Post
Post #1303 (isolation #200) » Fri Mar 09, 2018 2:05 pm
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1296, JaydragonKing wrote:I trust Almost the least out of Dino-Almost-Luca, if that helps. Again, going by Meta (oh so flawed as it is), he's always had a strong opinion as Town, yet this is the most amount of time he's just Sheeping people when I thought he would be up there with Dino and Luca in terms of content.
Good post
dino is locktown for content and Luca is locktown for me understanding certain frustrations, there is nothing I could really even townread from A50 right now.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
One thing I find fun is after being accused of being on a scum motivated wagon Anen tries to wagon Mathdino.
Like I'm seeing less and less that I like. Fuck it I'm following this lead. VOTE: Aneninen
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1314 (isolation #203) » Fri Mar 09, 2018 2:37 pm
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1311, Mathdino wrote:Someone's sitewide activity dropping off doesn't mean shit
Read his trajectory
Reads like town who wanted to go all tryhard but got busy and started snowballing into not being caught up
Feels more like scum who was all bluster to me
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1315 (isolation #204) » Fri Mar 09, 2018 2:39 pm
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1313, JaydragonKing wrote:Well I don't think that matters because your probably not the Vigilante who'd shoot me. You said it yourself, you haven't checked your PM since the beginning of the game. But I haven't believed that shit since the beginning, honestly. You keep it up though.
Aneninen promised a readlist "tommorow", aka day 2. I am positive he's scum at this point trying a last second stall. Mutant's slot has been much more damaging then pintu, and Almost is clearly hiding something. Gamma's been caught up between you and Luca, who's been getting townier by the minute. North's been gone for a while, and Creature also bailed. And Paradox and Jmo have been also null, so by your definition, they are also a valuable shot.
I believe that's all twelve of us, some more memorable then others.
Anen said lowercase t in tomorrow meaning it's irl
Also what do you mean by me being caught up between Math and Luca?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Look at the votes again. Dino, Luca, Gamma, Almost, and Pinto are voting Anen, and none of none seem particularly interested in moving to a different wagon. My vote will soon be going there, so that's half the people against him.
That leaves you, North, jmo, Creature, Anen himself, and Mutant (who Anen is trying to counter-wagon) to save him. North, Creature, and jmo are non-entities at the moment.
Be sensible and let Anen be the Lynch. Try to argue with me to save Pintu from being a wasted vigilante shot. That's what the town should be doing right now.
I mean if people will vote mutant I'm totally with that, jmo is acceptable, and I might be down with lynching A50, I'm not set on Anen as you seem to be saying
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
'I won't bother posting if people have decided I'm the lynch
' thing seemed more like scum giving up to me - as Town there is no reason not to at least share your thoughts, even if you're definitely going to be killed.
Meh I've also been like this as town when I've felt like it didn't matter
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 19, JaydragonKing wrote:I also fake claim to save my ass no matter what, so believe me at your own risk..
In post 1370, JaydragonKing wrote:Oh, looks who's doing a misrep of me now. I get your pissed at Dino but don't bring me into it. You don't even know the complete context between my claims.
I mean at face value that's the logical statement
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
NSG's postrate is almost exactly between her average town postrate and scum postrate
the number of questions she's asked per post far FAR exceeds both her town questionrate and scumquestionrate, although her scum questionrate is generally a little higher
basically NSG is playing severely against meta by spending almost every post asking questions rather than making statements
it's not scum indicative but i've realised that's why i can't get a lock on her
...curious...
thoughts mutant?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1435 (isolation #214) » Sat Mar 10, 2018 4:44 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1408, Mathdino wrote:In the vast majority of MS games, the vig fucks over town harder than it fucks over scum.
As scum, the optimal strategy for me isn't to try to strongarm everyone into following this great idea of outsourcing the vig to democracy (LOLDEMOCRACY), it would be to
1. Not get vigged. It's hilariously easy to town it up D1 as scum when you know who everyone is.
2. Let the vig "decide what's best".
3. Try to shoot a power role (and dear god so many people this game have bled power role).
4. Read through everyone's reads lists on D1 to figure out who the vig is and just shoot the vig on N2.
Every open setup I enter I think to myself "what are the flaws in how town uses this" and "how would I want things to go if I were scum".
How I would want things to go is literally letting things go the way they normally do and shooting PRs because I'm better at doing that than convincing 9 players to do what I want.
I mean for strong vig play look at Real Folk Blues rematch. My first shot was a partial-hipfire based on someone trying to strongarm my shot feeling scummy. After that my shots were always within a specific pool that for the beginning I made myself but after a critical failure I took advice from the masonry in that game. So really we should all probably make a vig pool and vig can only shoot in the one we all decide on.
You okay with this Dino?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
NSG's postrate is almost exactly between her average town postrate and scum postrate
the number of questions she's asked per post far FAR exceeds both her town questionrate and scumquestionrate, although her scum questionrate is generally a little higher
basically NSG is playing severely against meta by spending almost every post asking questions rather than making statements
it's not scum indicative but i've realised that's why i can't get a lock on her
...curious...
thoughts mutant?
hey mutant for getting on me about not pushing questions you sure seem to not be looking for them now
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
NSG's postrate is almost exactly between her average town postrate and scum postrate
the number of questions she's asked per post far FAR exceeds both her town questionrate and scumquestionrate, although her scum questionrate is generally a little higher
basically NSG is playing severely against meta by spending almost every post asking questions rather than making statements
it's not scum indicative but i've realised that's why i can't get a lock on her
...curious...
thoughts mutant?
I'm not that familiar with NSG's meta. I've played 1 town and 1 scum game with NSG. In the scum game I protected her N1 as a doc and was mostly town reading her but by N2 I had a gut feeling she was scum which turned out to be correct. In my town game, she replaced in and I was lynched D1 so didn't get too much of a chance to interact. She felt town there though and I didn't have that gut scum feel as I did previously. Math's statement here is either proof that he doesn't know NSG as well as he claims to or that NSG is trying something new this game. I don't have that gut scum feel this game.
I actually like this analysis. The main point of asking you this was a consistency check for whether you'd poke at her questions since that many questions means some of them likely fall by the wayside, but the response is nice anyway.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
1- I would very much appreciate it if you used more common terms. I've had to google "reticent"
2- I am not. I am being effortless. Or rather saving my efforts until they are truly needed.
In general; D1 is the playground of Scum and VIs alike. Anything you say or try to do will be opposed by both. VIs tend to follow Scum much much more than they do Town, and I don't want to go through the trouble of swimming against the current.
Why this game though? Why not any other game are you being so defeatist?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1467 (isolation #220) » Sat Mar 10, 2018 5:26 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1466, mutantdevle wrote:I'm not so sure I'm liking this flash NSG wagon. (I also find it odd how there have been several flash wagons that don't seem to go anywhere but I guess that's a point for another time). I'm willing to vote for her as a compromise though because obviously, time isn't doing us any favours right now.
@Scum: You really thought you were lynching the Vig (or forcing an explicit claim?). GET OUT OF HERE. I was a VT, SUCKERS! It was all planned to lure you into shooting me.
I see you're all making a damn good circus show without me. I'll only intervene when I'm needed, so carry on. (That's me being
v
ery
t
ruthful
, in fact)
Just a FYI, that read list stands. Just move Gamma from Town to SHITTY Town.
Whatever. You play against meta like you did you get suspected. I'll admit that the possibility of you baiting NK should have been on my mind but I was kinda tunneled on you. Sorry bro.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1544 (isolation #228) » Sat Mar 10, 2018 6:28 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1538, JaydragonKing wrote:Yeah, No. The vigilante is shooting whoever the hell they think is more scummy. Clearly democracy isn't going to work out. If they shoot me, fine. If they shoot Pintu, fine. If they shoot Dino, fine. If they shoot ANYONE, fine.
Clearly we are settling this day 2.
Okay, but if vig shoots a vanity SR my eyes go to you
Vig don't shoot someone who is largely townread. I don't care who you shoot otherwise as long as it isn't me but I don't want you sticking your neck out for a hero shot and becoming obv.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1550 (isolation #229) » Sat Mar 10, 2018 6:31 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
btw A50 had you claimed VT, explained your plan, and pointed out your crumb without self-hammering, I would have unvoted on the spot. My whole suspicion of you was based on the fact your play felt like a PR hiding which felt manufactured so you making that post was literally the best thing to get me to townread you.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1564 (isolation #232) » Mon Mar 12, 2018 7:17 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1561, Mathdino wrote:i even fucking preempted pintu's claim by saying "all mafia is going to claim jailkeeper" SPECIFICALLY SO WE WOULDNT OUT THE REAL JAILKEEPER
those of you on the A50 wagon can never question my ability to read A50 ever again thanks
I mean I'll still question it in other games but for now I'm bowing to you here
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Since we're in odds, an extra death at night is theoretically pretty bad for town and puts us in LyLo if we're wrong about both our scumreads. On the other hand, if scum fails to catch the vig (which, let's be honest, they'll probably easily find the vig tonight thanks to yesterday's shitshow), we could actually direct yet another vig tomorrow to put us back in odds.
Clearly Jay dies no matter what, but do we have any backup options?
This is a bit of reverse engineered logic so bear with me. When I designed my Large Normal to start I had two ideas I sorta rolled into one: the Willbooster idea and the Vig 18p idea. The Vig 18p idea was actually based on this exact setup, but with a few more roles to sorta sweeten the pot I guess. The reason why I picked 18 players as the number was because with vig there should generally be 3 deaths a cycle, thus bringing it eventually to 3p lylo potentially. I took that idea from this setup because I saw the same process in play here just with less overall numbers. My point is vig should not be holstering because I feel the setup is based around them shooting each and every night.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 1598, Gamma Emerald wrote:This is a bit of reverse engineered logic so bear with me. When I designed my Large Normal to start I had two ideas I sorta rolled into one: the Willbooster idea and the Vig 18p idea. The Vig 18p idea was actually based on this exact setup, but with a few more roles to sorta sweeten the pot I guess. The reason why I picked 18 players as the number was because with vig there should generally be 3 deaths a cycle, thus bringing it eventually to 3p lylo potentially. I took that idea from this setup because I saw the same process in play here just with less overall numbers. My point is vig should not be holstering because I feel the setup is based around them shooting each and every night.
I think this is fair, but also keep in mind most setups are based around not lynching scum on D1 (and let's be honest, pintu was basically lynched, not vigged).
Clearly if we get a counterclaim situation, vig is our backup plan to shoot scum if we get the coinflip wrong.
I'm toying with this idea: We should be lynching today in the set of people who didn't want the vig to shoot pintu, as those people had shittons of scum motivation and are pretty clearly not the vig.
Why not use the vig to shoot people who WERE okay with vig shooting pintu, and acknowledge that since the vig isn't gonna just shoot themselves, there's less danger of hitting a power role?
That would mean shooting in {NSG, mutant}, with the acknowledgement that if one of them actually is the vig, they should obviously just act like they're VT potentially getting shot.
Edit: @mutant: I want to lynch Jay and vig someone else. We should do our best to hit scum today I think, because that gives jailkeeper the opportunity to play offence (scumhunting) rather than defence (nightkillhunting).
This sounds like some solid logic actually.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1655 (isolation #237) » Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:55 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
Where I'm at rn
Mathdino - town, was right about a lot of shit d1 that I doubted him on
JaydragonKing - has been ignoring my questions, counterwagoned A50 when Pin was on the chopping block, probscum I guess
Luca Blight - also town cos I can understand their perspective on Math's push on them, also I believe they pushed Pin most of d1.
northsidegal - possibly scum, Math says they haven't been poking into things they should have and I agree kinda
Aneninen - no clue rn read is kinda in flux because I don't recall why I was voting for them that last time
Gamma Emerald - is a dummy-dumb-dumb
TheGoldenParadox - was also a dumb-dumb
jmo16mla - might be scum who vanished after faking effort or town who wanted to effort but fell behind, gonna trust Math on this but still keep my eyes peeled.
mutantdevle - idk I've kinda been flipping on him so far
VOTE: Jay
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 735, JaydragonKing wrote:I've kinda tuned them out as well and have been posting non-game related stuff to get noticed and see if they'd jump for my throat so I could do something this game, but they are in their own world.
Fake
-claiming
Backup
Jailkeeper by the way.
Counterclaim jailkeeper. Checkmate friendo. I targeted Mathdino n1. I was debating not doing so because he was drawing it super-obviously but after A50's flip I decided he should be kept around. Also there's a crumb I left that Mathdino and I think mutant have both noted at this point. I can quote it if needed but honestly just ctrl-f jail in my ISO and you should find it.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1673 (isolation #242) » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:46 pm
Postby Gamma Emerald »
btw since after this lynch it's one scum remaining who should I target tonight? I'm leaning mutantdevle, but if I change my mind I will state such in clear terms.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1685 (isolation #243) » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:51 pm
Postby Gamma Emerald »
Don't feel bad. Even if you hadn't I was fine with it given a fakeclaim means after the fakeclaimer is lynched my role can be used to clear people.
And I can go for a NSG JK instead. That's my pick for now.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1694 (isolation #244) » Mon Mar 12, 2018 12:57 pm
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1687, JaydragonKing wrote:Well let's all just humor me and go under the assumption I do just flip Vanilla Townie, okay?
We'll need to find the two scum who have infiltrated us and exterminate them. I can rule out Gamma now, and probably Dino, so I'll start looking into Luca. That seems like a fine discussion point.
Why should we?
If you do though don't expect me to telegraph my action, as scum can likely just send the other to kill me. I will never target the vig target however.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 1687, JaydragonKing wrote:Well let's all just humor me and go under the assumption I do just flip Vanilla Townie, okay?
We'll need to find the two scum who have infiltrated us and exterminate them. I can rule out Gamma now, and probably Dino, so I'll start looking into Luca. That seems like a fine discussion point.
Why should we?
If you do though don't expect me to telegraph my action, as scum can likely just send the other to kill me. I will never target the vig target however.
Please stop talking to confscum, lol.
Wanna go through the wagon lists to see if we can find our third?
Sure. I'll pull up the info once I get caught up.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 1720, JaydragonKing wrote:Continuously calling me claimed scum when you have seen me do this EVERY GAME as EITHER ALIGNMENT is horrible and you know it Dino. Get off your ass and have your back up plan ready for when I flip Village Idiot.
Uh, vig Gamma and proceed as usual?
He's not saying he's flipping JK, he recanted.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
, we all agree to vig someone. Before hand if this happens. We also have to find someone to jailkeep. We have to think though. We cannot vig and jail keep the same person.
So we vig the most scummy person, then jailkrep the second most scummy person?
That way we can clear someone that night.
In post 1733, jmo16mla wrote:We only decide for the "if Jay is scum" part. Guess I didn't make that clear.
But I thought the whole point of your post was what to do if Jay flips town?
Also, mfw when literally all of us forget about Jay's slip at the start there.
Yeah that's some wonky-ass logic there. He doesn't seem to be able to make up his mind about what circumstances I should be calling my target for?
In post 1738, northsidegal wrote:i wonder if that mistake really was outside of jay's scumgame. apparently i've already underestimated him once, this game.
that's not really the point of contention though? It's that mutant is very likely not scum with jay cos scum playerlist awareness. It's the same philosophy Cabd had in Large 199 when claiming masons with someone outside of the game (I know no one understands this but I still feel like the comparison should be made).
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1777 (isolation #251) » Tue Mar 13, 2018 1:29 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
In post 1764, Mathdino wrote:TBH the question of jailkeeping isn't who we think is most likely to be scum after the vig target, it's who we most want to clear for LyLo.
So if we agree that Aneninen probably deserves rope for the latter half of D1, then the question is who we want to confirm between {Luca, NSG, jmo}. For activity reasons, I prefer Luca (also because Luca clearly doesn't want to be jailed). For gamesolving reasons, I could be down with jailing jmo.
I prolly do not jailkeep Luca if Jay flips scum, but if Jay flips town it's something I might consider based on this logic.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 1761, Mathdino wrote:NGL it's still probably NSG by play post-bus, but I'm biased as fuck toward keeping her around for readily sheepable reads and if she's deepwolfing she can just die the day before LyLo.
That's 3 votes for vigging Anen (me, Luca, mutant). Add 2 for Mathdino proxy votes (Gamma, Paradox) and Aneninen should claim.
I'm sorry, I'm not a dino proxy vote. That was a joke, I
a) have my own reasoning for votes
b) am not going to proxy I've been SRing for most of the game
Why are you still SRing him, if not why aren't you willing to give your vote to him after how right he was about all the flips we've had?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 1761, Mathdino wrote:NGL it's still probably NSG by play post-bus, but I'm biased as fuck toward keeping her around for readily sheepable reads and if she's deepwolfing she can just die the day before LyLo.
That's 3 votes for vigging Anen (me, Luca, mutant). Add 2 for Mathdino proxy votes (Gamma, Paradox) and Aneninen should claim.
I'm sorry, I'm not a dino proxy vote. That was a joke, I
a) have my own reasoning for votes
b) am not going to proxy I've been SRing for most of the game
Why are you still SRing him, if not why aren't you willing to give your vote to him after how right he was about all the flips we've had?
Because scum know everybody's alignments, that's why I'm SLing him.
So you think he gave correct reads as scum on 3/11 slots?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1787 (isolation #256) » Tue Mar 13, 2018 4:20 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
Just gonna color these in and provide my thoughts at the bottom, green is flipped town, yellow is evident town, red is flipped scum/Jay because of the parameters of this analysis
Hm. I'll definitely want to go back to this on later days but for now it seems like if Jay flips scum there were two scum on the Anen wagon both of the later times. Kinda makes me think Anen is town in that case. Also interesting is Jay latevoting a lot of suspects d1. Seems like he's really intent to get that middle ground vote, also possibly the bus vote. I'll definitely check into that upon a Jay scumflip. For now let's go with I'm jailing mutant on Jay scumflip. Will note I feel like there should be another scum voting me as I was quite the juicy suspect d1. I'll give jmo a pass cos earlier vote meaning I'm looking in one of (TGP, mutant, LB). Whilst I townread LB I'm not going to make the statement that what I'm townreading them for couldn't come from them as scum as I have no baseline for that. He's still my definite last pick in those 3 for scum. Only issue I see to this is Pintu has Jay plus all 3 of them voting there so that's kinda a wacked wagon comp if that thought process is correct.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1790 (isolation #257) » Tue Mar 13, 2018 4:33 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
Hm, given that note about Anen being wagoned on both sides of Pintu I'm inclined to give Anen a spot in my evident town list. Also I was on the first of the 3 Anen wagons as well as the third as stated.
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
In post 1787, Gamma Emerald wrote:Hm. I'll definitely want to go back to this on later days but for now it seems like if Jay flips scum there were two scum on the Anen wagon both of the later times. Kinda makes me think Anen is town in that case. Also interesting is Jay latevoting a lot of suspects d1. Seems like he's really intent to get that middle ground vote, also possibly the bus vote. I'll definitely check into that upon a Jay scumflip. For now let's go with I'm jailing mutant on Jay scumflip. Will note I feel like there should be another scum voting me as I was quite the juicy suspect d1. I'll give jmo a pass cos earlier vote meaning I'm looking in one of (TGP, mutant, LB). Whilst I townread LB I'm not going to make the statement that what I'm townreading them for couldn't come from them as scum as I have no baseline for that. He's still my definite last pick in those 3 for scum. Only issue I see to this is Pintu has Jay plus all 3 of them voting there so that's kinda a wacked wagon comp if that thought process is correct.
1. You're not going to survive the night. As such, you should be the one to place the L-1 vote.
2. Jay clearly has no issue with bussing. Assume he flips scum imo.
3. mutant is conftown upon Jay scumflip. I've gone over this. Jay didn't know who mutant even was.
4. I'm not into jailing Paradox. I think Luca is the right call tonight.
Actually yeah you're right, mutant is conftown in that scenario
Why are you against jailing TGP?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”
Post
Post #1796 (isolation #260) » Tue Mar 13, 2018 4:48 am
Postby Gamma Emerald »
ok then
also Anen pls at this point there's a very minimal chance of you being scum and I hope Mathdino agrees with me but either way you have a fair bit going for you
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”