Riddle Me This! NY111 - mafia dead - Town wins!
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The Fonz Jack of All Trades
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I'm as far as page 8, and I've got this to say...
FOR FUCK'S SAKE, SHEA, STOP SAYING EVERY SINGLE THING I THINK! It's making it very difficult to come up with an original point when every time I think 'that seems off' you point out that exact thing five or six posts later.
As of so far, Izzy's clear reluctance to comment on the single biggest event in the game is the biggest scumlead. I'm not doing the vote as you go along thing, though.-
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It was the dahill wagon. You then responded to it in your first post after Shea points this out. I certainly don't like your leaving your vote on a lurker who is obviously not going to be lynched this late in the day.
I have a strong scum feeling about Shanba. It strikes me that optimal scum play for a 'name' player would be to be in the Shea (ok not recently)/Korts/Cody group in terms of activity, but to slip in a little bit more IIoA than they are doing. He looks and sounds the part, but I don't get the feeling of a sincere attempt to find scum.
That said, if he's scum he could well be bussing (ksun not in significant danger for most of the time he's been sitting there, as a target he feels a little bit arbitrary) and ksun is a decent enough target on his own- he's at least as guilty as mipe of all the things you are on mipe for, but he's made less effort to draw everyone's attention to how bad he's been. So I think I'm going to endorse the only remotely viable counterwagon, and also state that anyone who's a lone vote, and leaves it there, is likely to shoot up my scumrankings. Endorse one or other please, even as a less worse option.
Vote: ksun482-
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Obviously not, and this is a silly strawman. If I'm suspicious of you for wasting your vote on something that's not going to cause a lynch, i'd be even more suspicious of you wasting your vote on something that by definition can't cause a lynch.DizzyIzzyB13 wrote:
Would you prefer I wasn't voting for anybody?The Fonz wrote:It was the dahill wagon. You then responded to it in your first post after Shea points this out. I certainly don't like your leaving your vote on a lurker who is obviously not going to be lynched this late in the day.
What I imagine the correct protown play to be, once you realised you weren't going to get SL lynched today, would have been to look at all the other votes anyone else was pushing, and see which one you could get behind and attempt to drum up a wagon for. By leaving it as a sole vote on a lurker, there's very little there to glean- you can't even interrogate her to provide info for future days, because she isn't here.
Same problem I had with Shanba- I'd expect a decent player such as him, when he realised he didn't like the leading wagon, to make a concerted effort to push a counterwagon, not just go, 'Oh, i guess i should be voting,' vote someone, and leave it there.-
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Uh, Izzy, there's five days until deadline. You've spent a couple of weeks talking about how SpringLullaby needs to die. Not one person has joined you on that wagon. What you're doing here is hiding behind what ethicists call 'Integrity of the person' - that is, you're happy enough for mipe to go down, but you don't want to get your own hands dirty doing it. Therefore, you'll park your vote somewhere where it clearly isn't doing any good. Springlullaby has not posted in THREE WEEKS. That's clearly not lurking, that's 'She's gone inactive and is going to be replaced.'DizzyIzzyB13 wrote: There's plenty of time left. There's no need to get desperate for a lynch yet. Thus, my vote is on the person I believe to be scummiest. If it wasn't on SL, it'd be on no lynch until we get desperate enough that any lynch will do.
Meanwhile, you'll wait it out until, in your own words, 'We're so desperate for a lynch that any lynch will do' and you can shift to mipe without anyone blaming you for it, because it's desperate and the alternative to mipe is nolynch.
What are you trying to achieve, Izzy? You're clearly on record as disapproving of SL's distaste for the low-information part of day one. You have the possibility of making a choice between two wagons, something which will lead to the generation of actual information. But you choose to, basically, active lurk instead. There's a stage between 'No time pressure at all, vote whoever you think is scummiest' and 'so desperate, any lynch will do.' That stage is 'vote the best viable wagon.'
@ Quag: as above, although at least your vote is, in itself, better than Izzy's. You've made your point. But you've convinced no-one in several weeks. There's no way you're going to convince nine people in five days.-
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If that's true, you've chosen a very ineffective way of going about it.DizzyIzzyB13 wrote:
A good lynch for the town.What are you trying to achieve, Izzy?
No.[/quote]Izzy wrote:There's a stage between 'No time pressure at all, vote whoever you think is scummiest' and 'so desperate, any lynch will do.' That stage is 'vote the best viable wagon.'
Yes, yes, a million times yes.
How so? You said I was 'probably right' about a Korts lynch being unviable. An SL lynch is almost certainly even more unviable. Plus, Izzy left her vote there when it was obvious SL had flaked from the game and was going to be replaced. At which point, it makes little sense to leave a vote there (it can't create any pressure, and there's no reason to think that the replacement is going to lurk) unless you're unusually sure the target is scum. And yet, if that's the case, you don't immediately unvote the replacement.Quagmire wrote:
I also think you case on Izzy is built on a house of cards.
If you have one big wagon, and several one-man wagons close to deadline, the big wagon is going to be a default lynch. Default lynches are one of the worst things that can happen on a day one in terms of settting the town up for the rest of the game.
I mean, am I completely off-base in thinking that leaving your vote on a wagon you know to be unviable is a form of active lurking? Town needs to compromise sometimes and be willing to take a good lynch rather than an optimal one. Otherwise, you get a bad one.
That said, Izzy's response feels like what I'd call 'huffy town.' It reminds me a lot of ShadowGirl's play in this game- a stubborn town player lacking empathy and completely unable to see why it is completely reasonable to characterise her behaviour as antitown.
@RichardGHP: You said 'Scum typically don't play like Korts.' In what ways does Korts' play differ from that of what you would expect scum to do here?-
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You're quite right. When I looked at the VC on replacing in, I thought it was mipe eight, ksun two, and all the rest were loners. But having checked, there were two on Richard as well, and since that's gathered a little steam I suppose it's viable as well.iamausername wrote:
Pretty sure RichardGHP was and still is an equally viable counterwagon. I don't think it's a good wagon, but it does exist. You should probably acknowledge that.The Fonz wrote:So I think I'm going to endorse the only remotely viable counterwagon
Unvote, Vote: ksun
Best of some mediocre choices, I guess.
Why do you dislike the Richard wagon?
@ Everyone on mipe: who is scummier- Richard or Ksun?-
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I think 'proud and stubborn' is pretty much precisely what I mean when I say 'huffy town.' But even if you're dead set someone is scum, leaving a vote on an inactive is useless. I very much considered the possibility of tunnelling town. But Izzy's immediate unvote of Yos upon his entry does not, to me, say that she was utterly convinced his slot was scum.Quagmire wrote:
Don't you think it could be just as viable that Izzy firmly believes that SL is scum, and is too stubborn and proud about it to change her mind otherwise? What you're saying might be true if we're talking about anti-town ways to think about the game, but I really don't think a scum Izzy would be so adamant on lynching SL when she had a fairly decent case on him in the first place. In other words, she's a stubborn townie IMO.
All antitown actions are at least slightly scummy, but that's a point we've been going at for years in MD and I don't expect anything i say here to change your view. Suffice to say, it isn't a problem, i just see it as obvious logic. If someone harms the town, there's always a chance they're doing it becauseYour problem is Fonz you tend to conflate anti-town and scummy, when they're two totally separate entities.they're trying to harm the town.To me, Izzy leaving her vote on the flaker is so obviously suboptimal it seems odd that its suboptimality would not occur to an Izzy trying to help the town.
Furthermore, if you believe antitown isn't scummy, then the obvious conclusion is that SL said she wouldn't respond to the thread until something interesting happenedbecause her personality/playstyle makes her particularly dislike the low-info stage.A reasonable player would conclude that the likelihood of people wanting to lynch you for saying something so antitown would make it a very dangerous thing to do as a deliberate tactic, but the sort of thing that might well arise from personality- a strong dislike for/boredom with the early part of games. On the other hand, the early part of the game is probably the time when it least benefits scum to lurk. That's certainly my read- very antitown but in context of very limited scumminess.
In short, it ought to be the poster child for 'antitown but not scummy' if such a thing existed- its scumminess clearly lies in its antitownness. The fact that, in that situation, you think Izzy had a 'good case' raises certain red flags. (As does the fact that, in her last post, SL appears to have started playing, with a relevant comment and a vote).
It strikes me as the complete opposite of absurd- self-evident. By tunnelling on an inactive, you can avoid comment on other players, or involvement in an actual lynch that might make you look scummy.And FYI of course you're off-base when you say that voting for someone you know won't get lynched is a form of active lurking. That's absurd.-
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Part of the difficulty I'm having here is that all of mipe, FFFF, ksun and Richard are pretty raw newbies (I don't think any of them have more than one or two completed games) who could just have a bad playstyle/be playing badly. I policy lynch because I usually find it incredibly difficult to spot the one with the scum motivations from the ones who are just poor players. And here, there's not a lot between them, apart from that the mipe wagon just feels wrong and defaulty.
Now, the explanation I've owed Shanba for a while.
I said nothing of the sort in regard to you specifically. What I said was that I felt your choice of ksun was somewhat arbitrary, and that when you decided the mipe wagon was bad, you didn't bust a gut trying to convince people to leave it, and join you on ksun: you were very casual about it, hence:Shanba wrote: Fonz: you say I should have been pushing the next most viable wagon; which wagon might that be?
Actually, there's no reason not to vote.
Oh, that's hokey. I expect players who are a) good [which you are] and b) town, when they don't like a wagon, to make a strong and sincere effort to talk people off of it. With you, I felt like you were going through the motions of trying to push an alternative wagon, without actually putting genuine pressure on those on it to move off, or those on lonewagons to join you. The fact that inHim and I joined the wagon subsequently because it appeared to be basically the only option does not retroactively excuse your earlier passivity.Shanba wrote:]mipe was the only badwagon of any size at that point; the dahill wagon had exaporated and no one else had more than one vote. I don't think it was unreasonable of me to start another wagon. Since it's now up to four in fairly short order, I'm not sure I needed to do more to push the wagon. I'm slightly aggrieved to be accused of information instead of analysis: can you point to specific instances of that in this game?
As for IIoA: in particular, look at the third paragraph of your ISO 14, ISOs 15, 19, and 20. I'm not by any means saying your output lacksanycontent, or islargelyIIoA- but there is some there, in comparison with, say, Quag, who appears fixated on scumhunting, attacking anything he finds slightly off, etc.
It's what I call differentiated scumhunting. Scum don't want to draw attention to themselves; they also don't want to be seentryingnot to draw attention to themselves. Your activity level is such that most players wouldn't criticise you for it; but I don't feel that you've had the impact on the game you could have done if you really wanted to.
Hear you on that. I replaced in here SPECIFICALLY because I wanted to play with Shea.If Shea really is gone, then I'm absolutely furious about that. There were a number of things I wanted him to comment on and him in particular to comment on. Now I won't get that opportunity? Grrr.-
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Nuh-uh. You don't just sling mud at a large group of people like that. (Not to mention that, it's my instinct that if mipe were scum, he would probably have been bussed to death during the fairly long period when he looked like the only game in town, specifically after he claimed townie). WHO on the ksun wagon looks like they are trying to protect a buddy? Is the same true of the Richard wagon? If not, why not?VasudeVa wrote:I'm thinking of a possible scum group effort to steer away from mipe's lynch.-
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Doing it yourself might be an 'excellent, town-motivated' idea. Telling other people to do it is not.inHimshallibe wrote:
I don't think VaVa was "mudslinging" a large group of people. I read it as he wants us to play closer attention to the mipe wagon, and find individuals within that subset. I think this is an excellent, town-motivated idea.
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Yos is clearly tunnelling, or faking tunnelling. I don't think his 'looks like a bus' argument is particularly compelling, since if you're the second wagon, self-preservation is always sufficient to make you want the leading one as far ahead of your own as possible. He's also ignoring something he usually picks up as town- being the main counterwagon to a scum lynch always makes you at least somewhat more likely to be town. That said, instinctively, this does not feel like Yosscum. Specifically, his forlorn cavalry charge to lynch Richard feels like the sort of thing town Yos does.
As for nightkill wifom, I do think the following:
A) I don't think the Korts kill was the work of a scum Quag. After all, most of the heat in the Quag-Korts exchange came from Quag's direction, and Korts only really started attacking Quag later in what looks like quite an instinctive countervote. I think the most plausible explanations are (A) Protect FFFF, etc and B) Frame Quag. C) Hunt for power is possible, since he was one, though I don't recall any obvious crumbs- then again, i wasn't on the lookout for 'em.
B) Sorasgoof is most likely the work of a pie disciple, SK trying to look like a vig, or rival scumteam attempting a crosskill.
I'm a lot more comfortable with Izzy now- her actions around the lynch really do feel like she preferred a mipe lynch to a ksun lynch, and genuinely considers richard townish.
Anon's first post today feels like the sort of thing I do a lot to open a day as town, so I'm fairly comfortable with him as well.
Now to go do my own VC mining and see if i can come up with a top susp.-
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I think I want to lynch within this group today: Vasude, Fefi, Paltry, inHim, IAAUN and possibily <Shea Replacement.>
My read on Shanba is a little muddled right now. He certainly started having a great impact on the game, and his wagon analysis at the time looks very good. But I can't entirely ignore the fact that it would, if it succeeded, derail the ksun wagon which HE STARTED, and which I thought looked like distancing rather than a sincere attempt to get a lynch when I entered. I think I need more time here.
I'm also really hoping mipe starts contributing- since i clearly don't think he's that likely scum, it's a bit pointless trying to 'pressure' him, as that will look obviously hollow. At least, unless he gets so antitown he starts pressing on my policy lynch nerve.-
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Yos, this is just flat-out untrue. While the mipe wagon was technically in the lead for a very long time, it had kinda stalled at L-3 when I replaced in. Then inHim and I vote ksun, and ksun is the wagon with the momentum. No new arguments are being advanced in favor of a mipe lynch, no-one new is even thinking about joining the mipewagon, etc. Then you kick off the Richard wagon as an alternative counterwagon.Yosarian2 wrote: The thing is, on my reading of the day, I see almost no one who really looks like they were pushing the Richardg wagon as a counterwagon to the ksun wagon. In fact, almost everyone on the Richard wagon was already on it when the ksun wagon got stated. I'm really not sure why you're calling the Richardg wagon a counterwagon; by any reasonable defintion of the word, it really wasn't.
If you look at Mod ISO 13, mipe has fallen to third place, and the other two are tied, with IAAUN having jumped the ksun wagon, and Quag and Korts jumping the GHP wagon. At that point, clearly, the ksun wagons and Richard wagons are competing. After that, Anon votes ksun to put that wagon ahead (strongly protown timing) and then Richard does. When Richard votes ksun, ksunis only one vote ahead of Richardso your claim that he went later on when the lynch was basically decided isfactually inaccurate.
Izzy then votes ksun, and given her repeatedly stated conviction that Richard is town, and that mipe now appears to have fallen out of the running, that makes perfect sense. THEN Vasude and zoraster jump the ksun wagon, and those are the ones that really look like buses to me. I think one of those two is pretty damn likely to be scum.
After that, Shanba moves from ksun to Richard on the multiple-wagoning theory, and you do your damnedest to rally support for a GHP lynch. So at the very least, there's the pair of you who were clearly counterwagoning.
Also note: Yos, I did not say that tunnelling was a towntell for you, in general. What I said in this particular occasion I have a gut feeling you are town, based largely on the fact that your desperate, headlong and last minute rush to get a Richard lynch feels very much like the sort of thing a town Yos does, and very much not the sort of thing a Yos aligned with ksun would do, WIFOM acknowledged.-
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Well, there was a definite 'Any counterwagon is better than a default lynch' element, certainly. But, you know, he gave us no reason what so ever to believe he was trying to help the town at all, and the fact that he was clearly as bad or worse than mipe but getting much less heat for it indicates more likely scum.PaltryExcuse wrote:Firstly, about mipe and ksun having the same play? They didn't.
Mipe played the game and did more than vote initially (though stumbling). Ksun was mindless and just voted and parrotted. A Ksun-lynch was a response to some not liking the mipe lynch and stagnation in the game and has little to do with how he played. I'll admit I found him scummy initially... until it became obvious he didn't DO anything except vote. Then it became a matter of how could ANYONE know.
This is VERY weak.Really, you got called out for tunnelling by Fonz, saw that he pointed at me and that there was a case elsewhere, and thought you'd join the club.
Lynching for information = BAD BAD BAD.Secondly, a mipe flip would tell us A HELL of a lot. We'd get information on nigh every person in the game I'd think (beyond Zoraster who replaced in for a nobody and has since done little).-
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If lynching for information is an acceptable town action, then anyone on a given wagon can say they were lynching for information. That means you don't actually get any information, as opposed to where everyone is at least pretending to be lynching someone they find scummy. There's obvious cognitive dissonance involved in running someone up to lynch, then if they flip town claiming that whoever ELSE was pushing them, or whoever was pushing them PREVIOUSLY, was doing so from scummy motives.VasudeVa wrote: @Fonz: Why is lynching for information bad? I know it isn't optimal play, but it's a good enough argument. That and it's a three in one combo since it's also a good policy lynch in this case and Paltry's case is legit to me(I find behavioral changes as tells too, I'm a psych major 8D) Mipe is as useless as ever and is probably NK-immune.
If, on the other hand, a player flips scum, i suppose you could claim someone defending them was scummy. But I think you're more likely to get a scum flip, and therefore better information, by wagoning someone you thinkis actually likely to be scum.
By all means, attack based on Paltry's case if you wish (I think it's bad, and i'll elaborate on why after i've delivered my next batch of leaflets) but citing informational reasons just makes the attack look scummy- like you're trying to get him lynched without the inconvenience of giving a reason for him being scum.
Incidentally, FFFF is both scummier, and a better policy lynch, than mipe.
Tunnelling is not, and never will be, scummy. It's optimal town play if you feel with a high degree of certainty you've caught scum.VasudeVa wrote:@Yos: You replaced in and hardcore tunneled Richard. That, to me, was ridiculously scummy.-
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Right, why Paltry's argument is bad:
Essentially, you're arguing change of behaviour when under attack. That's not necessarily scummy. Nearly everyone becomes more defensive/less effective at scumhunting when attacked. Furthermore, players tend to spend more time on games they're actually enjoying. I know I can become less active in games if I'm being attacked with craplogic, or things become personal. mipe's behaviour took a noticeable turn for the better from the post when he claimed his other game had ended onwards: it may well be the case that he had overcommitted himself, and chose to prioritise the game reaching its conclusion over the one that was just starting.
Furthermore, that argument can be applied to so many people in this game. Yos used it against Richard: Y2 claimed that GHP was sitting back, and hoping mipe or ksun got lynched out of inertia. It can be applied to the players on the mipe wagon: when that wagon was contested, they didn't fight for it, they sat there lurking on the wagon, possibly hoping it would carry through without any effort on their part. It's also true of ksun, who sat back and let himself get lynched even when he had a roleclaim he must have known could have saved him. (I don't buy the Richard-buddy hypothesis: I think if we hadn't lynched ksun, he'd have had to be replaced).
Secondly: The mipe wagon absolutely stank of scum, and we said this at the time. It was bad enough we can pretty much know there was at least one more scum on it, besides ksun: we don't need to lynch mipe to find that out.-
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Right, scummy mipewagon.
Korts and Soras are dead, confirmed town.
Ksun is dead, confirmed scum. That leaves Paltry, Vasude, Richard, inHim, (Furcolow).
Paltry appears to be the one player who actually is convinced mipe is scum.
Furcolow appears town as a result of his own actions mitigating his predecessor's.
Richardwagon is horrible.
Vasude or inHim, then. Meh, both of them jumped the ksun wagon at times that looked unbuslike.
(SEE, this is why I'm struggling right now. The mipe wagon stank as a collective, and I'm convinced that there's at least one more scum there. But I see reason to think every player on that wagon, individually, has something which makes them appear town).
Vasude: Yos is right on the huge *BADTHEORY* vibes coming from him, but that doesn't mean he's town. I find it hard to see how having read lots of games fits with wanting to ride to claim repeatedly on day one, since presumably reading games would tell you that this is a bad idea. I mean, ISO 12 where he shamelessly proposes possibly the most antitown thing imaginable- he just feels, i dunno, guileless. Hard to read.
A fair bit of playing the newbie card on his own behalf, which I don't like. However, attacking the ksun wagon WHILST JOINING IT suggests scum if ksun had flipped town, however, since ksun flipped scum it looks noobtown. If he were bussing as scum, i'd expect him to sound a bit more enthusiastic about the vote.
InHim: Jumps mipe wagon at L-2 with no reasoning whatsoever, in a post where he attacks three or four other people. Directs a possible vig to a town player. His choice of ksun over Richard seems odd, since his list of five players he'd consider lynching didn't include ksun- in fact, he didn't mention him prior to this vote. His stated reason for staying on ksun after that is because 'A couple of people voted RGHP after [myself] and [he] put our votes on ksun. I'd kinda have expected him to have followed through on this today.
unvote, Vote: InHimShallIBe
@Everyone: What do you make of Quagmire's claim that he didn't notice ksun at all on day one?-
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Shanba: I was looking at those on the mipe wagon at its peak, as far as the VCs are concerned. I've written about you at length: I feel I need more time to get a read on you.
dahill's kinda an unknown quantity: Wagon was iffy, if not as stinky as the mipewagon, he demanded replacement ala anon for ksun,
-but also for mipe. On the other hand, he was on ksun early, and I don't get the distancing vibe off that vote as i did off yours.dahill1 wrote:
- ksun could either be lazy scum or just a VI, i don't really know at this point. I think he should get replaced though.-
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Thanks, sorry, I think I missed that. Here's the elaboration on inHim.scotmany12 wrote:The question about not noticing ksun, fonz? Answered it right here.
To this point, InHim has not mentioned mipe, and he gives no reason for finding mipe scummy. He states in the same post that he thinks you are trying to play clean, and that he thinks Cody is a fool and probably a 'wolf,' presumably meaning scum though he's undoubtedly going to correct me on this if i'm wrong. The later post where he says 'You're actually scum' confirms this. He also talks about how his suspicion on scot is mostly gut.The Fonz wrote: InHim: Jumps mipe wagon at L-2 with no reasoning whatsoever, in a post where he attacks three or four other people.
ISO 14, asks vig to kill sorasgoof, who we now know is town. Directing vig generally bad as implies not-vig, though I've done it before.The Fonz wrote:Directs a possible vig to a town player.
ISO 17 includes the following list of players 'He wouldn't mind lynching:' mipe, soras, Quag, GHP, dahill. In ISO21, he votes Richard, but then immediately withdraws this and switches to ksun who, again, he hadn't previously mentioned, after I put my vote on the latter.I wrote:His choice of ksun over Richard seems odd, since his list of five players he'd consider lynching didn't include ksun- in fact, he didn't mention him prior to this vote.
Given that inHim had the option to go to a wagon he himself said he found scummier, but didn't because he felt people piled on Richard in response to the two votes going on ksun- IE, implying that people were protecting ksun. Given that ksun actually flipped scum, if this had been what he genuinely felt, I'd expect him to be hammering this point home today, but he isn't really.His stated reason for staying on ksun after that is because 'A couple of people voted RGHP after [myself] and [he] put our votes on ksun. I'd kinda have expected him to have followed through on this today.-
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InHim, I think the issue is, if your fairly long 'comfortable with lynching' list was that if you included on it people you didn't particularly 'think' were scum, and it wasn't like it was a particularly short list, then you go and vote in quick succession for two players who weren't even on that list (without any reasoning), then it just looks like you're willing to vote for pretty much anyone.-
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If you actually WANT to get hit, then there's no reason not to fullclaim and reveal your night actions, unless I suppose it's the kind of role that works best when scum doesn't know about it- but then, in that scenario i don't see how you'd want to get hit anyway. (Just a warning- I am going to go absolutely APESHIT if you're a mason).Furcolow wrote:and for whoever said my soft-claim was anti town: a soft-claim is not necessarily anti-town when you want to draw a hit due to you being a suckier player than those potentially going to get hit.
inHim, let me try this again- if your 'comfortable' list includes players you don't even think are scum, that suggests you're uncomfortable lynching anyone else. Your subsequent willingness to vote two players not on that list just seems... odd. Also, why are you willing to explain your suspicions of pretty much everyone apart from the people you are actually voting?
Meh.unvote. I'm getting the nasty feeling I'm starting to play like Yos (not specifically in this game, how he plays generally). IE, voting by process of elimination for someone I really don't think sticks out as scummy on their own merits. On reflection, inHim's play is more confusing than scummy to me.
Vote: Anon
Let's turn the screw here.-
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Yeah, to be honest, Anon, claiming that your previous post should have allayed all suspicion of you doesn't really cut it for me. Especially since Iam's case has very little to do with why I'm voting you.
That said, I don't really see how ksun's early play could be characterised as 'dicking around' and mipe's not, especially considering mipe said this:
You went out of your way to make the mipe wagon look inevitable:mipe wrote: Shanba should know me well enough that if any of my actions make you think "is he serious?" the answer is "no"!
And also said this:Anon wrote:
Do people really think, shanba et al, that there is another viable wagon besides mipe and that the voters are going to look even at it without a claim or a lynch?
Which really does beg the question, why is this true only of mipe? Also, a certain amount of have your cake and eat it reasoning here:He is basically a distraction that needs to be dealt asap
IE, his playstyle is so antitown he requires policy lynchingAnon wrote:Mipe is one of these players that will never replace out and has a stupid playstyle that requieres extreme decisions.
and yet
Well which is it? If he's just a terrible player with a horrible playstyle, that's one thing. If he's capable of playing better, but is playing like a walking newbie card, that's a completely different matter. And, as noted earlier, thinking that forced-replacement is the best way to deal with ksun, but death best for mipe is particularly scummy in the context of what we know.And since I think he is faking his easytargetness then I want this to be solved asap.
Also, the idea that he suddenly became worse from ISO8 doesn't, I think, hold water: he appears to be dicking around plenty earlier on.
You claim your reason for supporting the ksun wagon is that 'the mipe wagon basically stank' but you make no reference to this until very late on. It didn't stink when you were pushing it right up to l-2. Or did it?
Also, you are misrepresenting your role on the ksun wagon. You claim this:
ie, that you voted, then it grew rapidly after that. In fact, yours was the very last of four votes placed in quick succession: Izzy, Vasude, Richard, then you. Pretty much the definition of 'piling on.' Izzy votes at 12:02AM BST, Vasude at 12:54, Richard at 1:00, and you at 1:20...I think this is an extremely important votecount, before I voted ksun and the wagon that lynched him grew inmediately.-
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Oh, and nowNewbie 926 is done, I suggest at the very least those of you voting him go and look at it. Because, Izzy, 'he always plays this badly' is at least as appropriate a defence of Furc as it is of Richard.-
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There's 40 pages of interactions. We have a dead scum and multiple wagons to analyse. 'People are lurking, so i'll lurk' is a recipe for disaster. At the very least, if lurking is killing the town, you can pressure a lurker.VasudeVa wrote:How could anyone do anything with the minimal interactions there are in this game? I know I'm not the most active player on the roster but this is just terrible. >.>-
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I think what reservations I do have about the Anon wagon are based on the fact it was instigated by IAAUN, who is massively undercontributing and could be under the radar scum.
That said, looking at how the votes piled on after you, Izzy, I'd be amazed if none of RGHP, Vasude and Anon are bussing scum.-
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Not scummy though. Stupid, since he's referenced said ongoing game twice, but not scummy.RichardGHP wrote:Long post incoming
Unvote
Again, I wasn't referencing an ongoing game.Furcolow wrote:Can you refrain from referencing an ongoing game?
Especially one we're both alive in. I think that's against the rules...
Yes, yes you can. What he's saying is that, if you weren't ksun's buddy, it would be an optimal move for ksun to vote you to save his own skin. The fact that he didn't suggests that he didn't want to because you were his buddy. Now, there are flaws in this argument (ksun was a VI, and had disappeared at the end) but it's not a point without validity, and it's evidence of scumhunting. Therefore, it's townish.RGHP wrote:
I can not be held responsible for the voting trends other people created.Furc wrote:Wouldn't it have been logical for ksun482 to be voting for Richard at the end? I know that it wouldn't change much, in that it would only put it at 7 in relation to 9, but 7 is a lot better than 4. I feel like ksun482 would have voted for Richard if Richard wasn't his mafia buddy.
Again, here, you're doing something that scum often do- you're nitpicking on a minor detail, pointing out an oddity in Furc's phrasing, to try to invalidate his entire case. No, you can't ever be 100% sure. You also restate your utterly BS argument that 'you're not responsible for other people's votes' to try to make out like voting patterns aren't a great source of evidence.Richard wrote: I don't understand how you can be 100% sure someone is scum based on a trivial matter such as votecounts. I'm not responsible for others' votes.
How does disagreeing on whether a particular course of action helps the town make him scum?RGHP wrote: Not exactly sure how that helps town.
Again. WHAT IS SCUMMY ABOUT THIS? How would you expect someone who has Furcolow's personality and playstyle, and a town alignment, to act differently here? Overreacting to individual posts is not a scumtell, it's a poor player tell.He mentions that I am mafia in his eyes, nothing new here, but this time he declares shanba as scum after only a couple of sentences analysing ONE post. Calls inHim scum out of the blue, doesn't mention him again until two posts later, the next day.
OMGUS and WIFOM. Protip: No-one ever thinks the case on them is good. Again, it's perfectly explicable by Furc not really thinking through things. That you have Anon down as town is relevant if he comes up scum, or you do.Richard wrote:
If you'll notice, I said prod OR replace the following players. Blatant misrep here, at the very least on me. Isolating ksun's name from the list is nothing short of word twisting. Not like I new ksun was scum. If I knew ksun was scum, I wouldn't have bothered listing him and voted for him earlier.OH LOOK ANOTHER TIE BETWEEN ANON AND RICHARD WHAT EVER SHALL WE DO
More scummy nitpicking.RGHP wrote:Cites me as his major FoS, nothing new, but inHim is a mere FoS. Wait, what? Wasn't it you, my dear Furcolow, who stated inHim was mafia only 3 posts ago? The change from "..., inHim and ... are scum" to "FOS: inHimShallibe" is interesting. Anon is now receiving more attention.
Again, how's it scummy?Richard wrote:
Inane fluff. Until you have played with me and I have flipped before, you aren't in any position to make competent assessments about how I play what alignment.Richard is behaving differently than he has in the games I have him labeled as town.
I could go on like this, but i think i've made my point, and this post is long enough. I don't think Furc's the best reasoner in the world, and i think it's entirely possible he's pushing a personal vendetta against you, but I don't think a single thing you have pointed out is actually scummy.-
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Deadline was in three days when I replaced in and got ksun lynched, wasn't it? I think that this game might well die if we lynch an active player, and a couple of other actives die overnight. My big worry before the claim was that we'd end up with default wagon of anon followed by default wagon of Richard if he flipped town. Default wagons are bad, and rarely hit scum. Vasude is at least as scummy as Richard, and less useful if he's town.
Really, though, we shouldn't be required to lynch with half the town absent.-
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Vasude was on the dahill wagon, on the mipe wagon, and jumped the ksun wagon after it had become the largest wagon. Today, he has voted for both Richard and Anon.VasudeVa wrote:Thestatusquo wrote:
3) What do you perceive as optimum scum strategy given a large normal setting on day one?
Thank you.
3) Hide in large bandwagons. Too good to resist. Will be watching for that.
I'm going to leave the *badtheory* part, since it's been done to death.
OMGUS, and also the faint smell of 'too defensive.' Town under attackVasudeVa wrote:I wasn't convinced before, but I am now. He does try to get attention away from him(and does a bad job at it). I'm comfortable with the attention I have on me(Although I do piss poor job at posting my reactions to them), but he is trying to save his ass by getting mine lynched.
Vote dahil
BTW, thanks for the insightful posts.shouldstill be scumhunting.
Vasude subsequently votes both ksun and Anon. Note that Vasude clearly indicates a preference for mipe over ksun here, but later switches to ksun with no reasoning. He also says he's fine with (in his own words) policy lynching FFFF, but defends ksun on the grounds that he's just a VI. Difference between ksun and FFFF; negligible, and what difference there was made ksun scummier.VasudeVa wrote:Finally, activity seems to be picking up. mipe's wagon is still legit. However Paltry seems promising. I am liking Anon's accusations so far: every accusation he has make sense and do not feel like accusations for the sake of accusation. I disagree with ksun, he seems more likely to be a VI rather than scum.
I pointed out the scummishness of this post before; having cake and eating it syndrome of calling the ksun wagon the 'one with townier vibes' at the same time as saying it feels like a chainsaw defence of mipe. Also, placing his vote on ksun on the first opportunity after it had become the leading wagon.VasudeVa wrote:I'm thinking of a possible scum group effort to steer away from mipe's lynch. Votals feel so chainsaw defense-ish. . Although, it really sucks that we know nothing of anyone's alignment so far, hence these theories are baseless.
This close to deadline though, I think I'll go with the wagon with the townier vibes.vote: ksun
Today, more scummy wagon-for-information reasoning.VasudeVa wrote:Yos is definitely scummy. His post here feels like it's grasping, and I disliked how he handled D1. Although, I still would like to know mipe's alignment, to further analyze the votals D1.
So, we have Vasude arguing that Yos' tunnelling is scummy, and voting the same player for similar reasons.VasudeVa wrote: I like how Fur saw the connection between ksun/Anon/Richard with the requests for replacement though. Players don't PM mods for replacements, and town couldn't care less about ksun's shitty play. Scum do since ksun was a power role hence the requests. Good call, good call. Richard completely had me fooled though, he was a town read for me because I empathized with all the newbie bashing going his way but not anymore so I think I'mma ride the bandwagon thataway.
Why would he want to discourage SCUM? That's just weird. Not scummy, but seriously odd.I can't help but feel that I'm a good choice for competing wagon so here's to discourage scum. Don't do it.
Person C.VasudeVa wrote:I cannot seem to get into this game as much as I would want to. But Anon lynch sounds pretty good right now. Mostly due to iamusername's case.
Vote:Anon
Also, note the same thing you saw in Richard: anytime anyone puts particular effort into making a case, he goes along with it. Any time anyone confronts him over anything, he backs down or makes excuses.-
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Hey, CANDYMAN!
Of course not, and no-one who's put one iota of effort into reading what I just said, or what i said earlier, could think so. My main reason for suspecting you is that you seemed to support policy lynches on all the lurkers EXCEPT FOR THE ONE WHO WAS SCUM, and then abruptly changed your mind when he became the leading wagon.VasudeVa wrote:@Fonz: Is the reason why you are organizing a sudden deadline lynch on meonlybecause I have been inactive and not posty?
Yes, I saw that. Did you miss the bit when I said 'I am basically certain that at least one of Richard, Anon and Vasude is bussing?' On the basis that all of you piled on immediately after ksun became the leading wagon with little or no reasoning. The reason you would do it as scum is obvious- PRECISELY because you thought it would give you town cred.I'm town though. I think my involvement in what eventually lead the ksun lynch should have given me some town cred. Check it out. See here, Izzy votes and thus making ksun the top of the votals by one over mipe and Richard.
I think this has given me enough town cred to last me this day at the very least(more probably, due to the activity level of this game >.>).[/quote]Now, if I were scum, why would I make one of the decisive votes that led to ksun's eventual lynch? More over, why would I bus my partner who would probably be replaced soon anyway? Unless of course, the scum team is {mipe, Richard, me, ksun}(lol, worst scumteam ever), there was no reason to bus this early.
Craplogic. Your partner was in the lead, was the wagon with most momentum, and deadline was impending. He might have been in line for replacement, but it wasn't going to be before the deadline, and there were other players in line to be replaced before him.
Can you please read the motherloving case?Further questions?-
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Of course you can change your mind. Nothing changed in between those two posts, though, other than ksun looking like a likely, rather than longshot, lynch. I don'tVasudeVa wrote: Sooo, I can't change my mind if I'm town? And that was one post. Eventually, I changed my mind. Plus, ksun was the VI-iest of the lurkers(has the least posts and the least intelligent ones too). In fact, I was surprised he flipped scum.thinkeither of mipe and ksun even posted. The cases were the same, and you'd indicated a preference for mipe. I'd expect you to fight for the mipe wagon, if what you had said about him before was true.
Well, you could have run him up expecting his claim to save him. Or believed that he was going to be lynched anyway, and you might as well get some distancing in. It's unusual for a scum to be lynched with absolutely no bussing. And those three votes (no good reason, after he became the leading wagon) look the most likely candidates. Do you dispute this?...at the cost of a Mafia power role at D1? Uh, okay. I still hold that I am one of the more decisive votes that lead to the lynch though.
You're making it look like your vote was this massive, crucial thing in getting ksun lynched. In fact, you voted him at precisely the point where it looked like he became more likely than not to be lynched, irrespective of your efforts. The mipe wagon was dying- no-one new was going to join it. So the only other option was to try to counterwagon Richard, which was a very risky path to take- odds were against it working, and if it didn't, it looks really bad. Even if it does, ksun was going to die and come up scum sooner rather than later.Craplogic. Your partner was in the lead, was the wagon with most momentum, and deadline was impending. He might have been in line for replacement, but it wasn't going to be before the deadline, and there were other players in line to be replaced before him.
What do you mean 'craplogic'?-
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Yes. Richard has been clearly making an effort, Vas has lurked and then shown up when he's under suspicion (which cicero calls the candyman scumtell, hence the reference in my earlier post).Anon wrote:Fonz, do you really think Vasu is a better lynch that Richard in terms of contribution to the game?-
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Mr. Chaos, this is what I was hinting at earlier. It was always entirely possible Richard would claim power as well- indeed, if he's scum, it was certain. Do bear in mind town even-night tracker is pretty the weakest power role there is- I feel Richard is actually more likely scum for having made this claim. Also note we've seen the existence of scum power roles.
We can't just keep letting off anyone who claims power, because then we're basically guaranteeing a mislynch, because the only people who will claim vanilla are those who genuinely are.
You have basically three real options:
1) Lynch Richard anyway
2) Join me on Vasude
3) Lynch a lurker/flaker who was on mipe- Paltry, Quag, or Zoraster. My preference of these would be Zoraster since neither player in that slot has contributed. I've got reasons to think the other two town- I've never seen an actual scum state a willingness to bet money someone else is scum, and with Paltry, I've explained above.-
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Hey, Vava? You know when you were saying there were no interactions to look at? All these things you are talking about here had already happened at that point. Why are you only bringing this up when the possibility of your lynch has raised its head?VasudeVa wrote:Vote: Shanba
Checking support. Richard's claim makes his ISO a special kind of scummy. The D2 deadline lynch kind.
"Oh look! I'm voting ksun!"(ISO 17) and then the ksun wagon picks up... "WAIT, Richard's where it's at!, look at my gigantic wall of text as to why! But I'm only voting for him because I think he's linked with inHim and Ksun! So, instead of voting for ksun, Imma counterwagon richard instead!"(ISO 28). Riight.-
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Hey, Vava? You know when you were saying there were no interactions to look at? All these things you are talking about here had already happened at that point. Why are you only bringing this up when the possibility of your lynch has raised its head?VasudeVa wrote:Vote: Shanba
Checking support. Richard's claim makes his ISO a special kind of scummy. The D2 deadline lynch kind.
"Oh look! I'm voting ksun!"(ISO 17) and then the ksun wagon picks up... "WAIT, Richard's where it's at!, look at my gigantic wall of text as to why! But I'm only voting for him because I think he's linked with inHim and Ksun! So, instead of voting for ksun, Imma counterwagon richard instead!"(ISO 28). Riight.-
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