Newbie 1713 (Game Over)
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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shalom yall
this is my second game and I lost my first one so I really want us to win this one to make up for it.
yo maybe I'm crazy but I don't think anyone should be at L-2 before they've even made their first post. there's two mafia and if they aren't already on this wagon, they could lynch Alex before he even gets to say hello. Not ideal.
Anyway.
One time when I was in middle school a girl named Ashley stole my gummi worms and I never really got over it.
So
VOTE: ashley-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Okay Huntress go ahead and take us out of RVS before everyone's even gotten here.In post 15, Huntress wrote:
You seem nervous about this wagon. Do you really think scum would expose themselves like that?In post 9, arak-and-skhug wrote:yo maybe I'm crazy but I don't think anyone should be at L-2 before they've even made their first post. there's two mafia and if they aren't already on this wagon, they could lynch Alex before he even gets to say hello. Not ideal.
I'm getting a slight scum-vibe from this post.
Vote: Arak
Town won that so you'd like scum to win this one?In post 9, arak-and-skhug wrote:this is my second game and I lost my first one so I really want us to win this one to make up for it.
UNVOTE: ashley
1) In regards to the Alex wagon being a mistake: I've looked around in other newbie games and crazier things have happened. No, it's not likely that Alex would get lynched, but what good comes out of wagoning like that? Did we really gain any information from having a wagon on Alex? A RVS wagon doesn't do much of anything, people feel no pressure when there's no reasoning behind the votes. If Alex WAS scum he can just shrug and say oh well they're voting me because of my name, and then he doesn't have to defend himself and we're denied any information that would come of it.
2) Town won my last game so I want scum to win this one? What? Either you didn't think this one through all the way or you're making a low-energy effort to paint a throwaway statement as a tell. I said I lost last one so I want to win this one. Pretty sure motivation to win is an alignment neutral trait, but if you're going to try to erroneously generalize at least do it accurately. Scum LOST my last game so I want town to win this one. Because I was scum last game and town this game. And both games I want/wanted to win. Do I need to simplify more?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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I didn't realize you weren't being serious and I didn't realize I overreacted.
And yes while it's true that we're gaining information, we're only gaining it on 3-4 players. Half the town didn't participate in RVS. And I don't know how critical or not that is but it seems to me like a bad idea because scum can hide in all those holes. Of course the game needs to progress and we have to do something but we just need to be mindful of who hasn't had a chance to post yet and how it's easy to hone in for good or for bad on more active players.
Also Charloux, what does it mean to be overly honest? Does town have any reason to be anything less then honest?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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I think those skills come more with experience rather then some innate ability to lie naturally, and more based on having good perception rather than being a good liar. And regardless, ability isn't an alignment tell either, talented (and untalented) players can wind up being scum or town.In post 21, Charloux wrote:I think you are the kind of person who doesn't know how to lie; Meaning that you can't make reaction tests and have a harder time seeing through deceit others plant.
Can you tell me a potential scenario where it be a good move for a town player to tell a blatant lie?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Okay a few quick thoughts cause i just worked all night and need to sleep.
1) L-2s make me uncomfortable. L-1s even more so. Is that a playstyle thing? yes. Is that problematic? apparently. should it be? I don't think so.
2) I think Huntress and I both initally interpreted eachother with more serious tone then was intended, which really doesn't mean anything in terms of alignment. What will be be interesting later on will be to keep track of everyone else who followed suit with less than stellar reasoning. If the only major interaction so far is between me and Huntress there's plenty of opportunity for scum to ride that and avoid forming their own interactions that would shine lights on them.
3. Did I really flail that badly? I didn't think I did. If anything I was caught off guard because I wasn't expecting a serious vote so soon, let alone on me. I think I responded to a thought out vote with a reasonable defense. Just a surprised defense.
4. I unvoted Ashley because RVS is over and it's stupid at this point to have my vote on someone because someone else stole my gummi worms in middle school.
Foxbird and Alex, can you share any reasons why I should I have kept my vote on Ashley?
5. Foxbird, your vote is on me to see my defense. What specifically do you want me to defend against? Your vote? Or just in general? If I jump around in a town t-shirt, would that qualify?
6. Cakez, why is fear of mislynch (even overly strong fear) a scumtell?
Okay now everyone please read those points in a clear, calm voice because that's how I wrote them. (insert calm and smiling emoji here)-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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I looked back at Foxbird's Iso
Her first two posts are a random vote on Alex and a rundown of mafia experience, nothing important
then check this out
Here she's the third person to criticize my defensiveness and the second to criticize my ashley unvote. Anything meaningful in her post is parroted from other players. Her only original thought is some loose association between Charloux and Alex with plenty of room to backtrack and write it off as meaningless if she needs to down the future.In post 31, Foxbird wrote:I agree with Huntress and Alex in that 18 was very over-the-top defensive as a reaction to an offhanded joke. I, too, would like to know why that moved Arak to remove his (single, non-wagoned) vote off of ashley, who hasn't even said anything.
Not sure what to make of the Charloux/Alex interactions, but kinda regarding that as banter for now.
VOTE: Arak to see what his defense is.
And after she calls out me being "over-the-top defensive", her reasoning for her vote is to see my defense? Still don't understand that. I'm too defensive but you want me to defend myself more.
Once again we have Foxbird agreeing with someone elses point, and that italicized might is again giving her plenty of room to back track. If Foxbird is scum then she know's I'm town. And she knows she might have a harder time riding my wagon then she might have originally thought. because it needs to be noted that my three vote wagon wasn't a RVS wagon like the one on Alex, it was a serious wagon with intentions to find scum, and everyone on that wagon should have had solid reasoning for being on it.In post 40, Foxbird wrote:In post 37, inspectorscout wrote:Ok hi guys im the new ashley, it seems
So, rqs: did you guys play a lot of games as scum already?
Oh and ofc a nice vote Uhhh
Aint no foxbirds exist
VOTE: foxbird
Not sure what you want me to say! If this is an RVS vote, there's not really anything to defend againstIn post 39, inspectorscout wrote:What i think is that arak is def on my nullscum list for that reaction, but not more than that. Flailing isnt necessarily a scum thing; dont forget this is a newbie game, we (yes im a newb too) tend to stress a lot when they are suspected, regardless of alignment.
Im keeping my rvs vote tho, ill let huntress continue their discussion, id love to see what foxbird has to say
I do agree that Arakmightbe town flailing, but I'm interested in his defense anyway.
Also I usually end up Town in Mafia games I play, not much serious scum experience.
Also, yes, Foxbirds don't exist - but they should!
which I mentioned in my post 45
and the minute I subtly pointed a finger at the people who followed Huntress onto the wagon (Foxbird & Cakez), Foxbird switched her vote to Wirt.
Foxbird voted for me after Huntress with an empty reason, and all I had to do was make one post before she backed off with equally empty reasoning. And then in the ultimate lazy scum move she votes for someone who hasn't had a chance to participate yet because it requires the least amount of work. Instead of Alex, Huntress, or Inspector, all who would require some degree of fabrication (which would require sticking her neck out a bit which could potentially expose her), or just unvoting (which wouldn't fit with all this faux scum-hunting, trying to look town she's been doing) she votes for Wirt which is all the under-the-radarness of not voting at all with the perks of still pretending to look for scum.In post 47, Foxbird wrote:
What you posted is what I wanted to see - just the whole 'how does he react under pressure?' thing. I like your reaction, though I find the 'Town T-Shirt' comment a bit strange.In post 45, arak-and-skhug wrote: 5. Foxbird, your vote is on me to see my defense. What specifically do you want me to defend against? Your vote? Or just in general? If I jump around in a town t-shirt, would that qualify?
And yes, many of the 'issues' probably boil down to playstyle etc, so I'm moving my vote to someone who I want to see do something for now.
Hmm...
UNVOTE: Arak
VOTE: Wirt
Let's see what he says after catching up!
Those are my thoughts for now.
VOTE: Foxbird
PS: Icing on the cake is her once again "oh yeah I saw that scummy thing that Cakez did too cause I'm also town! Don't worry I'm keeping my eye on it! If a Cakez wagon forms you can count on me to join it. I sure won't be the one to start it but look, I've been keeping my eye on him since the beginning" in her last post.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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If on the off chance that Inspector & Foxbird are the scumteam, that was a MAJESTIC bailout by the Inspector himself.
Cakez, you never answered my question in 45
I'll rephrase it. Basically your original reason for voting me was my (admittedly-potentially-irrational-but-that's-irrelevant-to-this-question) fear of a mislynch on Alex. Why is that a scumtell worthy of a vote?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Cakez, if you think Foxbird and I are both scum, why haven't you said one word about our interactions? If we're both scum then I'm blatantly and obviously bussing her and it's weird that you wouldn't mention that at all. Either you're witholding information or this is fabricated and you didn't think about it hard enough.In post 67, SirCakez wrote:
If it wasn't clear, I also have a scumread on Fox originating from the vote on you before you made a content post. I also have a scumread on Arak obviously. Both of my sets of questions revolve around these scumreads. I'm not sure what's not clear.In post 64, Wirt wrote:Let me try to make myself even clearer.
You obviously disagree with how Foxbird voted me, someone who had only posted to confirm their slot, over someone she actively scumreads. Meanwhile, Arak has made a case on Foxbird, which includes criticizing of the same vote choice. However at no point do you acknowledge this -- be it by agreement, total disagreement, or partial agreement -- and then you question inspector about why they consider the comment about flailing to be worth of a townread, which is basically contesting the townread on Arak.
Basically, it is not clear what your view on those players are, neither what you're trying to figure out at the current moment.
And then, what are the all questions in 66 going to accomplish?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Wirt, I agree with what you posted. Also the flailing discussion has been going on for too long without saying anything really of value and I'm frankly getting tired of reading that word. It's slowly losing it's meaning and becoming just sounds in my head......flailing......flailing......flailing.....Anyway I don't like how Cakez never mentioned, referenced, or acknowledged my post 52 on Foxbird.
Also Cakez I don't understand why your vote is on me rather then Foxbird. Correct me if I wrong but I get the impression that you think I'm more likely to be town than she is. Your vote on me is in response to my first two posts, even though the meat of my contributions happen later, and you never mention anything I post again until my post 71, which you respond to positively. So I'll ask you forwardly, why are you voting for me instead of Foxbird? Even if you find us with perfectly even chances to be scum, wouldn't it make more sense to be on a wagon with two other players then all by yourself? One lone vote doesn't accomplish much.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Foxbird, Wirt has some good advice for you, and I'll add to it by pointing out that in your reads list, you use the fact that someone is kind and helpful as a sign of towniness, and I'd caution you against that. This game has lots of potential for wolves to dress up in sheep's clothing. Scum can be charming and welcoming. Town players can often be exasperating and abrasive because they don't have anything to hide. Keep in mind that if you are town, the only other players who know that for sure at this point are the two scum. And when they see a new player getting targeted, they have two choices. They can pile on and pound with all they got to try to push you to be mislynched, but once you flip everyone will see that you were town, and your wagon would be the first place they'd start looking for scum. It's a very obvious move and maybe not the best choice. The second choice they have is to support you and defend you and that gets you individually thinking they're town for being helpful, and if you do still get mislynched, they can reap town points for being on your side. So don't give people being helpful to you a free pass.
Or of course they could just be your partner trying to keep you out of trouble!-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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All I'm saying is that your post 55 really threw Foxbird a bone. You explained to her why she was being scumread, and guided her in a new direction. And now by following your advice she looks to me (and I believe to others) a lot more towny. For me it's too early to try to pick out an intact scumteam but this could have easily been scum coaching a partner. And if it was, you did a very good job because I seem to be the only one who picked up on it.In post 74, inspectorscout wrote:
Discussing with me? well, I pretty much said what I wanted to say about that flail thing. I was slightly wrong though. I said it was a town move, but actually, considering he is a new player, he probably doesn't like to leave arguements unfinished because loose end could be dangerous. It's not really a town move; but I don't see the scumminess(is that even a word lol) in it either.In post 62, SirCakez wrote: The questions do carry weight though, I'm awaiting a response from foxbird and am discussing with inspector.
I do not have any strong stances currently yes, but it is the third page. I'm still waiting to engage with most of the playerlist.
Wait is this like a compliment or... i dont get this lolIn post 68, arak-and-skhug wrote:If on the off chance that Inspector & Foxbird are the scumteam, that was a MAJESTIC bailout by the Inspector himself.
Yeah i dont have stuff to contribute on so i wont, but if you have any questions about my reads on ppl or smth make me do it xd-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Wait, Foxbird, you say Inspector posted while you were writing? It took you an hour and half to write that post?
And I'm sorry but how is Inspector one of the most diligent scum hunters?
Inspector who says he's having trouble reading this game, who admits he doesn't have much to contribute, who adds the disclaimer after his vote "i know these are bad reasons but yah"
All he's done was start that back and forth about flailing. And what's his opinion at the end of it? That's it's not really a town move but he doesn't see the scumminess in it either.
So Foxbird that's who you think is one of the most diligent scum hunters in the game? You, Charloux, and even Cakez have all contributed more then him, in my opinion.
This is now the second funny interaction between the two of you.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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I already explained once why I thought the Wirt vote was scummy. Scum isn't always going full speed for the lynch. Often they are hiding and trying to blend it and wait for someone else to lead a lynch. I saw the Wirt vote as a failed attempt of hiding under the radar and "looking busy" without actually risking anything. Yes there were more votes on me at the time but I think it was clear pretty quickly that the momentum on my wagon was reversing quickly and that's a good reason for scum to bail.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Wirt my first thought was fake townslip too, it just seemed to obvious, but I'm going pretty much purely on gut for that one.
The thing I really don't like is this apathetic self deprication thing going on...it's not consistent, and mostly seems to crop up when Inspector is being criticized. His helping Foxbird wasn't just a throwaway answer about game mechanics, he guided her to improve her entire image. and in 113 he forgets his "image" and calls out and corrects Cakez for not paying attention, Inspector is clearly focused enough on this game that he doesn't need to constantly claim otherwise
I still think Foxbird is scum but I'm going to go ahead and jump over here for now
VOTE: inspectorscout
If you actually are being genuine about half-assing this game maybe now you'll have motivation to play fully.
Also, I had forgotten about the late random vote-and-unvote failed discussion starter which I had found weird at the time. Of course it was on Foxbird!-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Nice posting about page 5 on page 6. Good job Arak.
I want to call back to this post for a second as well. It reads like you don't have your facts straight about who you are. One second you call yourself a cautious player, the next you say your flippant and spontaneous. Also no, most people DON'T have the same train of though naturally, and while scum's ultimate goal is to lynch town, scum doesn't want to get caught being obviously on a town wagon. There's plenty of reasons for you as scum to have left my wagon. Also, saying "why would I have done that as scum?" is a flawed argument because I can just respond with "why wouldn't you have done that as scum?" For all I know, you could have "done that" with the single intention of later saying "why would I have done that?" Makes sense? It doesn't work for me. Anyway, later on after this you cite fluff and contradiction as scumtells, and here's fluff and contradiction in your very own posts.In post 53, Foxbird wrote:It's hard not to agree with someone else's point if they are valid. Not much has happened in the game so far, and there has been little room for subtlety or reading between the lines, just by lack of content, so most people will be having the same train of thought. Yes, I am a cautious player, and after seeing someone else with more experience agree with my gut feelings, I found it prudent to point out that I feel the same as them. Reaching a consensus isn't necessarily "empty" or sheeping.
And yes, I wanted to see what your defense is when people wonder about something you did (the prior defensiveness). Every reaction in mafia leads to new questions, so seeing a reaction to a reaction to a reaction, so to say, can be useful. I don't see how me changing my vote after I heard what you have to say is suspicious? All you did was make me feel comfortable that the pressure had done what I wanted it to, so I moved the little pressure I can create onto someone else, someone who had promised to post soon after catching up. And why would I take my vote off a wagon, that, as you say "has solid reasoning behind it"? If I was scum, knew for sure you were town, wouldn't I want to keep the wagon as long as possible? I don't understand how any of that makes me suspicious. All I'm doing is trying to cause as much conversation as possible, because information helps the Town.
If I seem flippant, then I suppose I could seem that way. This is my first game, so there's not much certainty for me, and combined with the fact we're so early in the game and know next to nothing, it can lead to some spontaneous decisions. Shots in the dark, and such.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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In post 136, Alexcellent wrote:
Do you think Inspector is scummier than Foxbird?In post 124, arak-and-skhug wrote:Wirt my first thought was fake townslip too, it just seemed to obvious, but I'm going pretty much purely on gut for that one.
The thing I really don't like is this apathetic self deprication thing going on...it's not consistent, and mostly seems to crop up when Inspector is being criticized. His helping Foxbird wasn't just a throwaway answer about game mechanics, he guided her to improve her entire image. and in 113 he forgets his "image" and calls out and corrects Cakez for not paying attention, Inspector is clearly focused enough on this game that he doesn't need to constantly claim otherwise
I still think Foxbird is scum but I'm going to go ahead and jump over here for now
VOTE: inspectorscout
If you actually are being genuine about half-assing this game maybe now you'll have motivation to play fully.
Also, I had forgotten about the late random vote-and-unvote failed discussion starter which I had found weird at the time. Of course it was on Foxbird!
It's not important who's scummier between two people when we still have two scum to find. Alex a lot of your posts consist of quoting posts that say a lot and then barely responding with anything heavy, either asking a softball question or making a vague statement. I don't like it. I'm gonna go back over you once I get home from work this evening.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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So Alex try to pretend you're town for a second. Is it better for me to be alone with my vote on Foxbird? Or with two others on Inspector? Does it really matter which one I think is a little bit more scummier? No. Do I have a numerical value system that I can use to assign scum points? No. It doesn't work that way. I think they're both scummy. If we had to lynch right here right now I'd be happy with either one. So think about it and tell me why it's important for me to answer your question. Except you already answered it, we can't lynch both scum in one day and I'm perfectly willing to compromise if it still means someone I scum read is lynched at the end of the day. This is just Alex thinking he can make himself look town by asking inconsequential questions and looking busy.
Hint for you: I'm perfectly capable of stating which one I think is scummier and I don't think any town player here cares what that answer is, really. I'm holding back on answering not because I'm afraid of revealing my deep dark secrets, but because I'm opposed right now to what your doing in this game and I want everyone to be aware of it.
Prove me wrong by telling me what critical information you were hoping to gain by this question. How would you have reacted if I said I think Foxbird's scummier? How would you have reacted if I said Inspector's scummier? Give me something insightful enough and I'll drop it.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Actually I'm not being defensive in this case because I have nothing to defend! You keep trying to make this about me and my response when it's actually to be about you and your empty, busy question. Funny that you choose "defensive" as your go-to word because it's been proven to have gotten votes on me earlier in the game and thus is a safe choice for a scum fabrication.
You didn't answer part of my post. Is it better for a town player to be with a lone vote on someone all by him or herself, or on a wagon with two others. Both targets seem scummy. What would you do?
Also you want my reads on everyone? I'll go ahead and say I'm pretty sure we'll find at least one scum somewhere within you, Cakez, Foxbird, and Inspector, and I'm most confident in the towniness of Wirt and (perhaps surprisingly) Huntress. Charloux, I find decent enough but I haven't gotten around to scrutinizing him to deeply.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Welcome Chip Butty! Can't wait to hear your thoughts!
And apparently I need to clarify.
This post:
was not me buddying to Inspector. Nor was it was a compliment. Subtlety is apparently lost on some. This post was pointing out the buddying between Inspector & Foxbird. Did anyone else think that was a genuine compliment other then Inspector? (and Foxbird following Inspector's lead) I know sarcasm doesn't always translate into text but I thought that was pretty clear. Like I literally called him potential scum in that post, in what world is that buddying!In post 68, arak-and-skhug wrote:If on the off chance that Inspector & Foxbird are the scumteam, that was a MAJESTIC bailout by the Inspector himself.
Cakez, you never answered my question in 45
I'll rephrase it. Basically your original reason for voting me was my (admittedly-potentially-irrational-but-that's-irrelevant-to-this-question) fear of a mislynch on Alex. Why is that a scumtell worthy of a vote?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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I might not get around to doing a post by post on Alex if Foxbird and Inspector keep being this scummy together and distracting me.
(Also Cakez comment on his meta adds to it but I was already getting a feeling that me vs. him was town vs. town and I'm just being stubborn and trying to prove my point. At the moment there's two lynch candidates head and shoulders above Alex in my opinion)-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Alex why do you think I reacted like I I did initially?
If you still think your question was so bone-crushingly hard-hitting and it just rattled me so much that I was forced to be defensive, you have zero reading comprehension. and then off you go again pooping out a new worthless post for every post you see. Like seriously did your welcome for Chip need its own post?
All I'm saying is that if your scum what your doing makes sense. And if your town it doesn't. Because right now for me it's just the equivalent of someone making a lot of noise. If you could have understood why I responded like I did I would have an easier time believing you're town but you're pulling teeth comment applies that you apparently still don't get it.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Okay doing an ISO now because Alex still bothers me. I'm putting it in a spoiler tag so that everyone doesn't get a head ache from quotes on quotes on quotes., this is basically a run through of every time he does this quote + one question thing and how much he accomplishes by doing it.
Spoiler: Alex ISO Part One
I'm going to have to finish this later but go ahead and take a look inside, it's worth it just to see how empty his posts are when they're all lined up next to each other.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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In post 159, Alexcellent wrote:
Beats the hell out of me.In post 158, arak-and-skhug wrote:Alex why do you think I reacted like I I did initially?
Point to where I felt my question was so "bone-crushingly hard-hitting". I asked you a simple question and you flipped out. The question wasn't a big deal but you completely blew it out of proportion.If you still think your question was so bone-crushingly hard-hitting and it just rattled me so much that I was forced to be defensive, you have zero reading comprehension. and then off you go again pooping out a new worthless post for every post you see. Like seriously did your welcome for Chip need its own post?
I felt the need to be friendly and welcome someone to the game. Why does it bother you so much?
We clearly have two different playstyles. Although it feels an awful lot like you're trying to discredit what I say.All I'm saying is that if your scum what your doing makes sense. And if your town it doesn't. Because right now for me it's just the equivalent of someone making a lot of noise. If you could have understood why I responded like I did I would have an easier time believing you're town but you're pulling teeth comment applies that you apparently still don't get it.
It beats the hell out of you? Are you reading my posts? I'll explain it again. I found your questioning to be scummy and/or not pro-town because it was an empty question with an easy answer that wasn't going to reveal much by me answering it and I protested it to either get you off autopilot if your town or blow your cover if your scum. It had nothing to do with the actual question itself which was just the latest in easy questions that you've done nothing with. If you used all these questions to compile an information rich post for all the town to benefit from it would be one thing. But you haven't.
It bothers me that you're cluttering the thread with empty posts and blowing your post count up and trying to look busy without taking any risks, making any pushes, or landing any solid criticisms. It's lovely to welcome someone but all it takes is one sentence at the top of a game related post. When people aren't concise and game threads bloat, scum thrives.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Alex, posts like 165 are exactly what I was missing from you.
I'm townreading Huntress because she's consistantly made sense to me, moving the game foward in a pro-town way, being genuine and concise, scum hunting and providing information
My quip about bone-crushing hard-hitting questions was me making fun of you for not realizing that I didn't actually care that much about your question. All you could see was my reaction and you didn't and still don't I think understand why I reacted like that. If you still don't understand what I was doing, I don't think you ever will.
But I do like 165! So there's that. So maybe I got through to you somehow! Except I disagree with one major point. I don't think Foxbird jumping first off my wagon clears her to be town for a few reason.
One - in the first couple posts of the game I looked like a super easy bandwagon with the IC on my back and Charloux deciding I'm probably prone to be taken advantage of
Two - Cakez joining my wagon actually discredited it because he joined so badly.
Three - by this point various people including you were starting to say I wasn't scummy.
Four - so Foxbird felt the winds changing and got nervous and went from me (who looked like an easy target but then was started proving more difficult) to Wirt (who also looked like an easy target because he hadn't joined yet)
Five - I think it was my post 45 (in which I quietly called out Cakez and Foxbird following Huntress with bad reasoning) and you backing it up right after that reversed the momentum on my wagon, rather then Foxbird's unvote.
I think Foxbird is intelligent enough to have sensed that I wasn't going to be quicklynched, (and it was obvious that I wasn't going to be quicklynched) and unvoted either because she got nervous, or because she calculated that it would help her look town, or some combination of both.
Also, I might be stretching here, but Foxbird said something that I think actually might clear Inspector if Foxbird flips scum. I'll give a cookie to anyone else that caught it.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Foxbird, there's absolutely no reason why town should be speculating on potential PR slips. You're only highlighting it for scum that might have missed it. That probably wasn't a slip, most games (especially on other sites I believe) default to having two PRs and it's an easy assumption for someone to make.
If our PRs are intelligent enough they could get through this without drawing a target. I'm personally for the plan, but Charloux isn't my first choice to force a claim from. We'd be putting a lot of confidence in your meta on him, and you're off to a good start Chip but I want to see more from you before I have that confidence. I think Inspector would be a better choice.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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wow but all post 200 does is make me doubt the scum read on Foxbird that I had until this point. Foxbird is playing better. The last post she made that had anything that looked scummy to me is post 147. I thought her "Oh I'm screwed if Inspector flips scum" thing was ploy by scum...If she's scum and Inspector's town, she knows that. So here's her chance to ride a Inspector lynch and say "oh look you guys were wrong about him so that means you were probably wrong about me." Maybe that's overly speculative on my part. And since then I've liked her posting, and Charloux is making her look town right now.
In regards to Charloux, while I don't think people raging and lashing out necessarily makes them scum (anger and yelling by itself def isn't a scumtell) I find it weird that Charloux was so calm and non-committal and now is freaking out at the prospect of getting lynched. Town shouldn't freak out like that. Town's game isn't over is they get mislynched, there's nothing to panic about. Obviously, if you know your town, you should defend yourself until the end, but this isn't a rational defense, this is panicking.
Also forget anything calculated with claims, we're clearly not on the same page with it, i'm seeing people tossing around chained claimed and multiple claims and no one seems to know who wants what when all Chip wanted was ONE forced claim on ONE scummy looking player and even then to hold off lynching him until closer to deadline. But people seem to be confused by it and when people are confused, things backfire. So maybe we should all just drop it.
Oh and I almost forgot. VOTE: Charloux
That's L-1 people! I repeat. L-1
L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1
proceed with caution.
but proceed nontheless.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Also Cakez is the one that agreed with me about wanting Inspector, not Alex. Foxbird you must have misread.
Also Cakez, there's no need to drum up anything between Alex and myself, I like what he's posting now. Also my comment about your meta on him was in reference to the statement you've made twice now that you've seen these kinds of posts from a town-aligned Alex before.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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215 was posted by Cakez not Alex
I have a lot I could say about self-hammering and how I wasn't even convinced Charloux was scum and was more just curious about how'd he react under L-1 pressure, but there you go.
There's a little bit in the wiki that says it's occasionally strategic for scum to self hammer to deny town the little bit of information that comes with decisions being made at the end of the day, so out of respect for you Charloux I'm just going to pretend you were going for that and not quitting.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Just to save you time during your ISO, I'm Arak and not Alex.
I voted him because I had a feeling he would unravel at L-1 and get even angrier and emotional, not for a forced claim. I didn't expect him to self hammer. People can be really revealing when they're emotional so I wanted to see what would come out up him (he had promised to "go crazy"), and I felt like this group was responsible enough not to hammer prematurely. I wasn't even convinced he was scum honestly, I just think that it's harder to fake towniness in emotional situations and Charloux raging could incite other people to rage and we'd all have a fun informative time. Didn't end up working out that way though obviously, I was expecting a bang and got a whimper.
Btw are we allowed to be discussing things like this after the hammer?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Fear of looking scummy/opportunistic is only a good reason not to do something if you're scum. town should vote for whoever they want with the purpose to lynch scum. If you think someone is scum and you don't vote them, that's not pro-town. Even if casting that vote will make people suspicious of you, it's scummy not to do it. If you're town, doing something to advance your win condition that still might get you lynched is no big deal. If you're scum, it obviously is.
Inspector is at the top of my scum list going into Day 2.-
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what if we all mass claimed? worst case we might lose a PR but if everyone with a night action comes out and says who they targeted shouldn't we be able to narrow it down pretty quick? And with only one scum left if there was a CC we could just lynch both of them and still come out on top. Let me know what you think, maybe I'm being rash.
until we have a better plan I'm down with continuing the Inspector wagon
VOTE: Inspector-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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yo we don't even know if we have a cop. also if we mass claim there's so many ways for a counter claim to happen...for example if scum claims doctor, either the real doctor, the one-shot, or the jailkeeper could counter depending on what we have. That alone if a 50/50 percent chance for scum to mess up-
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Chip there's no daytalk, it's been mentioned already. Are you faking a townslip over here? I'm finding your push on me a little bit out of left field. From what I gather it's mostly a tone thing? Also I already said I voted Charloux for pressure. His last couple posts, 200 and 210 especially, gave me the feeling he was about to fly off the handle, and I wanted to make that happen. That's why I voted without reason because votes for pressure are best left unexplained. I didn't predict a self-hammer at all.
Anyway Chip are you town reading Inspector? And that me or Wirt is more likely to be scum then him?
Why do you think he has a three person wagon on him?
Who do you think was the most likely person for our Cop or JK to target?
I think you've got 170 backwards. me, you and Wirt are all being read as town pretty much across the board. It makes sense for Charloux to just pick three generically towny players (after all he knows we're town). Especially because he has no explanation for his proclamation, just emptily stating he won't vote any of us. I don't see scum making a statement like that towards their buddy.
Inspector is still my biggest scum read but putting him aside for now, I don't like how Cakez and Wirt are trying to out a potential cop by pushing FtC when we don't even know if we have a cop, I think Cakez might have faked a townslip between 127 and 129 and I don't like how Chip went from calling for a Jailkeeper outing in his first post of a day and now one page later is taking it back after no one took his bait and other people had the chance to disagree. I also find Chip to be the most responsible for Charloux's lynch, which could be a good thing, but bussing is a thing that exists.-
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Yeah but I've seen Alex online once or twice, he wouldn't miss submitting a nightkill. You're continuing to look at everybody but Inspector and suggest very unlikely theories while avoiding the occam's razor of the simplest solution of what's really going on. Try to be more perceptive
Foxbird I think have the bulletproof claim might not be a bad idea. Another thing we could do would be just have everyone go around and say who they would have targetted if they were cop or JK, and see if there's a consensus. I have a feeling we're all going to say Inspector, it was the obvious choice. I have a feeling Inspector was the most like candidate to have gotten targetted by a cop or JK and if that's true it basically means if we have a cop he's most likely town and if we have a JK he's most likely scum. Also he's been lying very low today, if he is scum he's probably hoping Chip continues to throw out these stretches and he's hoping one of them will catch fire.-
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I'm not scum. What else do you have on me other then gut? I can't believe that you find me to be the scummiest player right now if we're going on anything but gut.
And I'm not saying we should rush into lynching Inspector, I just happen to find it scummy that Chip won't mention him. Chip is second on my scumlist.
Huntress is actually right though that we shouldn't be getting tunnel vision about the setup right now. (I'm guilty too) I think we're seeing this no nightkill and thinking we're way close to solving this, if we had all the night actions on the table we probably could solve this today or tomorrow, and that might be true, but there's still no need to rush it. We have plenty of time to secure a win without dropping the ball. Once the time comes for people to start revealing their night actions everything will start falling into place
Foxbird I think there's a difference between productive scumhunting, which should be encouraged, and creating longshot theories that just muddy the waters. That and the PR baiting are contributing to my scumread, but right now a lot of is just gut which is why my vote is staying on Inspector because I like to vote on more than just my gut.-
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Huntress, by asking people who they would have targetted I'm trying to find out who the target was without exposing the PR. With no NK I think it would be very helpful to know who was targetted! So far everyone has said they'd have targetted Inspector except for Inspector himself. Because of that I'm close to assuming Inspector was the target tonight. So if down the road we find out we have a cop that clears him, and if down the road we find out we have an JK that most likely means he's scum. Why are you opposed to answering the question? If everyone answers noones gonna look any more PR-y then the next. If everyone answers who they hypothetically would have targetted how does it narrow down anything? I'm not seeing eye to eye with you here.-
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^what other stuff were you worried about?In post 320, inspectorscout wrote:
ok sorry then it was cakez, but that doesnt change anything. If i say it is full of fluff, you can see that for yourself without making me break it down completely and then say it was half-assed because charloux would be my scumbuddy. thats just bullshit. how would you have broken it down if you were me? at that time i had other stuff to worry about than some breakdown about a wall post that i already disliked because of the emptinessIn post 317, Chip Butty wrote:
Except that the fact that it contained nothing, if true, is salient in itself. Breaking it down and showing that each section is just fluff isn't "useless", it helps build a case on Charl who, of course, actually was scum.In post 313, inspectorscout wrote:lol i said it was useless because I already said that it had nothing in it before. I said that it was just filler without having any stuff in it, yet you asked me to break it down. What did you expect? Im sorry but i cant write whole pages about a post that already contains nothing.
And it wasn't me who requested the breakdown. It was Cakes, from memory...-
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Don't give me any ideas! And by the way, I really don't mean to sound angry in my posts. I'm one hundred percent not angry at all. You'll just have to take my word for that, seeing as this game is played through text and not vocally and there's always room for text to be misinterprated. Just like when you made jokes and I thought you were serious.In post 321, Chip Butty wrote:
Lemme guess....hmmm....In post 316, arak-and-skhug wrote:also I actually wouldn't be opposed to claiming with Inspector if that simplified things for everyone.VT, right? /sarcasm. But, yeah, go ahead.-
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Here's all the reasons their might have been no night kill, in what I think is most likely to have occured to least. Please tell me if I'm missing something!
1. Jailkeeper targetted Scum
2. Doctor protected Intended Target
3. Scum accidently hit Bullet-Proof
4. Scum failed to submit night action.
That's all right? I just think it's so much more likely that a town PR succeeded in an offensive night action vs. a defensive one. Because there was really one best choice to pick on the offense, but lots of towny looking people who could have been the nightkill, I don't know how a doctor would have chosen.
Of course anything could happen. Maybe our last scum is just super crafty and he or she didn't submit a night action because he or she knew it would mess us up like this and let our PRs think they're hot on the trail when they're really way off. But at some point we're going to have to accept the fact that we'll never know for sure and maybe we just need to pick the most like option and roll with it. And I think what most likely happened last night was a jailkeeper jailkept Inspector. I could easily be so way off that I'll look back and say "what an idiot" but this is where my head's at right now.-
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You're right, I didn't think of that.In post 335, inspectorscout wrote:uhh, arak, you forgot 1 slight detail: if jailkeeper jails the kill target, the target wont be killed either.
But if I'm assuming you were the JK's target, I highly doubt you were also the nightkill target. If you are town, at the end of Day1 you were looking like the most likely next to be mislynched. Why would scum try to kill you? They don't know if their dealing with a doctor or not, they probably would have targeted some middle of the road town looking person to dodge a potential doctor save while still guaranteeing they knock somebody out.
Also if anyone else other then Chip finds my post 331 to be empty finger-pointing at Inspector, I'll be happy to elaborate, but I think I made my point more fully than he's giving me credit for. For all of Day 2 Chip has been pushing hard against me, and his go-to move is quoting my posts and then telling you "what I REALLY meant" which as a stand-alone method has so many holes in it.
If I get lynched through some freak accident make sure you start with my wagon tomorrow because I'm almost positive there's scum already on it.-
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Huntress I like what you're saying. By the same line of thinking, I've been questioning whether or not this:
is just the most obvious distancing ever, a post-hammer last-ditch attempt to clear his partner.In post 222, Charloux wrote:VOTE: charloux yes im scum but i didn't buddy chip, that was just me playing how i always do.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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No scum reason except to use it now to try to make yourself look town. To replace in and immediately bus your partner is a very bold move, but it's not unheard of, and here you are today using it for town points. I think a town player would be more inclined to let actions speak for themselves and not need to say "look at this thing I did! Why would scum do that?" That's wifom and it doesn't really work. And you do seem like a wacky schemes kind of player.
Why didn't you join the Inspector wagon? To me he looked scummier then Charloux at the time when you replaced in, I'll have to go back and reread it cause memory's failing, but I remember not being very impressed with the reasoning behind the Charloux wagon. Also when are you going to get around to finishing your analysis on Inspector like you said you would?
Inspector looked like he could have been an easy lynch yesterday and today there's still the possibility. If he's around tomorrow he'll still probably be a candidate. This is the kind of player that scum likes to keep around. Chip claims not to be avoiding him but lets count the posts where he talks about his Inspector analysis that HAS YET TO COME
In post 280, Chip Butty wrote:
I can see why people are suspicious of Inspector.In post 279, arak-and-skhug wrote: Anyway Chip are you town reading Inspector? And that me or Wirt is more likely to be scum then him?
Why do you think he has a three person wagon on him?I'll look more closely at his ISO and his Charl associations when I have time, maybe 10-12 hours from now. Not Townreading him; wouldn't be surprised to learn he is the scum.In post 295, Chip Butty wrote:In post 288, arak-and-skhug wrote: And I'm not saying we should rush into lynching Inspector, I just happen to find it scummy that Chip won't mention him. Chip is second on my scumlist.I'm not avoiding mentioning Inspector at all.I said I would be back with an analysis of ISOs and Charl associations, and that will happen.But when I logged in recently I looked at the activity chart and Alex's absence leapt out at me. Plus, I wanted to reply to Fox's point about the likelihood of Scum!you bussing Charl. Now I have one more post to get out of the way before getting down to my Inspector analyses. That post will be about the apparent anger you are displaying in your reaction to this push on you.
@Fox: I don't see anything seriously wrong with your BP-claim idea, but I'm not going to focus on working out the setup right now. It will come out in the wash; I'd rather scum-hunt.In post 298, Chip Butty wrote:You know, I've changed my mind about the BP thing. Now I think the BP, if there is one, should def NOT claim. Reason: It's just going to make it less damgerous for scum to fakeclaim.Depending on how my analysis of Inspector goes, I wouldn't mind forcing a claim from Arak. In the meantime, I don't think anyone should answer his setup questions; he might just be fishing for a safe fakeclaim.In post 302, Chip Butty wrote:
Yeah, I wonder if it is a playstyle thing? I might have to look at another of his gamesIn post 301, Foxbird wrote: It's just so... non-committal. He quotes the post and most of his comments aren't really comments, they're summaries. The questions he asks aren't very critical and reference things that can be read as rather neutral, like using too many words to say something or not wanting to put in effort to read 50+ pages. After his analysis, he doesn't follow up with how the post influenced his read (he doesn't even go back to his read at all), he just quickly goes on to say he's going to focus on someone/something else now. I don't like it.when I'm doing my Inspector-analysis...
You've been alledgedly working on this Inspector analysis for days. It looks to me like you're trying to look town and look busy pursuing a popular scum target when in reality the last thing you would want to do is lynch Inspector because (if he is town) the longer he'll be around the more likely he'll be mislynched. You'd much rather get me out of the way today wouldn't you?In post 333, Chip Butty wrote:In fact, that just looks so bad that it deserves a vote, even before I finish my Inspector analysis.
VOTE: ARAK
It's funny that you were the first one scumreading me, but you didn't put your vote on me until a player widely considered to be town (Huntress) started the wagon. If Inspector's town, he's following her for self-preservation and then scum!Chips gets his exciting opportunity to jump on third. First to scumread but third on the wagon is questionable.-
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Chip also. But yeah you caught me I was definitely exaggerating, it's a bad habit. 3 out of 8 does not equal "everyone but you"In post 365, Huntress wrote:
As far as I can see, it was only you and Foxbird who said that. Where are the others?In post 315, arak-and-skhug wrote:So far everyone has said they'd have targetted Inspector except for Inspector himself.
Huntress I still don't fully understand your vote on me, the other two I get but I don't understand what you're doing on my wagon.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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I'm giving Wirt the benefit of the doubt until I see more from him today. Sometimes real life just happens.
And Chips I see you dodging me calling you out for your Inspector weirdness! Also your OMGUS is weak here. I've been scum reading you for a while now and while the timing of your vote on me is certainly scummy it's not the only thing I'm voting you for. It seems like you're accusing me of OMGUS simply because you don't have anything else to go on. I'm happy with my vote-
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Under normal circumstances I would disagree and say we just need to suck it up and persue our scum reads but I feel like scum could really thrive in this kind of apathy and it's not fun to be at a standstill, so yalla lets go for it. I'm not afraid to be lynched either. But I'm just going to say if anyone's looking at us as equally scummy, it's better to lynch Inspector first, and I'm not just saying that for selfish reasons. Unless something changes it'll come down to Alex and Wirt to decide between us and that could be interesting.
VOTE: Inspector
Honestly though I'd still rather lynch Chips then you, but let's shoot some energy into this game and maybe give PRs another night to see what's up.-
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Do your Inspector ISO and then I'll elucidateIn post 382, Chip Butty wrote:
Pray, elucidate...In post 380, arak-and-skhug wrote:But I'm just going to say if anyone's looking at us as equally scummy, it's better to lynch Inspector first, and I'm not just saying that for selfish reasons.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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Yeah but she clearly had been thinking about it, her 351, 353 and 365 all show her thinking about it. She's the only vote on your wagon (Some people are saying there are two votes and that it was L-3, they are mistaken. I was voting Chip, I unvoted to vote Inspector, then Huntress voted Chip. Only one vote). I think you panicked because Huntress voting you lends more credibility to the possibility of you being scum, she's been read as town this whole game, and I've been read pretty scummy. So when I was the only one pushing you, you felt like you could get away with being condescending and discrediting me, but you just found out get away with that with Huntress. All I see in Chip's 402 is calculated backtracking.
Why are you acting like I can't change my vote? I'm pretty sure I didn't enter a signed-in-blood, death-to-us-part marriage contract with Inspector and I can put my vote back on you whenever I want! Like, for example, now!In post 386, Chip Butty wrote:Did you think about that for even a minute? Arak is telling us we would be better of lynching Inspector over him today, but won't say why, and he wants an ISO of Inspector. Why? If Inspector is going to be lynched as he wants, why?
VOTE: Chip Butty
(now there's two votes on him)
I'm allowed to think multiple people are scum even if there's only one scum left. And I'm allowed to not be sure if lynching the person I want will end the day. I "agreed" to Inspector's plan knowing it would drum up discussion and shoot some energy into this group, which is something the town desperately needs. Of course it would be stupid as town for us to set our next two lynches in stone. Anything can happen and a successful town is a reactive town. Inspector's intentions were to get things moving and he obviously succeeded in that. And suddenly I'm thinking I was maybe mistaken for tunneling him so long.
I'm not sure if your talking to me or Huntress in this quote but if its me this is the second time you've "helpfully" informed me that there's only one scum left. GUESS WHAT I KNOW. When I said your go-to method on pushing me is discrediting me, and putting words and intentions in my mouth that I didn't mean, this is what I meant. All your doing is insulting my intelligence and annoying me. Is this all a big reaction test? You like to use big words and try to act smart, so I can't believe that you genuinely think the fact I want you to do ISO you've dodged doing so many times is because I forgot we lynched scum on Day One, which means your doing it on purpose to make me look stupid. Where's the town motivation behind that? And if that quote was directed at Huntress, that's even worse because it means you're using these tactics against multiple people which means your guaranteed to be using it against town.In post 388, Chip Butty wrote:Couldn't have been for long, since you posted 5 minutes after me.
Why would I not ISO Inspector? Do you think he and I are scumbuddies? Because there is just one scum left, you know...
Anyway
I'll say it as clear as possible:
I want your ISO on Inspector because I think it's weird that you've offered it so many times but never delivered. I want it because this whole thing started from me asking you if you seriously thought Inspector looked townier then I did, and you still needed to analyze him and you wouldn't be surprised if he's scum. (280 So technically I'm still waiting for an answer to that question and why your vote is on me and not him. (If you've only analyzed me of course you're going to think I'm scum) I want it because I think it's likely because I want to see how genuine it is, if you're scum you're gonna have to fabricate that whole scum read you promised way back 280. And before you started pushing me he was the only person with a wagon, I find it scummy that person would be the last one for you to analyze, unless your scum of course because someone like Inspector is exactly who'd you want to stick around so why would you push him? Refusing to do the ISO is like admitting guilt in my eyes. So good luck! Get on it.-
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I can see how Inspector's plan can look WIFOMy
Q: Why would scum make that move?
A: To earn town points with a plan that probably isn't going to happen!
Q: Why wouldn't scum make that move?
A: Because if it goes to plan, town wins!
To get something out of it you'd have to go over Inspector's meta and how risky a player he is with a partner, and without a partner, and even then people can go against their meta so easily and the whole thing kinda ends up null. My gut is telling me a scum with no partner wouldn't make this move but that could be exactly what he wants me to think. So that's WIFOM.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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No, you misunderstood. I don't like how Chip uses discrediting as a "scum-hunting" technique because there's no information gained from it and there's no real way to defend against it, making it ideal for scum to use as they "help the town". If it was just on me then maybe it's all a reaction test but if he's using it on Huntress as well then it's clearly his go-to method. If he was just scum reading me and Huntress and making informative reads without all the "surely you don't think he's my scumbuddy" talk it would be different.In post 405, Foxbird wrote:In post 403, arak-and-skhug wrote: I'm allowed to think multiple people are scum even if there's only one scum left.
So... is treating more than one person as scummy good or bad now?In post 403, arak-and-skhug wrote: And if that quote was directed at Huntress, that's even worse because it means you're using these tactics against multiple people which means your guaranteed to be using it against town.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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- Posts: 191
- Joined: April 20, 2016
I'm not the IC but I'll give my thoughts on your question Chip....in general, on paper, it's better to stretch the day out as long as possible, on the basis that more information, more time, and more interactions = better chances of catching scum. But that requires the whole town to be alert, focused, and motivated throughout the whole long day. In reality I think it's a definite possibility for a town to run out of steam or get distracted if the day is too long. Information overload is a real thing. It's a case-by-case basis and if you're gonna be truly pro-town you need to figure out the right balance, when to take the time to scratch away deeply and when to push the gas pedal to most benefit this combination of people. I can see why people think your plan to push Charloux to claim was scummy. Look how much effort its taking to get a four person wagon on anyone. If we got four people formed up on Charloux and then dispersed, it wouldn't be very likely that the wagon would form again, giving Charloux a free pass. Seeing as he's scum, the fact that you weren't just pushing him straightforwardly is questionable. It's like you were looking for a loophole, how to reap the benefits of bussing without actually losing your partner. Too bad you can't have your cake and eat it too.
Speaking of cake, I don't like Cakez's last post, where he's going out of his way to call Foxbird town. Almost everyone already thinks she's town, and her replacement request reads completely null to me (town and scum are equally likely to be anxious) so I don't understand Cakez highlighting it as a town tell. I don't know though what his scum motivation would be other then to look town if/when that slot flips.
Also, I'm taking a vacation in Thailand until the 23, so I'll be V/LA. I'll try to post from my phone as much as possible cause ten days is too long to just be gone, but my content is definitely going to drop.-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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- Joined: April 20, 2016
Welcome Cariad! Can't wait to see what you have to contribute
And Wirt the flaw in what you just posted is that his proposal changes people's read on him. Drop the concept of WIFOM for a second because I think people have slightly different categorizations for it, and ask did his proposal change people's opinions on him? (Answer is yes) So were the actions that caused that change genuine? Or with an intention to manipulate? (We can't really know). I think because of that people are bringing up WIFOM.
Anyway what else have you got on Cakez? Why did you want to start your own wagon on Cakez instead of joining voting for Chip, Arak, or me?-
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arak-and-skhug Goon
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- Posts: 191
- Joined: April 20, 2016