
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Also, following the thread of scum trying to use a flip to cast susp:
So avoiding a WIFOM discussion, fwog was lynched and was voting for Lucky.In post 429, Karnage wrote:
Why this target in particular?
Other potential targets:
Lynch Gypyx to flag Petrichorus - Unlikely as suspicion high on me.
Lynch 72 to flag Gypyx - Some suspicion on 72 but possible that this was not chosen for other reasons.
Assuming that scum went with the flip-susp strategy they either chose Fwog as a target because a flip on Lucky and attempting to undermine him seemed the most advantageous or, either me or 72 are scum and this would not make our accusors ideal targets as they would cause suspicion in us.
If Lucky is scum, he's got balls. While I do not doubt that he is experienced and is not adverse to taking risks, I do not think that he would make this play.
I was reading Gyp and 72 as potential scum but I don't think they're scum together.
It would be a very risky play to cast the idea of 72 up as a suspect when I flip town after a lynch up in the air.In post 375, Gypyx wrote:I know that a 72 wagon isn't really realistic, but i'd rather mention it
1) Already explained, my point was that even though 72 and petri are my 2 biggest suspcets, i don't see them being scum together, and as no one is really defending them, i guessed that the second scum must be between the less active players, and between all of them, BV is the most susp one
@72, assuming that you will read this at SOME point in the future, why did your D1 vote remain on Gypyx the whole day? You defended this vote a couple of times and painted people questioning the usefulness of this vote as scummy:
It's a very odd and confrontational way of discussing this and I dislike the stubborn-ness with NO logic behind it.In post 381, 72offsuit wrote:
I get a scummy vibe here from bv calling my vote a "flimsy excuse"
A weak read is better than no read. You painting my vote on gyp as scummy, by basically calling it OMGUS, is scummy in itself.-
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In post 462, 72offsuit wrote:
4. I had very few reads yesterday. Everyone felt pretty much null, so l kept my vote on gyp to pressure him, and I asked some follow up questions. Other than gyp, bv pinged me slightly early, and then later on I agreed with a few points others made of him being scum, at which point i stated my intent to hammer-vote for bv.
Man you can't have it both ways. If Fwog and bv were 'clear town' then why were you happy to hammer bv. What evidence do you have to support this claim? It appears that you are saying whatever needs to be said to paint me in the worst light and does not feel like a fair and genuine examination. You can't re-write history so easily.In post 463, 72offsuit wrote: Petri’s voting pattern, voting for the clear fwog, me (yes, only I know I’m town, but the point still remains), and for bv, also clear-town.
I'll build a fuller case when I get back from work tonight but this is enough for me:
1 - I scumread 72 and question their confrontational manner and their gut read and get voted back with a gut read on the time it took me to post once. As someone who has regularly taken lengthy breaks from the game and been prodded, this seems especially disingenuous.
2 - The contradiction between calling bv a scumread and also clear-town after a flip.
VOTE: 72offsuit
As you describe in your posts but also in post 386 and 387 you susp bv. So frankly, how dare you after the fact scuttle around and lament 'clear town' bv being suspected by other people. Shifty man.
To answer your questions, however lacking in good faith they may be.
1 - Flip strategy as discussed by Tux in post 437 and elaborated on in 439. You need it explaining? I'll happily oblige:
Tux and Lucky both were pointing FoS at fwog at the end of D1. Also at the end of D1, Fwog was voting Lucky. It is possible that scum killed Fwog to cause us to think Lucky was defending himself. It is possible that Lucky made the kill but I don't think that's as likely. You need me to explain any more?
2 - I don't know that they're playing this strategy, obviously. That said, it is wise for scum to cause internal FoS in town early on to force a Lylo early when there is less information. I have no idea of the meta on this site, so I couldn't commend on whether I think it's a popular play here. It's a semi-popular play in my games in Meat Space.
3 -
A) I'm not the only one looking for associations, as being as there are 2 scum, they have to have interacted at some point in the forum. If you can spot that, you get scum. What's so hard to understand about that. Why don't you want us following this line of inquiry?In post 462, 72offsuit wrote:3. Your insistence on scum-scum associations is scummy in itself. We have a flip of BV who had fk all interactions with anyone, so no idea why you are so obsessed with scum partner analysis - it doesnt feel like you are genuinely hunting scum, but rather as thought you are trying to widen your lynch pool as much as possible.
B) BV was town, why does his interactions have anything to do with scumxscum talk?
C) Widening my lynchpool? You are the only person to not give a single town-read. You cannot possibly be talking about a wider lynchpool that that, hypocrite.
4 - You asked three questions of Gyp:
159 - 190 - 205
Man real hard hitting questions. Great follow-up. I'll go into more detail after work if you need me to break these down for you.
5 - Immediately turning round and painting whoever questions your motives as scummy is not helpful. confronting people about their actions if they are contradictions or are scumstrong, sure. You wanna build a case, you need more than that.
Your entire vote on me is predicated on post 92 and the 12 hour gap it took for me to re-read and comment on your post. As someone with large gaps in their activity, spare me the scorn. So D2, we're looking into potential contradictions and content that brings town closer to victory and you're going with a gut-read again. Pitiful.
As you can tell the tone of this post is a bit different from my others. I'll be cordial to those acting in good faith. I do not think you are, Sir. Prove me wrong.-
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I agree with your conclusions but a scum might try and give that read if they know it could never have been true. If there's a rolecop for example, they know there isn't a masonry.In post 461, enomis wrote:Lucky seems town after isoing him. Seems like genuinely scumhunting. And I don't think scum will point out the mason soft.
To be frank, I am thinking if it is the reason scum killed fwog.
This post also feels super genuine and towny.In post 291, LuckyLuciano wrote:I think writing that post made me realize the problem I've been having with this game. I feel that the energy levels of different slots either started high and diminished over time, started low and picked up later on, or hasn't been there all game, and it's led to this weird game state where people are trying to solve at different times but it doesn't feel like town has all been present trying to progress the game at the same time. Especially with how I now feel about Petri's slot, it just doesn't feel like scum has been put in a position where they have to be proactive. It also explains why the moment scum does make a move (bv), it stands out to clearly.-
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Sorry if the formatting is a bit hard to follow, I'll try and work on that. Regarding this 'reaction test', here's the original explanation and post for context:In post 472, enomis wrote:Isoing Petri
@Petri: What reactions were you expecting when doing that reaction test? (I know that I am backtracking alot here)In post 135, Petrichorus wrote: Regarding the above, I did not call it an immediate success. I said that I got responses regarding self-listing in spades. This was from more than fwog and informed me more on how things are run in here.
And.... This is all I got from your iso. Didn't really have the same gut read that I had went reading through the game the first time.
I found it abit hard to read your wall posts. Don't know if it was the way you phrased or your formatting.
Spoiler: Original post
Spoiler: Gyp post referenced above
Spoiler: original explanation
To clarify further if required. The 'reaction test' was for whether the meta here and specifically the other players found self-listing suspicious, as Gyp did in the quoted post. Regarding the read, as discussed previously my original intention was to read Fwog's reaction to 72s post as I originally thought the post from Gyp read "I don't really like Fwog's attitude in his post". This was incorrect and corrected shortly afterwards.
Being as this has been queried a few times, let's follow through on my logic based on the incorrect statement that I read it as.
Spoiler: alternative and INCORRECT series of events
Initially this read to me as 72 bodyguarding fwog against Gyp. Obviously this is not the case as Gyp was actually querying Micc. As such I put a vote in here to gauge Fwog's reaction to this bodyguarding. This was to see whether Fwog and 72 were potentially scumbuddies . As this was based on an incorrect premise, it clearly did not get a useful reaction from Fwog. The only positive is that I was informed regarding the self-listing meta here.
I think that's as clear as I can make it. I'm aware it's convoluted, my apologies.-
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I somewhat concur with Gyp in that I don't think that scum needed to be on that wagon, but lets follow your premise. Do you think both scum would have been on the wagon or only one. If it's only one, then that means the pools of potentials look like this:In post 483, enomis wrote:
@Gypsy:
It's a feeling based on how the wagon went. Don't think both scum would have stayed off the wagon. By that I don't really mean physically on the wagon like Tuxedo, but the people who actually intended to be on the wagon.
So:
Micc, enomis, LuckyLuciano, Petrichorus,72
But after looking at it again, that's most of the players still alive so...
Scum 1: Micc, enomis, LuckyLuciano, Petrichorus, Tuxedo Mask
Scum 2: Gypyx, 72offsuit
I left 72 off-wagon as while he did indicate he would, he did not. This could be due to activity and may be NAI but it leaves him off the wagon imho.
If we go with the premise that both scum were NOT on the wagon then whether there was one on or no scum on the wagon, we have a pool of 2 left as susp: Gypyx and 72offsuit.
Because I do not think Gyp and 72 are scumbuddies, I assume there was one scum on and one scum off.-
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Your main question was for Gypyx and that seemed to be answered. You mentioned that "that's most of the players still alive" which made me think that if we can seperate the town into groups using intuition and reads then it makes it easier to hone in on scum.In post 489, enomis wrote:The scum on wagon thing was just a feeling btw. I don't have much more insights into that other than at least one of the scum in on it.
I also agree that scum didn't need to be on that wagon. But don't you think this point and what I was saying in post 483 before has no link?
There's the link.
I don't think both scum were off the wagon which means at least one of them is on. Perhaps I'm tunnelling on 72 but until he explains the bizzare change in his take on bv, I do not see a reason to let up.-
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I don't think discussing all the possibilities for scum decisions to be content for content's sake, but I think we'll have to agree to disagree. Do you have any views regarding these hypotheticals or are you comfortable dismissing them off-hand.In post 494, LuckyLuciano wrote:
I read Petri as considering how different possible night kills cast suspicion on different players. I'm not seeing the scum-scum associative analysis that you are. I think it's rather odd, however, for Petri to be considering all these hypotheticals immediately after wanting to "avoid a WIFOM discussion". It feels like content for the sake of content.In post 462, 72offsuit wrote:3. Your insistence on scum-scum associations is scummy in itself. We have a flip of BV who had fk all interactions with anyone, so no idea why you are so obsessed with scum partner analysis - it doesnt feel like you are genuinely hunting scum, but rather as thought you are trying to widen your lynch pool as much as possible.
I like to put out there my thinking and I like my logic challenged. In addition, I posited one hypothetical situation as I see it. The flip-susp discussion was not birthed by me, although I was quite lengthy in my take on it I suppose.-
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I think that the pushing of the agenda is a lot more scummy than the possible slip. The message itself seems kinda rushed: 'vagon' for example. My guess is that it was typed quickly, possibly from their phone. I don't think it's a strong scumlean but worth keeping in mind, especially given the other posts that do fit a scum-play.
Alright fair enough about the skimming I suppose. One question then, how many scum do you feel were on that wagon, given current reads?-
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I understand your point, and I agree, Enomis should improve. Do you think that it's AI?
That said, I'd like to know whether you think it's most important to vote and wagon Enomis based on performance rather than on scumleans. Make a case for it.
We don't have a lot of time and we need to get more information from those we already expect. Myself included if that's where suspicions lie.-
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Activity Report:
Micc- Last Post: 45 hours
Enomis- Last Post: 20 hours
72offsuit- Last Post: 23 hours (activity notice) 48 hours (last post)
Gypyx- Last Post: 21 hours
Lucky, Petrichorus and Tuxedo - Posted within 12 hours
@Karnage, please prod Micc
Not looking good for us if this continues to be the pace.
Time passed in D2: 68 hours
Time until D2 ends: 100 hours
Posts in D2:
72offsuit - 6, excluding activity notice
enomis - 11
Gypyx - 7
Lucky - 22
Micc - 2
Petrichorus - 11
Tuxedo Mask - 16
Although not necessarily AI, we can't win with this activity.
VOTE: Micc-
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Mate, my vote was on you while you were gone. I voted micc and then as i got to work you spammed the shit out of everything. I dont have time to reply to it all, but i read it at the time and voted. As i said, will reply when homeIn post 559, 72offsuit wrote:
I make 31 posts, and Patri's response is to vote for me, without commenting on any of them.In post 554, Petrichorus wrote:At work and will reply when I'm done. Leaving this here for now: VOTE: 72offsuit
Ye, I'd say Petri is derp-town. I don;t think scum does this. This is ACTUALLY reckless town.
Scum LL, town Petri.-
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Right, let's catch up with Mr Spammertime over here. I'm late to the party and lots of my responses mirror LL's as it is just the logic how I see it. I made notes on my points first, then ISO'd Lucky as it seems that's where the pressure is at and discovered he already made some of the points so I'll keep it brief.
Spoiler: Posts 516 - 525
Spoiler: Post 527
Spoiler: Post 532 - It's a biggie
Spoiler: Post 535 and 565 - Hypocrisy central
Spoiler: Post 538
Spoiler: Post 557
Spoiler: Post 558
Spoiler: Post 604
Given all this and especially that last point, I am voting 72 and will pursue that wagon. If I am wrong, then we lynch Lucky, or if you think that this read of mine smacks as too much of a defense of Lucky and an attack on town!72offsuit, then lynch me too.
@72, why do you not like speculating on NK decisions? I think the questions of who the scum target and why are the most pertinent questions in mafia. Is it a legitimate defense or is it misdirection is to me one of the founding points of logic. It's a better tell than behaviour and it narrows down the options to a few opposing candidates.
In addition, I would like to know why you voted for me earlier today and then jumped wagon. Were you disappointed that nobody followed your thin reasoning? I doubt that it was because another target became bigger because most of your reads are on events that happened before you switched your votes. If you are a town then you are an immense hypocrite, peddling your apples and elephants.-
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As i've noted before, I switched my vote from fwog to 72 when I realised my mistake. Could you elaborate on why it is of note?In post 601, LuckyLuciano wrote:Also of note, despite Petri not being a fan of throwing his vote around early, once his wagon built up he suddenly felt motivated to vote 72o.-
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The tone follows my previous post regarding 72. I'm aware and mentioned that several of these points mirror Lucky's take. Just a product of time I'm afraid. Whether they are in agreement with Lucky or not. I wanted to give my take on 72's posts.
That said, i don't think Lucky brought up questioning the motive for pushing fwog's reads as a reason to lynch Lucky from 72.
=Was what I was writing. Just reread Lucky's latest long read and it mentions this. Damnit Lucky xD=-
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@Tux. What then do you think is the most pertinent course of action from here?
As I see it we have:
Petri against 72
Lucky against Gyp
72 against Lucky
As the strongest/loudest opinions here.
This essentially breaks down to two issues, please correct me if I am contracting this incorrectly:
1) Fwog's reads on D1
Micc and 72 think fwog's scumread of Lucky is something worth pressing and wagoning. I can somewhat understand their logic here
I think that a smart scum would use this read of fwog to point FoS onto a townie and for being the most insistent on this along with other inconsistencies I think that 72 is worth pressing and wagoning.
2)Voting records
Lucky has proposed that of the group, Gypyx's voting record is most sketchy in regards for pushing for town kills.
72 has proposed that Lucky's back-off of my wagon is LAMIST behaviour from Lucky, followed by his move to the bv wagon. This is supported by Micc.
I would think that if 72 flips town, Lucky is scum and vice versa. I personally feel it is more likely to be 72 given what i've discussed. That said, I also understand Micc's read on this in 586. I personally feel that this is not necessarily a scum-action however. I think that the timing is too tight between me being at L-1 and Lucky backing off with the VC being incorrect and the timing between this and Lucky getting on the bv wagon too broad to be definitively sketchy. I do however get your point Micc.
In miscellaneous news, Gyp is at 35 hours inactive.@Karnage can you give him a poke in the morning?-
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I understand your approach to enomis. It was my D1 experience minus my wagon. It's solely frustration with 72. Disappears for extended periods of time with lingering questions then returns, dodges the main questions and then spams out posts to divert the town's attention. Also, he's rude and abrasive, I turned the other cheek D1 and do not see the point in responding to insults with language as pleasant as it has been otherwise throughout. As such, the tone change.
He is welcome to speak as he wishes, I am also welcome to respond as I choose. It might lend an insight into my manner more if I mention that I follow some specific tenets to the best of my ability, but I won't over-share if it isn't welcome.-
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And to answer your last question, I've tried to take it into consideration. I feel that the logic behind my decisions is sound, removed from my personal opinions.
As such, I'm happy to entertain suspicion on Lucky and I want to see what comes from that wagon.
The crux of Lucky/72 needs to be resolved as I see it, and pushing in both directions is beneficial as long as we reach a consensus, even if it's a compromise. I intend to continue pushing 72 unless it becomes more important for us to pursue Lucky.-
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@Tuxedo, is this your ISO and read of 72?
I disagree with your take on 72, but I think that'll have to wait now.In post 570, Tuxedo Mask wrote:Anyways, did the ISO of 72. His posts and thoughts are consistent and easy to follow and are always open and forthcoming with thoughts and answers. Nothing jumped out to me as dishonest, disingenuous, or scum motivated. So for me, they're town.
The read from this is that you aren't conviced Lucky is scum and your reason for voting is to uncover scum tomorrow? Tomorrow could be our last day if we mess this up. This pings me as scum who want to go for the lynch but don't want to seem like a big pusher.In post 618, Gypyx wrote:In post 539, 72offsuit wrote:^ EBWOP: With posts linked:
@gyp:
Re: post 301 - a key part of your townread of LL seems to be your feelings in 301:
"for instance, taking off your vote on petri, assuming that you're scum and Petri isn't your scumbuddy
(which would be quite weird, considering what you did in post 179) you had the opportunity to just keep your vote on him,
and surely, this would've been pretty likely to cause an unintentional hammer, while not making you that suspcious,
but you chose to take it off, which i find to be quite illogical to do as maf
(like, even a scum wanting to make himself look better could've just pointed out "hey watch out, petri is actually at L-1)
I disagree with your read of LL here. The momentum of day one feels like it was heading towards a bv lynch quite easily.
In the end, we had 6 players happy to vote for bv (I stated intent to hammer but TM hammered instead)
I feel like LL wouldn;t need to pursue Petri, with bv's head on the chopping block.
So, what I;m saying, if you set this thought-process aside Re: your townreading for the above rationale,
do you townread LL for any other reasons?
You say in your post 163, you don't see LL's
"carelessness" you're describing, so, i don't think that the read you have on him really applies
Pretty much what I feel is you also see LL as being disingenious, thus scummy here.
Basically, what I;m getting at, are you willing to jump on the LL wagon and see where it goes?I've been townreading him for other reasons, but what i've said about him taking off his vote was the main part that led me to belive he's town
While i don't really see what you talked about as disengenuous, I agree that there was other weird things coming from him recently, like the fact that he accuses me upon considering that he could be scum
So overall yeah, I feel like lynching LL is probably the best choice there, because even if he doesn't flip scum, we'll probably have a good idea of where the scum could be
VOTE: Lucky
Attention, this is L-1 on LL
For my money, I don't think Lucky is scum. Every reason that may incriminate Lucky I feel is more incriminating on others or is NAI. I don't think scum would move away from a hammer when there was no momentum elsewhere, it just doesn't track. His recent demeanor feels like frustrated town rather than cornered scum.
While I would rather be pushing 72, that's kinda out of my hands here so I'm going to come down here:
VOTE: Gypyx
This is for the tone and reasoning of his vote and for his voting record D1
@Tux, state intent to hammer and I suppose we'll go on to claims.
======================
New post from Gypyx: Someone please explain W/W - V/W I assume it is shorthand for W/wolf and Villager respectively.
Pausing my vote on Gypyx.
Out of the two: LL and 72, which do you think is more likely to be scum? Why?
How do you read their interaction?
How does Micc fit into this? Pocket? Sxs?-
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Ditto on LuckyIn post 652, 72offsuit wrote:I think its pretty telling that all 3 of my scumreads are voting tpgether on gyp right now.-
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Hey 72, if you're so adept at not dodging questions, fancy pointing me to your response to 608 - Specifically the questions directed at you here:
Cheers mate.In post 608, Petrichorus wrote:@72, why do you not like speculating on NK decisions? I think the questions of who the scum target and why are the most pertinent questions in mafia. Is it a legitimate defense or is it misdirection is to me one of the founding points of logic. It's a better tell than behaviour and it narrows down the options to a few opposing candidates.
In addition, I would like to know why you voted for me earlier today and then jumped wagon. Were you disappointed that nobody followed your thin reasoning? I doubt that it was because another target became bigger because most of your reads are on events that happened before you switched your votes. If you are a town then you are an immense hypocrite, peddling your apples and elephants.-
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His entire response is below and I don't like it.In post 687, Tuxedo Mask wrote:I'm just waiting on Micc and Lucky.
What do you think of 72's reaction to Gyp's vote?
A) Whether you think someone is scummy or not, you should still be wary of who jumps on your wagon.In post 660, 72offsuit wrote:
Of course i like his vote on LL.
LL is scummy as.
I ASKED him to join the wagon and he did.
B) He doesn't comment at all on Gyp's reasons, even though they differ from 72's
C) He did not ask anyone to join the wagon, unless he's using scum-chat.
ISO'd Gyps and 72's posts in tandem and there isn't really a strong interaction between them at all at least D2. As already pointed out, Gyp doesn't talk about 72 really at all D2 then throws him into a solve.
72 meanwhile has this as his read on Gyp:
Spoiler: Post 571
This doesn't address any content past post 300.-
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Then why would TM not state intent to hammer on town-gyp? He could just say that he found the argument for gyp more compelling and look pretty neutral.In post 722, 72offsuit wrote:TM loses towncred +++ for pretty much stating he would prefer to lynch gyp over LL-
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UNVOTE: Gypyx there's mine. No counter claim and a soft breadcrumb, I believe you 72. I understand why youd confbias tunnel so hard now.In post 730, enomis wrote:UNVOTE: gypxy.
I think I believe 72 unless there is a counter claim from someone other than lucky. Also for something outside the game which I can't explain.
Do you mean outside of MafiaScum itself, outside game 2001 or outside what is currently known?-
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Just for clarity, there is a counter claim so I'm less sure. Going to look back through and decide who we lynch and who we save for another day.In post 758, 72offsuit wrote:
@ TM - hereIn post 733, Petrichorus wrote:
UNVOTE: Gypyx there's mine. No counter claim and a soft breadcrumb, I believe you 72. I understand why youd confbias tunnel so hard now.In post 730, enomis wrote:UNVOTE: gypxy.
I think I believe 72 unless there is a counter claim from someone other than lucky. Also for something outside the game which I can't explain.
Do you mean outside of MafiaScum itself, outside game 2001 or outside what is currently known?-
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So essentially, we have to decide:In post 713, 72offsuit wrote:I lead out with a vote on Petri to try and disguise my guilty verdict on LL
Is 72 trustworthy?
Is Gyp scummy?
Is there merit to LL's claim.
I would argue that the statement above isn't useful to town. Obviously he'd rather not claim cop D2 if he could help it, but wasting half the day doesn't seem to be in town's best interest.
The breadcrumbs are only meaningful IF there is not a mafia rolecop. If there is, then breadcrumbing cop is a good early game move for scum.
This is the crux of it. 72 and Gyp seem to have a strong connection here on this wagon, prior to the claim. And that 'I asked him to' feels like a scum-slip because this asking did not occur in public chat.In post 666, Tuxedo Mask wrote:
Really? You don't think a stance like that is very easy for scum to take advantage of? He votes LL while calling them town, disagreeing with your argument, and not putting forward one of their own. That's acceptable for getting LL? It doesn't make you slow down and reassess, the two people supporting your push at the moment are either apathetic to your arguments or town reading the lynch victim?In post 660, 72offsuit wrote:Of course i like his vote on LL.
LL is scummy as.
I ASKED him to join the wagon and he did.
LL's claim is equally as viable as 72's, moreso unless there is a doctor, in which case they are equal. The other town PR in here might know more, but if it is not a strong call, they should not reveal themselves, Especially if they are the doctor. Please don't claim.
Here's my case and my vote:
72 points FoS day 1 at Gyp citing a gut read - Excellent D1 play by scum to distance scumteam.
They otherwise however do not interact for the most part aside from some basic read questions. Even with FoS on Gyp, 72 does not pull up anything or probe particularly deep, ready to set up a townlean D2.
The timing of 72's claim, both late in the day and when Gyp is at L-1 and looking to get lynched by TM as that seemed to be the way he was leaning. If I was town-cop, yes I would want to avoid a mislynch, but D3 would be a strong one for town if cop already had guilty on LL, town was already sus and he could gather more information the following night. I'm not sure I'd reveal so late in the day, especially being as that would set me up for a NK. I might try and seed my suspicion on LL and town would follow dead cop vote most likely even if scum got lucky.
Lucky not coming forward earlier isn't suspicious. There was no real call for it.
I vote to lynch Gyp. If he flips scum, we lynch 72 D3. If he flips town, lynch LL D3. Either way, we still have a town PR alive going into the night, and although they may be blocked or NK'd, we might have a FN, JK or Doctor around to give us more.
This would put us at a LyLo if I am wrong, but with a good case against at least one confirmed scum.
If I am right, we get a win in D3 or at worst D4.
So, VOTE: Gypyx
fixed the quote formatting ~KarnageLast edited by Karnage on Mon May 11, 2020 3:25 am, edited 1 time in total.-
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We have 7 hours btw. I'm not against following town over my personal thoughts if the time gets tight, but I think that this is genuinely the best course of action. Thoughts?
@72. Is there any reason other than your claim on LL that gyp would be 'incredibly unlikely' to be scum? Chips on the table, Who do you think is the second scum?-
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