micro 816-II: pokemon go (open game) (gambe over)
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northsidegal Survivor
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oh, i feel like this'll be a hard playerlist to read.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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just reading through right now, feel like reading everything before talking rather than doing some kind of catch-up series of posts
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northsidegal Survivor
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rc, thoughts on stungun here compared to him being scum in transformers mafia?-
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that's kind of what i was leaning towards as well, from a bit of what i've read it seems like he tries to be a bit more lamist in his scum games than what i'm seeing hereIn post 329, Shoshin wrote:Stun's town.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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i want to know why people are townreading kokichi. from what i've read so far i think he's probably my strongest scumread (relatively speaking) - his play kind of reminds me of mini normal 2005.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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sure, although give me a second to keep reading - hopefully either i'll have changed my mind or i'll have something a bit more concrete to point to.In post 333, Shoshin wrote:
Can you elaborate on this?In post 331, northsidegal wrote:i want to know why people are townreading kokichi. from what i've read so far i think he's probably my strongest scumread (relatively speaking) - his play kind of reminds me of mini normal 2005.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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yeah, i'm fine with kokichi being scum. he's doing the thing where he just pops in and responds to or comments on a few posts and then leaves but doesn't actually say anything reads-related. the only reads related things in his iso are the easiest possible points to make, the "if creature doesn't obvtown we lynch him" and the one with regards to me where the lurking is starting to concern him.
i suppose that this post could count:
but this really doesn't seem all that substantial.In post 228, Kokichi Oma wrote:Keep it up creature
Also, not sure who I think is scum yet. If I had to choose maybe stungun
especially in a game format like this where you always have someone to talk to (except northsidestory... ), i think kokichi as town would have more to say or would have something he would be pushing at this point. there are plenty of games you can look at for comparison on this to check what i'm saying.
VOTE: kokichi-
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northsidegal Survivor
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other assorted thoughts i had reading through:
this is a point i definitely agree on for shoshin - when i was modding mini normal 2012 people being overconfident in their reads (to town's detriment) was something i was constantly noticing and shoshin was one of those people. i'm not sure if it's AI or not on comparison because i haven't read shoshin's one scumgame (mini normal 2010) all that closely yet and on further thought i'm not sure if i should expect that much confidence this early in the game. after all, i think it was only on day 2 that i really started noticing it there. even still, it's something that i feel is at least worth bringing up.In post 154, GirlInFreezer wrote:One game meta I guess? You feel different, less confident, using words like probably where they were absent in the other game, your one confident read is on me who you shouldn't really confidently townread, you just feel not the same.
Why are you so sure profii would be the partner? What's with the excessive focus on Aronis? Why should you have been locktown to Stun?
is this something i can townread profii off of? historically i think i'm pretty bad at reading profii so i don't think i'm really one to ask when it comes to sorting his slot but reading through i felt like having the theories was a towntell (even though that was something i got falsely townread for as scum in my first scumgame). eh.In post 182, profii wrote:I have a theory that Shoshin is throwing out TRs all over the place to see who gets the warm fuzzy feeling of “hey she trs me, she’s right she must be good” and therefore Shoshin is trying to pick up buddies - hence I asked if she is always assertive - given she said she considers herself less passive in previous games, this is an alarm bell so I followed that up by saying why have you changed it up as well
But on the other hand, GIF said that’s a thing for Shoshin so my other theory is that Aronis is piggybacking on the Shoshin content - the read list was pretty dire - putting a non active as the main content is a cop out and also reading me as sure fire scum would be fine if I’d done something scummy, but I feel like Aronis is carefully manufacturing that read in line with Shoshin to try and create a bit of momentum perhaps-
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northsidegal Survivor
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i would think that kokichi as town would at least be voting someone already or trying to sort people.In post 343, Shoshin wrote:Would Kokichi not play that way as town, NSG?-
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northsidegal Survivor
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what makes you say that?In post 347, Shoshin wrote:Hmm, NSG could be scum.-
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????
i didn't say profii was town at all, especially notbecauseof something that i once did as scum... i wondered and put it out there if it was wrong to townread him for having those theories and as a counterargument to my own thinking reflected on how i got townread for the same thing in one of my own scum games.
when you say that i "said that you're overconfident to stoke gif's paranoia", why are you coming from the position of me already being scum? within what i said itself i really don't think there's a reason to interpret it that way - it only makes sense if you already think that i'm scum and so you look at that action from a scum perspective. so where is that perspective coming from in the first place? that is, on its own what i said is decidedlynotjust stoking paranoia - it's just me commenting on something that stood out to me while reading that i agreed with having remembered something from mini normal 2012. (and, this really isn't a useful discussion to get into, but yes, overconfidence was a problem in that game, or at least a contributing factor to a town loss - that's not meant to be a personal attack on you or anything of that nature, it's just me remembering what went wrong during that game).-
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northsidegal Survivor
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you're still misinterpreting what i'm saying. never once have i said that he feels townFORdoing something that i once did as scum. i said on a gut level i want to townread him for that theory thing,BUTi was once townread as scum for doing that.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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-shrug-In post 355, Shoshin wrote:It's actually a weird interpretation of that game since I kept saying I had no clue who the scum were... and town kept changing their minds about things... and then they lost mostly because of lurking, faulty results, and a really bad play from our jailkeeper... like, how you get "overconfidence" from any of that is hard to really understand... so yeah it looks like you're misremembering the game and stoking GiF's paranoia...
it's possible that i'm confusing you with something else. i don't think so, but it's possible. i really don't want to have to turn this into me trying to prove to you that you were overconfident in reads in another game because that really doesn't sound pleasant for either of us.
even if my interpretation of that game is wrong, why do you instantly go to me stroking paranoia instead of me simply misremembering? i'm still not sure where the assumption of malice comes in.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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that's not the difference that i'm trying to highlight.-
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meh, actually i can understand where you're coming from. making those two statements next to each other, i can see how someone would interpret that as me saying that i'm townreading him for something that i once did as scum. putting it that way misrepresents the way that i'm thinking, however. i'm townreading him for something that i think might be a towntell, it's just that i'm not sure of the reliability of that towntell. that's all.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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-shrug-In post 365, Shoshin wrote:
I said you "could" be scum, not that you are. The point is that I'm not townreading your play because it's consistent with what I think you'd do as scum.In post 360, northsidegal wrote:even if my interpretation of that game is wrong, why do you instantly go to me stroking paranoia instead of me simply misremembering? i'm still not sure where the assumption of malice comes in.
i don't think that really gets to the heart of my question but i don't think it's actually all that important to continue the discussion.
there's no such thing as a 100% towntell. every towntell that you can think of has been done by scum before - it's just a matter of probabilistic reasoning (if mathdino were here, he'd probably say bayesian reasoning).In post 368, Shoshin wrote:
Why would it be a towntell if you know scum do it? Like, that's what I don't get.In post 366, northsidegal wrote:i'm townreading him for something that i think might be a towntell, it's just that i'm not sure of the reliability of that towntell.-
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it just felt that way - coming up with a theory like that struck me as something that comes from town genuinely thinking about the game.In post 371, Shoshin wrote:
That's fine. Why is it a towntell?In post 369, northsidegal wrote:there's no such thing as a 100% towntell. every towntell that you can think of has been done by scum before - it's just a matter of probabilistic reasoning (if mathdino were here, he'd probably say bayesian reasoning).-
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with all of that discussion over my minor comment regarding profii, i don't want my scumread on kokichi to go understated.-
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(just to be clear - i haven't "sorted" you as town at all. i just saw something which i wasn't sure was a reason to townread you for and wanted to hear others' thoughts.)In post 377, profii wrote:
I liked the way she sorted my slot. There was a balance of paranoia which seemed genuineIn post 374, Shoshin wrote:Profii, why is NSG town?
I also like the Koki scum read which is getting lost and imo deserves more attention
personal history with him?In post 378, Shoshin wrote:
Why do you think this?In post 345, northsidegal wrote:
i would think that kokichi as town would at least be voting someone already or trying to sort people.In post 343, Shoshin wrote:Would Kokichi not play that way as town, NSG?
what other answer would you expect?-
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what makes you say that it's "that easy to distinguish"? just because it's something that i can already point out? i can't really put my finger on it, but something about that line of reasoning as a reason to not scumread him feels fallacious. there have been plenty of games that kokichi has survived long in as scum. there have been games where kokichi has been widely scumread by many day one and yet wasn't lynched.In post 383, Shoshin wrote:I'm also curious why GiF still townreads Koki since I'm pretty sure GiF has experience there too. And if Koki's town/scum meta is that easy to distinguish, why would Koki express preference for scum?
but yes, i am interested to hear what gif has to say about kokichi.
if he were scum, the preference would be implicit in him taking the scum role pm over the town one (assuming their pair didn't get two scum PMs)In post 384, profii wrote:Where did Koki express that preference ?-
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well, after all, i did hear that heIn post 386, profii wrote:But Koki said he got sloppy seconds (I know he could lie)isthe ultimate liar.-
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yeah, i remember that game distinctly. but hey, i've never been one to give up (as i think the ending of that game proves). besides, simply misapplying one method once isn't reason to never use that method again.-
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(also - i didn't "hard tr you". it was the first 10 pages or so if i recall correctly, and then i wasn't around very much for the rest of the day.)-
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i think the more important part of what i'm saying is with regards to the content of your posts, notIn post 401, Kokichi Oma wrote:
LOL. WHAT. Literally this is something I do as town or scum. I can pull up links. It's just how I post since I usually post in between breaks at workIn post 341, northsidegal wrote:yeah, i'm fine with kokichi being scum. he's doing the thing where he just pops in and responds to or comments on a few posts and then leaves but doesn't actually say anything reads-relatedhowyou do it.
that is, i think the fact that you really don't have reads yet is more scum-indicative than anything else.-
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do what? scumread kokichi?In post 407, GirlInFreezer wrote:NSG why did you do this
eh...
i feel really awkward now responding to people who i scumread. maybe it's just a thing specifically about meta reads - the same thing happened in open 729, which was an embarrassment for me. maybe if i have a meta scumread i should just keep it to myself and just give in-game reasons as a case.-
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northsidegal Survivor
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anyways i guess i mostly agree with this? well, maybe not entirely specifically, but if you were to squint hard enough i guessIn post 443, GirlInFreezer wrote:RC/NSG/Shoshin
Profii
Aronis/Kokichi
NR, Stungun (null)
Creature
is where I'm at rn
i think creature is just honestly first and foremost, but beyond that i would put stungun above aronis and kokichi who i both think have a pretty decent shot of being scum
on nicorobin i honestly have no idea but if i had to just take a guess i would say she might not pick scum so i guess that's a minor reason to townread her
what i'm getting out of all of these are that aronis and kokichi both seem like people i'd be fine lynching at the moment-
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i think the word "town" somehow got omitted from here, so in case it wasn't clearIn post 460, northsidegal wrote:i think creature is just honestly first and foremost, but beyond that i would put stungun above aronis and kokichi who i both think have a pretty decent shot of being scum
i think creature is just honestly town first and foremost-
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-shrug-
if i'm wrong i expect that it'll be obvious as time goes on, so i guess it's not really something that i'm all that concerned about either way-
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what do you disagree with?In post 471, Shoshin wrote:I was kinda joking about agreeing with NSG, Stun. Like, my reads agreed with hers about as much as hers agreed with GiF.-
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i have to admit that i've kind of read most of it and i don't think i've gained anything from the experience
i don't really understand why any of the wagons that are happening... are happening
i don't really think rc is scum and even though i can't really speak to that with a great deal of confidence i still think it would be a mistake to lynch him today-
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i don't really think he's all that likely to be scum-
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actually, that last post was pretty awful.In post 774, GirlInFreezer wrote:@shoshin sheep me sheeping you please
@NSG let's lynch profii that last post was awful
Everyone else hop aboard at their leisure
I think high odds of profii/aronis but aronis might be town whereas profii is not.
like:
for one, after newbie 1851 i think it was, profii probably shouldn't be talking about fake AtE coming from you. unless he's making some specific distinction between ate you're doing here and ate you've done before, profii should know that what you're saying here is in no way an inherent scumtell.In post 771, profii wrote:I’m not going to push you today because I was amazed that everyone backed off on you when you became the worlds biggest cry baby about being scum read but surely we’ve all seen that boring AtE from you before - it’s so fake
The posturing from you around Aronis is clear to see - you have been saying he could be scum alllllll day but won’t follow up with anything concrete
It’s super super obvious you and Aronis are the scum team but you can be pushed after a JK so people are a bit more immune to your crying later
plus, i don't think i could ever agree with someone saying that a full scumteam is obvious - at least, in most scenarios, and especially on day one.-
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so if it's nai then where does your reason for scumreading gif come in in the first place?In post 787, profii wrote:I’m saying it’s practically scripted and easy to fake as either alignment so it’s nothing to me-
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anyways, despite that post being pretty bad i think i kind of agree with creature when it comes to scumreads, although i can't really see where a nicorobin read anywhere separate from null would come in, unless you're looking at role pm choice meta.-
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in retrospect i think it's actually possible that i may have townread creature too easily
i'm not sure what strange world i've come back to where i'm considering the possibility that creature took a scum role pm but i guess that's where i am now
this isn't to say that i actually found something that he said scum-indicative, just that looking at the way i've formed my own reads i may have townread him too easily-
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i don't want to go too in-depth in rehashing team mafia arguments but to sum it up it turned out that point c basically never happened - it was an extremely reliable heuristic to just go off of what you think people would have preferred.-
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anyways, a few things:
1) @shoshin, where are you thinking about voting right now? you've talked a bit about wanting to get rid of scummy lurkers.
2) how many people actually are scumreading profii? from memory i thought it was a lot but looking at the votecounts it doesn't seem like the wagon ever got beyond 1 vote, unless it happened in-between votecounts-
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northsidegal Survivor
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yeah, pretty much.In post 875, Kokichi Oma wrote:NSG do you still SR me-
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i'm willing to lynch elsewhere. are you strongly townreading kokichi?-
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i don't think stungun is scum. i guess i'm willing to lynch profii, but like i've said before - i'm not sure if i can really read him. i know for a fact that as town he says weird things that i would normally scumread from someone else. like, i can look at points and agree with you that him saying them really doesn't make sense to me but i'm not sure if it would increase the likelihood of him flipping scum.-
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lolIn post 1120, profii wrote:only because I’ve played her before and know her Town game is more active than this-
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if you want to ignore rc's read on me and lose then go ahead. it's not a smart decision. also, check site wide activity.
i'm tired of this day.-
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you shouldn't jump to conclusions based off of one gameIn post 1134, MariaR wrote:she's subbed out lurked etc
she does not try and it's awful I don't respect it etc but she's easy to solve
it's not accurate to say that i don't try as scum.-
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dear stungun: i have entirely stopped reading your posts.
also, creature; the irony of the way you're pushing me right now just occurred to me. don't you think it's a little funny?-
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i will admit i have very little to add to the game right now (for the record, something i've never done as scum; never as scum have i acknowledged my meta or tried the self-aware route, only tried to appear towny)
i think it's strange that profii went from earlier having a townread on me to not only assuming that creature's push on me is a jk crumb but also assuming that that would be scum me making the kill rather than town me being protected (although in all fairness, i probably wouldn't kill myself if i were scum)
anyways, i think odds are that nobody in town is actually correct on who scum is right now-
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i still think kokichi is scum and my powers of articulation aren't nearly what they used to be. (am i officially a washed-up mafia player? it feels like it.)
on an individual level i think all of his posts from today are pretty scum-indicative: in both what's there and what isn't there (namely any reads or true content)
Spoiler:-
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stungun: if you have something important to say then i think you should say it in a way that makes people want to or at least be likely to read it.-
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creature, for the sake of my sanity, for the moment i'm going to continue on as if you can be sorted the same way you could a few months ago. whether or not that's true, i'm not sure.
accept for a moment that i'm not scum - whoisscum? why do you townread kokichi?-
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jailkeepers can't have guilties.
hey, it's product placement mafia all over again. that's a wonderful memory right there. i love how it's happening again.-
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what
if
he
didn't
jail
me
what
if
scum
targeted
me
for
the
kill-
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if you want to be lazy and not give much thought to your vote you can do that
you just shouldn't have any pretenses as to that not being what you're doing-
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