VOTE: Muh316 Don't tell me what to do or what not to do.In post 12, Loopdan wrote:---> Don't vote for yourself. There are very rare occasions where this is helpful in non-newbie games, but usually only for scum, so if you do it here you will certainly get scumread for it.
Newbie 1912 [GAME COMPLETE]
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muh316 Goon
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Still nothing.In post 29, Loopdan wrote:Later.
This sounds like you're just pushing for a policy lynch. I'm all for pushing someone that lurks because that's scummy behavior, but not for inactive players. Also, what would be the point of putting pressure on an inactive player? If someone looks like they're getting replaced, I'd rather wait for the replacement to come through than push an inactive slot.In post 51, Thespio wrote:Im leaning towards the two inactives, because today we wont have any actually context to the game its better for town to keep people who are active (even if scum) alive because we can use them to sort out scum D2.
Or double bussing.
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I was just playing devil's advocate on that one to see if someone was going to jump on it. I'm getting a good townread on Loopdan though. It looks like he's giving us game advancing content which is nice. It's generally towny if someone is going through the effort of reading metas.In post 75, Elements wrote:
secondedIn post 70, Munchmellow wrote:Do you really feel it's double bussing? And why?
Also, now that we've had a bit of an icebreaker UNVOTE: muh316
Don't you think a policy lynch on an inactive player D1 will get us less information and we'll be in the same spot as we were D1?In post 100, Thespio wrote:VOTE: MissDeadbeat-
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I don't see it as a scum slip. It just looks like you're reaching too hard on that one.In post 112, PvtUrist wrote:@all reads on Thespio? Namely his page 2/3 fluff and #84 scum slip.
I too find the sacrificial hero of the town story pretty annoying. But in my experience it's usually a town player that says it because if scum would say this and not follow through, that would be a clear scum-tell.In post 137, Munchmellow wrote:I think that town doesn't have to go there to be townie, so I kind of see scum-agenda in this. And what does that even mean - that he would selfhammer if he would be L-1 on deadline and no one else to hammer?
@Thespio, why haven't you removed your vote on MDB? That vote/pressure is not going anywhere.
Whenever a player replaces in, it's always bad news for scum because that player can approach the game from a different perspective than the current players. I think that we didn't really take a look at Loopdan because he was driving the game in the beginning. But Enter's recent analysis is pretty spot on.
VOTE: Loopdan-
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In post 109, Loopdan wrote:VOTE: MissDeadbeat
Thespio's lone vote isn't likely to mean much, but he's right. Her level of activity is unacceptable.
There's only about 15 hours between these two posts. If you were trying to put pressure on MDB, surely you would need to keep a solid vote.In post 125, Loopdan wrote:VOTE: PvtUrist
This is a sheep vote for Skellen. He's my only strong TR right now, and I don't have any real scumreads.
This is L-2.
IC note:Wiki entry for Sheeping-
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Notice how he saidIn post 228, Thespio wrote:Ok if I flip town who do you lynch?ifand not when. Almost like he's not even sure that he's town.
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So this one was my loophole around the prodge rule that the mod has.In post 306, muh316 wrote:
Notice how he saidIn post 228, Thespio wrote:Ok if I flip town who do you lynch?ifand not when. Almost like he's not even sure that he's town.
Will post more later, this one just caught my eye.
Anyway, I have about 8-9 pages of reading to do. In normal mafia scum games this would take at most 10 minutes, but with Enter's walls upon walls of text this is more like 20 pages of reading.
So here's what I've gotten from my reading so far
- Loopdan is very salty
- Enter's walls of text are impossible to read. He's probably written more words than all of my essays combined in college. I plugged in his ISO to a word counter website and got 23,664 words. (Its probably like 15-18k actually because that site doesn't ignore quotes and other text from the site.). That's a bit much.
- Are there any other major scumreads besides Loopdan? Thespio has 3 votes on him but those are pretty old votes
- If Loopdan is scum, we have a confirmed town (Enter) + 1/2 other PRs + a possible night action to confirm town. Assuming someone dies, we'll have about 4/7 players to choose from to kill which is pretty good odds to me.
- If Loopdan is town, then Enter's PHD Thesis on why Loopdan is scum will be wasted (very unfortunate) but we'll have a bunch of info from votes and we can clearly follow the guys who were off wagon and on wagon.
Later.In post 164, Loopdan wrote:
ORLY? Please elaborate.In post 158, muh316 wrote:But Enter's recent analysis is pretty spot on.
In conclusion, everything else is getting lost amidst this clash between Enter and Loopdan. It's like when the power rangers turn into Megazord to fight the big monster. Nobody pays attention to the fights happening between the smaller people.
Speaking of the smaller battles, Magikhorse's vote on Elements is exactly what I was talking about in Post 102. I see Elements as a lurker who comes in to get his post count up but doesn't really contribute all that much.-
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Also, why are we even considering teams at this point? Nobody's flipped yet. All that theory is going to go down the drain once somebody flips green/red. The whole thing about If Loopdan then lynch Pvt. That whole discussion just seems like a waste since Loop hasn't even flipped. I'm all for it once he does flip red.-
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I've just been busy with real life stuff. I'm usually a lot more active (read my meta if you don't believe me), but just have some things going on IRL. Yesterday when I came from work I saw that I had about 7-8 pages to read which was very off-putting. Then I came back today and saw there was even more so I literally forced myself to read just so I can contribute.In post 427, MagikHorse wrote:The same easily applies to you, except you've also got a small postcount. What's up with that?-
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In post 350, Elements wrote:
I think Loopdan is town hence the you and enter scum teamIn post 323, Thespio wrote:Explain why Pvt isnt even on your radar? where is Loopdan?
For pvt, he is mush less active then he was when he was scum in my last game so i have a mild town lean.
But on the off chance loopdan flips scum i will have to re-think everything at which point pvt will quite possibly be a scum readIn post 352, Elements wrote:I'm of the opinion that if loopdan flips scum pvt looks scummy, if loopdan flips town i still think it's you
I'd like to point out how despite Enter's comment on avoiding this discussion, Elements and Thespio continue on their discussion of possible partners when Loopdan flips. Thespio, you also acknowledged Enter's point yet continued to ask questions. Why is that?In post 350, Elements wrote:
Don't answer this if you can avoid it (some people already have). The reason you don't do this is because it really helps scum know who to kill - It gives away who they're gonna have a hard time lynching (note #1 townread if Loopdan flips scum).-
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EBWOP Formatting got messed up. I didn't mean to quote any of Elements posts. Ignore the above post. This should we what the post looks like.
I'd like to point out how despite Enter's comment on avoiding this discussion, Elements and Thespio continue on their discussion of possible partners when Loopdan flips. Thespio, you also acknowledged Enter's point yet continued to ask questions. Why is that?In post 341, Enter wrote:Don't answer this if you can avoid it (some people already have). The reason you don't do this is because it really helps scum know who to kill - It gives away who they're gonna have a hard time lynching (note #1 townread if Loopdan flips scum)-
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Thespio is still at L-2 and we have no idea why. That wagon was lost between the main fight. Same for PvtUrist, there was some talks of PvtUrist scum but that didn't go anywhere.In post 446, Skellen wrote:Which fights do you mean besides Elements?
In post 406, Loopdan wrote:
If anybody is thinking of hammering, they should wait until after Pvt posts something useful.In post 448, Loopdan wrote:Please don't let a hammer drop without allowing me one more post.
I have updated reads but I'd rather wait until there is an intent to hammer.
This feels weird to me. It seems like you're just buying yourself time.In post 479, Loopdan wrote: And I'd appreciate being taken off L-1 until this happens to avoid an "accidental hammer" from one of the lurkers.
Your play in general and because I'm still OMGUSing you from you ignoring me in the beginning of the game. Your attitude didn't help either when Enter called you out. This is the attitude I'm talking aboutIn post 477, Loopdan wrote:Please provide a couple sentence (or even just bullet points) on why you think I'm scum.
Spoiler:
To me it comes across as trying to get town's sympathy and felt fake to me. I share Enter's points about flip-flop voting, sheeping, etc so I don't need to restate those.
Anyway, I don't think there's a point in starting up another wagon at this point. The main event in day 1 was Enter vs Loop and I want to see this battle go out to till the end.
Can you clarify this? Why would a scum player self-hammer?In post 488, Loopdan wrote:The only thing I would add to that post is that scum!Loop would have self-hammered here before town starting looking past Loopdan-Enter.
Don't you think there's a higher chance of scum being from the players that are on your wagon if you so strongly feel that you're town?In post 479, Loopdan wrote:Here's the thing: Everybody posting here recently is showing genuine-looking frustration.
Both scum are likely among the inactive players:
Munchmellow
Elements
Muh316
PvtUrist
There's an outside chance of scum!Thespio. I've been going back and forth on that these last pages but can't nail him down.
I'd still like responses to 477 and for the five players above to chime in before end of day. And I'd appreciate being taken off L-1 until this happens to avoid an "accidental hammer" from one of the lurkers.-
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lolwut I'm reading you as scum. The point is, if you were town, then surely the people who are scum are the ones on your wagon, right? So why does your list only comprise of Me, and three other people who haven't voted yet.In post 494, Loopdan wrote:That phrase is very unlikely to come from the mind of a town player.-
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Hey, I'm just trying to see Megazord take down the monster. Also, it's not just OMGUS. The OMGUS is extra fuel on top of his scummy play.In post 497, MagikHorse wrote:What gets me though is that you want to let the 1v1 go "out to the end", even though that only distracts the town at this point and has gone on for way too long. This irks me greatly, especially since you're also admitting to OMGUS, which itself is a terrible thing to be holding onto for this long. Why are you concerned about him not interacting with you much earlier when you've been so lurky anyways?-
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Ah, classic Loop. Stalling the game and trying to push another lynch just to survive another day. First he tried to push my lynch but that didn't go anywhere. As soon as he saw the opportunity of another possible wagon on Elements, he jumped on it immediately.
Sure his post was scummy but I still don't see it as a basis for a lynch. Thespio, when you said you would rather self-lynch than have a NL, isn't that sort of the same situation? In that situation, you want town dead for information. In Elements situation, he also wants town dead for information. What separates the two?In post 583, Thespio wrote:Its less about rushing anything and moreso HE LITERALLY SAYS HE IS TOWN AND STILL WANTS HIM DEAD. THIS IS THE SCUMMIEST POST OF THE GAME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
VOTE: Elements Everything put together against loop, even from what i see is only a fraction of how skummy this post is.-
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I'm not entirely buying it. This could just be a way to distance yourself from your previous slot by calling them scummy. This way, you seem like a new player and we remove our past reads on pvturist.In post 625, RCEnigma wrote:Is it? Lynching myself probably wouldn't be good for me then, pretend I didn't scumlean my slot while I check.-
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What so terrible about the "If you so strongly feel you're town" line? I've noticed that both you and Loop are both hunting for excuses to jump on wagons. First you both did it with my comment about "If you so strongly feel you're town" and then subsequently did it with Elements post. I know Loop is trying to get the wagon off himself, but I feel like you've been pocketed by him and are trying to save him no matter what chance you get.In post 677, MagikHorse wrote:Muh is another player to watch out for. OMGUS is a terrible reason to vote anyone this late in the day, especially when the source of that OMGUS is from really early in the day. He's a SE player. If he was a newbie I'd be more lenient given that new players tend to make that argument fairly often, but he should know better than to lean on OMGUS as a reason even if it's just "fuel on the fire". That's not even mentioning the "If you so strongly feel you're town" line which is just terrible.
I'd also expect him to know how to prodge better than 306, but that's admittedly not very AI. He would've been better off saying "This is a prodge. Loop is still scummy", as that would count as enough content to reset the prod timer instead of making one of the worst nitpicks I've seen this game though. I have to wonder if he couldn't find anything better to poke at or something.
Nobody else commented on that except for you two which just goes to show how you both are trying to reach at whatever you can get so that this Loop lynch doesn't happen.
Regarding the second point, I was skimming through the game and saw it. I knew if I said "Loop is scum" he would've thrown a fit so I avoided that.-
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If he's scum, then he has to "feel" town. A scum player has to fake the feeling of being a town player which is why I said that phrase. My question was also pretty clear. If you're town, then surely some of the players on your wagon are scum, yet 3/4 of his reads were off his wagon at that point. A town player would probably suspect the people on their own wagon. I felt like this is something that as a town player, you can read these things. As a scum, you have to fake your reads which also creates slip-ups, like the one I just described.In post 694, MagikHorse wrote:If he's town, he has a PM from Nauci that proves it bona fide. It's how you presumably know your own role after all. This wording makes absolutely no sense at all unless you think he can doubt his own towniness, which is only possible if he's scum. If he's scum he won't answer you straight and means nothing. If he's town, he can't "feel town" and the question makes no sense. Besides being totally useless you're directing a question towards "scum" and expecting it to mean something.
Are you his lawyer or his spokesperson? You're so vehemently defending this dude and I don't get it.In post 694, MagikHorse wrote:It could be opportunity, but it could also be an attempt to get pressure elsewhere and find out more information, which neither you nor Enter seem to be capable of believing in. You were giving him no such thing at the time with your inactivity, so it's really not an unreasonable town play to try and pressure the now actually productive Elements slot and work on sorting you later once you're actually going to respond to the pressure. Once again this town fails to see the other side of the coin, which is proving itself to be a pattern that just keeps repeating itself this game.
This means your scumreading Enter, right? Generally, scum pockets town yet you've called Enter a TR for the most part.In post 694, MagikHorse wrote:If we've been pocketed by Loop, you've been pocketed by Enter hard, but don't have any of the merits he does to make me believe you're town.
Jumping on one sentence isn't efficient scumhunting. But sure, I'll give this one to you. The thing that bothers me is the blatant team voting going on with you and Loop.In post 694, MagikHorse wrote:Pressuring more people is also never a bad thing if there's a legitimate cause to suspect them. Elements recognizes that the callouts that me and Thespio are pushing are legitimate and is trying to work with us and prove through their actions that they are town because of it, which in turn means our push this way is yielding informative results. If we see something suspicious, why should we not call it out to the town and get to work on figuring out what it means by applying pressure to it? Is this not exactly how Town wins games?
Let's lynch loop first.In post 693, Thespio wrote:muh why are you nitpicking arguements, can you give us something real, a read you actually have?
Yes, the argument he made was convincing enough for me to solidify my vote on him. If I see a strong case, I'll evaluate it and if I agree I'll go with it. It's how I always play. Similar to what Magik and Loop are doing with each other. Except I don't feel the need to repeat arguments to get my word count up.In post 710, RCEnigma wrote:
No...no he didn't. His vote was a result of your case and how aggressively you came into the game against Loop.In post 707, Enter wrote:muh didn't sheep me, he had his own reasons for voting.-
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We have 29 pages on D1, yet I've only seen 2 strong cases develop. This game hasn't had any significant development at all besides Loop/Enter and maybe this Elements wagon.In post 712, MagikHorse wrote:I certainly haven't seen anything significant from him either. If you wouldn't mind pointing this out, it'd help.-
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The information we gain is that Loop managed to sneak his way past D1 and get a town player lynched for pushing his wagon.In post 796, Elements wrote:
What information do you think we gain from your pov when muh flips in either circumstace?In post 794, Loopdan wrote:Let's say Muh and I are both at L-1. You vote me there?
It's a really sneaky game he's played. He tried making the town feel bad for lynching him by playing the IC card and saying he was trying to make this a positive experience for all. Then he went to the sacrificial hero route by saying that at least we won't have to have any more claims. After gaining town sympathy, he's pushing a lynch on another player so he could survive D1.In post 792, Elements wrote:I honestly don't understand how loopdan has managed to worm his way out from being no.1 lynch target
The 20+ pages of D1 filler are Loop trying to get past D1, thus increasing the chances that scum wins.
Anyway, I don't post in the mornings. Will post more stuff in the evening when I have time. I just couldn't help but comment when I saw this.-
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Do you think it would be wise to risk a no lynch?In post 952, Loopdan wrote:Magik, why didn't you push for a Muh lynch at EoD after Elements claimed?-
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I'm not 100% convinced of the claim but it would be foolish to risk lynching a PR D1. We just have to see how it goes down D2. Also, couple hours left before the deadline guys. Please hammer whoever is in charge of it.In post 954, Loopdan wrote:Muh, since you are here... what do you make of Element's claim? Like how likely do you think it is that it's legit vs. a fakeclaim?-
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I'm not going to announce what I'm going to attack, that would be weird. How would you have preferred I call out Magik?In post 1009, Skellen wrote:His announced attack against Magik kind of fits into this. I am all open for that, that's not the point, but it comes completely out of nowhere.
Enter's been one of those reads where he was going to be a TR no matter which way Loop flipped. He's still on my TR list because the play doesn't look like it comes from scum.In post 966, RCEnigma wrote:I'm actually really surprised no one else is questioning their read on Enter after those flips. I'm not sure what that means yet but I'll think on it a bit more.
I don't understand this. 157 is from Skellen and 158 is from me. I don't recall saying that I disagree with Enters arguments initially. I even stated that a replacement usually views the game from a different perspective and their reads can be quite accurate (which wasn't the case this time).In post 1001, RCEnigma wrote:Post 157 and post 158 both come a few hours apart with no posting in between and go from "I disagree with most of Enters arguments" straight into a vote because their thinking on Loop is in line.
It could be a genuine progression but I don't view it as more organic than Loops in any way.
I clearly said I will post tonight. That was my morning prodge just to let y'all know I'm here. Also, how do you want me to go after you? Should I give you fair warning 2 pages in advance? That argument doesn't make sense to me.In post 1015, MagikHorse wrote:And then he just goes after me out of nowhere, and it's wild speculation that's a total 180 of what he was saying yesterday, and without voting or pressuring me with it at all. For a first attempt at making a splash, it's overall underwhelming.
So now for my D2 reads...
The two big wagons on D1 were Loop and Elements. Since it's usually 1 scum on wagon and 1 scum off wagon, I'll make the case for what I think are the possible scum suspects.I strongly believe that there was scum on the Elements wagon. The reason being that Loop had claimed VT in post 251. At the point it was no longer advantageous for scum to be on his wagon. If I was scum I would want to lynch another guy or force another PR claim.
On Elements Wagon
Magik
Loop - Confirm Town
Munch
Thespio
Off Elements and Loop Wagon
RCEnigma
With that out of the way, theOn Wagonleaves Magik, Munch, and Thespio. Between the three I'd say that Magik is scummiest. This is in regards to his D1 play which I felt was sort of opportunistic.
Let's break it down.
The first vote on Elements with a scumlean on Loop. At this point Loop had already claimed VT so it wouldn't be advantageous for scumMagik to push Loop anymore.
Spoiler:
If I'm thinking through the minds of scum, scum!Magik would have seen that a Loop lynch is inevitable, but instead of tunneling [Like me/Enter], he would branch out to other players so that once the Green flip happened he wouldn't be accused of the things I [muh] am being accused of. However, he continued to give Loop scumreads in the beginning. Then transitioned into a friend for Loop so that once he flipped green, we would see him as the only advocate of the town player. That would get him major townie points in everyone's book.
Then there's PR baiting which gets scumMagik to his desired goal of finding out our PR.
Spoiler:
And then the subsequent jump on Loop's wagon.
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Now for the players on theOff Wagon
It's RCE. The initial self scumread still looks fake to me. Also he never voted all of D1 outside of RVS. Didn't bother putting pressure on anyone and just laid low for D1. That's obvious lurker behavior.
I didn't really see much on Munch from you after this. You just began targeting me.In post 966, RCEnigma wrote:Munch is confirmed scum now that elements and Loop have both flipped town, I'll go back over why on one of my breaks when I've got a bit of time.
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Thespio has been of the my biggest null reads. Despite being one of the most active players here with more than 180 posts, I can't get a read on him. It's weird but that's somebody I would need to study under a microscope to really understand their behavior. Which is hard considering he has so many posts.-
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They both went after me and Elements. In the later stages of D1 they were voting together.In post 1024, RCEnigma wrote:I can agree with that. Another thing, I don't really think Magik tried to get Loop on his side to push lynches. Not that he was leading any pushes so maybe it would just be under-utilization of a pocket? Though I think Magik is pretty capable and could have used it to manipulate Loop if a pocket was his goal.-
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@Magik, your defense against my case was pretty good so I'll give you points for that. I still think that you were hunting for townie points. First with the advocacy for Loop and then trying to extend D1 as much as possible.
In my mind, that is the perfect pocket. Scum pockets town so hard that the townie starts to advocate for scum.In post 1034, MagikHorse wrote:This is also basically saying "you were pocketing Loop to look townier", which itself is questionable given how mutual it was between the two of us as I said above.
I thought my initial post had conveyed sort of a readlist but I'll put a clear one up.In post 1034, MagikHorse wrote:A full readslist from you is still well past due at that.
Town
Muh
Skellen
Enter
Thespio - Null
Munch
RCE, Magik
Scum
The pity posting by Loop was fake and you even called him out for it. I didn't think I would have to further explain that one.In post 1063, MagikHorse wrote:Muh's reason is a very, very lackluster "I think it looks fake" with no explanation on why and "I agree with Enter on top of that". That barely qualifies as an explanation given how vague and easy to make up it is. Had he actually explained why it "felt fake" I'd be inclined to agree with you on that.
At that point I didn't know we were going to pressure someone to PR claim. Once I saw the PR claim, I felt that the elements wagon has a higher chance of having scum because they don't want to lynch the VT. They'd rather force more claims to narrow down their night targets.In post 1109, Skellen wrote:I thought your vote on Magik was coming out of nowhere because of what I got from your posts from the first day the logical approach for you should be to look over the Loop wagon as you kind of implied that there should be the highest chance to find a scum among the Loop voters if Loop is town in #490. Going by that statement shouldn't it have been your top priority to examine the wagon since Loop flipped as town? Apparently it was important enough to you to complain in #525 that Loop didn't do that, although he did that, just he only scumread you of the people on the Loop wagon.
I missed it, where is he talking about Munch in detail?In post 1109, Skellen wrote:What do you mean here? RCE wasn't even talking much about you after this (I think two posts at most), instead more about Munch and his wagon theories.
I agree, my effort in this game has been far less than I would like. That's partly because of real life commitments at work.In post 1109, Skellen wrote:Yet your first Day 2 action is to look for people who were not on the Loop wagon. Oh yes, you mentioned Thespio (I count him because he was also on the original Loop wagon who put Loop to L-1 for the first time), but basically it was "So many posts, can't read him, null". Well, that effort tells everything.-
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muh316 Goon
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In regards to RCE's slot. I know this isn't really considered AI in general, but I think pvtUrist replaced out intentionally to clear out his slot. I looked at his post history and he's been active in his other games, even leading up to his replacement. I've seen this strategy used a couple times by scum who replace out their slot once they get pressured. They think it gives their replacement a clean slate to work with.
Tying this in with RCE's initial self-scumread, this looks like an attempt at "cleaning" a slot that was heavily scumread.-
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muh316 Goon
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His scumread was a process of elimination given the usual one off-wagon and one on-wagon approach. Combine that with having no votes, an overally scummy slot, and then self-reading scum. Then after looking into pvt's history, it sort of confirms an attempt to cleanse the slot.In post 1120, Thespio wrote:What made you scum read him? If it’s my case why am I null?
You're null because I literally have no idea what to think of you. Sometimes you're towny and sometimes you're scummy so I don't know where to put you. The other thing is you have so many posts and frankly I don't think I'll be able to go through all of them. I don't have the motivation to do it yet but that may come up in the future.-
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muh316 Goon
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No, that's not what I was going for. In my experience, replacements and activity aren't really considered AI. I knew I was going to be called out for that so I started out by saying that. I'm not going to build my case upon these actions but they also give support to my scumread on RCE. As I've stated, him and Magik are my top two scumreads so this case isn't coming out of nowhere. I'd rather focus on Magik and pressure him since the rest of you are doing a good job with RCE.In post 1126, Thespio wrote:
It really urks me how you can try to condemn someone but not really, you are playing the border. Ill highlight the text above im referring to. You start out stating this post doesnt matter because its not ai, then you try to agree with us while using past tense verbage to describe their actions as if they arent anymore. this is a huge red flag for me, because to me if you are scum this isnt your partner. and town dont step on eggshells to discuss everyones number one sr. It looks like you are trying to agree with us without actually looking too deep at RCE, so if RCE shows he is town you wont be his first pick.In post 1118, muh316 wrote:In regards to RCE's slot. I knowthis isn't really considered AIin general, but I think pvtUrist replaced out intentionally to clear out his slot. I looked at his post history and he's been active in his other games, even leading up to his replacement.I've seen this strategy used a couple times by scum who replace out their slot once they get pressured.They think it gives their replacement a clean slate to work with.
Tying this in with RCE's initial self-scumread,this looks like an attempt at "cleaning" a slot thatwasheavily scumread.
Then I used past tense because pvt WAS scumread during that point in the game. He was at L-2 in the very early stages of the game and then we all sorta forgot about him because of the replacement. If I was talking about RCE, I would use present tense.-
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muh316 Goon
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I see where you're coming from now. My reasoning was that scum wouldn't want to be on a VT wagon and would rather shift their focus elsewhere. But I can see why someone would want to branch out to other possible suspects. I was pretty much set on lynching Loop D1 so my mindset was different from yours. The pocketing stuff still stands so I'll downgrade you to aIn post 1122, MagikHorse wrote:Would this have been different if Elements claimed to be a VT instead? If the answer is yes, you need to reconsider exactly why this is your focus at all.FOS: Magik
UNVOTE: Magik
Here's the response to that.In post 1122, MagikHorse wrote:It's also really convenient that it was both easy and the only thing you had at that time besides copycatting Enter. It makes it sound like you didn't really have anything before and just decided to hop on and ride when it looked like a good lynch target. Loop called it opportunistic in 266, and I can't help but agree that it's a really easy case to jump aboard off of such an easy reason and ride to the finish.Spoiler:
I'd vote RCE right now but I'm not comfortable putting him at L-1 just yet. So yet anotherFOS: RCE-
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muh316 Goon
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Also, I know I'm going to get asked about this. I hadn't read Magik's rebuttal when I wrote this. I usually read posts on the newest page first and move my way backwards.In post 1129, muh316 wrote:I'd rather focus on Magik and pressure him since the rest of you are doing a good job with RCE.-
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muh316 Goon
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Since Enter has asked for this, I'll post all of my reads with their explanations.
Enter: Town. The hardtunnel pretty much solidified him as town and enough has been said about him. He's pretty much a universal townread at this point.
Skellen: Town. The overall play doesn't really seem scummy to me. There's thoughtful discussion on her part and I don't see her as scum yet. Though the recent analysis on me is wrong which I'll respond to.
These are my two townreads at the moment. As for scum.
Munch: Lighter scumlean. This one goes back to the Elements wagon.
Thespio: Scumlean. Still hard to evaluate because of the massive amounts of posts and I don't know if he's the best candidate for a lynch today.
Magik: Scum. He had a pretty good defense but my point still stand from before.
RCE: Scum. I think this is who we should be lynching today. I think there's the strongest case against him for scum today. The slot has just been scummy overall and paired with my theory on the replacement I think this is the best shot at getting scum today.
VOTE: RCE-
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muh316 Goon
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So why did you have an issue with me talking about pvt in past tense?In post 1178, Thespio wrote:
Pvt had less then 5 posts and then swapped out, we can only talk about him in terms of the past. Its like any other topic, if someone dies you cant continue to evaluate them. do you tr pvt/Rce? im at work so my big reply will be delayedIn post 1177, Munchmellow wrote:
Yes, please do, so we can laugh together.In post 1174, Thespio wrote:Ill answer Skellens post and respond this this laughable post from munch, I know you have been less active but when your entire case lies behind 500 posts ago its kind of funny. but since you are either still catching up or ignoring the rest of the game ill address it all.
And as said, you do a lot of townie stuff too. But if we should forget scummy stuff, because they happend long ago, then nobody should mention Pvt again...-
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muh316 Goon
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Let's take a look at the intersection between the Loop wagon and Elements wagon.In post 1182, Skellen wrote:I can't honestly see someone scummier at the moment than him as his Day 1 play looks to me like the blueprint of scum play. Can't be helped that he did at Day 2 exactly that what I would have expected from scum-muh with going only after people outside the Loop wagon as it would be smarter for scum to not fish in the same pool you are in to reduce your own hideout.
Enter
Muh
Elements
Magik
Skellen
Thespio
Munch
Loop
Out of these 8 people, we have 2 confirmed town. 1 is myself so I'll take that out. The other is Enter who's not in scum discussion so I'll take him out. Let's also take you out as well. That leaves 4.
Enter
Muh
Elements
Magik
Skellen
Thespio
Munch
Loop
This leaves everyone that was on the Elements wagon. If I look at the Loop wagon the only person that's scum for me is Magik. If you look at it from my point of view the Loop wagon doesn't make sense to even look at.-
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muh316 Goon
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Mixed up my discrete mathematics. I meant union of the two sets.In post 1186, muh316 wrote:Let's take a look at the intersection between the Loop wagon and Elements wagon.-
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muh316 Goon
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The "worst-case" mentality isn't very pro-town don't you think? How comfortable are you going into LYLO? Also, can I please get a reason of why I'm considered scummy. The only points I've seen so far are sheeping Enter D1 which I responded to and on D1 you even agreed that I made a valid point.In post 1175, MagikHorse wrote:A single thought's been hammering away at my mind on the work floor, and it's that there's been a lot of casing that seems to boil down to "X is scum, most likely with Muh". If so many people are likely scum with Muh, then why are we not flipping him to knock out the others that don't work out well with any other scumbuddy and give ourselves a good shot of catching scum today? Worst case we lose a townie that isn't contributing much reasoning at all and is scummy right before 5-player LYLO, all while narrowing down the list of potential scum.In post 725, MagikHorse wrote:
The former I won't blame you for, even though I disagree with the result. Still, I wouldn't be repeating arguments if the same questions and scenarios weren't being thrown at us, so thanks for the shade I guess?In post 723, muh316 wrote:Yes, the argument he made was convincing enough for me to solidify my vote on him. If I see a strong case, I'll evaluate it and if I agree I'll go with it. It's how I always play. Similar to what Magik and Loop are doing with each other. Except I don't feel the need to repeat arguments to get my word count up.-
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muh316 Goon
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He's in my 1 off wagon and 1 on wagon formula coming from my first post of D2.In post 1189, Thespio wrote:@Muh, you voted RCE but he isnt in your case in any way as far as your math goes.-
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muh316 Goon
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I disagree. If I find someone scummy I'm going to go after them and ask them questions. I didn't spend D1 speculating on possible scum suspects like others did that were contingent on Loops flip. There were so much discussion of "If Loop is scum/town, then this player is also scum/town" all of which is now pointless. That's probably why you didn't see me write potential scum suspects. Adding on to that, I had some back and forth with Magik D1, so this isn't something that came out of nowhere.In post 1190, Skellen wrote:Drifted a little bit apart, the point is you went in a straight line after Loop the first day without caring too much about the rest and once Loop dropped dead you went in a straight line after Magik/RCE. And this something I can't get behind as townie. One of the greatest problems of town is that almost no townies found each other, if we exclude me and Enter. Thus I see a lot of second-guessing (even from Enter) therefore it's noticable for me if someone just goes with an odd certainty after one target after the other. I am seeing it only with one other person and that is RCE who has transformed into a sitting duck sticking to Munch. I simply couldn't do it at this state of the game.
Also, didn't Magik go in a straight line after me starting D2? Didn't RCE go after Munch? Didn't Thespio go after RCE and Me? If you can't get behind me going after other players and calling them scummy, then you should also be calling out the other players.-
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muh316 Goon
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Munch is sort of that point where I don't trust him to be town so I'd rather leave him on scumlean list. That's why he's closer to town than my other scum suspects. This has to do with my Elements wagon theory and he was on it so I'm not readily able to accept him as town.In post 1190, Skellen wrote:While I am at it, care to elaborate what on the Elements wagon gave you the scumlean on Munch?
There's just the general feel from pvtUrist's initial showing in the game and I just can't shake the replacement theory from my head. Adding on to that is RCE attacking munch and then never giving us that detailed analysis.In post 1190, Skellen wrote:Also what is it that makes the case against RCE that strong in your eyes? As I can see the points brought up are the replacement thing. I already commented on it how it could be interpreted in multiple ways and don't really want to list all possible ideas. In the end one can only lose him-/herself in these and come up with a biased interpretation that fits to the own agenda.
Looking at the slot as a whole, given the inactivity, lack of voting, and scummy D1 entrance it makes a good case for a lynch.-
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muh316 Goon
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What sort of information do you hope to gain from my lynch?In post 1193, MagikHorse wrote:Not one bit. Day 1 screwed things over too badly, and now we're facing a bad information shortage since neither Loopdans flip nor Elements flip actually cleared much of anything up.
Cool, so what have we gotten from you besides pushing wagons on town players and fluff? And the occasional banter with Enter?In post 1193, MagikHorse wrote:I don't have a single clue how we could possibly take you to MYLO/LYLO with so little substance to you and such a high chance that you're scum trying to sneak under the radar here. You'd either be a liability as a poor player that's also lynchbait or scum we don't want making it that far. Neither is good under MYLO/LYLO pressure.-
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muh316 Goon
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@Magik
D2 you've only contributed to a deathtunnel against me. I haven't seen you call out other players at all. You have a high word count which makes it look like you've put in effort but there's not real substance to it. So I find it hypocritical of you to accuse me of being anti-town when we've seen you with similar behavior, albeit with a higher word-count.-
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muh316 Goon
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Take a look at it from a scum perspective. Why would a scum player ever wagon on a town player hard and put a target on their back? If I was a newbie with a join date of January 2019, this would make perfect sense. I've been on this site since 2009. If you look at my meta where I've played scum, I'm a lot more active since the role is much more exciting. When I play town I do tend to relax a bit and go with the flow.
In addition, all the cases against me point to my D1 activity where I was dead set on lynching Loop. If you consider my D2 activity, there's a contrast because I'm no longer tunneling.-
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muh316 Goon
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Sure, with Loop I had an inherent bias from the beginning. That's why I didn't ask him questions. D2, I don't have a strong bias against Magik which is why I did ask him questions and push him.In post 1211, Skellen wrote:"Asking questions". Well, you were pretty generous when it came to Loop. Went back and looked through your posts on Day 1 to find only one question. And that was the one why he wasn't looking on his own wagon for scum, which was even wrong. Not counting the general questions like the one with the scum-selfhammer or risking a no-lynch with last minute wagon. You voted him, judged him guilty from the beginning and had no interest to question anything.
I admit on D1 I wasn't really scumhunting as much as I should have. However, there was a giant gap between pvt's last post and RCE's first post of maybe a dozen pages. At that point my focus had shifted completely towards Loop whilst I also did have a bit to say about Elements. Since the game had heated up so much, I didn't want to start another wagon or push something on a fairly new player.In post 1211, Skellen wrote:The other point was that you actually were speculating (if one could call it like that) with throwing Thespio, Elements and Pvt in just to neglect them. This is in hindsight for me particularly noteworthy as you basically said in #1201 "Looking at the slot as a whole, given the inactivity, lack of voting, and scummy D1 entrance it makes a good case for a lynch.". These are all things that applied to the Pvt/RCE slot at the first day. Yet besides the self-scumread comment there was nothing in that direction.
Btw would it really have mattered less to you if RCE would have hammered Loop/Elements or parked his vote offside the main attraction on you or someone else?-
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muh316 Goon
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Right, this is exactly why I don't want town to go into LYLO because I feel like this is a guaranteed scum victory unless our PR (if we have one) pulls some useful information.In post 1219, Skellen wrote:To come back to that, this situation is exactly why I am feeling so uncomfortable about the current state of the game. Everything is so wide-spread and deadlocked that I can't help but feel like everything is comfortable for scum or we really have both scum up for the lynch. I don't know what to make out of it. And we have nearly ran out of time.
After my lynch, the wagon will probably be Thespio, Skellen, Magik, and somebody else. Out of these 4, I don't think we will have the information to find the scum between them. I'm assuming Enter isn't voting for me. That leaves 3/4 scummy players on my wagon (Thespio, Magik, {Munch,RCE}) which is going to be tough to evaluate come D3.-
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muh316 Goon
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Before anyone else votes me, just to make this clear. My D1 play was heavily biased against Loop. I saw Enter's case against him and thought this was an open and shut case. I got lazy and felt that nothing else had to be done. The whole battle between them was extremely entertaining to watch from the sidelines and I was eager for it to come to an end. That's the reason why I didn't do my part as well as I should have.
However, I'm sure everyone can say that D2 my involvement has been a complete 180 from then. Before you hammer, I'd just like everyone to evaluate me based on what I've done D2 as well and not just tunnel my D1 play. Lynching me for sheeping on D1 isn't a valid reason to me. If I do get lynched today, I encourage everyone to take another look at those who have picked up this issue and voted for me.
I still feel that an RCE lynch is going to get us the better chance at hitting scum so I'll keep my vote on him. I'm going to sleep now in a couple minutes. Hopefully tomorrow morning we come to a conclusion that's best for town. My reads still stand at where they were before.-
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muh316 Goon
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This doesn't really clear you because you could have easily had your scum partner make the kill in the case that you are scum. That way nobody gets roleblocked.In post 1221, Thespio wrote:Also, this should clear me to some degree, he was Jailor, If he thought it was me wouldnt he jail me?-
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muh316 Goon
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muh316 Goon
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We're in LYLO right now. It's not a good idea to throw around votes like that. Putting someone at L-2 can easily turn into a scum rush and we'll lose.
@Munch, what happened? You missed the vote by 6 minutes.
@Enter, weren't you supposed to come online after you had unvoted me?-
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muh316 Goon
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Why's that? A no-lynch is definitely more advantageous for scum. The two of you were responsible for the hammer on D2.In post 1267, Enter wrote:If you were town, you wouldn't be asking the questions you're asking.-
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muh316 Goon
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In post 1270, Thespio wrote:still think its muh but im not going to vote until later in the day to avoid a lolhammer loss.
Which one is it? Again, at this point an L-2 could be a loss for the town.In post 1278, Thespio wrote:Ill vote him soon, I dont want to leave him L-1 so early, Ill be off work in 4 hours (last day in hell before my new job) then Ill vote.-
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muh316 Goon
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This seems oddly familiar...In post 1281, Enter wrote:Not really interested in casing right now. Not really interested in anything but a muh lynch. Vote him w/ me.-
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muh316 Goon
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I'm referring to the second part.In post 1284, Enter wrote:
Oddly familiar to what? Please remind me this game when I refused to case someone.In post 1283, muh316 wrote:
This seems oddly familiar...In post 1281, Enter wrote:Not really interested in casing right now. Not really interested in anything but a muh lynch. Vote him w/ me.-
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muh316 Goon
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muh316 Goon
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muh316 Goon
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