A warlock, a werewolf, and a vampire... [Game Over]
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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Yeah, I do-- they're both townLady 3 wrote:l8, i very strongly feel that the g4/g5 non-interactions over the last couple of pages should be ai. specifically i think there's at least one scum there and i'm not really sure which one it would be first.
do you have any feelings on this?
Or at the very least, if one is scum, I am unsure the last couple of pages are helpful. I think Gent 4's mentioned townread of Gent 1 isn't terribly strong and partially based on false information. Gent 5 pointed out his reasoning is bad. I still lean town on both independentlyBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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We could wait out the clock, get a nightkill, then use the leaver mechanic to cull the game down to
Gent 9 / Lady 3
Gent 6 / Lady 1
Gent 1 / Lady 7
And then use the full deadline time to solve the game from there if it doesn't end. No rushing required
I'd actually love to have it done that wayBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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i WILL cry Gent 9 and that's a PROMISEIn post 4075, Lady 8 wrote:If one of them leaves prematurely and they flip T/T I would probably cry a little for not being able to prove this better.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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ARe you saying gent 3 is your favourite gent?Gentleman 4 wrote:
G5/L8 has biggest chance. If not, equally consider G9 and G1. Weaker townreads are G6/G3.In post 4231, Gentleman 8 wrote:remind me where you think the scum are, gentleman 4
You will have to do some hard convincing to make me scumread L2.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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I think his case on Lady 1 is somewhat invalid and confirm biassy. I don't know if that makes him scum.In post 4222, Gentleman 9 wrote:L8 whats your thoughts on G1 he's my biggest ambiguous slot rn
He's at a similar level to Gent 6t for me. I would not be surprised if hes' scum but at the same time I would sooner shoot Lady 2 / Gent 3, put Gent 1 in the endgame, and then come to a conclusion there. He's very close to the middle for meBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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I think i may have misunderstood what you wrote, im unsure what it wasIn post 4241, Gentleman 4 wrote:What's your point?Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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this a god tier endgame but my pair is only happening if there's scum in 4/2. I'm not particularly holding my breath but I'd be ecstatic if soIn post 4306, Gentleman 8 wrote:i don't know if gentleman 3's activity is alignment-indicative in any way. i'm just thinking he could be scum through a combination of POE and just some things i don't really like about his play. same for gentleman 1 really...
i know i'm probably going very wrong somewhere in my reads but i don't really know where so i'm kinda just hoping you guys figure out the missing pieces after another scum flip? tbh i still think the 6p i like is probably gentleman 9 - lady 3, gentleman 6 - lady 1, gentleman 5 - lady 8? but i don't really know where the best place to find scum in those names is, especially if there isn't scum outside of those namesBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Gent 3 v1 liked it because he followed his heart and chose Lady 7 over me in order to sort her and solve the game or something
It was then shown that Gent 1 v1 made no mention of wanting to sort her, he gave no reason and Gent 3 v1 attached that to it for some reasonBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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I didn't reread terribly deep during the night. i will do that later tonite
Initially I only suspect Gent 3, side chance of Gent 1. Also potentially Gent 5 if I'm blinded by love
The two pairs w/o those three (Gent 9 / Lady 3 + Gent 6 / Lady 1) is game winning I'm sure. Certainly. DefinitelyBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Gent 3 >>>> Gent 1 >>> Gent 5 > Gent 6 / Lady 1 = Gent 9 / Lady 3 ?In post 4428, Gentleman 6 wrote:In all seriousness I'd love everyone to rank the five remaining pairs in order of wanting to see them flip.
Gent 3 I don't really have much to work with -- lemme look through
Spoiler: Gentleman 3
Gent 1 spent so much effort casing Lady 1 yesterday, i don't recall exactly what his contributions beyond that were. Leeemmmmeeeeee look
Spoiler: Gentleman 1
And I really don't think it's my partner but I wouldn't put it past me to be missing something, especially considering Gent 4 as an example. If he can do it, I definitely canBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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I recall Gent 5 changing his mind on Gent 4 being scum, he always had Lady 2 at the bottom though. Towards the end he shifted back towards not liking Gent 4 (which makes no sense if he's trying to save L2), but he then wanted a no elim at the endIn post 4402, Gentleman 1 wrote:to expand on the fact I SR G5, his posting at the end of first dance was just not good at all, in fact:
VOTE: G5
I think it was bad enough for me to vote it. Dude was acting real shady trying to save L2's pair
The reason he wanted a no elim (he was clear about this to me in our PT), was that he was starting to suspect Lady 5 and wanted to see if she dies before continuing on
Maybe his plan was to not let L2/G4 die -> don't kill L5, kill a different pair -> start suspicion on the IC pair the next day.
It doesn't get him a lot but it does give Lady 2 a chance. I didn't quite agree with suspecting Lady 5 although I had her as less strong than other ladies in my reads and if she survived I'd have been a little paranoid.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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oh that's right! Yay Lady 1!In post 4458, Gentleman 6 wrote:
My jewel Lady the first did as well.In post 4457, Lady 8 wrote:I swear there were some people who held out for L2/G4 first besides myselfBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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The bolded here makes me the most at easeIn post 4459, Lady 8 wrote:I recall Gent 5 changing his mind on Gent 4 being scum, he always had Lady 2 at the bottom though.Towards the end he shifted back towards not liking Gent 4 (which makes no sense if he's trying to save L2), but he then wanted a no elim at the end
Essentially there was a point where in our PT we were like "I'm starting to like Gent 4 more" -> "Me too babe now what" -> "idk"
If he were scum with Lady 2, I don't know why he wouldnt sustain that townread on Gent 4. Gives him more wiggle room i suppose. Instead he put G4 still at the bottom of his reads end of day and didnt TR him
Spoiler: here
He was also never going to turn around and try to save L2 today, that I'm pretty sure of. Mayyyybe I could see trying to pull off the IC paranoia strategy, but after that it'd still be L2 regardlessBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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wait, do you two still suspect each other?In post 4451, Lady 3 wrote:gentleman 9 and i have been talking about gentleman 3 overnight! i'm not sure how interested he was in my input, though.
i don't actually really think g3 reads as aligned with the flipped baddies. i also don't really think g3 is all that towny but i'm not sure if i feel like he needs to die immediately
that said BLOODBATH so maybe we should just kill him for the banter.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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BahahahahaIn post 4468, Lady 7 wrote:Don't go all G4 on me now.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Ah, i do remember the whole thing where Gent 3 pretty strongly felt G2/L4 was town. i can respect that, i just wish he would have been around to help me with it. Oh, maybe that's why he stopped scumreading me !
I don't know if that sways me elsewhere though.
I don't think G7 and L2 talking about Lady 3 suggests the topic has large importance to them. Them wanting to focus on L3 rather than G9 is somewhat of a stretch but I think i get your pointBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Didn't Gent 7 reach the conclusion he thought L3 was scummy? He never retracted thatIn post 4481, Lady 7 wrote:
They aren't attacking her as scum. They want the focus not on you.In post 4478, Gentleman 9 wrote:If misty and I are linked as lovers already why does my hypo scum partners want to attack my dancemate
They have no need to sort but they pick that one spot to engage upon together and don't engage on the read just whether L3 is looking townie. They also reach the conclusion that L3 is town without calling her right or wrong town.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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I am somewhat familiar with the behaviour you're talking about although I have seen exceptions -- thats as good as I can explain that. Perhaps im off the markIn post 4484, Lady 7 wrote:
Why not? If you know who G7 is, then you should have a realization about how he treats his scumpartners. Do you disagree with how I describe G7's treatment towards his partners and others?In post 4482, Lady 8 wrote:Haha i hadn't realized who G7 is until now
Lady 7 definitely town. I don't think we can use G7's treatment of G3 as a way to clear him. I don't really agree with the case on G9
Who do you think G7's last partner is?
I dont really think of the last scum as "G7's partner" as much as i think of them as "L2's partner" or perhaps just last scum. Which I'm at G3>G1>G5.
You mentioned he treated Gent 3 too politely. The only interaction I see is this:
It's really not enough -- they didnt even speak with each other reallyIn post 854, Gentleman 7 wrote:Gentleman 3, I must ask that you take a step back and reconsider your choices in life, sir.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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He barely had any thoughts, period, after that point though. He said 5/8 pairings are town. Lady 5 is town. Asked Lady 6 why she scumread him. Then he gave up -- in that orderIn post 4485, Lady 7 wrote:He didish because he didn't push the issue. He got what he wanted attention away from G9 and not pushing L3.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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Cause you "tried to save Lady 2" by pushing for no elim yesterdayGentleman 5 wrote:Why are people suspicious about me?
I just hedge you down a little bit because I am completely unable to see you as tricking me at this point and i might be missing somethingBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Just by being familiar with him. Might be incorrect but in that case he strongly reminds me of someone.In post 4544, Gentleman 1 wrote:
what are you getting G7's identity fromIn post 4482, Lady 8 wrote:Haha i hadn't realized who G7 is until now
Lady 7 definitely town. I don't think we can use G7's treatment of G3 as a way to clear him. I don't really agree with the case on G9
It's not really helping me solve the game, though, his identity isn't importantBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 8 Goon
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im with my man on this one. At least with the amount of reading ive done thus farIn post 4640, Gentleman 5 wrote:I point the finger of suspicion at gentleman 1Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Lady 1 and Gent 6!!! I find it really hard to see them as scum for the reasons that were just outlined in the past few pagesIn post 4647, Lady 3 wrote:
I feel like this is the highest-probability block of 4 town :/In post 4646, Lady 8 wrote:DEAR GOD don't reduce it down to just my pair and G1/L7
Also my own independent townread from L1's interactions with G7 as well as her play in general. She is not scum
Gent 6 could be really good scum, maybe
I don't have a lot. I guess maybe you wanted to no-elim so you could kill somewhere other than the IC pair, and then get an extra miselim on them the next day ?In post 4650, Gentleman 5 wrote:
Can you outline your possible suspicions on meIn post 4646, Lady 8 wrote:DEAR GOD don't reduce it down to just my pair and G1/L7
But I decently wanted no-elim too and i dont take huge issue with it
Really i'm just scared of accidentally losing the game for everyoneBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Well this is a scary time. Not as scary as it could be, though! i imagine my scaredyness levels will increase at a rate that only accelerates with every fail
Spoiler: reads
pedit: Town wins if they get a T-T pair to survive to the end, the easiest of which is their own. Scum wins if they get their own pair to the end. Town can also just try to figure out who the scum pair is.
If we try to make cases for why ourselves should live, then it's probably just a competition of who's the best at towncasing themselves/their partner, which the scum among us can do too
I suppose the hardest thing for scum to replicate right now is saying who they think the scum is, and why. But that's also tricky for me to do as well.
I'm pretty solidly thinking Gent 1 but casing why is somewhat hard. His content doesnt townping me as much as Gent 6's does. I think his Lady 1 case was incorrect, and that's what he devoted 90% of his attention to. Very tunnely. Today he's entered immediately suspecting Gent 5 the most (??) which I struggle a little bit to understand.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Do I have to start thinking about scum that wanted to play the long game here -- Maybe
See, I don't think scum wanted to hold onto Lady 2. At all. Makes no sense. Gent 5, he wanted a no-elim. It wasn't gonna help Lady 2. I think Gent 1's way of thinking about Gent 5's approach to end of day yesterday is too surface-level
As scum there, I'd have gotten on that Lady 2 wagon. Pushed for it to go. Maybe not extremely hard, like Gent 6 did. He rushed us to get it done pretty hard. Maybe he's smart scum, but I'd expect maybe staying quiet a bit, seeing what happens, and then pouncing if i have to. Probably more like this vote
There is also Lady 1, who I'm going to trust, who says that she is pretty sure Gent 6 is town. That helpsIn post 4329, Gentleman 1 wrote:VOTE: G4-L2
probably gets flipped first in Second Dance so it’s better to get rid of them now and save the timeBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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And that's the theory Gent 1 enters the day with -- that Gent 5 is the worst because he was trying to hold onto Lady 2 for a little longer with the no-elimIn post 4692, Lady 3 wrote:
I feel this - even though G4 was effectively the elim of Dance 1, I really don't feel like there was anyone on L2's side.In post 4689, Lady 8 wrote:See, I don't think scum wanted to hold onto Lady 2. At all. Makes no sense.
Seems somewhat.. off. That's not how I saw it at all, i was wondering if other people saw it like Gent 1 but it seems notBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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I don't see much in terms of L2/G1 interaction. I'm probably missing it -- what interactions of theirs did you like?In post 4700, Lady 1 wrote:I think G1s iso/play has been sub par but I think his interactions with L2 seem pretty decent.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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it all startedIn post 4716, Gentleman 6 wrote:
I imagine fakegod could stitch my sad worried PT posts and your sad worried PT posts like kinstones in the Minish Cap.In post 4712, Lady 8 wrote:Guys you're scaring me
with Gent 3 leaving about fifteen minutes ago
and it's only going downhill from there
SAMEIn post 4719, Gentleman 6 wrote:If i was effectively in El-LO with G5 vs my own lady the first, I'd cry myself to sleep trying to choose.
I really hope it's just none of those three.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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He probably didn't have any reads, and probably didn't feel like whatever ones he got from however much time to reread he had would be worth.Gentleman 6 wrote:I am extremely disappointed in him, like parents-watching-their-adult-children-make-dumb-life-decisions disappointed, in not giving it one more try given we had EIGHT DAYS before game is over.
Imagine a world in which he gave a tenth of a fuck after talking his huge game and tried to make an impact in the remaining 8 slots.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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If we're removing Gent 1 tonight, and it doesnt go so well, I'm taking a break before doing anything else -- that's for sure
I'm scared !!In post 4736, Lady 1 wrote:Wow I once again say I'll leave the dance and people get all clamy. Almost like I'm the only one who'll put up or shut up when it comes down to it. WOO GO L1
Your plan is my own. I just really don't want to be in that endgame situation so if I want to be really sure. And I'm not even sure what would change my mind at this point anyway. But yknow.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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I want to do this for fun even if it probably won't influence me all that much. We do know more than they didIn post 4745, Gentleman 9 wrote:
if that is true then its desirable to compile a series of what their latest reads before death are and use it as guidanceIn post 4739, Gentleman 6 wrote:we owe it to the dead townies whose corpses our current life is built atop.Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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Lady 8 Goon
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Let me grab the most relevant read to what I'm deciding on (aka G6/L1 vs. G1/L7)
Lady 6 post dannflor preferred G6/L1 > G1/L7 (4527). Dannflor Lady 6 seems to prefer G1 over G6 (3718) and had paranoia of L1 (3716)
Lady 5 preferred G6/L1 > G1/L7 as well (4279)
Gent 8 has both Lady 1 and Gent 1 very close to bottom of his reads, with Gent 6 and Lady 7 very high (4314 + 4315)
Gent 4 hard townread Gent 1 (4239)
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So if they were to vote on who is townier:
G6/L1 - Lady 6v2, Lady 5
G1/L7 - Lady 6v1, Gent 4
Undecided - Gent 8
If they were to vote on the Gent they like more between 1 and 6:
G6: Gent 8, Lady 6v1, Lady 5
G1: Gent 4, Lady 6v2
pedit: well that's really helpful! but it also is harder for me to read with all the numbers so ill just post my own version anyway just in caseBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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finally, some relationship development!In post 4762, Lady 3 wrote:G9, you're so towny ~Beauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.-
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If I can be 100% sure my other half is town, then yes, mafia is about to lose and needs to push for me to take him out, or at least get a ton of paranoia on G5
Unsure if Gent 1 would recognize that during the night. Through the night I was playing around with the idea of scum possibly choosing a different pair to kill than the IC one, and I thought maybe they'd choose my pair (I considered G9/L3 too but they are probably too volatile). I thought we came off looking great from Lady 2 being evil.
But apparently, Gent 1 believes Gent 5 was trying to buy time for Lady 2 with the no-elim. Gent 9 also suspects Gent 5 -- but he suspects me too sooo idk. I dont think Gent 9 is scum at all but im unsure whether I trust him on this. Some stuff to talk about I suppose
I really just need to be certain Gent 5 is town and then he can take me in his arms and we win the game. If I cant be sure of that we can just have L1/G6 endgame, my second choice being L3/G9 but they're having relationship struggles :cBeauty fades. That is why it is beautiful.