Newbie 1707 - Game Over
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Simoyd
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Totally wrecked it, nice.
@wgeurts: Since you asked about P20: I can understand not wanting to be silent, but I think that RQS might have been a better approach rather than sheeping. Or even if he brought up a secondary reason that you didn't bring up could have been okay. Could be new player-ness? I'm new too though, so I dunno. The second sentence really feels like a poor excuse. I think that friends/rivals often poke at each-other in the mafia games I've read (or any game for that matter).In post 20, KaladinStormblessed wrote:Honestly it doesn't seem that suspicious but is the only thing going on, and only meant to note that it different than others and a thing I'm noting in my mental list of things about this game, and as i said didn't want to be silent. If it is a poke at an acquaintance, a noobs game with newcomers to the forum and or game isn't the best place for that.
I'm going to point my finger of suspicion at Murph too. He reduced attention on KaladinStormblessed's sheeping and redirected to Seth. Murph and KaladinStormblessed: possible scum pair? I agree with Murph that reading KaladinStormblessed sheeping as scum on page one is very far fetched, but no more far fetched than reading Seth's post as forced, and no more far fetched than my FoS.-
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Simoyd Goon
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@Murph: You downplayed both posts in your first sentence, then you encouraged other people to talk more about Seth with your second and third sentance. I have like 15 bottles of this weak sauce, and I need to get rid of it somehow!In post 19, Murph wrote:@ Kal and geurts
Why do either of you have suspicions about a single D1 poster ?
Seems more like Seth was acknowledging/poking an acquaintance with a throw-away D1 vote.
If you think it's more nefarious, please share why.-
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Simoyd Goon
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analyzing because wgeurts asked:In post 18, KaladinStormblessed wrote:It's not as random cause it's the second vote on a person, with no real reason, but follow up votes are more suspicious than the first vote. Also you have a reason, joking revenge vote, he doesn't. I don't like to bounce my vote around so I wait to vote. Yes, I have done mafia before, a few games on gamefaqs, unsure if I'll be able to find links. Almost didn't post it for fear it'd be suspicious but didn't want to be silent.
Word on the street is that putting a second vote on someone in RVS is bad form. I don't agree with that. I've seen the accusation several times in games that I've read, but a lot of the time people who do the second vote end up town, so I don't see it as a good reason. I think that can play into the meta, so an alignment indication might depend on things that happen in the future.
I agree that there's not really much evidence on anyone to justify switching from his RVS vote at this point. I think switching would probably be more scum indicating if anything.
I'm skeptical of him not being able to find links to his game, although I don't want to force him to do anything because it may give an unfair disadvantage to him (as both town and scum) compared to other newbs. I'd ask how long ago they were as evidence, but he can just lie so I won't bother.
and I already mentioned my opinion on fear of being silent in a previous post.
Thanks for pointing this out. I feel like I had a good understanding of associative tells coming into this game, but I'm really grasping at straws at this point. It was certainly not a strong opinion. Gotta start somewhere.In post 33, wgeurts wrote:Also Sim, I'm liking what I'm seeing from you so far. Don't try and piece together any associative tells not based off cold hard flips or a mod-confirmed investigation result, they will collapse on you and it will hurt your game. Basing someone's alignment on someone's else's when you don't even know for sure the first is what you think he is, is a very weak construction and you'll find yourself making many mistakes as a result. You may also accidentally biasing yourself to see someone as a certain alignment which doesn't help either, basically don't do it.
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I think that the words you used, and the effects of those words are two separate things. A liar can use the words you did to try and direct attention to Seth. Yes it's associative, and yes it's weak.In post 34, Murph wrote:So, that FoS you were swinging about, how about IT ? Your reasoning is unjust and quite actually confirms my statements.-
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I think fear of being perceived as sheeping only happens when you know you have nothing of substance to post. If you're posting substance, then there is nothing to fear to begin with. At the same time, people are crazy and I'm on the internet, so I dunno...
chase the fear.
@KaladinStormblessed: Why does siding with wgeurts make you scared? What did you think we would think was happening? How would you not posting your opinion benefit town?
@wgeurts: What do you think about post 19?
We need more people posting. I'd like to hear everyone else's (not murph and wgeurts) opinion on the second half of post 33 and on post 34 (KaladinStormblessed just ur opinion on 34).-
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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I'm having trouble understanding why you deflected from my question and repeated the far fetched nature of my previous accusations. I'm not sure I would quantify anything you described about murph in your post (80) as "definitely thinking". Perhaps you can speak more to that? Do you think others are definitely not thinking?-
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd
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Yea I do that. I understand the pattern is selfish, but I justify it as selfish for town. In my opinion the alignment indication depends on the context of the pattern. Ultimatly I think I answered your questions though, in the end.In post 91, Murph wrote:I've noted that Sim likes to answer questions by turning the question back into a question.
Not to devalue what others have said about this post, but incomplete vote tags don't count right? Is that intentional? Baiting for reactions maybe?In post 86, SethYazura wrote:My first post wasn't forced, it's not an attempt on humor either, I made it sound strange on purpose.
If we don't lynch Murph now, we are just going to lynch him later because of how dangerous he sounds.
How about we lynch him now and start from there.
VOTE: MurphVOTE:
UNVOTE: wgeurts
I think that secrets can be okay to try and corner someone later. If it drags on and secrets are kept long term, then I would be very concerned.In post 90, SethYazura wrote:
It was to attract attention and immediately get the game going, but it's more than that, sadly I can't tell you my secrets.What do you mean by "I made is sound strange on purpose".
How does that make me terribly suspect? A suspect is one that acts like scum, a scum pretends to be town, what I'm doing is the total opposite of that.I'm also not sure how I like your positioning, the way you've jumped into murf seems terribly suspect
SureAlso know that if you are town, flash-lynching is never a good idea especially for the reasons you gave.
@Seth: How do you define the "total opposite" of "one that acts like scum, a scum pretends to be town". I don't understand your explaination. Can you explain how flash-lynching can be good for town? Also your opinion on other people?
I think that the reason this seems overly defensive is because of your phrasing. You could have asked "Do you have a problem with these posts?" or "Why do you keep poking at these?". But your phrasing "what is it" implies that it certainly exists. This is another minor thing I think. I also think that I continue to point out minor things for you because you're good at defending yourself.In post 58, Murph wrote:@ Sim
Don't be shy about it. Get to the point.
What is it about 19 & 34 that you have a problem with ?
I'm trying to pressure everyone at this point to create more things to attach content to. Maybe my opinions below will do that.
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Null reads: AlpacaAlpaca, RedCoyote, Kaladin, and even yogurts need to post more
In order from least scummy (top) to most scummy (bottom):
Murph seems very driven both by defending himself and by asking questions on things I agree with. Only minor scum tells so far.
Raskolnikov's posts seem very scattered to me. I don't like the quick changing of opinions on RedCoyote and Murph, but ultimatly the reasons appear to have good motivations. No real acusations or drive to push others.
Hoppic I think is under the fire now. Seems really wishy washy, but might be the player. Need more in-depth analysis from him on any topic. No real acusations or drive to push others.
Kaladin needs to post more, but start of game was questionable
Seth - see above
:McDonalds:-
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Simoyd Goon
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He hasn't posted much, and what he has posted appears very scummy. I am pressuring him.
Hypothetically if no-one were allowed to post more, I would lynch him. If a town jumps on my wagon followed by two scum and he hasn't posted back, then I will remove my vote and wait for later in the day to give him an opportunity to explain.
I don't think votes are universally synonymous with lynch intent.-
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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I think what Raskolnikov was saying was to use the "post" bbcode tag instead of the "quote" bbcode tag. The code in his post was just to demonstrate the usage of the "post" tag so that you could see it without the forum parsing it into what it ends up looking like, like this: 97-
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I'd like to hear more about exactly how this generates fun for you.In post 138, wgeurts wrote:I've got to have fun before getting night-killed for looking the most imposing (my gray name makes me look more experienced, lol. little do they know)-
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So what exactly are the specific results of your experiment?In post 154, SethYazura wrote:I'm trying to lure scum to jump on the Murph lynch train, unfortunately the situation changed and turned against me, it's not for the bad though.
UNVOTE: Murph
I'm not surprised I'm at L-2 now, no one wants a person who hides information from town and suggests flash lynching with a lack of reasoning.
The reason I made that first post was to try to distinguish scum from town, how a scum and town would react to an odd doublevote post, this will be useful for me in the future.-
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Hypothetically if Seth is lynched and flips town then we can analyze the wagon, but that applies to any townie so I'm not sure how that provides value to town. I remember reading some things on the wiki about martyrdom being a poor strategy too... Not sure how I feel about this explanation.
@Seth: What is your previous experience with mafia style games? How much have you played before this?-
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd
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In post 192, RedCoyote wrote:I wonder if Alpaca might make a good D1 lynch.In post 193, Simoyd wrote:Why do you think that?
Sounds good. Lets talk about why you think Alpaca would make a good lynch?In post 200, RedCoyote wrote:I was hoping some live back-and-forth may be a refreshing change of pace for the game, but perhaps not. I'd rather have discussed why Alpaca was or wasn't a good lynch.-
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Can you elaborate more on what you're attempting to do?In post 209, RedCoyote wrote:grouping players together in the way with which I'm attempting to do?-
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Simoyd
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Simoyd Goon
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Sorry, read this at work and forgot to respond later. I didn't vote murph at that point because my evidence was all crap and I knew it the whole time. I think that it's clear now how intensely I'm trying to move the game forward. Murph isn't jumping out and driving but I'm hard-pressed to find scum in his posts.In post 133, wgeurts wrote:Really I sometimes why he never voted murf so I'd like an explanation there.
I'm thinking now that RedCoyote took my "Murph hate trane" kinda seriously in 70 and continued by parroting "phrasing" in 203. I'm not liking his recent posts either...
I need more explanations from Seth. He has ignored many direct questions from different people. I'm not sure if I like him more or less than RedCoyote at this point.
I'm liking Raskolnikov's and Hoppic's recent posts more than their previous ones.
I've seen almost no scum behaviour in yogurts.
@Alpaca & KaladinStormblessed: I'd really like to see a post with your reads. Even if it is just an order of names with no reasons. We have to start somewhere and people can ask questions from there.-
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I really liked that one! I missed that when I first read it but I completely agree!!! Very nice catch!
I almost changed by vote because of it, but I want to keep pressure on Seth for more explanations. I like your thinking that if he was really going for it, he would have committed. It kinda leaves him with no outs other than VI or scum.-
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@Seth: What do you think about RC's comment here?In post 263, RedCoyote wrote:
Sim may not know any better than to this, but you ought to know better than this.In post 251, wgeurts wrote:I don't want to make that claim now, though an RC flip may end this game day 2.-
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In post 203, RedCoyote wrote:
This strikes me as a town mindset. I guess because I think I would wonder the same thing as town.In post 117, AlpacaAlpaca wrote:Just wondering why would you vote someone without intent to lynch, I mean you have said that you think that he is the most scummy out of everyone and than you voted him because he doesn't have a vote yet but you don't have any intent to lynch him? Shouldn't voting for people be reserved for actually wanting to lynch them. Like its open to change the vote later but why vote without intent.
This universe. What universe are you in?In post 263, RedCoyote wrote:In what universe is this a scum slip?
If you would wonder the same thing as town, then why didn't you wonder that? The wording demonstrates that you think you're separate from town. You could have said "I missed that and agree". You could have said "I think the same thing [as town]". But you said you WOULD wonder the same thing as town implying that there's a condition, as if to say "I would wonder the same thing as town, if ...". I think the "..." here is what I've asked above: why didn't you wonder that? What is the condition? True, this could just be ego ("I would wonder the same thing as town, if I was a filthy pleb like you guys, but I'm amazing at this game"), but I don't really find the rest of your posts to be notably egotistical. I'm trying to understand what a town motivated condition here would be. I'm not trying to put words in your mouth by adding to your sentence, and I'm not trying to over-focus on one sentence. I'm just providing this big explanation because hoppic and I see it and you seem to be missing it. I'd like to hear your thoughts on why you chose that wording?-
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Simoyd Goon
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So I have some concerns about you, hoppic:
Weak Sauce
Why do you think it is wierd that alpaca has no questions? It seems that you only have two posts so far with questions about other people (125 and 232). 124 and 306 are defensive clarification questions, so not the same thing. 231 appears to be rhetorical as there was no follow up? I'm not trying to say you should ask more questions. I'm wondering what makes you think Alpaca's post is wierd?In post 105, Hoppic wrote:Alpacalpaca's only made one post so far, so it's hard to get a read just from that but it seemed strange to me that the post would be all about assessment and have no questions. Also, idk. It's easier to read people when you know what they're like a bit.
Lurking / Not taking a stance / Feeling out the crowd
In posts 104, 107, 108, 109 - you really seem to be goin back and forth on your opinions. 109 explained this as a typo, but the wording in 107 "actually" demonstrates that the view posted here is different than 104. This series of posts gives me bad vibes. Additionally:
I think murph and I were very clear. It really seems like you were lurking and scared to take a stance at this point. What is the town motivation here to not understand when asked to provide an opinion? I'd say it could be newbishness but later (227) you demonstrate that you can make a pretty solid deep read, so I'm a bit curious about this inconsistentcy. More evidence of lurking and fear of taking a stance is shown here:In post 111, Hoppic wrote:
I can't really understand what she (?) is saying. A few players in this game are like that for me: raskolnokiv, you a bit and Murphy. Maybe others. I can understand individual words and sentences but overall I don't get it.In post 110, Simoyd wrote:@Hoppic: Raskolnikov has posted a lot. Does he not stand out a bit too? What do you think?
that's post number 229! I feel like that's pretty far in. I don't think it's valuable for town to be posting opinons and analysis without having read up at that point. Sounds like it's really just more fear to take a stance, and trying to feel out what opinion will draw the least attention. How do you think this helps town?In post 229, Hoppic wrote:I haven't gone back and reread the game yet so I haven't quoted particular parts.
Lets face it. The murph trane was crap at the start, and was still crap at the time your post here. This seems like parroting to me. Basically your analysis was that you agreed with a shitty trane and then you posed a rhetorical question (which I also mentioned above). The focus here wasn't that you didn't understand what raskolnikov said, but more that you demonstrated you didn't value understanding what raskolnikov said. Your response to parrot his opionions and post the rhetorical question still doesn't really take any kind of stance. What is your read on Rasko?In post 231, Hoppic wrote:This mostly is clear, but some things are hard to understand, such as, murphy definitely thinking and being a tiny bit scary...
Although I agree with your read, this again seems like you're feeling out the crowd and seeking validation before really jumping on it. I don't think I'm an authority in this game, and if you have a problem with something RC said, then why do I need to agree with you? Is there a reason other than more pressure on RC? There was no question from you in 227. Why didn't you just clearly outline the issue up front to him to potentially get his response instead?
One last thing: In post 231 you analyse the first part of Rasko's post 72. Then you have some revelation in post 233 about it. What made you chose this part (not the second half of 72) to analyze? How is this valuable to town?
The seth trane
You jump on the seth trane, but only after rasko, murph, alpaca, and yogurts. So it's a pretty safe bet this won't draw attention at this point right? You also agree with his RVS seeming forced in post 103. I don't think your RVS vote is any more or less forced, as you provided two distinct reasons for your RVS vote. What exactly do you think is forced in his post? What words or topics sound forced? What really bothers me is:In post 101, Hoppic wrote:
What do you mean about Murphy sounding dangerous? Dangerous how?In post 86, SethYazura wrote:My first post wasn't forced, it's not an attempt on humor either, I made it sound strange on purpose.
If we don't lynch Murph now, we are just going to lynch him later because of how dangerous he sounds.
How about we lynch him now and start from there.
VOTE: MurphVOTE:
UNVOTE: wgeurts
The first question is ambiguous. I'm getting vibes here that you're asking how to be a better town. Only scum is concerned with pretending to be town. The second question though is way off. If the answer is yes, then what? If the answer is no, then what? How does this help town? Why did you ask this? It sounds like "does it bother you that you're town, your strategy is crap, and you will be lynched instead of me?"In post 127, Hoppic wrote:
Who do you mean and why do you think they're town?In post 125, SethYazura wrote:From what I've observed so far only the ppl who has made the analysis of scum so far are town.
Does it bother you that a lot of people see you as scummy?
Your very next post after 127 is 227. During this time the seth trane derailed and exploded into the "slayer's gambit" junk. And your first post is to step away from seth in fear, which continues in post 228 (Note that I'm not sure I would agree with what seth says in 244. I think the whole thing is WIFOM. Scum could do either; be scared, or wagon on). But when I ask about it you gave me this:
So if you don't believe the slayer gambit, then how do you explain seth being less of a read than RC? Why would a townie act like scum, and say he's doing the slayer's gambit and not be doing the slayer's gambit? How is that a worse read than what you have on RC?In post 232, Hoppic wrote:Nothing Seth has said has made any sense to me and he seems really anti-town. I think he's probably scum, but redcoyote is a stronger read right now.
No, the slayer gambit explanation makes no sense. If you were doing that, why would you say so? Everyone's voting this early in the game, and the votes are not too serious so it doesn't make sense for timing either.
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@Hoppic: I'd like to hear your thoughts on the above-
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@wgeurts: Is this still incoming? Also, like murph, I would like to hear your opinion on 111.In post 248, wgeurts wrote:I have some stuff on hoppic for when I'm not on my phone.-
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Simoyd
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I guess this explanation is okay...In post 313, RedCoyote wrote:If I were in Alpaca's shoes with a town alignment-
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Assuming you're town I agree with this.In post 314, RedCoyote wrote:I think the scum are apt to get rid of an IC early on in the game if they think they can swing it.-
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My credit shouldn't matter to anyone. I expect people to form their own opinions. I think the wording implies a condition, which you've provided. I'm still getting bad vibes from hoppic, but I'm not sure I would describe it as obvious.In post 317, RedCoyote wrote:
Frankly, I don't see how you could read it in any other way unless you were intending to try and sway a quick, foolhardy lynch. I'm disappointed that you'd give Hoppic so much credit as to apply his obvious framework on me without having the independent sense to question either him or myself first.In post 315, Simoyd wrote:
I guess this explanation is okay...In post 313, RedCoyote wrote:If I were in Alpaca's shoes with a town alignment-
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Simoyd Goon
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Yes. a couple things maybe. I'm concerned about yogurts. I'm wondering if hoppic and him are partners. Hoppics fear of taking a stance near the start kind of seems to me like he's distancing from yogurts. What do you think about that or is there anything on your mind?In post 316, RedCoyote wrote:do you want to talk about anything one-on-one-
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My credit shouldn't matter to anyone either. People should form their own opinions. Not hostile, maybe just my opinion, but I think it's most effective for everyone to maintain independent thought, even if they may settle on a wagon for some time.In post 321, RedCoyote wrote:I've went out on an obvious limb to call you town very early on in this game, much to detriment
(still reading rest of ur post)-
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I think that considering an arrangment of players where I'm in a townbloc with you is okay. But I consider many different arrangments of the players and am constantly weighing them between each-other based on reads. I'm re-reading ur old posts now to see if I have any issues with u (I'm on page 7). I forget if I asked, but maybe it's changed since someone asked you: what is your full insight on the seth situation?-
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