STEVEN UNIVERSE 2 - GAME OVER


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Post Post #3455 (isolation #200) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:39 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3450, grapes wrote:The question is why did you bother making a case on obvscum?
Hindsight Bias on display here. Nobody's wagon was moving yesterday, and prior to Cerb putting up an actual case, nobody posted any substsantive reason to believe SC was scum and all wagons during day one had stalled. When you have to re-write history to fit what you are positing, that's a signal that you're wrong and need to re-think.

~D


P-Edit: The selective quote of me and then Cerb's response to you instead of mine is
really fucking scummy
Farside. What the fuck?
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Post Post #3456 (isolation #201) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:39 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3454, farside22 wrote:
In post 3452, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 3446, farside22 wrote:
In post 3438, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:@Farside, Please don't end the day if you can.

I want to hear from DGB why we have no alliance. I need to get in sync with Beeboy. I also need to do the reread I promised Shiro.
Fine.
I'll be nice because I was an ass day 1.
How much time you want?
If you're town, I want you to go read the day opening post until you understand what is written there. Then I want you to walk away from the game and come back and look at things logically. We're not scum and if you Vig us, you will be wasting the shot as well as depriving us of our event, which there is finally enough stress for us to trigger.

If you're scum, then everything you've done (especially trying to rush the day and avoid letting us put together a plan to respond to the scum event) makes perfect sense.

Use your head, not your emotions.

~D
Why haven't you triggered your event?

Because we're TOWN and our event requires STRESS +1 or higher. We couldn't trigger it last night.
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Post Post #3457 (isolation #202) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:41 pm

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In post 3450, grapes wrote:The question is why did you bother making a case on obvscum?
I didn't go in planning to make a case. I wanted to understand if the wagon made sense, and if I could see what people were seeing. By the time I got to the end of the ISO, it all looked pretty bad, and had a lot of reasons for thinking he was scum that other's hadn't even mentioned yet..so it ended up being a case.

-Cerb

Pedit: it requires that stress be +1, and may only be triggered at night, for resolution during the day. We thought we could trigger it last night, amd it would only resolve if stress was +1, but varsoon told is it could only be triggered if stress was +1 or greater at the time it was triggered.
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Post Post #3464 (isolation #203) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:45 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3458, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3432, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:Of course, RR is acting exactly like I did in SU...
It's quite ironic, aint it?

I also noted the similarity between this game and SC's game; nothing they've done since then has changed my opinion on this. They're posting just like they did then. In that game, they even had a scumbuddy who made themselves obvscum! This is their iso from there. 358, 361, 387, 391, 407, and 632 are the extent of their interaction with them, but see the progression there. Should look pretty familiar to you. (Also of note is the Maxous nightkill, btw.)
Mastin. One word: SMITE.

You can't point out anything scummy because we're not scum. I'm not sure why you have a bug up your ass about us, but maybe you could stop insulting us repeatedly.

~D
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Post Post #3468 (isolation #204) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:46 pm

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In post 3463, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3434, Reasonably Rational wrote:Only scum want this day to end fast.
Well, being fully honest: it would in fact be better for the day to be longer.
But to be blunt: I don't care.
We could end this day literally right now, or a week from now, wouldn't make much of a difference to me.

I suspect those already on the wagon share a similar mentality.

And here's what I have to say about your 'case' on farside: it is one of the most desperate, reachy things I have ever read. It is something which I simply don't see you producing if you're town. You're maybe a little less logical than Cerb, this is true. But you're not this shitty in making a point. The idea that farside scumslipped is an absolute, utter, complete and total JOKE, and you'd know it if you were actually town.
Just like the idea that Titus slipped in Steven Universe was a joke? Just like Sonic wasn't scum in Steven Universe?

Do I need to link to you being wrong over and over and over and rub your nose in it before you wake up?
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Post Post #3474 (isolation #205) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 2:50 pm

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A50: my slot is being voted because people are filled with the recklessness of success, and are therefore unwilling to think.

-Cerb

Pedit:farside, what part of that was shifty versus what drixx wrote? I gave you more detailsx and the only thing I can imagine you feel is bad about is is the fact that we thought we could trigger it last night and then found out we couldn't.

Our event has a limitation of only occurring after Episode 1. We asked Varsoon if that meant we could trigger our event on N1, for resolution during D2, and he said yes. This made me think the stress level was checked upon resolution, NOT triggering. He clarified when we tried to trigger it last night, in case stress rose enough over the night for it to resolve today.

Peditx2: what questions are we avoiding farside?
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Post Post #3490 (isolation #206) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:14 pm

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In post 3482, farside22 wrote:
In post 3474, Reasonably Rational wrote:A50: my slot is being voted because people are filled with the recklessness of success, and are therefore unwilling to think.

-Cerb

Pedit:farside, what part of that was shifty versus what drixx wrote? I gave you more detailsx and the only thing I can imagine you feel is bad about is is the fact that we thought we could trigger it last night and then found out we couldn't.

Our event has a limitation of only occurring after Episode 1. We asked Varsoon if that meant we could trigger our event on N1, for resolution during D2, and he said yes. This made me think the stress level was checked upon resolution, NOT triggering. He clarified when we tried to trigger it last night, in case stress rose enough over the night for it to resolve today.

Peditx2: what questions are we avoiding farside?
So far events have been triggered during the day, not at night.
That's why I am shifty about your clsim.
I asked you about doing my vig shot, which I said something about it day 2, why wouldn't I use it day 1 when cakez was sure to be lynched?
Your the player talking about a scum show that day.
Why wouldn't you use a day kill ability on someone when that someone was sure to be lynched? Is that an actual question?

~D
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Post Post #3493 (isolation #207) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:17 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3489, farside22 wrote:
In post 3485, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 3482, farside22 wrote:
In post 3474, Reasonably Rational wrote:A50: my slot is being voted because people are filled with the recklessness of success, and are therefore unwilling to think.

-Cerb

Pedit:farside, what part of that was shifty versus what drixx wrote? I gave you more detailsx and the only thing I can imagine you feel is bad about is is the fact that we thought we could trigger it last night and then found out we couldn't.

Our event has a limitation of only occurring after Episode 1. We asked Varsoon if that meant we could trigger our event on N1, for resolution during D2, and he said yes. This made me think the stress level was checked upon resolution, NOT triggering. He clarified when we tried to trigger it last night, in case stress rose enough over the night for it to resolve today.

Peditx2: what questions are we avoiding farside?
So far events have been triggered during the day, not at night.
That's why I am shifty about your clsim.
I asked you about doing my vig shot, which I said something about it day 2, why wouldn't I use it day 1 when cakez was sure to be lynched?
Your the player talking about a scum show that day.
I have an event that triggers at night.

Varsoona said that scumclaims will be good claims though. So having scum only have night events makes zero sense Farside.
I just figured he was lying about having the event.
BECAUSE YOU'RE FUCKING CONFBIASING.

Anyways, I'm done, Drixx can keep talking if he wants to, but between Mastin's ego and people just following her, I really can't be bothered to spend more time on this. Isn't like having me around in the late game has ever actually done my teams any real favors, it just makes town BARELY lose, but I'd rather not waste a shitload of my time again working on a lost cause.

@mastin: Is the above fake or really how I feel about the situation?
-Cerb
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Post Post #3492 (isolation #208) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:17 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3489, farside22 wrote:
In post 3485, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 3482, farside22 wrote:
In post 3474, Reasonably Rational wrote:A50: my slot is being voted because people are filled with the recklessness of success, and are therefore unwilling to think.

-Cerb

Pedit:farside, what part of that was shifty versus what drixx wrote? I gave you more detailsx and the only thing I can imagine you feel is bad about is is the fact that we thought we could trigger it last night and then found out we couldn't.

Our event has a limitation of only occurring after Episode 1. We asked Varsoon if that meant we could trigger our event on N1, for resolution during D2, and he said yes. This made me think the stress level was checked upon resolution, NOT triggering. He clarified when we tried to trigger it last night, in case stress rose enough over the night for it to resolve today.

Peditx2: what questions are we avoiding farside?
So far events have been triggered during the day, not at night.
That's why I am shifty about your clsim.
I asked you about doing my vig shot, which I said something about it day 2, why wouldn't I use it day 1 when cakez was sure to be lynched?
Your the player talking about a scum show that day.
I have an event that triggers at night.

Varsoona said that scumclaims will be good claims though. So having scum only have night events makes zero sense Farside.
I just figured he was lying about having the event.
BECAUSE YOU'RE FUCKING CONFBIASING.

Anyways, I'm done, Drixx can keep talking if he wants to, but between Mastin's ego and people just following her, I really can't be bothered to spend more time on this. Isn't like having me around in the late game has ever actually done my teams any real favors, it just makes town BARELY lose, but I'd rather not waste a shitload of my time again working on a lost cause.

@mastin: Is the above fake or really how I feel about the situation?
-Cerb
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Post Post #3497 (isolation #209) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:25 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

mastin, I really want you to answer my question, so I can stop checking this thread until tomorrow. Quite curious about your response.

Also, you said that about Creature yesterday, not farside22, but it was the same comment yes.
-Cerb
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Post Post #3499 (isolation #210) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:28 pm

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Also, I'm not ignoring your question farside22, Drixx just think it's a very dumb one and he doesn't want to spend any more IQ points answering it, basically...and I want to make him answer the damn question because it's a line of inquiry he started.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3502 (isolation #211) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:32 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3494, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3464, Reasonably Rational wrote:Mastin. One word: SMITE.
Drixx, I really don't get how you can be so smart in some ways but utterly incompetent in others, and this is a comment which applies regardless of your alignment this game in this case.

If there's one thing you should've learned about me at this point...

...It's that trying to make me feel shitty about my past game failures doesn't work, so I really don't know why you bother to try. You're not going to convince any other players by mentioning them, and you're not going to make me feel bad by doing that, so I really don't get why you do this, regardless of what your alignment is.

Now, I just so
happen
to think this is a tactic you'd be more likely to employ as scum (it's a pretty despicable tactic and I'd like to think that you have a scum role PM to justify using it in the first place), but that's beside the point.
You've spent most of this game basically telling Cerb and I that we're in the bottom 0.01% of players, sorted by skill, on this site. You haven't said it in those words. It's just the implication of everything you've said. So if you want to talk about despicable, please check your glass house first.

I brought up SMITE to remind you that I know what I'm doing as scum and you wouldn't pick me out in the first 24 hours of a game. I prefer to view SMITE as very good play on my part rather than bad play on your part. I brought up the original SU to remind you that making assumptions that you don't actually have the information to safely assume can be a really bad thing. Both because you declared you would be conftown on day 3 (because you were getting a perma-alliance with us) and that was unsound because a scum also got into that alliance, and because WE made the assumption scum would not be given our identity on day 3 only for us to have to be absurdly lucky to survive long enough to become IC.

Remember that we approach the game rationally, inasmuch as possible.

~Drixx
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Post Post #3507 (isolation #212) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:36 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3504, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3492, Reasonably Rational wrote:@mastin: Is the above fake or really how I feel about the situation?
Mostly real.

You have reason to be frustrated regardless of alignment.

It just so happens that, because of that, it's also not alignment indicative.
Agreed, and accurate. Cool. I knew you'd know that, I just didn't want town to be stupid and accuse me of attempting to AtE my way out of a lynch when I don't do AtE. :P

-Cerb

pedit: Nobody has suggested that mastin isn't town DGB, except for kts in a moment of insanity in the middle of the day yesterday.
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Post Post #3509 (isolation #213) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:40 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

And ummm... peace out. I see no willingness for re-evaluation in anyone, which means no discussion about anything else is going to happen today, and I've already given my thoughts on reads. Our role utility will be gone so nothing I can do there either. That leaves me nothing to really do except emphasize the following:

You guys should really talk about the event that scum triggered because there's not a lot of time between now and the finale, and there's no way to know how many deaths will happen if no plan is made to keep it from succeeding.



Personal Note
: I'm pretty sure I'm done with this site as of this game for a long time if not forever. Too many people on this site are intentionally nasty and ugly as their default setting. I understand people getting heated in a back and forth, but when someone's default setting starts out at unpleasant and just gets worse, that's a problem, and in the time I've been on this site it has swung super heavily in the direction of elitism and if one isn't a part of the right clique, that person can be treated horribly. I'll just point at how Yume has been treated in this game and let that stand as a representative example.

~D
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Post Post #3513 (isolation #214) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:48 pm

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In post 3510, grapes wrote:Oh give me a break.
Totally not AtE. It was labeled as a personal note for a reason. I should clarify: done playing. I have some interesting games in development and I enjoy modding games in the newbie queue. As a moderator, I can simply refuse to put up with the things that make me not want to play.

For example: YOU knew fuzzy was town because we had demonstrated it logically. You hammered fuzzy out of selfishness. You look down on me/us and so when confronted with it, you tried to say we lost the game but we're the ones who caught Titus's slip and got Sonic (when Mastin was trying hard to save him becuase she was SURE we were wrong). I can link you to the post where we laid out a lynch order which, if followed, guaranteed 100% win for town in Steven Universe. YOU made a selfish play that destroyed that plan and ultimately snatched defeat from the jaws of victory. When confronted with it this game, you took a shit on our approach to playing mafia.

That's okay ... because different strokes for different folks, and if you want to pretend you didn't screw that up, then cool. People delude themselves every day.

The way Yume has been treated by so many different people on this site is abhorrent and that was the point of my comment and the driver of my decision.

By the way, you might want to read what I said
ABOVE
the part labeled personal note. That was meant for people I play with a lot and for Varsoon who has made games that were for the most part quite fun to play. Since I've played with you like twice, we really don't have much "personal" about us, do we?

~D
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Post Post #3514 (isolation #215) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:49 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3512, DrippingGoofball wrote:
In post 3509, Reasonably Rational wrote:Too many people on this site are intentionally nasty and ugly as their default setting.
Noooooooooooooooooooo! <3 <3 <3 stay!
Can't tell if sarcastic or not.

~D
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Post Post #3519 (isolation #216) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 3:59 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Titus, you don't count?

We're at like L-4 or something right now, which means there are 8 people on the wagon. The only one's who have deigned to speak with us aren't even considering reevaluating, to the point where we tell them about an ability we have and they assume we're lying, rather than considering if that information is possibly true and what it would mean. Nothing else is happening, so of course there's no other wagons. We had 6 votes on us within like 1.5 hours of the day starting.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3521 (isolation #217) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:07 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3516, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 3514, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 3512, DrippingGoofball wrote:
In post 3509, Reasonably Rational wrote:Too many people on this site are intentionally nasty and ugly as their default setting.
Noooooooooooooooooooo! <3 <3 <3 stay!
Can't tell if sarcastic or not.

~D
Drixx, if you have to, take a hiatus please. I don't want you to quit as a player. I think you're good.
I'm not even good enough to get people to pay attention to a fucking ridiculously scary looking scum event announcement and talk about what should be done. Go read that shit.
  • The Cluster may awaken and
    DESTROY EARTH
  • Players MAY forgo using climax abilities (must be activated abilities) to contribute a point towards an unknown target number (Consider: how can we force scum to forgo their actions and help defeat their own event?)
  • Both players in an alliance doing so gives an extra point
  • If the score isn't high enough, there will be
    several
    1 deaths
1: Few is generally 2-3 and Several generally means 4 or more.

I'm not even good enough to get people to set aside lynch talk to figure out how to deal with THAT. Apart from you, not one person is even willing to actually go back and look how things unfolded yesterday. Mastin is preening her ego (I predict that her top six scumspects when she declared she had four of the team figured out for sure will contain, at best, 2 scum ... maybe 3). The rest of them are stuck so far in hindsight bias and confirmation bias that they don't even care about what's going on in the game. There's literally someone who is declaring intent to unilaterally END the day after less than 24 hours, and I'm practically begging people to work on the big problem coming for the finale.

Good? Hardly.

~D
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Post Post #3524 (isolation #218) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:14 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3520, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote: The end of the day where you and Drixx were not congruent with your thoughts didn't help matters to me.

~Titus
I wasn't available and you know EXACTLY why. You can look and see that I literally vanished. Never said another word in thread or in our alliance. Again I repeat: you know why. That's irrelevant though. Cerberus is ALWAYS super cautious with his vote and hammering, regardless of alignment. He ALWAYS questions until he's completely sure he understands something. You do remember that he and I figured out how scum could have won Space Dandy II on day 2, right? You remember we developed a plan that broke the game mechanics so badly, Varsoon had to retroactively change the mechanics AND make mod statements that made you look like caught lying scum.

You (and others?) are literally scum reading Cerberus for exactly what he always does. He's careful, methodical and makes sure he knows what is what.

I think the only difference is that I wasn't available so he had to ask questions in thread instead of talking to me on Slack. And I think none of you except Varsoon has actually read much of our hydra PTs from former games, so you have no fucking idea that what we do is have long discussions and work out exactly what the known info is until we're sure. Go look in the hydra PT for SU and you will see Cerb and I having conversations that look basically identical to what he did at the end of day 1 here. Look at his solo games and you'll see that out of him.

I mean ... for fuck's sake. You know how methodical we are: Varsoon nominated us and in the nomination noted that we spent a WEEK in real time being sure we had you caught in SU before we made a move.

~Drixx
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Post Post #3530 (isolation #219) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:21 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3523, DrippingGoofball wrote:I was not sarcastic at all!

Regarding Yume, Yume lurks and drops out of almost every game. Other than that I have nothing against him.
In post 3513, Reasonably Rational wrote:The way Yume has been treated by so many different people on this site
Well thank you DGB. Perhaps if you really think that I should persist, you can talk to me after game. I try my very best to always stay active, to treat people kindly, to never get nasty with someone unless they have been repeatedly nasty with me (and I don't carry it on beyond a single game), and yet there are people on site who get away with being absolutely the worst level of nasty on the internet (which is saying something) on a regular basis. It has been a long standing frustration of mine. Especially because I've been chewed out behind the scenes for slipping and using internet slang, after which I immediately apologized (because I'm physically disabled, so I would never use handicapped slurs), and I've been blacklisted from playing games run by a mod who I enjoyed playing their games because someone else was in the "cool" club, and I wasn't. They were allowed to be absurdly abusive to me, and I got blacklisted by the mod for saying that I genuinely thought they should take a break and calm down because the guy spent like a solid hour raging at me over nothing.

Mastin bashing my play implicitly all game is just sort of the straw that broke the camel's back. This has been a long time coming.

~D
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Post Post #3532 (isolation #220) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 4:24 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3529, DrippingGoofball wrote:Because of our interactions in the PT.
You claimed to be a traitor. There is no way a town!KC responds to that in any way other than going after you until you are dead. Please explain why KC would just be passive after you claimed that.

If you say it was a reaction test, then the question becomes why would you think the game should have a traitor, when I don't recall Varsoon using one before (although I haven't played EVERY Varsoon game so I could have missed it somewhere), and how could you convince KC that it was a reaction test and you weren't genuinely claiming in the belief that she was scum and could recruit you?

KC just doesn't make sense as town given what we know.

~D
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Post Post #3547 (isolation #221) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 5:52 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Mastin, you're wrong.

I don't care about the mechanical discussion. I care about the fact that discussions about evaluating and/or reevaluating our play yesterday, NOT TODAY (which has obviously been WHOLLY focused on defending ourselves, because I got drawn in and used up all the energy I would have spent doing something productive ) have all been stonewalled.

That's what I mean when I say there's no attempt being made to think.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3551 (isolation #222) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:06 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Mastin; please consider the following:

1.) Early in the game, I noted something was off with Firebringer and pushed a discussion with him. The best way to get a read in early game is to get someone talking and see where it goes. You can't say that I was just doing that for optics because
you also
caught a scummy vibe off him when you were catching up. Maybe we both saw the same thing. Just because I press people differently than you do doesn't make my approach invalid. Don't take my word for it: there's a plethora of town games of mine for you to go look at. You're not going to be able to demonstrate a material difference between how I handled Firebringer this game and any of those, because that's how I scumhunt early when there's little known. I'll force interactions to try and get a base read and then I'll let up and see if the player changes or stays consistent. Self-meta is shit, so go look it up and then come back. You won't be able to point out substantive differences because I'm town and that's how I play early.

2.) I gave reads, dumped my thoughts, resigned myself to being mislynched and THEN I begged you guys to take the time to work out the event. What you know or don't know about Varsoon is
irrelevant
. He intentionally changes things up. In Space Dandy II, the scum team could have won on day 2 100% of the time if they had realized. Varsoon AND his reviewers for that game missed it. Cerb and I did not and did everything we could to get a town win. That might be a good game for you to look at to compare to this one, for what it's worth.

3.) Neither Cerb nor I rely on gut to form reads. Gut, to us, is our brain telling us that we noticed something. If something is off we go digging. Early game there ain't much to dig. You say that me reading Farside's post about it being unlikely that she and SC would be in the joy ride as a scum slip is a stretch, but it's not. A50 was the one who picked the joy ride. If we posit a scum team that had SC and Farside on it, they would have had no say in the matter. There was objectively no reason for the fight in the thread between them, and even less than no reason for her to disband the event. All that did was remove the event's protection, and if SC were the only scum in the joyride, then those people would have all been safe if she had not done that (hindsight bias will make you think that this doesn't matter but IT DOES!). Furthermore, keeping that intact could have outed additional scum potentially present in the joyride. The way Farside said what she did
could be
a slip.

3a.) Remember Titus' slip in Steven Universe? Remember how we concluded that the only way Titus could have known about Sonic's ability was if she got it from the scum team because she had not allied with anyone who knew about it? Remember how we then arrived at the very high probability that Sonic was the scum who told her of the ability, and remember how you tried to stop us going after him? Sometimes a slip is a TINY thing. In that case, it was literally one word that shouldn't have been there that tipped her hand that she knew about the ability. If you weren't so fully convinced we're scum, you would take me noting something small that looks like a slip WAY more seriously than you did.

So seriously ... please just set aside your certainty bias and take the time to do a "What if?" and posit us as town. I've given reads and thoughts on several slots, and I will be happy to let you interrogate the hell out of me. Titus has NEVER ever townread me before, but she town read ME (Cerb didn't want to reveal shit about what we do because of how Titus tried to play us in original SU) this game. You have the chance to engage with me and see what you come away with. What you have pointed out about Cerb is littered all over all of his games. It's completely meaningless because it's in his nature and he does it regardless of whether he's town, 3rd party, or scum. Every thing you point to and say "That's scummy" is literally all that Cerberus does in early games. He tries to figure out what's going on with the game and mechanics and tries to gather as much concrete information as possible. That comes in handy later in games.


Finally: I really wish there were a way for us to talk privately. I have a lot to say about how to use the scum event against them, but it's not things I want to flesh out in front of people. Varsoon forgot to add me to the alliance PT on my main, but we can converse in private through Yume if you like. Obviously Yume cannot directly quote but paraphrasing can suffice. If you are going to insist on pushing our lynch no matter what, I want to at least get my thoughts and reads and ideas to someone I know shares my wincon, becuase quite frankly, Cerb and I are both quite tired of putting in literally hundreds of hours on games and having narrow losses. It would be nice to freaking win one.

Ball's in your court, but I'm going to sleep. I'm drained. I've had a pretty fucking awful week and you bashing my play and insulting me just isn't something I'm really down for at the moment.

~Drixx
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Post Post #3553 (isolation #223) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:09 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Also everything you're saying about the mechanical discussion of today being thr reason for the votes is wrong.

Absolutely and utterly incorrect. The votes were there and in place before we started saying anything today.

The people voting us are doing it based on their evaluation of yesterdays play, and that play is something every single one is biased about. You most of all because admitting that there was any merit to us going after SC would diminish your own legacy.

I mean, seriously maatin, you call us smart yourself. Where is the scum motivation in going to all the trouble of "distancing" ourselves from SC, only to throw it all away with a huge back and forth and unvote when it was OBVIOUS to everyone that SC would be lynched. I'm just as aware of the game state as you were. Trying to say that I, as scum, somehow missed the fact that said unvote and subsequent conversation had NO CHANCE of saving my partner, but did it anyways, is something you should recognize as implausible at best, out of character at worst. And what would your have said had I NOT unvoted? You would have noted that it's really unusual for me to go to bed with someone at l-2 while I have questions about a situation related to them. No matter what occurred, you would have twisted it to fit the narrative you want town listening to.

However, recognizing that means admitting that you were wrong, and that's not something you can do because you know people and how to influence them, and know that letting even a hint of doubt show can irreparably damage your ability to rally town. You'd rather mislynch us than risk losing the influence you have in the game and forcing scum to target you at some point. I mean, just look at the whole FB situation . We KNOW you know something about it, because you said so, but you deliberately twist everything we said regarding it to make it appear as though what we're saying is unreasnable, when it isn't, at all...and you know better. That's purely you manipulating towns perception of our slot to minimize the chance of us not being lynched today, and it has *nothing* to do with whether or not said behaviors were alignment indicativs.

This is why Drixx gets mad at you and blows up.
-Cerb.

Oh. Drixx said stuff. I should probably do what I said I was gonna do and igno re this until the morning.
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Post Post #3555 (isolation #224) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:12 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3554, Klingoncelt wrote:
In post 3392, Reasonably Rational wrote:
KC - Something was off about the response to the DGB thing. If I were KC, there's no way someone could claim to be a scum to me and live. KC barely pushed it. That isn't a town response, imo.


~Drixx
Liar.

I pushed it.

It was blown off as a gambit.


Everyone Townreads her.

So despite my being convinced that she's Scum, she'll likely make it to endgame.
People probably wouldn't have blown it off if you has bothered voting her.

Which you didn't do.

:/

-Cerb
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Post Post #3556 (isolation #225) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:13 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3548, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3530, Reasonably Rational wrote:Mastin bashing my play implicitly all game is just sort of the straw that broke the camel's back.
Oh I don't have anything against your play at all.

Contrary to your apparent perception, this is no vendetta. I'm not bashing your play. I hold it in the highest regard.

I just so happen to think this is your scum game.

You bring up all my failures, but I learn from them: I evolve, try to get better. So bringing them up doesn't invoke feelings of doubt from me. They invoke feelings that you look desperate because you wouldn't feel the need to bring up those failures otherwise. That might not be true, might not be how you see it. But that's what they look like, and one thing has always been consistent in MY play: I will always tell things as I see them, and that just so happens to be how I see it.

I think you're scum.
It's not that complex. Nothing more. Nothing less. Just a simple read, no different from any number of hundreds of previous reads of mine.
Sorry but you are bashing me when you link to examples of really sub-optimal plays made because no other choice was available. I never play scum the same way twice (as an intentional choice on my part). You've seen me as scum once and you didn't suspect a thing until it was too late and you know how that played out. So when you've seen me do what I did then and then you turn around and link to really bad play and say that's what I'm doing, there's definitely implicit "you're a baddie" in there.

But I'll take you at your word that it's not intentional. You will admit, I presume, that you have a rather large ego and a forceful personality. Perhaps that's all it is. In any case, I'm off to wind down and you should read my prior post and decide what you want to do. In my world, the right thing is to ALWAYS question your conclusion and consider the alternatives. You do not appear to have done so.

~Drixx

P.S. - Cerb's point is a very good one. We were put at "People get your alliances in order, day is ending" like 5 hours into the day. By sheer necessity we're spending time on defending ourselves that would be much more productive elsewhere.


P-Edit - KC; you know I love you. Town you would not have let getting blown off stop you from pressing it. Remember that game where you and Varsoon both claimed miller and I told the game who was scum and exactly what you guys were doing?
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Post Post #3557 (isolation #226) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:19 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Oh, one more thing I guess maatin: If Drixx and I were scum, we went to A LOT of trouble to convince Titus to townread us, to the point of GUARANTEEING we'd be forced to give town a cop clear or a guilty in order to do so.

Titus has told me, after I fooled her in Gistou, that her weakness is people disagreeing with her.

After going to all that effort, scum!me blows all the town cred I just gained with that slot? I mean seriously?

Ugh. Leaving this alone for real, I have a fucking problem with refreshing these damn games. If we're still around in the morning and I see SOME desire from.the game to have us actually play, I'll do so, otherwise I'll just relax and enjoy my Sunday.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3559 (isolation #227) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:31 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3539, Not Chara wrote:
In post 3392, Reasonably Rational wrote:@Mastin - You have played with Cerberus before right? I'm just checking because you're saying something he does
all the time
was fake. And the underlying implications to that don't make sense.

And for the idiot ball comments: Idiot Ball = literary device. It refers to when an otherwise very intelligent character makes an absurd mistake. It's kind of like a deus ex machina, and it fits in really when people aren't engaging their brains.

@Grapes - Farside, Foxbird, DGB, Grapes, KC are the people I am looking at for scum at the moment.


Farside - Super anti-town play yesterday with what she did. If you think about the implications of it and how it could have been leveraged for maximum utility, her blowing up that event was the most anti-town thing I've ever seen on the site.
Foxbird - Read the ISO. Self-explanatory.
DGB - The whole Traitor thing. Makes zero sense. DGB also moved us to firm town late yesterday but then just voted us today. Back to the traitor thing: what would make DGB think there's a traitor unless she is one? It's not a thing I remember Varsoon using before and I don't see anything in the info we have to suggest one is present. Only way DGB is town is if it was a reaction test, but if that's the case, why isn't DGB engage din the main thread doing things like that?
KC - Something was off about the response to the DGB thing. If I were KC, there's no way someone could claim to be a scum to me and live. KC barely pushed it. That isn't a town response, imo.
You - Gut. You're too smart to actually think we're scum and you are also too smart to join in on an ego push, yet you seem to be doing both.

~Drixx
okay, here it is. thank you Titus.

Drixx: i can see your points for most of these. i disagree with farside as scum, but her play was not fantastic there. the only other read i have issue with is the grapes read. (is the ego push on you?) i dislike this 'you're too smart to think this' attitude. it's one of the reasons i was very strongly scumreading grapes during that point of day 1. i thought they if they read me so correctly in my first newbie game (which has been completed, so i can
finally
talk about it), then the fact that they were so wrong here had to mean something was different. this game is difficult and it's incredibly easy to be wrong when new situations come up, i've learned. don't take this to mean i'm lecturing you, my inexperience in the face of your amount of games is very obvious to me.
This wasn't a question? I didn't miss it, I saw you asked what the reads were, found Drixx's post and made a response. I didn't see anything to respond to here. You can see our points, but disagree with some things. I think it's perfectly reasonable to have an expectation of a certain level of competence and insight from certain players, and to note when they don't display the expected level of insight. It isn't a matter of them being right or wrong for me...it's the reasoning and the processes that are being used that are problematic. As far as I'm concerned being right for the wrong reasons is worse than being wrong in the first place, and seeing someone insist on using the wrong reasons when you know you can expect better is troubling.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3560 (isolation #228) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:33 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

To expand a little bit on that: EVERYONE, no matter how good they are, is wrong pretty frequently in this game, to be honest. Results bias is a big deal, which is why I focus on processes. If the processes people are using seem off, either because it's out of character or because it simply doesn't make sense AND THEY SHOULD KNOW IT DOESN'T MAKE SENSE, then we have a problem.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3562 (isolation #229) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 6:36 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3561, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 3538, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:Drixx, you think that Mastina's team is wrong. What did you think of mine?
Cerby you can answer this too...
OMG I just want to go away and do something else. What composition did you have in mind? Did Drixx even say that he thinks mastinas team is wrong? I mean, I guess that's implicit in the places where the reads differ, so dumb question.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3577 (isolation #230) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 8:48 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3573, Klingoncelt wrote:
In post 3555, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 3554, Klingoncelt wrote:
In post 3392, Reasonably Rational wrote:
KC - Something was off about the response to the DGB thing. If I were KC, there's no way someone could claim to be a scum to me and live. KC barely pushed it. That isn't a town response, imo.


~Drixx
Liar.

I pushed it.

It was blown off as a gambit.


Everyone Townreads her.

So despite my being convinced that she's Scum, she'll likely make it to endgame.
People probably wouldn't have blown it off if you has bothered voting her.

Which you didn't do.

:/

-Cerb
I COULDN'T VOTE ON DAY ONE!!!!!


I tried voting for Grapes, and then tried to vote McMenno.

The votes never appeared. DGB took credit for that.

Then suddenly I had 2 votes on Firebringer, even though I didn't vote him.

Well, there were votes with my name on them, at least, so I took a chance and voted for Sir Cakes. The next VC the votes stayed on FB, but the VC after that they moved to Cakes. And the hammer came soon after.

So tell me, why would I vote for DGB at that stage in the game?
I did forget about your inability to vote, because I didn't notice it until whenever someone mentioned it. Understandable from your perspective to not vote there, but you should have let people KNOW why you weren't voting there then. I'll need to look at the timeline there again, I don't remember when it was that people started mentioning your lack of a vote.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3580 (isolation #231) » Sat Sep 17, 2016 9:35 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3578, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 3564, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 1552, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:Can you talk to me about Creature? He's the biggest difference we have (aside from fire which I need time on).

I am at NC Creature Cakez klingon CoolDog X, add DGB/Farside if wrong?
In post 3562, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 3561, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 3538, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:Drixx, you think that Mastina's team is wrong. What did you think of mine?
Cerby you can answer this too...
OMG I just want to go away and do something else. What composition did you have in mind? Did Drixx even say that he thinks mastinas team is wrong? I mean, I guess that's implicit in the places where the reads differ, so dumb question.

-Cerb
There you go.

Cerby? :(
Lol, I love you titus. NC/Creature were scumspects since yesterday, NC requires more reaxing because it's insubstantiated, Creature's reaDS and vote progression were questions able yesterday, last time I checked. Drixx has gone over the farside and KC suspicions already. We talked about cooldog in our pt yesterday, and I haven't compared his play in SF to his play here to see if you're hitting a false positive there. In either case, he's being replaced, so hopefully we'll be able to get more words out of the replacement. Xkfyu and DGB are both pretty null to me. My only prior experience with Xkfyu was SD2, and I wasn't directly inolved with his early game so can't really say much other than it seems pretty NAI. I like DGBs recent involvemsnt, it's way more than I've ever seen her do...ever. makes me want her to be town.

Nc, I'll answer your stuff in the morning because you're patient unlike Titus, who should habe realized I only said what I did because I compulsively refresh and it was really effortless to make that first post, while this one required a buncha typing from my bed.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3591 (isolation #232) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 3:07 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3582, farside22 wrote:
In post 3547, Reasonably Rational wrote:Mastin, you're wrong.

I don't care about the mechanical discussion. I care about the fact that discussions about evaluating and/or reevaluating our play yesterday, NOT TODAY (which has obviously been WHOLLY focused on defending ourselves, because I got drawn in and used up all the energy I would have spent doing something productive ) have all been stonewalled.

That's what I mean when I say there's no attempt being made to think.

-Cerb
This isn't happening.

What i mean is your not doing that at all.
What you've done is implode the game with how important your role is, who everyone should pay attention to the event and gave weak reason's for scum reads you have.
I even notice nc asked for you to explain more about grapes and you just avoid that.
This is also wrong.

We have repeatedly reminded people of aspects of our play which make us as scum nearly impossible. One major aspect of that is our interactions with regards to the SC wagon, and the other (which the majority of the game did not know the details about, and which thus had to be shared) was related to how we handled our role. At the time we decided to divulge our full information regarding our event to OWK mastin was known to be conftown, Yume was known to be sheeping her, you had displayed a great degree of doubt about us, and OWK would, by virtue of paranoia regarding our play with one another in the past, no doubt investigate us if given the opportunity. As scum, it would be suicidal to place oneself in a position where you can guarantee that you'll be checked by a cop that is viewed as conftown. It *might* make sense if we were a godfather, but even then the point of the ability is a selection from multiple options, all of which are bad for scum for different reasons. It would have been effortless for us to claim that the event had a different priority, or different stress limitations, which could have both been used to give scum!us the maximum town benefit of claiming this power without ever actually having to USE the power. Instead, we claimed that it was priority 0, only took +1 stress, AND that we'd be attempting to use it EVERY NIGHT so it would happen ASAP.

The stupidity on our part that would be required for us to engage in that sequence of events is why we keep bringing up the mechanical aspect, beyond the pragmatic factor of it being optimal to take a free cop clear and then lynch us that day if you're paranoid about the accuracy or your results, or cLear us thst night if you're not and give scum an additional conftown to have to deal with.

It isn't the event itself that makes us town. It's the fact that it makes no sense to have backed ourselves into a corner like this regarding it's usage.

Regarding the grapes thing: Answering NCs question required effort. Last night I simply didn't feel like looking at grapes ISO and pointing out the posts where he seems to be thinking things through but in a fashion which dismisses, ignores, or trivializes details which are significant.

You're right that all reasons for reads at this point are weak, but the reasons for scumreading us displayed here are FAR weaker, based on the knowledge of our play the main proponents should have and the actions we've taken, than anything we've said today. I hold that our reasons(and everyone else's) are weak because everything is fundamentally based off day 1 play alone, and thus all reasons are weak.

This comes back to the lack of rigor in investigating and verifying ones own suspicions while demanding greater degrees of justification from those who disagree with you that I made fun of grapes for.

McMenno: please read the above. Drixx has not suggested mastin is not town. Drixx has outlined the existence of a scenario in which mastin would not be town, and dismissed it as nearly impossible(thus the 99% thing). This is a far cry from saying "idk guys, this mastin Yume conftown mason thing is kinda shady and means they might both be scum.", which is what you're implying when you say Drixx has suggested that Mastin might be scum. Please learn to read our posts properly before you attempt to interpret them.

In addition, since you dismissed my absolutely correct point that people are reckless in mafia in the wake of success, let me expand on it: had SC flipped town, those who had disagreed would be haranguing those who pushed it and demanded that they reasses, while becoming more certain of their own reads accuracy. In addition, because there would have been no sense of "getting ahead" ,EVERYONE would have been more cautious voting out of fear of a consecutive mislynch and spent a great deal of time looking at interactions yesterday to determine who to "blame" for the mislynch. However, because SC flipped scum, those who were pushing him (which were the most forceful players in the game ) were emboldened and now assume all their reads are correct, and those who disagree with them are taking the time to reassess.

This means that those who were voting yesterday automatically voted us at the start of today, while those who have differing opinions are being more cautious and NOT voting for things....therefore leading us to this situation where only a few hours after the day opened NOTHING had been discussed but our slot, and nobody was voting anywhere else.

It's reckless and thoughtless. If we end up mislynched here with this approach to the game town will be going into D3 with a late D1 grasp of the game.

I predict that almost no one will bother reading this, and those who do, excepting OWK, will quote at most two things out of context to use against us.

I'll look at NC and grapes sometime today when I'm not feeling lazy.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3593 (isolation #233) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 3:20 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3592, Randomnamechange wrote:
In post 3303, Varsoon wrote:
To be clear, I will be using the :right: mark to directly show what happened due to an Event from now on.
If something doesn't have that :right: mark, then it happened due to other actions taken.
I'm going to go back and edit the previous phase's event to be this way.
great modding
In post 3545, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3521, Reasonably Rational wrote:[There's literally someone who is declaring intent to unilaterally END the day after less than 24 hours, and I'm practically begging people to work on the big problem coming for the finale.
And the thing is.
While I acknowledge that this scum event is indeed a threat.
While I acknowledge that a scum event like this is something ideally dealt with.

It's still mechanics.
And I know what Varsoon thinks about game mechanics, because I know what (almost) every moderator thinks of mechanics, him included:
They're meant to enhance the play of the game.

Not replace it.

What you're doing is an appeal to fear. "Ooh, this big scary mechanics thing is a huge threat". No doubt it is indeed a threat.
But you're missing the picture.
It's still not scumhunting.
It's not the part of the game, which is actually a fundamental part of the game.

So that's why you got so many votes.
Mechanics aren't at the center of this game. Scumhunting is. And they are scumhunting you.
Any time we spend on mechanics is extra, is time we spend using the extras we've been given, to counter the extras scum were given.
It's a luxury, not a necessity. One day, ten days, makes no difference.
Holy shit this is so fucking stupid. Mastin how do you even confbias this hard. You are literally refusing to acknowledge anything RR is saying as right.
VOTE: farside
I will follow RR to the death.
ILU random.

I was gonna suggest we ally if I don't end up dead today, but just realized we need some things cleared up real quick.

@Varsoon: can slots with only passive abilities forgo their actions? If so, will this have an effect on their passive at all? Basically, if someone with an active ability is allied to someone without an active ability, is the person with the active ability capping their contribution to 1 point?


If the answer to this question is that those without actives can't contribute, then allying for the purpose of scumhunting needs to stop for those of us who have active climax phase actions. Those slots should ally only with their strongest town reads, to minimize the number of slots with active powers that will have their sacrifice compromised by an alliance with scum.

If it doesn't matter, then we still need to be cautious, but not as much so.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3602 (isolation #234) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 3:36 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3594, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:Cerb,

I think your comments against the general approach are misplaced. If approaching this thread by the scientific theory, it's guess and check. Then correct. That explains the pattern you see. It's frustrating and from your PoV incorrect but still a valid strategy but it isn't yours.

I am more pragmatic than most. Even if you're scum (assuming Mastina correct), there is low long term ev in forcing you to be lynched today. I just don't see why we wouldn't trigger your ability first. You can't refuse to use your ability without confirming yourself as scum. Then we get confirmation of whether you are town or scum plus reads to work from. I don't happen to think you are scum maybe, so I guess null.

Why don't you case your biggest scumread? Start to now?

~Titus
I will eventually, but right now I see no personal benefit to dumping my weekend into this game. I know it's optimal to maximize the information we share and our obligation to prevent at mislynch, but right this moment, I don't care about winning at all. I care about enjoying myself, and playing mafia isn't the most enjoyable way to spend my time. If town wants to rush a lynch they can. If they care about what I have to say then they'll hear it.

Right now, only you, NC, and now Random have responded to our posts in a non-dismissive fashion, but the 8 people still voting us are unmoved, and one of them has a vig pointed at our heads. It's incredibly implausible that we don't end up dead today, so I'm not going to drop everything to help people who are being stubborn. I'll do it in my own time, wagon and vig be damned. It'll happen sooner rather than later most likely, but it won't delay a single iota of possible enjoyment from the rest of my life.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3607 (isolation #235) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 3:40 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

You can't lynch farside because she will just shoot someone and end the day. Optimal play to do so regardless of her alignment.

-Cerb

Pedit: yes, moved your vote while still posturing about shooting us and ending the day. For some reason that doesn't fill me with relief.

Also, your response to my wall was incredibly apathetic and lazy. What part of what I said was untrue?
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Post Post #3610 (isolation #236) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 3:53 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

For the record, I'm having trouble reconciling the idea of farside as scum with her having a gun that ALSO costs town a lynch. Unless the ability has some other cost associated with it (most likely loss of a NK or something like that), I can only see that being a balanced tool to give to scum in the presence of 1) a number of traditional day vigs, or 2) day role blockers/neutralizes of some sort.

But even then...if Farside22 didn't claim that, how would anyone know to stop her? Hell, farside, is your vig publicly activated or privately activated?

-Cerb
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Post Post #3615 (isolation #237) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 3:59 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3612, farside22 wrote:
In post 3610, Reasonably Rational wrote:For the record, I'm having trouble reconciling the idea of farside as scum with her having a gun that ALSO costs town a lynch. Unless the ability has some other cost associated with it (most likely loss of a NK or something like that), I can only see that being a balanced tool to give to scum in the presence of 1) a number of traditional day vigs, or 2) day role blockers/neutralizes of some sort.

But even then...if Farside22 didn't claim that, how would anyone know to stop her? Hell, farside, is your vig publicly activated or privately activated?

-Cerb
I can do it public or private. I chose to tell people about it and really didn't have to.
Yeah. This can't really be scum. I just don't see how to make it work mechanically. Lurk, keep quiet about it, then town just loses because their last lynch is stolen from them.

-Cerb

Pedit: oh, so your problem is that you only care about the reasoning behind my reads, and nothing else I say or have done previously is significant to you?
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Post Post #3622 (isolation #238) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 4:05 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

That's fine, but don't launch attacks at me based on things you don't care about and make me waste my time telling you why you're wrong. Thanks.

-Cerb

Pedit: why wouldn't they be able to use it to kill conftown in lylo? I mean, a lylo gate would be reasonable, but seriously, the power is absurd in scum hands. It's like a scum gladiate without any of the risk inherent in that.
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Post Post #3657 (isolation #239) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 5:02 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3647, McMenno wrote:honestly rr just kind of appeared cakez' scumreads and he was saying they were scum but he wasn't really pushing there

I am currently of the opinion that dgb is a likely traitor candidate

farside is town

honestly I haven't really read much of rr's latest posts
This is why this isn't a priority for me.

Fuck every last one of you who can't be bothered to read the game.

Farside22: I recommend you go reread our D1/D2 play in SU, instead of letting yourself focus on our mid to late game play.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3662 (isolation #240) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 5:07 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3659, farside22 wrote:
McMenno wrote:
In post 3653, McMenno wrote:
In post 3651, farside22 wrote: I meant to do an iso of the dude, I'll put it on my to do list.
his iso is
1
4 posts so you'll be done very quickly
ebwop
Welcome to my world, with constant interuption and things that come up. I just have to remind myself to do something on paper. I'm weird that way.


McMenno wrote:
In post 505, Randomnamechange wrote:
Menno and TWIE
rando doing fuck all as per usual
would you believe that I am townreading him
Why?
Like out of all the stuff he is frivolous stuff.
Then there was the time with Cakez and all he said was this?
In post 2719, Randomnamechange wrote:That will be Cakez at L-2. I would like to vote him but don't want L-1 just yet. I definitely agree with the comments about him in Soccer Spirits
That's typically scum behavior 101.

EBWOP: I'll work on that RR. I have someone bugging me to play a game right now.

No worries, take you time. I know I am.

Also, random is being random. He's being lynchbait instead of helpful, but he IS lynchbait. Granted, i don't think I've ever seen him as scum, but this has all the hallmarks of what I've come to expect from him as town.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3669 (isolation #241) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 6:29 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3668, farside22 wrote:
In post 3657, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 3647, McMenno wrote:honestly rr just kind of appeared cakez' scumreads and he was saying they were scum but he wasn't really pushing there

I am currently of the opinion that dgb is a likely traitor candidate

farside is town

honestly I haven't really read much of rr's latest posts
This is why this isn't a priority for me.

Fuck every last one of you who can't be bothered to read the game.

Farside22: I recommend you go reread our D1/D2 play in SU, instead of letting yourself focus on our mid to late game play.

-Cerb
In regards to this I vaguely remember hating that you focused on all the game possibilities day 2 and drixx being a turd.
I'll see how how good my memory is in reread.
I think what I don't recall is the iso scum read stuff you did here.
I'll check around other games to see if one style sticks out.
The ISO stuff is something I started doing, mmm, a few months ago, so yeah, that won't be there. My attempt to actually DO something early game instead of just sitting around withh my thumb up my ass while calling people stupid about mechanical stuff.
-Cerb
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Post Post #3688 (isolation #242) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 8:33 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@random: yeah, I don't think people should ANNOUNCE these things, but those with actives should keep it in mind when deciding who to ally, just wanted it to be something theyre actually thinking about instead of just allying using whatever goals they had before.
-Cerb

Pedit: A50, your reasoning is wrong. First of all, I'm pretty sure *higher* numbers mean high priority, but we should totally conform that with Varsoon. Second, my event is a 0, so it coexists with any other events. :)

@Varsoon: Which takes priority if both are triggered simultaneously, a priority 1 event or a priority 2 event?

-Cerb
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Post Post #3689 (isolation #243) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 8:36 am

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A50, can you please tell me when posts 13/14 happened in your pt with SC.
Kts: anything else to share?

-Cerb
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Post Post #3691 (isolation #244) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 8:43 am

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Yume, why have you disappeared from our pt? :(

-Cerb
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Post Post #3694 (isolation #245) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 8:47 am

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We usually post in PTs as our mains Yume, so people know which of us is talking easily. We didn't have access. I just got access on my main account this morning, for example.

~Drixx
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Post Post #3696 (isolation #246) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 8:54 am

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In post 3695, Yume wrote:How about this, I'll post more if you agree to help me stop Cluster.
Check the PT.

~D
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Post Post #3697 (isolation #247) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 8:55 am

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In post 3695, Yume wrote:How about this, I'll post more if you agree to help me stop Cluster.
Lol, that's a given considering we've basically spent a bunch of time talking about the important of organizing properly to stop this.

And I only didn't post in there for the first what, 30 minutes of the day phase?

-Cerb
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Post Post #3702 (isolation #248) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 9:16 am

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I voted him and said that he had, I think the wording I used was "basically surrendered" in his response to Cerb's case. I was not specific
for a reason
. SC then showed back up and flailed in response to me saying he had surrendered, which confirmed (for me) that he was scum.

I then got ARRESTED (long story, minor misdemeanor, not really anyone's business but important because people are trying to cherry pick to make a bullshit case against us), and was never around again. OWK can confirm I never again spoke in the PT, despite there being things in there being discussed that I would have wanted to talk about, and I obviously never posted again in the scum game.

So don't come in here and tell me I didn't push when I voted him AND got him to bite on something and add more to the "he's scum" side of the scale.

All this hindsight bias and people trying to say SC lynch was inevitable is bullshit. We've all seen countless times when wagons aren't going and even the lynch that seems inevitable ends up swapping to some lurker or something as the day winds down because people aren't sure enough. Given the claim that SC made and the support he had from A50 and Farside, it's very possible he would NOT have been lynched without Cerb's ISO work and me baiting him. I would even suggest that Cerb pushing for complete clarity about who knew what made the lynch happen, because it outed just how clever and manipulative SC had been with the joy ride.

~D

P-edit: We didn't let things fall where they would. I pushed, and Cerb was around pushing to ensure full understanding in the face of a really town looking claim which was backed up by people like A50 and Farside having town reads on SC. You don't get to selectively decide that our contributions were useless because you dislike us or your ego won't let you change your mind.

And before you say anything about anything, look at your ISO where you took a shot at our play in SU, when
YOU
cost town that game with the single worst moment of play I've EVER seen by a town player. We logically PROVED to you that Fuzzy was town and you lynched her just to save yourself because of your ego. Back then you even apologized for it, but apparently that was to the OTHER people you screwed over, and not to US, who actually put in the hundreds of hours of time to ensure the win. You stole it from us, and then insulted us about it in this game. You clearly don't like us, and I frankly don't give a fuck. You can like and dislike whomever the fuck you like.

But when you start fucking with my wincon because you can't behave like adult, I'm going to take exception. EVERY time.
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Post Post #3703 (isolation #249) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 9:26 am

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EbWoP: "Scum game" = "game". No idea why I typed scum in there.

The pile-on of people who will now claim that it was a slip in 3... 2 ... 1 ...

~D
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Post Post #3707 (isolation #250) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 9:34 am

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In post 3704, grapes wrote:Yea Drixx literally fuck off. Your logic was "lol scum wouldn't be put into a neighborhood automatically with an IC"

That's what lost us the game. It wasn't me that hammered fuzzy who had a weak flavor claim and was scum by play all game. It wasn't me that quick lynched me while I was asleep.
It was you, mastin and cerb that lynched me (obvtown with obvtown flavor) that made a play far too ballsy to come from scum and then proceeded to lynch a fucking COP CLEAR in mylo because you guessed the setup wrong.

In a retrospectively very flavor indicative game.

But I understand that you like to bring this up because it's all about the blame game.

Like, you talk about my ego. You don't know me. And you certainly have a lot harder of a time letting go shit that happened a year ago in a internet forum dedicated to a detective cops and robbers game based on a kids television show than I do.
Yep. You totally have no hitches when you trashed us about it earlier in the game and told me to fuck off just now. You totes let go of it, LOL.

~D
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Post Post #3711 (isolation #251) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:11 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3708, grapes wrote:Free life lesson. The people who don't spend every opportunity announcing how everyone else fucked up (when they clearly fucked up) probably have issues about being blamed for it more than the people who've been trying to shrug it off.

Like, that's been your default way to engage me everytime I push you on something (other than flail) and it just seems a lot less like something you give a shit about and more like something you'd rather talk on about because you're scum without anything better to say or you think you can get away with discrediting me as a player because I've mostly been whatever about it at this point.
It only came up at all because I don't recall playing with you in any other game, so there's not much shared history to discuss. And sure ... we messed up the last day ... but that day never happens if you don't make the terrible play you made.

And the
reason
this is important is because you're doing the same thing this game. You have no respect for our approach, and in fact have attacked it constantly. But our approach had town at 100% win probability in the only other game we played together, and
YOU
snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, specifically
because
you were arrogant and dismissive of our approach. Just look at what you said a few posts ago. Even though we had demonstrated why Fuzzy was town (and we had proven ourselves already by that point by catching Titus in a tiny slip and tying Sonic to her as the source of her slip), you decided that
your read
and
your playstyle
was superior to us and you threw the game away just to spite us.

So it has nothing to do with "letting go" and everything to do with trying to get you to wake up and realize that there is more than one way to play this game. You seem to have a huge problem with us because in the only two games you've ever played with us you have attacked our methods and attacked us, and in the only completed game we played together, you were so smug and viewed us as so inferior to you that you literally destroyed a 100% win probability out of sheer hubris.

And you don't seem to have learned your lesson.

~D
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Post Post #3713 (isolation #252) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:18 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

McMenno ... I'm trying to get through and establish actual communication with Grapes instead of fighting with him. What I'm pointing out is spot on and if he'll stop looking down on us like we're unworthy of being in the same game with him becuase our process is different, he might re-evaluate things and realize that the way we play doesn't result in what we've done thus far if we're scum.

Also ... you could aks questions or make observations or do
anything
to get the signal ratio up. Your post does nothing but add to the noise and doesn't advance the game in any meaningful way. You appear to be just making a safe post that people will nod their head and you get to just blend in. What's up with that?

~D
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Post Post #3717 (isolation #253) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:30 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3716, McMenno wrote:
In post 3713, Reasonably Rational wrote:McMenno ... I'm trying to get through and establish actual communication with Grapes instead of fighting with him. What I'm pointing out is spot on and if he'll stop looking down on us like we're unworthy of being in the same game with him becuase our process is different, he might re-evaluate things and realize that the way we play doesn't result in what we've done thus far if we're scum.

Also ... you could aks questions or make observations or do
anything
to get the signal ratio up. Your post does nothing but add to the noise and doesn't advance the game in any meaningful way. You appear to be just making a safe post that people will nod their head and you get to just blend in. What's up with that?

~D
no, you're trying to cover up the fact that you're making even more empty posts

I feel like you're planting a seed here
I feel like the only difference between "planting a seed" and questioning someone on something questionable they've done and continue to do I'd a matter of alignment. You state it thst way because you want to continue the narrative that we're scum, but the action taken is identical in both cases.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3719 (isolation #254) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:34 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3718, McMenno wrote:sorry but I can't hear you over all my confbiasing

anyway I will go to bed now
Well, at least you admit it.

Puts you on a higher level of self awareness than most.

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Post Post #3724 (isolation #255) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:49 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

You're not pushing on us?

I'm not sure what you're doing, but it's certainly not something involving pressure. It looks like you and Drixx are having a stupid fight, really.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3726 (isolation #256) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:50 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3714, grapes wrote:
In post 3711, Reasonably Rational wrote:It only came up at all because I don't recall playing with you in any other game, so there's not much shared history to discuss. And sure ... we messed up the last day ... but that day never happens if you don't make the terrible play you made.
You lynched a cop clear over obvious scum.

Because of strict, laughably bad setup spec.

Coversation is over.
Godfather is a thing. Mastin made the same assumption we did (That scum wouldn't be given knowledge of who Steven was). But again ... that final day never happens if you didn't decide that you were superior to us and make a horrible play to spite us. You were a claimed miller and needed to be lynched and up to that point, all of our work had been correct (including about fuzzy, who if alive would have been super beneficial, btw). We never would have had to choose between whether we thought there was a godfather or not (SCTH was extremely anti-town by play, going so far as to refuse to ally with people and give useful bonuses to town) and whether scum would have been given a perma-alliance with Steven one day before scum could strongman kill steven.

Our "laughably bad" play got the town to 100% win probability. If you had simply accepted that you had to be lynched because your utility was spent and you were a miller, the game ends in a town win every time and we never end up in a final day in the first place.

It's a PROCESS Grapes. What we do is time consuming but it works considerably more often than it doesn't work. Also, one of the things you are conveniently leaving out is that we made a reasonable assumption that we could be roleblocked forever if scum knew who we were, because we counted as human and gem, and flipped scum could have roleblocked us forever. After the game, Varsoon clarified that they could NOT have done it to us, and that's part of the reason both Cerb and I ask tons of questions about roles and interactions now. We made a very reasonable assumption based upon the fact that it made no sense for scum to be given our identity when they had a strongman kill that came before we could trigger IC
AND
the ability to just roleblock us forever (when we had the ability to bodyguard and not die doing it). 99.9% of players on the site would have made the same assumption we did with that information.

So again ... what I'm trying to say to you is this: You play differently than we do. That's fine. You view us as inferior and insult us. That's not cool. You can point to that last day and say we messed it up all you want, but town would never have gotten to 100% win probability without our work and effort (which should tell you to at least be open to seeing how our process plays out, especially when you KNOW there are things you don't know), and town would never have gone back below 100% win probability if not for your decision to value your play style over ours. We were right about fuzzy and you not only cost us the mislynch that we needed to maintain 100% win probability, but you also cost us Fuzzy's utility since scum would have been forced to kill her.

And there was no reason to prefer Xtoxm as scum over Mastin, when it came down to it. There was two binary choices in that final day. If we decided that it was not probable scum would be given our identity just in time to be able to kill us before we could IC or just RB us endlessly, then we would lynch SCTH, who had been extremely anti-town in his play. A cop clear isn't a clear if the person is a godfather. If we decided it was probable that scum would be given our identity in the way they were, then it was between Xtoxm and Mastin, and Mastin had tried to save both Titus and Sonic, while Xtoxm did a very good job avoiding looking scummy all game long. By your approach to the game, we should have lynched Mastin on the last day and still lost anyway.


But all of that is beside the point:
I get that you think our playstyle is bad, despite evidence to the contrary. I'm asking you to set that aside and give us a chance to do our thing, instead of letting your bias result in you just dismissing everything we do that doesn't fit your confbias (or your goal to get us mislynched before we give town a cop usage, if you are scum). The more you refuse to engage honestly with us and focus on keeping a dumb fight going, the more I am asking myself why you seem to care more about keeping the noise going than anything else.
In post 3715, grapes wrote:pushing someone as scum = disrespecting their approach
That's not what I said. Misrepresentation is bad. You have flat out attacked our approach to mafia several times this game, using phrases like "laughably bad" and such. Simultaneously you are ignoring anything that is evidence of us being town while at the same time cherry picking or twisting anything you can to try and make us look bad. You don't seem to be actually honestly evaluating us. You appear to have an end goal in mind and are trying to cherry pick and spin anything you can to get there while ignoring anything that would go against your desired goal if you considered it.

If you are town, then you need to wake up and realize that what you're doing is bad. Starting with a conclusion and then looking for anything you can find and bend to make into "evidence" of that conclusion, and ignoring anything that doesn't support your conclusion. That's exactly how NOT to reason.

I don't care if you scum read us. Given time we'll be obvtown. I do care if you are behaving in a way that's intellectually dishonest, because that's frequently how scum drive mislynches. The longer you keep behaving intellectually dishonestly and trying to keep a stupid fight going, the more concerning it becomes. If you are town, you need to stop it, because unless something changes drastically we're going to flip today and when we flip as Defenders of Earth, you are going to be one of the first places people look. I'm begging you to work WITH us and not put yourself in a position where you get speed mislynched again, on the premise that you are town.

~Drixx
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Post Post #3731 (isolation #257) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:55 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3727, Not Chara wrote:McMenno: i did another check using the search function. you're the only player to have brought up a traitor in relation to SirCakez's flip.

Cerb: grapes didn't say they weren't pushing you. they are, and said so. they said they weren't pushing you in an elitist fashion.
Umm, I know they said they were pushing me? I just disagree that what they're doing is pushing. Has more akin to noise than pressure, at least from my perspective. That could just be because I view the points he's trying to raise as specious though. Maybe other people think they're something I should care about.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3732 (isolation #258) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 10:58 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3721, Not Chara wrote:i don't have time to read up the thread right now. still, i did check, and i don't think i saw a mention of this.

SirCakez's ability allowed him (and his team, later) to look for Jasper. i can't think of what this would indicate besides Jasper being the flavour of a traitor. (as she obviously is not a "Threat To Earth" if they would have to search for her) but the player with Jasper flavour could also in no way be aligned with earth.

if someone could think of a different thing Jasper could be, i am all ears. i brought this up because i hadn't seen it being spoken about, but there has been talk of a traitor between Klingoncelt and DGB.
Good point. That makes the whole "traitor" thing way more suspicious now because there was no reason to posit a traitor. That also raises this question: why on EARTH would we have helped and pushed for an SC lynch if we were on a scum team with him and his role was the role that finds what is presumably a traitor?

I mean ... the number of things we've done that we didn't have to do that are extremely detrimental to scum and helpful to town is piling up pretty high now:

1.) We allied with Titus and because of how she responded to the crumb I put out we trusted her enough to get help trying to co-ordinate our event, which no matter how you slice it is a pro-town event. You can point to Varsoon warning us that scum will have town flavor, but why on earth would we DAY ONE reveal the crazy good stuff our event awards and ensure that we are obligated to end up giving a cop check to conftown, if we're scum? Cerb and I are both smart and clever, but that's a
really
long con you guys are positing.

2.) Setting aside who gets credit, becuase it's irrelevant, I
clearly
pushed SC hard and contributed to ensuring he got lynched. Thanks to Not Chara making a connection that didn't click for me, that now appears to mean that, if we were scum, we pushed to lynch someone who has an ability that looks like it's designed to find/recruit a traitor.

These are things that scum might do, given whatever circumstances. But are they things any scum would do unforced and on day one?

When I say people are being confbiased ... this is why.

~Drixx
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Post Post #3735 (isolation #259) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:00 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3729, grapes wrote:
In post 3726, Reasonably Rational wrote:The more you refuse to engage honestly with us and focus on keeping a dumb fight going, the more I am asking myself why you seem to care more about keeping the noise going than anything else.
Holy shit this guy must be trolling.
Nope. I've been trying to get you to realize that what you're doing is logically unsound and get you to re-evaluate. You keep on cherry picking stuff from my big posts that allow you to extend the stupid fight instead of paying attention to the actual point I'm driving. The question is why.

~D
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Post Post #3736 (isolation #260) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:01 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3733, grapes wrote:Titus not sure why you responded to me with the living in the past thing?

Drixx has been trying to get me to roll around in the much with him about this shit since like prequel.
Drixx brings up losing that game ALL THE FUCKING TIME in wholly unrelated games. He won't shut up about it.

...

Feel free to check some of our slack dumps from hydra games. Search for "grapes". Good chance you'll get a hit.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3744 (isolation #261) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:10 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3737, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3610, Reasonably Rational wrote:For the record, I'm having trouble reconciling the idea of farside as scum with her having a gun that ALSO costs town a lynch. Unless the ability has some other cost associated with it (most likely loss of a NK or something like that), I can only see that being a balanced tool to give to scum in the presence of 1) a number of traditional day vigs, or 2) day role blockers/neutralizes of some sort.

But even then...if Farside22 didn't claim that, how would anyone know to stop her? Hell, farside, is your vig publicly activated or privately activated?

-Cerb
Flashback: In Soccer Spirits; I had a day vig shot (I was scum) ONLY if our NK failed the night before.
Dramonic is incapable of making a balanced game. No one should EVER use one of his games as a counterpoint to setup spec.

With that said, what you're suggesting here is that Farside is scum, the scum kill failed last night, and a gated ability to superpower the nk waa activated.

I mean it fits, but it'sa stretch imo.

-Cerb

Pedit; no worries NC. For the record, I very much Iike your attitude, and look forward to seeing you around if I keep playing.

Peditx2: Yume and I are both quite good with flavor. NC also seems to be.
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Post Post #3747 (isolation #262) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:13 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3745, grapes wrote:Isn't finale every 3rd day?
Fourth.

Third days climax is when you'd submit the large alliance.

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Post Post #3757 (isolation #263) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:20 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

OWK: Nothing comes to mind immediately. :/ There's a character named Sour Cream, but I don't believe anything potato related ever happens with him.

-Cerb

Pedit: ah yes, the frymans. That makes perfect sense.

Peditx2: Yume, you're leaking things. :/
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Post Post #3761 (isolation #264) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:22 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3759, Yume wrote:And what use do scum have from finding that out?
Pt.
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Post Post #3766 (isolation #265) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:28 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3764, McMenno wrote:wait a minute... I just looked up these fryman guys (I'm not familiar with steven universe flavor fyi) and apparently ronaldo fryman runs "keep beach city weird", so he's probably posting those beginning of day messages, and he's also possibly the potato giver

why didn't flavor people mention this
In post 1657, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 689, Varsoon wrote:
Image
"Are you okay?"
-Steven
"Are
you
okay? You're the one that's been through everything. The least I could do is just listen."
-Connie,
Full Disclosure


VOTECOUNT 1.0


Not Voting (25):
Obi-Wan Kenobi, Klingoncelt, SirCakez, Foxbird, Xkfyu, Skybird, Almost50, Shiro, DrippingGoofball, Farside22, Yume, CooLDoG, Reasonably Rational, grapes, mastin2, Not Chara, Kraskaeaque, killthestory, McMenno, Firebringer, Seraphim, SnarkySnowman, Creature, randomidget, TheWayItEnds

With 25 Alive, it takes 13 to Lynch.
Deadline
: (expired on 2016-09-21 15:10:00)
The Current Stress is -1:

Image
KEEP BEACH CITY WEIRD:

Oh lame! So I got this plain role, and I can't use it during pregame at all!

Welcome to Steven Universe! I bet this must be a weird game, you might find something like a Foxbird!

Among this insanity, you might find someone you can trust, someone like Obi-Wan Kenobi.

You should also be careful! There are some bad guys around that want to make your win not-so-easy, don't let them Killthestory!

And there's also me, sum them up together and you'll get me!
In post 1375, Varsoon wrote:
"Wow, I didn't know you wanted to be an actor!"
-Steven
"That's because...
I'm very good at acting."
-Jamie,
Love Letters
VOTECOUNT 1.06


Not Chara (5):
mastin2, Yume, Obi-Wan Kenobi, Almost50, grapes
Reasonably Rational (3):
Firebringer, McMenno, DrippingGoofball
Obi-Wan Kenobi (1):
SirCakez
SirCakez (2):
Creature, Farside22
Creature (1):
Xkfyu
McMenno (1):
CooLDoG
SnarkySnowman (1):

Xkfyu (1):
Seraphim
Farside22 (1):
SnarkySnowman
grapes (1):
Not Chara

Not Voting (9):
Klingoncelt, Foxbird, Skybird, Shiro, Reasonably Rational, Kraskaeaque, killthestory, randomidget, TheWayItEnds

With 25 Alive, it takes 13 to Lynch.
Deadline
: (expired on 2016-09-21 15:10:00)
The Current Stress is -1:

Image
Image
Peridot @Peridot5xg tweeted:I'm a survivor
I'm not gon' give up
I'm not gon' stop
I'm gon' work harder
I'm a survivor
I'm gonna make it
I will survive
Keep on survivin'
So, I think we should talk about the addendums to these posts.
The first one is clearly a message from whoever rolled Ronaldo, and the second from whoever rolled Peridot. It's most likely that these are town slots sharing information (purely flavor wise), but not impossible that they're messages from scum.

The primary reason play wise why they're likely town messages is the lack of significant content. Seems likely scum with the ability to anonymously broadcast information to the thread would do so in a way designed to steer the conversations in a certain direction /cast suspicion on certain slots

Thsee posts don't do that. They're just fluff.

Just my .02, carry on.

Oh. Actually not. I remember someone(I think Mastin?) suggested that one of the wagons was a counterwagon to all the other wagons, which were on scum. Someone should look at that wagon composition and see who the driving forces behind said counterwagon are/were. I'd do it myself, but work...I just don't want to forget to look into that later on. Mainly curious if said composition fits in with mastins established set of reads for the scum team.

-Cerb
Not my fault people ignore me. Maybe if you read my posts you wouldn't have missed that.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3771 (isolation #266) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:31 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

..

Seriously? You show up and question NC and myself about something, and when I show you you're fucking wrong you just peace out?

-Cerb
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Post Post #3773 (isolation #267) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:37 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3772, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:Cerb, the anger is not helping although real. I have been there.

Talk to me about NC?
What about NC? I've done nothing proactive for the game today, on principle mainly. Just read along and responded to stuff. So if you're asking for the deeper NC thoughts I said I'd get around to figuring out at some point, I don't have them.

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Post Post #3781 (isolation #268) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 11:51 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3776, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:
In post 3773, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 3772, Obi-Wan Kenobi wrote:Cerb, the anger is not helping although real. I have been there.

Talk to me about NC?
What about NC? I've done nothing proactive for the game today, on principle mainly. Just read along and responded to stuff. So if you're asking for the deeper NC thoughts I said I'd get around to figuring out at some point, I don't have them.

-Cerb
Then tell me your unprocessed thoughts.
Ignoring the bias imparted by Drixx and yourself suggesting they're scum, they're fine. Nothing jumped out as especially questionable in my recollection. The whole thing where they outed grapes role is the closest to a black mark, but it's not unreasonable in the context of them developing a scumread on the slot, and as scum it wouldn't make sense to draw attention that way. I need to examine exactly what made them DROP that scumread though, because it just petered out.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3787 (isolation #269) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 12:00 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3784, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3688, Reasonably Rational wrote:First of all, I'm pretty sure *higher* numbers mean high priority, but we should totally conform that with Varsoon.
I already did upon receipt of my role PM, and he told me what I said.. explicitly.
Yeah, I didn't bother checking since my event was a 0.

I think you're missing something fundamental though A50. Scum were given TOWN events individually. So...yeah. events don't clear anyone in and of themselves.

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Post Post #3791 (isolation #270) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 12:08 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3788, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3689, Reasonably Rational wrote:A50, can you please tell me when posts 13/14 happened in your pt with SC.

-Cerb
Somehow I figured you'd be the only one who would care to even read through that post!!

Fri Sep 09, 2016 6:26 pm & Fri Sep 09, 2016 7:20 pm; respectively.
Hmm. Checks out.

-Cerb
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Post Post #3798 (isolation #271) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 12:18 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Eh, he didn't quote it directly, as far as I know he could be lying.

It's directly quoting the pt with timestamps and such, or exact quotes, that's the problem.
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Post Post #3803 (isolation #272) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 12:23 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3800, Not Chara wrote:
In post 3798, Reasonably Rational wrote:Eh, he didn't quote it directly, as far as I know he could be lying.

It's directly quoting the pt with timestamps and such, or exact quotes, that's the problem.
-Cerb
still, i would be careful. it's not paraphrasing if you directly quote something.
I guess, but it's not any different from him saying "it happened between this post and this post in the main thread", just less clunky. Meh.

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Post Post #3848 (isolation #273) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 1:33 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3840, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3703, Reasonably Rational wrote:EbWoP: "Scum game" = "game". No idea why I typed scum in there.
The pile-on of people who will now claim that it was a slip in 3... 2 ... 1 ...
It
would
be appropriate and oh SO karmic considering the crap you pushed on farside, but oh well. Tempting as that offer is: for now I'll pass.
Oh come the fuck off it Mastin. Titus' slip in Steven Universe was ONE word. I believe the sentence that caught her was "Sonic can get refilled and get the refill" and it was that last bit where implicitly she slipped and revealed she knew Sonic could copy people's abilities. That was a tiny miniscule detail. Scum slips are sometimes the tiniest of things.

And by the way, ask Yume about those two posts and what I told her. Then look at the posts following them.

~D
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Post Post #3856 (isolation #274) » Sun Sep 18, 2016 1:42 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3842, mastin2 wrote:
In post 3710, Varsoon wrote:
The highest priority is a priority 0 Event, followed by 1, then 2, then 3, etc.
If a priority 1 and 2 event are triggered at the same time, only the priority 1 event resolves.
This does raise a concern of mine.

My power was a priority 0.
Almost50's was a priority 2.
I also submitted my ability in the prequel phase.
By this logic, shouldn't my ability have resolved first, rendering Almost50 unable to trigger his?

Because that'd imply that FIRST, my event lowered stress by two...AND THEN, some event raised stress by two...where Almost50's power then triggered...with a THIRD event lowering it down by two again.

Varsoon, can you confirm no mod error in event triggers has occurred?

Hey, Cerb, I'm letting you live, you can tell me if there's a flaw in the above concern, this sort of mechanics thing is your field. :P
Would it be too much if I pulled a you and directed you to read the mechanics post, under the heading dealing with events? :)


:D

Alright. My event is a priority 0 as well, and as I said previously(and the OP says), priority 0 events are essentially removed from the priority system. They can just occur in tandem with other events.
Which means your concern is unnecesary, no additional event was required for both of yours to trigger. During the prequel, the necessary requirements were met, and both were triggered. There was nothing stopping them from resolving simultaneously at day start, and they did so.

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Post Post #4010 (isolation #275) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 6:56 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4002, Titus wrote:
In post 3999, Shiro wrote:@Titus

I mean fire being able to give guns.
Meh, that's possible but with me being insanely obvtown/confirmed town and bulletproof scum need a way to bypass that somehow.

Do we know who Fire gave a gun to? Is it just his alliance buddy? Are they dayvigs?
The gAme has a built in mechanic for bypassing protection, so I don't know if any sort of special mechanical stuff would have been needed.

To clarify though...are you suggesting that DGB is scum ( and not the traitor, unless the recruit mechanism could have occurred during the day yesterday) and they planned to have her not follow through on the alliance with you in hopes that it would turn off your claimed BP? You seem to be insinuating that....but you're also saying scum are using some other mechanism to bypass your bp and kill you.

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Post Post #4013 (isolation #276) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 7:37 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Tifus, at -4 stress the scum kill will always succeed. The DGB thing is so blatant and feels like it wouldn't have been necessary....

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Post Post #4019 (isolation #277) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 7:49 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

And DGB already claimed that she misunderstood, so there's no evidence of any ability to sabotage alliances...at least not as relates to you alliance with dgb.

I sorta feel like your reasoning here is a reach.

The possibility if her legitimately being an actual traitor though, that's a reason for suspicion that'snot wholly improbable, in the event that the traitor does not know the scum teams identify. Her inclusion of multiple abilities in her claim (one of which was ascetic, which she didn't publicly claim, and which discourages further checking) makes it easy for her to claim it waa "just a joke/gambit", though of course then the question is...what sort of gambit are you running that you made your claim ,meant to gather knowledge from a potential member of the scum team, implausible.

So, I ask DGB: what were you seriously trying to do amd why didn't you claim to be ascetic in the Prequel/D1?

-Cerb

Pedit: sure, the idea of a strongman is perfectly reasonable, I just don't think the whole dgb alliance thing has a good chance of being related to a plan to kill you.
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Post Post #4025 (isolation #278) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 8:31 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

I'm not trying to make you seem crazy? Your reasoning doesn't make sense to me. I mean, if you refuse to buy her explanation, then yes, your thought is one of the only ones that make sense. If you consider it equally likely that she's telling th e truth though, then the scenario you're presenting is one that's less likely imo.

It doesn't matter though, we're both suspicious of her, even if our reasons differ.

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Post Post #4029 (isolation #279) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 8:49 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

DGB, can you answer my question please?

-Cerb
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Post Post #4102 (isolation #280) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 1:49 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@Farside: just curious, need to clear something up. Earlier, when you said something about going along with whatever Titus was talking about in that post, you basically said only if Drixx stopped posting. Was it your intent to threaten us with being vigged to keep Drixx from posting? I didn't read it that way, but it has been brought to my attention that it could have been meant that way.

Please clarify.

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Post Post #4103 (isolation #281) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 1:53 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Farside, do you think Titus is scum? The question you're asking, the accusation of inconsistent applying standards, is sorta a thing that people tend to ask those they're suspicious of about.

If you ARE suspicious of Titus, please share why. I don't understand it.

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Post Post #4113 (isolation #282) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 2:19 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4108, farside22 wrote:
In post 4102, Reasonably Rational wrote:@Farside: just curious, need to clear something up. Earlier, when you said something about going along with whatever Titus was talking about in that post, you basically said only if Drixx stopped posting. Was it your intent to threaten us with being vigged to keep Drixx from posting? I didn't read it that way, but it has been brought to my attention that it could have been meant that way.

Please clarify.

-Cerb
In post 4103, Reasonably Rational wrote:Farside, do you think Titus is scum? The question you're asking, the accusation of inconsistent applying standards, is sorta a thing that people tend to ask those they're suspicious of about.

If you ARE suspicious of Titus, please share why. I don't understand it.

-Cerb
No, nothing like that. Drixx personality just makes me grind my teeth.

As for the second I'm bothered by Titus weak defense of Shiro when it came to the meta talk and just now she dodges my question about why she asked me over Shiro, like it's a thing.
She still isn't really explaining it. She just wanted to see if I noticed but doesn't follow up with Shiro.
There is a big gap in logic from Titus in regards to shiro and I'm going to push on Shiro and if scum ask Titus the hard questions further.
Okay, thanks for clarifying. Drixx has a learning curve involved, but once you understand him you'll <3 him too. :p

Mm. I really really think questioning Titus about this is a waste of time. Not because it's not an interesting thing to note but because she isn't scum(pretty dang unlikely at least, though BP claims always raise my suspicions, but her ccing cakes as scum makes like no sense at all), and you're not scum(cause balance!), neither of you are in danger of being lynched, therefore it's not useful.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4125 (isolation #283) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 2:36 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

...

I quite literally told farside, on this page, to NOT TvT with Titus.

Trench Warfare had *nothing* to do with us losing the first SU Titus.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4127 (isolation #284) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 2:37 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Boo. Fucking ninjaed, as I reference the same page. So dumb. Thanks for fucking up my post with your useless post A50. :(

-Cerb
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Post Post #4139 (isolation #285) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 2:53 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4134, grapes wrote:
In post 4125, Reasonably Rational wrote:I quite literally told farside, on this page, to NOT TvT with Titus.
So are you scumreading farside or not?

A better way to make town not argue with town and make noise would be

1) Tell them to shut the fuck up
2) Or let them work their shit out on their own

Not asking leading questions such as "farside you just called out titus for something scummy, you think she's scum? go into more detail about why you think she's scum."

So, congrats, you just made your inquiry look that much more disingenuous by saying this.
You clearly haven't played with me before.

I don't tell people to just shut the fuck up in a tvt. I show them each WHY the other is town. I can't do that without knowing whatever poorly reasoned thoughts they have about one another.

Also, I've written you off as blind due to your bias, so any post I make responding to one of yours is certainly not for your benefit. It's to show the rest of the game your mistakes. How you read it doesn't matter in the least.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4155 (isolation #286) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 3:47 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@grapes: that's because your reasons are bad? I mean I don't really know what else to say. If you had raised good points I would have conceded them. I do that all the time when people say things that make sense. When they don't, I correct them. Even if you had said something that doesn't make sense to me, but I could conceivably twist my mind around to a universe where your positions make sense, I would concede the point.

You haven't done that.

And to go more in depth about WHY I demand more information: because if I'm wrong, now I've forced scum to take a stance, state a reason for it, and can catch them later on based on having a hard data point to work with.

Actually, now that I think aboit it, I'm pretty sure I've admitted to being busy/uninvolved with thr game and the things that have happened as a result of that which made mastin scumread me on D1.

Also...just because I don't do things the same way you do doesn't mean I'm not actually figuring things out. This really shouldn't need to be said, but, well..apparently you need to hear it.
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Post Post #4159 (isolation #287) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 3:54 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

I imagine I'd eviscerate your case in a massive wall nobody would ever bother reading.

That's sort of what I do.

This isn't getting us anywhere though, so I'll stop with the pissing contest. ^^

-Cerb
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Post Post #4162 (isolation #288) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 3:58 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

I

Did

Not


Soft

Anything.

Titus claimed 1/3rd if the potential benefits of my event on my behalf on D1. Drixx claimed another 1/3rd himself sometime today I believe.

There has been no softing.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4164 (isolation #289) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 4:14 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Hey
Snarky, Xkfyu, TWIE, and random
: Do you guys have anything to say about anything that's happened since the game started? It would be nice to have things to go off of to sort you with.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4166 (isolation #290) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 4:46 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4120, grapes wrote:RR is scum like even just this page he just tried making you and farside start tvting again not sure why people are unvoting that.

My other reads are staying pocketed for now. Need to see some catch-ups from people who probably know who they are.
Bullshit. That question got asked because Cerb got home from work and I told him I didn't feel comfortable posting again today because Farside Implied that she would vig us if I did. It's super comforting to see that her reply was that she didn't mean it that way.

But then it got way LESS comforting when she attacked me personally in the same post.

Regardless; you aren't a mind reader and you have demonstrated a clear contempt and spite for us, so anything we say that you can try and twist to make look sinister results in the only posts you seem to make. You are displaying zero interest in anything else.

I love how you're obviously aware that you aren't actually contributing or helping at all too. You can tell because of the second part of your post. Guilty conscience? (Don't bother answering; I won't be posting again today. Whether she admits it or not, Farside responded to Titus asking her to leave us alive by putting out a condition that I not post, and she also implicitly called me irrational, and then when she denied doing those things, she attacked me personally again. This is not an environment that I'm interested in atm.)

~D
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Post Post #4193 (isolation #291) » Mon Sep 19, 2016 6:05 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 392, Klingoncelt wrote:I'm not sure about Mastin's Miller-like claim though. The way my Role PM's worded, I'm pretty sure that
I'm
the Miller.
@KC: you said this during the prequel. Do you think DGB simply missed it?

-Cerb

@Fuzzy: mastin is nearly conftown, as in she is ONLY scum if she is scum with Yume, and that's basically impossible.

Trust me. Also, umm, is goof not dgb? Who else would you call goof?
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Post Post #4331 (isolation #292) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:46 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Also add that kts declared that his IC claim was fake.

And you should probably remove your bias from your summary. :p
(There's not much, but there is a little, cuz you didn't mention th e part of my event that I actually claimed)
-Cerb
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Post Post #4338 (isolation #293) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 11:24 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

It's pretty much just not mentioning the cop clear option, which is bias because you just don't think of it as being significsnt. ;p

Also, speaking of which....Mastin>Yume>Titus sound good to you?

-Cerb
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Post Post #4351 (isolation #294) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 12:20 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@Titus: meh, never mind.

I can't be vague enough and still get you to understand. :/

-Cerb
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Post Post #4353 (isolation #295) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 12:31 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Haven't talked to Drixx about it at all, but I have a standing offer from random! We've had a hood together at some point in our last 3 games togefher. :p

-Cerb
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Post Post #4358 (isolation #296) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 12:57 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Grapes said he doesn't shut off benefits during the season finale, so if you're discussing composition for then that shouldn't be a concern.

-Cern
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Post Post #4407 (isolation #297) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 2:10 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Klingon's miller claim wasn't late at all farside.

DGBs ascetic claim was though.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4422 (isolation #298) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 2:19 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4417, farside22 wrote:
In post 4407, Reasonably Rational wrote:Klingon's miller claim wasn't late at all farside.

DGBs ascetic claim was though.

-Cerb
I thought she claimed day 2?
She claimed in the prequel. She brought it up again recently while discussing the dgb situation.


-Cerb
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Post Post #4430 (isolation #299) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 2:21 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

The second point isn't a good one, or at least not one I interpreted that way. I viewed it as more likely they misunderstood the Yume/Mastin interaction and attributed the potential alignment confirmation to the wrong slot. Kept meaning to bring this up every time someone mentioned it but it was never actually used as an argument for them as scum till now so low priority.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4480 (isolation #300) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 3:22 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Who wants to talk to me who isn't Titus or grapes?

I love you Titus, but I feel like I've only interacted with you. Or grapes.
In post 4222, Randomnamechange wrote:Reading up, but a couple of mechanical things
Varsoon has said he will never use a godfather
In regards to Peridot, remember Patches the Spider
How caught up are you random? Can you get caught up in the next couple of RL days?

Peridot's twitter and patches are two different things, with different functionality.

Actually, let's go deeper here. There is the "Keep Beach City Weird" bit of anonymous information, and there is peridots twitter account. What is different about these two? Why are you specifically tying the tweets to a past scum role, but not Keep Beach City Weird? Do you think both slots that are causing these effects are scum? Just one? If just one is scum, why, since clearly your parallel you've drawn to Patches doesn't apply, since there's at least one counterargument in whichever of the roles is a town one.

Also, just for the record: Thought Varsoon may not have had a godfather in the past, he had a pseudo-godfather in my role from Saga Frontier. I believe the only cop effect in that game was a gunsmith+vig effect, where the kill would only work on you if you had a killing ability...my role had a killing ability, but was also permanently BP, so we were functionally godfathers to the only investigate effect in the game.
In post 4269, TheWayItEnds wrote:
In post 4164, Reasonably Rational wrote:Hey
Snarky, Xkfyu, TWIE, and random
: Do you guys have anything to say about anything that's happened since the game started? It would be nice to have things to go off of to sort you with.

-Cerb
sure thing.

would you prefer i recap the cakez lynch
describe public event information
or get into a giant wallfight with someone?
If those are the only options, the wallfight is best. If you'e capable of doing something else though...all of those option are bad. You should choose a different one, but on which involves firm stances on at least 3 slots who aren't obviously town.
In post 4277, Xkfyu wrote:
In post 4164, Reasonably Rational wrote:Hey
Snarky, Xkfyu, TWIE, and random
: Do you guys have anything to say about anything that's happened since the game started? It would be nice to have things to go off of to sort you with.

-Cerb
I think Almost50, Titus, and you are probably town.

No idea on who the scum team is yet, but I'm willing to lynch LoopDan.

VOTE: LoopDan
...

Elaborate please. Do you know anything at all yet? Are we going to have you "confirmed" tomorrow, or are you just going to tell us that the plan is actually going to take until the day after to work?

-Cerb
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Post Post #4485 (isolation #301) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 3:32 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4482, Not Chara wrote:Cerb: thoughts on Shiro, CoolDog's slot, Twin Wings, fuzzy?
do you agree with the notion that most/all of the current active posters are town?
I think that notion is stupid if that's the only reason for it.

The only one among those you've listed whose actually put sufficient content into the game for any reasonable appraisal to be done is Shiro, and I don't expect to actually be able to make sense of what fuzzy has to say for quite some time.

Regarding Shiro though: idk man(and I mean this colloquially, in a non gender based sense). He's basically spent of all his active time talking about his A50 scumread, which disappeared and was replaced by...nothing? No real pushes?

Do you have something you're trying to push right now Shiro? I'm sort of uncertain what your objective here is, other than answering Titus' questions.

Anyways, yeah, here's something you should know about me NC: until I take the time to actually look at someones ISO, if nothing about their posting dings in my head, there's nothing super notable about it, then...I won't have much of an opinion. That's basically where shiro is at.

Oh, and if his last claim was true and not fake like his previous one, I'm pretty certain I know his flavor too. Which, if whoever suggested the theory about abilities etc matching the flavor of town mor ethan scum(which doesn't even make sense given what Varsoon said about the way he designed the game), makes him more likely than not to be town, since it would all fit pretty neatly into the flavor.

So that's a thing.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4488 (isolation #302) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 3:44 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4487, Not Chara wrote:to word it differently: do you feel that scum is, for the most part, taking a backseat?
i agree about Shiro. what you've said about them has been said before.

why does it matter that Shiro's abilities match what you think their flavour is, if you agree that the argument that it's towny doesn't make sense because of Varsoon's statements?
Oh, it's just something I think about them. That's all. You asked for my thoughts about them, and that's one that I had when I read that claim. It was one of the few things that stood out.

I have no idea if scum are "taking a backseat".

I mean, there aren't very many people actively talking, it's basically Titus, NC, farside, A50, shiro, fuzzy(now), grapes, and myself.

Of those actively talking, I feel strongly that two of them besides myself are town.

So, unless the remaining pool is *mostly* scum, I suppose it's accurate to say that scum are more likely to be within the pool of players who aren't talking rather than those who are.

However, even if the ENTIRE pool remaining is town...the majority of those sitting around doing nothing are still town.

Basically, I think it's a fairly useless point to discuss. The majority of the game is inactive, period, and this is unlikely to be indicative of alignment for any of them.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4489 (isolation #303) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 3:46 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Before you ask, those two I strongly townread are Titus and farside. The rest are null to nulltown, pending further examination.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4491 (isolation #304) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 3:50 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4486, Not Chara wrote:the two statements were not meant to be related.
i disagree, all of the players have enough content. not a lot, but both fuzzy and Seraphim put down content.
Shiro themself is actually the one who proposed the idea of abilities matching town more than scum fakeclaims.
Oh wait.

Duh.

Fuzzy is Seraphim. Seraphim made exactly one notable post, and it gained him major town cred in my eyes. Fuzzy will probably squander this towncred by saying a lot of stuff that doesn't make sense to me.

This is why I'm telling you I'm going to withhold judgment on him for quite a long time most likely. His play style is not nice to my methods of sorting people.

And...you and I are simply going to have to disagree here. When people don't put very much effort and content into the game, and what content they have isn't deep enough to show how their understanding of the game and it's state and their reads are changing over time, they have not provided enough content.

-Cerb

pedit: Thanks fuzzy, I will. ^^ I'm going to have to actively try to resist a stupid urge I have to skim your posts, but that's selling you short.
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Post Post #4493 (isolation #305) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 4:04 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4492, Not Chara wrote:Cerb: i don't think they've provided enough content to be considered... as having put in effort.
but
there is enough there to be read.
your thoughts on the fuzzy/Seraphim slot are an example of what i find useful information. (for the purposes of my reading you) i simply can't read you without thoughts like that. thoughts on the game mechanics don't help me, because those are largely NIA.

fuzzy and Cerb: i asked because i'm townreading all of Almost50, grapes, Titus, farside, and fuzzy. so either one of those is wrong or scum is taking a backseat. you're right in that most of the game isn't doing too much right now. i think having a group of strong townreads is as important as looking for scum outside of it.
Sorry NC, it has never been and never will be my goal to make it easy for people to read me. I find since my play is generally stronger late game it's usually better for me if scum think I'm just going to get myself lynched and thus don't bother trying to kill me.

Of course now I've been doing that for a long time and explained it a bunch, so it probably doesn't work and scum just leave me alive because I tend to lead town to a near win state most of the time.

Emphasis on the "near".

:-/

-Cerb
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Post Post #4494 (isolation #306) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 4:06 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Kraska, please come out and play. You think Foxbird and I are scum. I didn't look at the rest of your ISO. What else do you think?

Actually.

@Varsoon: I believe Kraska is due for a prod. He's at 76 hours.


-Cerb
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Post Post #4525 (isolation #307) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 7:48 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@Mathblade: sup yo?

If you check the tail end of Titus' ISO she wrote up a decent summary.

Fyi, your slot is basically scumread by all the movers and shakers of this game.

Klingon: you're being ridiculous. Stop being ridiculous, or explain why the precise phrasing Titus used is more likely to be a scum slip than anything else.

Shiro point about Creature is a valid concern. It would be nice to hear his perspective on the matter.

And on his blank vote for me on D1 after saying he townread our slot.


--Cerb

Pedit: your SU gambit was a lie. Not misdirection or obscurity, but an outright lie. Beyond that, I don't actually recall any other gambits you've performed as town, because I don't think I've played in a game with you as town where you cared enough to attempt gambits.
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Post Post #4534 (isolation #308) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 7:54 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4531, Klingoncelt wrote:
In post 4395, Titus wrote:
In post 4392, Killthestory wrote:dammit kling is a she.

also kling is not scum stop.

please.

or else ill have to reveal my ultra powerful orle.
I don't think we're lynching Klingon today, so I think we can give you some time to explain why she cannot confirm Mastina as town, when Mastina (who is conftown) said she should. I find it off that you say she is. The only thing that gives me pause is the flail here. I wouldn't lose sleep if she was lynched.
Titus, what the hell shade are you trying to manufacture here?

Mastin is near-C-word Town by mechanics. Same with Yume.

I'm having a really hard time with Mastin because even though she was given my role info she claims I'm Scum. I don't know what the fuck is going through that little snowball's mind, but the problem isn't on my end. I even told her that proof of her knowing my role, confirmation that she got the info, is in a thread that will definitely be readable after the game ends.
She hasn't posted much since I said that last part.
I don't think it's a matter of her being Scum, I think she harbors grudges. Grudges aren't worth gamethrowing.
Klingon, why aren't you considering the possibility that your action was interfered with?

-Cerb
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Post Post #4544 (isolation #309) » Tue Sep 20, 2016 8:01 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Hmm. It seems quite weird for there to be two millers in the game who are both mechanically equipped to confirm their alignments to someone else.

It's so weird I have absolutely no idea how ro take it. Even if there were just one, with that ability(gated as it waa behind an event trigger from what Mastin said, it would still be weird...there being two of them is...difficult to grok to say the least.

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Post Post #4615 (isolation #310) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 1:35 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 3730, Varsoon wrote:
As a note, for the 'Message Received' Event:
You must forego taking ALL of your possible Climax actions during the Climax Phase to earn points.
Events that meet their requirements to be triggered may be foregone to earn points.
If your role does not have any activated Climax actions or an Event that meets its requirements, you can not contribute.
Foregoing using Events or Actions to earn points DOES NOT use up limited shots or the Event.

@Varsoon: Please clarify. If one were to forgo taking their climax actions, BUT trigger an event....would they count as contributing or not?


@Everyone else: If the answer here is not, I'd like a consensus regarding whether we should or should not use our event if given the option to do so.

I'm inclined to say yes, we should use it anyways.

-Cerb

-Cerb
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Post Post #4697 (isolation #311) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 8:41 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Why did both DGB and CoolDog fail to claim their ascetic?

Also why is DGB ignoting my questions from earlier?

Finally, does anyone have any opinions about my event utilization besides titus?

Oh, one last thing I guess: the "I'll have reads tomorrow" being a scum thing per DGB is bullshit. Scum aren't fired up by scumhunting, sure, but they should sure as fuck be fired up by the chance to do something they only do 1/3 as often as they're town, and reasonably pretend to scumhunt. I get that some people have trouble getting into that mindset, so maybe it IS a bit more likely thar such a thing is said by scum...but in a game with a sizable amount of content, I don't think it's meaningful (especially if the slot ends up replacing out).

That's a bad reason to scumread mathblade and fuzzy imo.
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Post Post #4760 (isolation #312) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 4:32 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4750, DrippingGoofball wrote:
In post 4697, Reasonably Rational wrote:Why did both DGB and CoolDog fail to claim their ascetic?
I did claim it
You did not claim it in the prequel, at the point where I said if anyone claimed NU at a later date I would devote myself to lynching them.

So right now mathblade and you have some explaining to do, but luckily if we hit whichever one of you is scum the first time, the other one gets to be almost certainly town!

-Cerb
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Post Post #4766 (isolation #313) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 5:02 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Double scum ascetic, neither of whom claimed publicly before the end of D1?

Yeah, no.

It's not just the setup spec, it's the play.

But the setup stuff is valid too.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4775 (isolation #314) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 5:22 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Correct that neither one has to be scum, which is why I said if we hit scum in the first one, I could feel comfortable considering the other town.

I'll check 464. Thus is why NU needs to claim. If a universe exists where Varsoon gave town two ascetics, you both just sorta fucked us by not claiming early, so now the chances your ascetics resulting in lynches just became really really high.

Good point about the fact that claiming ascetic now is a death sentence. You're not thar dumb. Only question is if you're smart enough to make that claim for that precise reason.

-Cerb

Pedit: its really not so much to give him time to read the game.
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Post Post #4786 (isolation #315) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 5:37 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Mathblade, give us a time line here.

When will you be able to produce informed content?

-Cerb
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Post Post #4792 (isolation #316) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 5:54 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

...

You guys are being insufferably unreasonable. There's basically no reason to not give someone who just replaced into a game 24 hours.

You're ignoring what you told grapes with regards to me Titus. No matter how sure you are thar he's scum, the more he has to say, the more he shares with the game, the better it is for us.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4796 (isolation #317) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 5:57 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Also you, Mathblade: either produce content or go away. The people pushing you to vomit reads are already voting you, and Titus is right, having the time to have this back and forth with Titus but not the time to read more of the game reflects poorly on you.

I'll see you tomorrow night with a buncha content, or someone will have hammered you already, what you say now won't make any difference.


Titus: thoughts on the reads he's given?
-Cerb
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Post Post #4832 (isolation #318) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 7:14 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4815, mastin2 wrote:
In post 4775, Reasonably Rational wrote:Good point about the fact that claiming ascetic now is a death sentence.
Wrong.
Claiming ascetic is taking the lesser of two evils.
Don't claim it, and actions fail when targeting you? Won't take long for people to figure it out, and since you didn't claim it, instalynch. One failed action wouldn't do it, but if two targeted Mathblade, which in this game is rather the possibility, it would be hard to justify why BOTH failed.
Claim it, and you can hide behind the incompetency of predecessors, which to be fair is true regardless of their alignment.

Claiming the ascetic was the smarter course of action regardless of Mathblade's alignment.

I just don't see it as particularly relevant one way or another.

Mathblade's slot is scum by play. All of it, start to finish.
Mathblade's claim is the type which could come from town or scum in equal amounts.
I happen to lean towards it making more sense as scum using a fakeclaim, but even if I didn't, with a null claim and scum play...the course of action is obvious.
In his situation, it's better to not claim the ascetic, because he's ALREADY on the verge of a lynch. Only if he anticipated the reaction of "scum wouldn't claim that right now it's dumb" would it be better to claim ascetic here. I don't see why it would ever be better as scum to increase your chance of being lynched immediately when at l-1/2 than it would be to buy more time.

The fact that he's the one who pointed out his ascetic claim as being something he wouldn't do as scum puts a little doubt into my analysis, like maybe he did anticipate my thought process but needed to kickstart it, but it's sufficient cause to at least give him time to share his informed thoughts.

Only read up to the point of this post, but I wanted to reply before 1) mastin disappeared if she's still posting and 2) I forgot to reply to it.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4833 (isolation #319) » Wed Sep 21, 2016 7:18 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4824, TheFuzzylogic99 wrote:1) Fuzzy / Grapes
2) Titus/ Yuma
3) creature/ Snarky

if I am wrong let me know so can correct it
RR/randomidget (penciled in, Drixx still hasn't weighed in on who we ally with next.

-Cerb
In post 4830, Klingoncelt wrote:
In post 4775, Reasonably Rational wrote:Correct that neither one has to be scum, which is why I said if we hit scum in the first one, I could feel comfortable considering the other town.
or... both could be Scum. j/s
I will shortly say (or maybe I had already said?) why I think it's very unlikely that they're both scum. I short, I find it implausible that the scum team would have two ascetics , and even more unlikely that neither of those ascetics would actually claim.

-Cerb
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Post Post #4991 (isolation #320) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:07 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Pretty sure he's at l-1, threshold is 12, last VC was 9 and I only remember DGB hopping on since then.

XKFYU: Twin wings hasn't said anything I believe, allying wise, because the slot is being replaced. What Titus posted at the end of the list is what she THINKS should happen for alliances, so those in that section are free to pair up as they please.

Farside, why aren't you trying to get dgb vigged? If you were aiming for that, I would gladly hop on that wagon to help you get to whatever number of votes you need rather than letting this stupidity of leaving someone who is CLEARLY trying to contribute to the game sit around at l-1 continue.

Also, ya random man, allying sounds good.

-Cerb.
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Post Post #5117 (isolation #321) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 9:16 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5116, Titus wrote:I wish Varsoona would be here so we can stop this nonsense.
I just skimmed from last VC up until Yume's vote. It was 9+DGB+Yume-NC, so hest at l-2 right now and never hit lynch. So when Varsoon gets here it won't do anything.

Going back to work now.

-Cerb
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Post Post #5136 (isolation #322) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 11:51 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5133, mastin2 wrote:
In post 4952, Shiro wrote:παρτ ο με ςαντσ το διε σιμπλε το γετ τηε πλεασθρε οφ σηοςινγ υοθ τηατ υοθ αρε ςρονγ.
What did you
do
to butcher that Greek? If you put it directly from English to Greek, I 100% know for a fact the translation I'd be getting back from this would be
near
-flawless. But the translation I'm getting back from this is absolute gibberish, so you must have messed with this somehow.
Shiro is Greek, so....it's more likely that you messed it up, or that he's using colloquialisms of some sort.

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Post Post #5346 (isolation #323) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:37 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@Titus: I thought we had established quite some time ago that firebringer's removal was OBVIOUSLY not the scum kill, because Mastin OBVIOUSLY knew shit about it and is conftown?

I also thought we had established that there is no universe where scum!me shoots you.

@FB: Welcome back. Good pictures.

Why did you share that KC is likely related to the crystal gems, given your knowledge that flavorwise, the gems are likely to be town/strong PRs?

I actually sorta have a probably ridiculous theory about the crystal gems in this game, but it's fucking absurd and I want Drixx to tell me if I"m being insane or not before I share it.

@mathblade: Your reasoning about my relationship to FB's removal is pretty weird. The primary reason for my initial belief that FB wasn't killed and thus we had not had a kill was the specific verbiage used by Varsoon for FB when compared to that used for SC. That initial suspicion was confirmed by mastin's later words on the subject. So I don't think your reasoning there actually follows.

@FB: I actually suggested that early in the day phase. At least, once it was clear to me that your removal from the game was not due to a scum action, I said it was possible that scum had to forgo to a kill in order to trigger the event.

@farside: I don't want the day end to be unilaterally decided by you, but I do sorta think it would be best if you used your power in lieu of the hammer vote on whoever today's lynch ends up being. Knowing that we have it hanging around and unused is going to muddy up wagon growth and progression going forward(at least, it should, unless people are especially stupid) since they'll know that at L-somelargenumber you can just shoot, so L-somelargenumber-1 will be the new L-1.

I actually had a lot more thoughts than this but I didn't feel like posting, and now I don't actually remember any of the things I wanted to note beyond what's included here. :(

-Cerb

@Titus: Who's actively whiteknighting math? Farside? NC? I don't think anyone else has actively defended them/called them town? I said I wanted you to let them get their reads out there, but firmly believe that one of the late ascetic claimers should be lynched today. For reasons beyond just that, but that point against both of them is what drives them to the top of the list.
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Post Post #5358 (isolation #324) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:43 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5348, Firebringer wrote:
In post 5346, Reasonably Rational wrote:@FB: I actually suggested that early in the day phase. At least, once it was clear to me that your removal from the game was not due to a scum action, I said it was possible that scum had to forgo to a kill in order to trigger the event.
Pretty certain my removal was still scum action
Okay, let's back this up and establish some things.

Do you believe that Mastin is conftown?

-Cerb

pedit: I don't care about mastins threat. I care about farside22 ending the day as soon as that wagon hits whatever threshold she wants it to be at. We're still actively working to solve the game right now.

peditx2: Every crystal gem was town in SU1. However, I do agree with you in theory, BUT does it really make sense for them to out themselves to you while you were bubbled? I take it there was a thread you could talk in, and she(and others, apparently) could talk in/read, but you didn't KNOW who else was in there. Doesn't make sense for scum to let you know who they are. At least, not on a surface level. In addition...see my first question about mastin being conftown. Once I know your thoughts on that, we can proceed.
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Post Post #5367 (isolation #325) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:48 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5360, Firebringer wrote:
In post 5358, Reasonably Rational wrote:Do you believe that Mastin is conftown?
Yes I think she is town, but I also think mastin is making up shit as she goes. So I don't trust a word she says.
Okay, you believe she is town. Full stop.

Why would town KNOW the details of how a scum ability worked? The only scenario I can envision is one where Mastin has a private PT of some sort with someone who is scum, and who used that power on you, and that individual explained how it would work to mastin...

HOWEVER.

MASTIN SAID SHE WOULD ASK VARSOON TO EXPLAIN SOMETHING ABOUT IT TO HER.

That means that whatever power was used, is directly related to her role in some way, because otherwise she would have no expectation of being able to receive an answer.

Therefore...it was a town power.

Barking up the wrong tree(actually, I'm not sure what tree you're barking up, so it might be the right tree...but that reason is wrong).

-Cerb

@NC: What do you want me to stop talking about exactly? It's almost midnight yo and I should have been asleep 2 hours ago, so I'm sorta just on autopilot here.
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Post Post #5368 (isolation #326) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:50 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

If you come back and say you think she was "making" that "shit up" I'm going to be very disappointed in you FB.

-Cerb
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Post Post #5389 (isolation #327) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 7:02 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5370, Firebringer wrote:
In post 5367, Reasonably Rational wrote:Why would town KNOW the details of how a scum ability worked? The only scenario I can envision is one where Mastin has a private PT of some sort with someone who is scum, and who used that power on you, and that individual explained how it would work to mastin...

HOWEVER.

MASTIN SAID SHE WOULD ASK VARSOON TO EXPLAIN SOMETHING ABOUT IT TO HER.

That means that whatever power was used, is directly related to her role in some way, because otherwise she would have no expectation of being able to receive an answer.

Therefore...it was a town power.

Barking up the wrong tree(actually, I'm not sure what tree you're barking up, so it might be the right tree...but that reason is wrong).
Maybe you shouldn't post "Full stop" before reading the rest of my post.
Like my posts are like 10% what you post. Its not hard to read.

When I said "I think she is just making shit up" I think she is pretending like she knows more than she does because REASONS. You can say thats stupid or w/e but thats what I think.

she is lying and she has backtracked on her lies at least two times. I think she is town, but she is worthless as someone who has "info" as far as I am concerned.

She knows nothing.
In post 5368, Reasonably Rational wrote:If you come back and say you think she was "making" that "shit up" I'm going to be very disappointed in you FB.

-Cerb
:( Disappointed.

Fuck. I was about to go off on my theory thing, and then realized it would tell scum shit they don't need to know if I'm wrong, and ugh.

*sigh*

How about this. I'm not going to give you guys ANY of my reasoning behind this theory, other than the fact that Varsoon, after the first SU, while we were discussing the game, mentioned that this was something he had wanted to do with the game but the balance wouldn't have worked: What if the Crystal Gems are 3p? Perhaps with a win con that encompasses the town win con, or maybe supersedes it? I don't really know, designing win conditions for 3p isn't my thing, but...yeah. 3P crystal gems.

Just...think about that. I actually have sort of a laundry list of reasons to think that's super viable, but a lot of it involves certain other connections I've drawn that are, if I'm wrong, absolutely anti-town since they would identify a bunch of said crystal gems.

@NC: I'm now going to go away and not bother the game with theory talk. If anybody has any good questions related to the game to ask me, drop them here, I'll catch up when I wake up and try to deal with whatever it is you all care about before I go to work in the morning.

-Cerb
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Post Post #5391 (isolation #328) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 7:03 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5390, Firebringer wrote:
In post 5386, MathBlade wrote:Even if I agreed Mastina was conf town which I don't. Conf town doesn't mean conf right.

Need to sleep now super tired.
Math sounds reasonable...........not liking this.
Math is always reasonable.

NAI.

I don't actually know how to read Math though. :P

-Cerb
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Post Post #5396 (isolation #329) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 7:09 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5392, Titus wrote:@RR, Do you think any scum were pushing you? If so whom?
Oh nice an easy question to drag me into continuing to read instead of sleeping! You're so kind Titus! :/ FB/grapes/mastin are the only people who did any pushing of my slot that meant a damn, and I'll be perfectly honest, both FB and grapes' play is not what I remember from the past, but considering they pushed SC with equal fervor, it's unlikely that they're scum.

-Cerb

pedit: Hmm, I do suppose I've only played with one completed game with them, and they were scum there...but, well, their entire style of posting and pursuing things seems like something that would be very easy to fake and maintain as both alignments, so I suppose I didn't get any sense that it would be indicative of anything. Carry on, I spoke without sufficient cause.
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Post Post #5402 (isolation #330) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 7:14 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5396, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 5392, Titus wrote:@RR, Do you think any scum were pushing you? If so whom?
Oh nice an easy question to drag me into continuing to read instead of sleeping! You're so kind Titus! :/ FB/grapes/mastin are the only people who did any pushing of my slot that meant a damn, and I'll be perfectly honest, both FB and grapes' play is not what I remember from the past, but considering they pushed SC with equal fervor, it's unlikely that they're scum.

-Cerb

pedit: Hmm, I do suppose I've only played with one completed game with them, and they were scum there...but, well, their entire style of posting and pursuing things seems like something that would be very easy to fake and maintain as both alignments, so I suppose I didn't get any sense that it would be indicative of anything. Carry on, I spoke without sufficient cause.
To expand on that, so, no, I don't believe anyone actively interacting with me and yelling at people about how I'm scum is scum. Scum are more likely to be completely staying out of that conversation, or just quietly sheeping the wagon when the opportunity came.

-Cerb

pedit: Not quite FB. It's the fact that the way you pushed both SC and myself were the same. It makes the pushes feel as though they were both legitimately done by town attempting to find scum, since a scum bussing push could be expected to be pursued differently. Not deliberately, mind you, but I would expect to notice unconscious differences between the way a scum slot pushed a town slot they wanted mislynched, and a teammate they were bussing.

@FB: OMG I FINALLY SAW KUBO AND THE TWO STRINGS AND IT WAS AMAZING FOR REALS THOUGH.
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Post Post #5406 (isolation #331) » Thu Sep 22, 2016 7:22 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5403, Firebringer wrote:I am pretty certain I approached Cakez in a different manner than you.
Mmm, I expressed that poorly.

In both cases, your pushes screamed a sincere belief that we were scum and desire to have us lynched.

If you were scum, the desire to have us lynched would, in truth, have been lacking.

That, more than any specific rhetorical or persuasive devices used, is what made them both "feel" the same.

It is a pretty flimsy and subjective reason though, which is why you guys are only "unlikely" to be scum.

-Cerb

@FB: Watch Redline, if you haven't. Give me some examples of genres in anime you like. :P
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Post Post #5597 (isolation #332) » Fri Sep 23, 2016 8:23 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

For the record, Titus, I'm pretty sure you're wrong about Yume and mastina being actual masons, because mastin, when Yume outed her confirmation, did not say they were masons. She only made snarky references to masonries in response to people later questioning things.

I DO believe that mastin has mod confirmed information about Yume that makes her certain that she is town, but I doubt that she was explicitly told her alignment.

It's practically the same, but the distinction exists.

Now, about your demand that math vca with a bunch of dumb assumptions: how about you stop? A vca with the assumption of Yume and mastin town makes sense.

Nobody else you listed should be ASSUMED to be town when doing any sort of analysis. It makes no sense. You confirming Yume as town says NOTHING about your own alignment. NOBODY has stated any mod confirmed information regarding your alignment. That means any trail of confirmation you want to pretend exists ends at Yume and mastin for everyone else, and includea you for your own vca.

-Cerb

@kraska: there's a lot more reason to suspect DGB than just her low activity.
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Post Post #5601 (isolation #333) » Fri Sep 23, 2016 8:33 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

We'll just have to disagree here.

Mastin's original posts on the subject DID NOT state thst they were masons, and I'm almost certain there is a reason for that.

Really. Look through her iso.

She didn't start calling their pairing a masonry until AFTER other people had done it for her.

That is certainly deliberate.

Speaking of Mastin: are you claiming you are informed town? Because I do not know how else you could know, with absolute certainty, that there are neither third parties in the game, nor that it is multiball, unless you're informed town.

-Cerb
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Post Post #5605 (isolation #334) » Fri Sep 23, 2016 8:41 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5604, Titus wrote:
In post 5601, Reasonably Rational wrote:We'll just have to disagree here.

Mastin's original posts on the subject DID NOT state thst they were masons, and I'm almost certain there is a reason for that.

Really. Look through her iso.

She didn't start calling their pairing a masonry until AFTER other people had done it for her.

That is certainly deliberate.

Speaking of Mastin: are you claiming you are informed town? Because I do not know how else you could know, with absolute certainty, that there are neither third parties in the game, nor that it is multiball, unless you're informed town.

-Cerb
Read the posts I just quoted. Mastina wanted to spring the masonry, just like you did in Suikoden.

This bullshit makes me feel you're scum RR. I have never seen you throw this much doubt at Masons.
I'm not throwing any doubt at them? Have you even been reading what I've said? This is a semantic argument, nothing more.

I find it highly unlikely that they are, strictly speaking, masons.

I don't doubt that mastin is confirmed town to Yume, per mod conmunication.

I don't doubt that mastin has sufficient cause to assume Yume is town, again, per mod communication.

Do you understand the distinction here? And the fact that the point is the other four assumptions you wanted Mathblade to make were/are ridiculous?

-Cerb
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Post Post #5701 (isolation #335) » Fri Sep 23, 2016 11:50 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

1.) I screwed up my shoulder pretty bad over this past weekend and it's just now bearable to be at the computer for more than a few minutes. I've got like 35 pages to catch up on, but I've got a couple things to say that are super important, after talking with Cerb for the last couple hours.


Please do not end the day until Cerb and I finish checking and making sure what we've concluded is correct. We need to share it with the game today. Please just bear with us. Cerb is tied up for a few hours and we want to be completely sure before we make the post.



2.) We are going to pop our event tonight, barring some change in stress that precludes it, so I'm not sure if we should ally or not. Whomever we ally with can't get the synergy and add 3 points towards the unknown goal as we will not be forgoing the use of our event. We plan to submit Randomidget, but
Random: you should not submit us if you think you can synergize elsewhere
. We would prefer to ally because we have some things we'd rather not say in the main thread but want to leave to someone in case we get killed.

We would appreciate if Mastin and Titus and Farside (specifically) would think about the ally thing and whether it's worth the potential loss of points for us to ally.

~Drixx

P.S. - Yume please check PT. Mastin please look for Yume to be relaying you some info. -- I'll be catching up for awhile while Cerb is busy and I've got something to do in about 3 hours, so it will be pretty late East Coast time before we get our post up.
Please just trust that it's worth waiting. It's important.
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Post Post #5792 (isolation #336) » Fri Sep 23, 2016 1:36 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Farside are you suggesting we submit ally with you tonight?

~D

P.S. - still catching up; still asking folks to hold off on ending the day until we post tonight. It will be obvious once we've made the post.
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Post Post #5878 (isolation #337) » Fri Sep 23, 2016 6:59 pm

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In post 5716, Firebringer wrote:This game is literally not big enough to house Mastins ego
Right?
Also, I'm around now, and reading up, and this post here is where I'm at.

-Cerb
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Post Post #5879 (isolation #338) » Fri Sep 23, 2016 7:17 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

And somehow between there and here, very little was accomplished...

Drixx is asleep I think, I sent him a text when I got home from my date, so....our planned post will have to wait unless he responds to me.

@Farside: Drixx and I need to talk about that, I really want to ally with random and am pretty damn sure I can 100% sort him (instead of the like 70% confidence my read is at right now), plus he asked first, but allying with you is a reasonable option as well.

-Cerb
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Post Post #5998 (isolation #339) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:00 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 5995, Creature wrote:Five more posts until 6k
1.

Okay, I'm alive and not super apathetic because a buncha shit went wrong like I was last week, so I'll like play and do stuff while I'm waiting to hear back from Drixx. ^^

-Cerb

Damnit.

2.
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Post Post #6002 (isolation #340) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:03 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Can someone please suggest someone who *isn't* the subject of all this fucking noise for me to look at? I was going to go look at NC, but fuck that, ISO is too huge and will remove all my motivation.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6011 (isolation #341) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:26 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6007, McMenno wrote:
In post 6002, Reasonably Rational wrote:Can someone please suggest someone who *isn't* the subject of all this fucking noise for me to look at? I was going to go look at NC, but fuck that, ISO is too huge and will remove all my motivation.

-Cerb
how about uhm xk, nice and easy
Xkfyu, got it.

Not gonna bother with going through his posts individually, just not enough there, pull up his iso and follow along if you care.

So his first few posts seem mostly fluffy, with the potential exception of , which *might* be a vague hint of some sort of scum suspicion of him, but it's just as likely to be purely tongue in cheek. Votes Creature at the request of Titus, without giving any actual reason for it, and is called out for it as sucking up to her...which he freely admits.

Okay.

Fluff fluff fluff(okay, maybe not fluff, but SUPER obvious zero effort posts/commentary on obvious subjects, like the mastin/yume thing).

I like the exchange with grapes. Good little push to get him to justify what he's said, and follow up demanding more details when his answers were unsatisfactory.

Never follows up on asking Snarky about the source of his townread on Xkfyu.

What was your objective there Xkfyu and why did you abandon it?

A50/Xkfyu: Did you end up allying? How has that worked out for your reads on one another?


3193 is really weird. I don't think it means anything alignment wise? Maybe? I don't fucking know. It's really weird.

Alright, so he's decided A50 is town. What was this based on xkfyu? Hell, what is your townread on ME based on? Do you have any thoughts on, well, all the other people who are actually actively posting?

Rest of his posts are like...just him asking for allies.

Umm.

Okay, so what little he's done makes him SLIGHTLY more likely to be scum than town. Like, by a super small margin. Good bit of basically nonentity posting plus the lack of snarky pushing versus one good series of questions with grapes.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6013 (isolation #342) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:30 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 775, Creature wrote:Btw, Reasonably and Not Chara are probtown, but am afraid of Firebringer and Obi-Wan Kenobi.
In post 780, Creature wrote:Reasonably's and Not Chara's posts don't look like scum's for me.

I am feeling like this could be Firebringer's scum game.

Meanwhile, you're forcing my opinions.
In post 783, Creature wrote:RR for his posts like the "This is an epitome of RVS behavior", it doesn't look like scum.

I liked Not Chara's posts like the alliance one.
In post 1463, Creature wrote:Oh right, Cerberus is doing absolutely nothing, I am down to RR.
@Creature: Can you explain the progression there? In the posts between the defense of my slot, and the one where you accuse us of doing nothing, Drixx and I make A LOT of posts where we're actively doing things.

This progression is the primary reason for my initial support of Titus' position that you were scum, more than anything else. I'm liking your posting now to some extent, but this part still bothers me.

-Cerb

pedit: Not quite half! :P Otherwise he'd have been lynched awhile ago. ^^
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Post Post #6016 (isolation #343) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:36 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6014, Creature wrote:Maybe because I overestimate town!you?
Have we played together before? Where? Why would you have high expectations from me? If we HAVE played before, why would you have high expectations from me at that point in the game?

I think you should iso yourself and our slot together, and reread the posts we made between the time you said we were town, and the time you decided we had been doing nothing.

Let me know if you still feel the same way after you do that.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6018 (isolation #344) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:48 am

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In post 6017, Creature wrote:I actually checked Musical Mafia.
You mean the game where I replaced in and lurked the fuck out of the game and vigged two scum and had basically no impact on the thread? I don't actually see how you could come away from that game expecting me to have a notable presence. That's really weird actually.

I mean, at least you've seen my posting, but fuck, that game was quite atypical for me, because I was playing in some Varsoon game simultaneously and devoting ALL my effort to that game instead. I think it was SD2?
-Cerb
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Post Post #6033 (isolation #345) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:12 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6024, kraskaesque wrote:mathblade claimed? o.0
did dgb claim ascetic? idk what she claimed i just know there was sth going on with kling about claims

Yes, DGB claimed, at least partially, and mathblade full claimed.

DGB claimed a bunch of things to klingon in their hood, and when DGB called her out on it in this thread, she said they were all fake claims, except for her ascetic claim.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6035 (isolation #346) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:22 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

I believe Varsoon needs a page top.

I believe I want a VC.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6038 (isolation #347) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:24 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Hey Titus, what would you say if I told you that it's super likely that mastin is incredibly wrong about the lack of third parties in the game?

Like.

Super wrong.

Like.

I can point to one thing in this game that's public knowledge that is nearly proof that third parties must exist in this game.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6040 (isolation #348) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:24 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6037, Creature wrote:Sorry, forgot he tried to get DGB lynched for claiming traitor.
*she* did not try very hard, but their interactions certainly mean they're not both scum.

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Post Post #6045 (isolation #349) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:28 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6041, Creature wrote:
In post 6040, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 6037, Creature wrote:Sorry, forgot he tried to get DGB lynched for claiming traitor.
*she* did not try very hard, but their interactions certainly mean they're not both scum.

-Cerb
Certainly means Kling isn't scum with a town!DGB.
This is a faulty assumption.

Klingon could be the traitor.

There is other evidence of course, such as the clear connection between KC and the bubbling of FB that makes that implausible, but their interaction alone does not exonerate KC.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6047 (isolation #350) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:31 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6046, McMenno wrote:stop beating areound the bush please
:-/ I can't. Drixx and I have figured out A LOT of stuff, but it wouldn't be good to reveal all of it, so I need to talk to him to figure out how to present our case WITHOUT outing anything that shouldn't be exposed to scum.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6049 (isolation #351) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:33 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6048, Creature wrote:Who's scum then?
I don't know. Good number of people who are most likely town and stuff though. Some suspicious characters running around.



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Post Post #6051 (isolation #352) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:36 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6049, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 6048, Creature wrote:Who's scum then?
I don't know. Good number of people who are most likely town and stuff though. Some suspicious characters running around.



-Cerb
For the record this was purely spam to get Varsoon the page top. :P It was gonna take too much time to put in a more detailed post. ^^

Lemme look at the player list and PoE it actually.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6053 (isolation #353) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:41 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Town/unlikely to be aligned with scum:(important distinction)

Titus
Klingoncelt
mastin2
Yume
Farside22
Xkfyu(this is because of a realization I had about the potential meaning of some things he's said which I won't be revealing)
Firebringer <<bubbled by gems in a way that could have resulted in his death apparently, but did not. This implies certain things to me.
Skybird <<< PT with steven
killthestory <<<fake IC claim

So yeah. The people above are unlynchable yo.

Everyone below has no interactions which make me believe it is impossible for them to be scum, though some are less plausible as scum than others(such as grapes).

Shadow_Step
Almost50
Shiro
DrippingGoofball
mathblade
grapes
Not Chara
Kraskaeaque (kraska77 + lyncanfire)
McMenno
TheFuzzylogic99
SnarkySnowman
Creature
randomidget
TheWayItEnds

-Cerb
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Post Post #6054 (isolation #354) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:43 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6052, Titus wrote:Great, who isn't scum then RR? No reasons please. Also, prove there's a third party? Doesn't seem consistent with flavor

Ugh, why are there only like two or three scum names on DGB? Is this fighting over which scum to lynch?
Trust me Titus.

I wouldn't make that claim if I couldn't back it up.

I basically have OVERWHELMING evidence of third parties at this point.

Consider it a certainty.

-cerb
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Post Post #6055 (isolation #355) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:45 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6050, Varsoon wrote:
"This is my first production, so it needs to be exciting! It needs to be classic! It needs to be fully funded by Mayor Dewey. And it is... because he wrote it."
-Jamie,
Historical Friction
VOTECOUNT 2.14


Mathblade (8):
mastin2, Almost50, Xkfyu, McMenno, DrippingGoofball, Yume, Titus, Creature
DrippingGoofball (6):
Klingoncelt, Not Chara, Firebringer, SnarkySnowman, Shiro, Mathblade
Shiro (1):
Farside22
Shadow_Step (1):
Kraskaeaque
Farside22 (1):
randomidget
grapes (1):
killthestory
Xkfyu (1):
Skybird
Kraskaeaque (1):
grapes
TheFuzzyLogic99 (1):
Shadow_Step

Not Voting (3):
Reasonably Rational, TheWayItEnds, TheFuzzylogic99

With 24 Alive, it takes 13 to Lynch.
Deadline
: (expired on 2016-10-02 00:10:00)
The Current Stress is +1:

Image
Skybird and Farside22 are V/LA until 9/25/2016
Xkfyu is V/LA until 9/26/2016
Could all the vanity wagoners please express why their wagon is superior to the two which are currently under consideration?

-Cerb
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Post Post #6059 (isolation #356) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:48 am

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In post 6058, Titus wrote:@RR the pt v Steven is not a reason to clear sky but I think they are town.

Swap grapes for Farside and add almost 50 with Shiro and you're good. Read through almost50's ISO and it reads like 5 stages of grief regarding his hood.

McMenno is likely clear if you are based on vote analysis.

The third party thing is not something I am inclined to just trust you on. I mean conftown is saying no...and I have no independent evidence. I am not going to say I know no third parties, it just seems unlikely.
Conftown is wrong and is being misled.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6063 (isolation #357) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 7:52 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6059, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 6058, Titus wrote:@RR the pt v Steven is not a reason to clear sky but I think they are town.

Swap grapes for Farside and add almost 50 with Shiro and you're good. Read through almost50's ISO and it reads like 5 stages of grief regarding his hood.

McMenno is likely clear if you are based on vote analysis.

The third party thing is not something I am inclined to just trust you on. I mean conftown is saying no...and I have no independent evidence. I am not going to say I know no third parties, it just seems unlikely.
Conftown is wrong and is being misled.

-Cerb
Or if she's not being misled, she's so supremely arrogant that she refuses to display an appropriate level of doubt about her own beliefs.

I already expressed why I believe what I do about farside, and there's *no* reason in terms of interactions to call A50 and shiro town. Of course, I don't really "get" how to read A50. He's sort of like a less confusing LQ/TFL, if you know what I mean? He goes off on these crazy theories and such and I can't tell if it's town motivated or not.
Titus, you have *one* flip to go off of. That's not nearly enough data to clear McMenno off of based on votes alone.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6068 (isolation #358) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 8:00 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6065, Titus wrote:
In post 6059, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 6058, Titus wrote:@RR the pt v Steven is not a reason to clear sky but I think they are town.

Swap grapes for Farside and add almost 50 with Shiro and you're good. Read through almost50's ISO and it reads like 5 stages of grief regarding his hood.

McMenno is likely clear if you are based on vote analysis.

The third party thing is not something I am inclined to just trust you on. I mean conftown is saying no...and I have no independent evidence. I am not going to say I know no third parties, it just seems unlikely.
Conftown is wrong and is being misled.

-Cerb
Not ruling it out. I just doubt it. You know I need evidence to change my mind. Bringing that evidence, according to you, is antitown. So, until it isn't Antitown to reveal that information, we are going to disagree.
Fuck it.

I'll bring the one point of evidence that I can present without telling scum anything they don't already know.

Look at your role PM. Look at your win con.

Note the fact that a member of our faction needs to be alive, in addition to all scum being removed.

Compare to previous Varsoon town role PM's.

Consider the circumstances under which all threats to earth would be removed, while no earth-aligned players remain alive.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6073 (isolation #359) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 8:06 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6069, Titus wrote:
In post 6063, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 6059, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 6058, Titus wrote:@RR the pt v Steven is not a reason to clear sky but I think they are town.

Swap grapes for Farside and add almost 50 with Shiro and you're good. Read through almost50's ISO and it reads like 5 stages of grief regarding his hood.

McMenno is likely clear if you are based on vote analysis.

The third party thing is not something I am inclined to just trust you on. I mean conftown is saying no...and I have no independent evidence. I am not going to say I know no third parties, it just seems unlikely.
Conftown is wrong and is being misled.

-Cerb
Or if she's not being misled, she's so supremely arrogant that she refuses to display an appropriate level of doubt about her own beliefs.

I already expressed why I believe what I do about farside, and there's *no* reason in terms of interactions to call A50 and shiro town. Of course, I don't really "get" how to read A50. He's sort of like a less confusing LQ/TFL, if you know what I mean? He goes off on these crazy theories and such and I can't tell if it's town motivated or not.
Titus, you have *one* flip to go off of. That's not nearly enough data to clear McMenno off of based on votes alone.

-Cerb
It is.

You and NC were the wagon choices when McMenno sprung up for awhile. Let's take each assumption in turn.

NC town/RR town: no reason for scum to push a McMenno wagon. If you're both town, the McMenno wagon isn't scumlead.

NC scum/RR town: Scum would jump onto your wagon.

Nc town/RR scum: why wouldn't scum jump onto nc?

Nc scum/RR scum: why start a third wagon on a buddy?

The McMenno wagon is most likely a counter to save scum.
There's nothing stopping *town* from pushing the McMenno wagon though? In the case where NC and I are both town at least. I guess I'll have to look at the formation of that wagon again and see who was actually supportive of that push, I don't feel like it ever got much traction though.

-Cerb

pedit: Titus, what do you think is more likely? That Varsoon specifically wrote his win condition this time to account for the unlikely situation where every remaining living slot dies in a single phase, OR that there's an additional faction outside of the town that could finish killing all the scum even if the town is all dead?
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Post Post #6104 (isolation #360) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 9:31 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Okay,

So we got together and went over the info we have. Some of it is in this thread and easy to find (Look at Klingon's ISO, for example; town need only look at our win con). We also have some additional info which we're only sharing with people we trust (Thank you Yume for evaluating thoughts and saying something).

Most of the nearly 50 pages of catching up I've done has been a lot of endless fighting over stuff, and I think most of it was useless. I mean really and truly useless. The reason is really simple:
There is almost certainly a separate Crystal Gems faction and they are almost certainly third party. We're pretty sure (for a couple reasons, but primarily because of how our win condition is phrased) that they are compatible with town and we can win with them (but we can't be sure until one of them flips), but they are almost certainly NOT town.


Spoiler: Why we believe this
First is the evidence in our win condition. The first part is mostly standard: all threats to Earth must be removed from the game. (removed is obviously interesting in light of game events, and we think is weak evidence that the Crystal Gems faction is town compatible). The second is only necessary if there is either some way that we could remove all scum and also somehow all be dead (makes very little sense) or if there's a third party (in this case a faction of third parties) who can hit the win condition. It makes very little to no sense for Varsoon to put that detail in there that at least one of us has to be alive to win, unless there's a reason. It's absurdly improbable for some situation to arise where all the remaining slots alive have the ability to kill and all kill one another. It's far more likely that if all members of the town die, there exists another faction which can remove the remaining scum and still satisfy the first part of the win condition.

Second, there's Klingoncelt. She has claimed to be a miller. And a Crystal Gem. Firebringer corroborated her crystal gem status by his supposition that he was bubbled by the gems (removed from the game!), and she was able to talk in his bubbled PT. We also have Mastin who has claimed to be a miller. A decent amount of the noise in the game has been over the multiple miller claims (among other things).

What makes the most sense here, rather than two town millers? They aren't. One is a 3p who investigates as scum, and the other is town who investigates as scum. Mastin is cleared by Yume. KC seems to be cleared by Firebringer.

Third. Well, third is some other things that we're only sharing with those we're certain we can trust, which will be shared when appropriate, but suffice it to say that there's quite a lot of evidence, and there's almost no chance that we're wrong about this.


Everyone needs to stop all this bickering and shitposting and reassess the game and interactions with this knowledge.


Spoiler: Implications
A lot of the shitposting and fighting that clutters the past 50 pages is probably just making the scum team laugh their asses off at us. Most of it is about stuff that is explained by this. Conflicting role claims are not a cause to make any kind of binary assumption or immediate scum read. The extra faction in play drastically changes things.

Buddying/displays of "too much" knowledge are also not a cause for immediate assumption someone is scum. These things mean you should watch the slot in question obviously, but it's
entirely
possible that these interactions are driven by a decent sized third party faction, which probably has a PT together.

Wagons which have formed and dissipated on people because of "Chainsawing" or people white knighting and such may easily be explained by the extra faction.


TL;DR: There is 99.99% for sure a Crystal Gem faction which we believe likely can win with town (or by themselves, going by our win condition), and this faction probably has their own PT (which could be giving some people similar false scum positives as if they were dealing with ... say ... unclaimed masons). Because of this, pretty much any and all pre-flip associations need to be examined in detail and more carefully than usual, because thins which we normally would view as scum could instead in this case be the work of what is in effect (but not precisely, due to the unknown wincon which we believe is town compatible) a large masonry.


Love with fresh chocolate chip cookies,
Drixx

P.S. - Much credit to Cerberus for catching on to this and convincing me to go digging. In my opinion, most of what I had to read catching up is now completely useless (instead of just mostly useless) because a lot of it was based upon false premise.
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Post Post #6105 (isolation #361) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 9:48 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6100, McMenno wrote:this game is now longer than any non-archived large theme

and we're on day 2

we can do it guys and gals, let's keep titus and farside alive
This made me laugh a lot. Thank you McMenno. Those pages were tough to read through.

You should know, though, that SMITE had like 6k posts in just day one, if I am remembering correctly. I replaced in on day 2 I think and it took me FOREVER to catch up. At the rate we're going though...

~Drixx
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Post Post #6106 (isolation #362) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 9:50 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6105, Reasonably Rational wrote:
In post 6100, McMenno wrote:this game is now longer than any non-archived large theme

and we're on day 2

we can do it guys and gals, let's keep titus and farside alive
This made me laugh a lot. Thank you McMenno. Those pages were tough to read through.

You should know, though, that SMITE had like 6k posts in just day one, if I am remembering correctly. I replaced in on day 2 I think and it took me FOREVER to catch up. At the rate we're going though...

~Drixx
SF had the longest D1.

Almost longest game period, but not quite.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6109 (isolation #363) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 9:59 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

There's too much that we aren't saying that points to it being the case Titus. We're nearly certain and have looked through it and talked with each other and we agree. There's a really obvious and really good reason why we cannot point out all the things that would almost certainly convince you. If we live and we can fit you into finale alliance, we can elaborate there. We won't do so in the main thread. If the implications of what we're withholding are correct, we must absolutely never share it with anyone we cannot 100% trust.

~Drixx

P-Edit: Thank you Yume. Our reasoning is all Valid. We have multiple pieces of strong evidence to support or premises, so it is probable that our reasoning is also SOUND, which is why we spoke up. We don't dump this info lightly.
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Post Post #6115 (isolation #364) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 10:51 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

You've spent a great deal of time fighting with someone who I think is probably town, and I think you are probably town, and I'd prefer that we could work together and stop with that.

Also; my evidence isn't inadmissible so much as I'm not willing to give it to scum. The next time we can ally (finale?) I'll be happy to give you all of it and I'm pretty sure you'll be convinced. You should be able to trust that Cerb and I together can reason well enough that if we feel the evidence is strong enough to share what we have, then you should know, based upon our standards and your experience with us, that we have a lot we're basing that on.

I agree with you that people who are overly invested in survival should be suspect; however, there are certain people who could give a false positive on that. Look at our role from the first Steven Universe game. Now imagine if someone can do that (or something equally as role powerful) but without the ability to IC. They would definitely want to survive and also not want to out their ability. So just keep that in mind.

I disagree about people having buddies, because I'm pretty certain that there is an actual 3rd faction in play who are town friendly (with strong reasons for these beliefs) and there will certainly be false positives with associatives in that case.

I guess we'll know for sure when one of them flips? (Note my certainty)

Love,
Drixx

P.S. - Advice on who we should ally with would be appreciated. We're suddenly flooded with offers. Also ... do you feel like we can make finale work if we're both alive?
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Post Post #6126 (isolation #365) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 11:22 am

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6119, Titus wrote:This isn't a popularity contest. I think that you believe RR and I respect the fact you disagree with me Yume.

I just see that I'm looking at the evidence in front of me and Mastina agrees. That's all I see. You can present what RR told you to me in our alliance.

I just wonder
why
RR never said this to me day 1.
We didn't figure it out yet, though we should have. The bit about klingon didn't happen till today, and we glossed over the weird win condition point.

And other evidence only became evident today.

@Yume, what Titus is saying doesn't mean she doesn't have faith in us, it just means the evidence we can present publicly isn't sufficient to sway her. Doesn't reflect on her opinion of either of us.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6138 (isolation #366) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 12:05 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Ummm... I like Randomidget and we wanted to ally them and have a chance to firm up a read on them, but I think either synergizing with A50 (assuming he's not just blowing smoke up our ass with that post) or going with Farside and trying to get on the same page would be more valuable.

Anyone willing to swap with us and ally with Random tonight? A50 said he's basically vanilla now so if we go with him there's no synergy loss since we're planning to trigger our event.

And umm... maybe you and farside allying might be the best for the gamestate and for town Titus? I mean; I've got an independent town read on each of you, and if you guys can find common ground in private, that might help a lot. Food for thought.

Finally: can you just succinctly give me reasons why you believe Math is scum? I know you've said parts of it all over the place. Please just humour me. My shoulder is killing me and I just want a simple post so I can see your thinking.

Thanks,
Drixx


P-Edit: 2 millers makes sense with the 3rd party faction in play. A50 was spot on in a way but I don't want to say anything more.
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Post Post #6150 (isolation #367) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 2:21 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

That's pretty convincing Titus. In fact, that's probably the most relatable case I've ever seen you make against someone. Please do THAT more often. And please just don't get baited into fights. Let's be accountability buddies on that front because we both rise to the bait (remember our Learned Hand experience?).

@Farside - Can you argue anything that Titus said? It's all very simple there with very little snark or side commentary. This should be something you can easily agree on, and I'm struggling to figure out what the problem is.

~Drixx
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Post Post #6162 (isolation #368) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 2:49 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6160, mastin2 wrote:
In post 5955, kraskaesque wrote:Guys math isn't scum
Their posts don't look like self preservation, if that's what they were trying to do they wouldn't have made the pushes they made
Mathblade's been alternating votes, continuously, between Shiro and DGB, the two largest counterwagons to them.

That isn't an effort at self-preservation...

...
How
?
QFT.

Farside, I have no idea what to do here with the allying thing.

:/

-Cerb
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Post Post #6169 (isolation #369) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:21 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

That's okay Mastin. As I told Yume when Titus didn't believe us: the best we can do is tell you what we figured out so people aren't doing dumb things out of ignorance.

We don't need you to buy it. We just need you to be informed at this time.

And stop bickering over stupid shit that is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of the setup.

Fyi though, there is basically no chance that we're wrong. If we're wrong, I will NEVER delve into the realm of setup speculation again. *shrug*

And yes, I already knew those things about KC and yourself. I'm even quite sure I know which corrupted gem you are!

Anyways, I'm looking forward to being proven right!

-Cerb
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Post Post #6170 (isolation #370) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:23 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Oh, and your bubbling argument: it's not an argument. Not at all.

It's FAR more likely that there is another faction, than Varsoon decided to bake in what would happen in the rare event that the game came down to a 1v1 between a town and a scum vig.

There's no practical difference as far as win condition success is concerned between bubbling and vigging, from what we've seen.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6178 (isolation #371) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:33 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6173, Titus wrote:
In post 6169, Reasonably Rational wrote:That's okay Mastin. As I told Yume when Titus didn't believe us: the best we can do is tell you what we figured out so people aren't doing dumb things out of ignorance.

We don't need you to buy it. We just need you to be informed at this time.

And stop bickering over stupid shit that is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of the setup.

Fyi though, there is basically no chance that we're wrong. If we're wrong, I will NEVER delve into the realm of setup speculation again. *shrug*

And yes, I already knew those things about KC and yourself. I'm even quite sure I know which corrupted gem you are!

Anyways, I'm looking forward to being proven right!

-Cerb
Don't stop setup speccing permanently if wrong. I love having a non scum motivated setup spec partner. I am not doing anything tonight, so no worries there.

For what it's worth, I think you're doing the right thing for what you believe. I think you're missing a fundamental fact Or facts that I deduced through what happened to me and partial flavor knowledge.

#supportanddisagree
Just a bit of rhetoric to express how certain I am. I don't think I could play without setup speccing. It sorta happens incidentally for me.

And..I have absolute flavor knowledge. Like super thorough, down to fan theories and such.

I assure you, there is certainly an elegance flavor wise to all of this, and when you see it everything will make perfect sense.

Oh, also I finally went back and looked at 464. The post mathblade says is where cooldog hinted at his asceticism. Can someone else go look at it and tell me if I'm just being stupid, or is there absolutely no hint of an ascetic claim in that post?

-Cerb

@mastin: the only piece of information that we have that is certain to sway you is not ours to share, but Yumes. Up to her. She already knows.
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Post Post #6182 (isolation #372) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:38 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 4768, MathBlade wrote:
In post 4766, Reasonably Rational wrote:Double scum ascetic, neither of whom claimed publicly before the end of D1?

Yeah, no.

It's not just the setup spec, it's the play.

But the setup stuff is valid too.

-Cerb
Incorrect 464 RR it was hinted but not outright claimed
Yep Titus. Had to go find the post by Mathblade where they mention it, to be sure I didn't have the number wrong.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6183 (isolation #373) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:41 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

This is disappointing. Honestly , lot of the stuff you guys are scumreading g them for feels SUPER circumstantial. The more math posts, the less inclined I am to feel they're scum...but then this happens and it confuses the shit out of me. On the one hand, why respond to a question from ME with a verifiable lie? They've played with me before. They knew at some point I would check. It doesn't follow.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6184 (isolation #374) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:44 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Likex that's WHY I went and looked for the post, to confirm I had missed an ascetic claim, and then set about dropping the number of items on your lost, Titus, from 20 to 5 or so.

Not even gonna bother anymore, and they're not friggin around to explain themselves to us. :/

-Cerb
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Post Post #6185 (isolation #375) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:55 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

:

Spoiler: Unrelated to the game, for Mastin
My role in SF had to find and arrange for the death of 8 or 9 different slots or so, while uninformed. Town had to arrange for the deaths of 6 specific slots, while uninformed. The SK had to do what sks always do(which is why it's the hardest win con around). Scum had to kill at least 2 specific slots, and any 10 additional ones, whIle informed and coordinated.

If I were to rank difficulty of win conditions in that game it would go this way, from easiest to hardest:

1) Scum(with the caveat that proper mechanical play could have secured a very early victory)
2) Town
3) Me
4) SK.

So, please don't disparage my success that game by calling my role some sort of overpowered SK. It was almost certainly the best rhetorical play I've ever engaged in, from the moment I claimed 3p until the game ended, and in spite of that I STILL would have lost if not for both town and scum missing at least one instant win.


-Cerb
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Post Post #6189 (isolation #376) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:12 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6171, mastin2 wrote:
In post 6142, Titus wrote:Narrative Evidence for Mathblade slot as scum
1) The only vote Cooldog places is for McMenno, as a counterwagon to RR and NC. He never gives an opinion on RR or NC.
2) CoolDog says NC will be clear after Mastina flips, but has zero issue with Mastina voting NC.
3) Discredits my Cakey read but doesn't call me scummy or elaborate.
4) He calls Not Chara a lurker in his defense of them.
5) His interactions regarding KTS's innocent child are just awkward.
6) Cooldog had prod dodges delaying content promised repeatedly.
7) His ISO has virtually no interaction with Cakey.
8) He's never pushed as a lurker when the push was to lynch a lurker.
9) Loopdan has the same broken promises.
10) Mathblade has only taken stances that are ridiculous, designed not to give information after they flip.
11) They're making manipulative personal appeals to me, while at the same time discrediting me.
12) The CoolDog didn't claim ascetic early on but Math did.
13) Lars doesn't make sense as an ability cloner (he's a human bully who doesn't really do anything). [Caveat: I'm still in Season 1]
14) When pressured for plausible reads, they give none.
15) Math has jumped to every single counterwagon that existed to her slot, and claimed to scumread them all.
16) The constant doubtcasting of Mastina is terrible.
17) The stretch to try and argue I townread them.
18) Math views Shiro's ISO the exact opposite of Farside, but neither question each other.
19) Math buddying TFL.
Okay, so I unspoiled this so everyone can see this in its entirety. This. So much this. Every point here, literally every point here, is valid and perfectly summarizes my feelings on Mathblade.
That's what I was saying was good. Cerb said something about knocking that down to 5 points so I'm going to ping him, but
intent to vote
from our slot.

I do want to point out that I still think the DGB/KC interaction has a scum in it and it seems like KC is the/a bubbler or associated with them, which makes it hard to put KC in the scum column, which leaves DGB. I just want to note that the counterwagons to Math could include scum intentionally voting one of their own. Something's off about the wagon situation, and that's the closest I can come to expressing it.
In post 6186, Titus wrote:
In post 6183, Reasonably Rational wrote:This is disappointing. Honestly , lot of the stuff you guys are scumreading g them for feels SUPER circumstantial. The more math posts, the less inclined I am to feel they're scum...but then this happens and it confuses the shit out of me. On the one hand, why respond to a question from ME with a verifiable lie? They've played with me before. They knew at some point I would check. It doesn't follow.

-Cerb
Most lies are not done out of convienence with Math. They are forced. A town player says CoolDog never claimed ascetic, particularly one about to be mislynched. They blame CoolDog. A scum player tries to create a narrative to explain things.
A town player scumhunt their wagon. A scumplayer tries to discredit the wagon.

It's more of the only move; not a smart one.
You know Math well. Why would Math give the Amished tell in the first place, and do so by claiming a post contained something it didn't? Wouldn't it make more sense to just say "Look at the prior players. They were bad. I'm not. I'm claiming neg utility" and go that route? Why a confirmable lie? That is, I think, Cerb's primary sticking point.

~Drixx
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Post Post #6191 (isolation #377) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 5:25 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6190, Titus wrote:That statement gets a lynch vote from from me Drixx.
CoolDog is skilled enough to know to claim that.
I think it's said here negative utility needed to claim.
Their goal is to avoid a lynch.


KC is not the bubbler.
The underlined and bolded are the core of the case. A lot of your points could be argued to be subjective, but there's no dodging those two. Add the lie onto that, and it's GG. I was concerned that maybe past interactions or other influences might be coloring your judgment, but the core points really aren't that kind of thing. Checking vote count to make sure I don't hammer before alliances are finalized, but consider us voting for all intents and purposes.

I think we should ally with A50, btw. Either he's honest and wouldn't be adding any points to the count or if he's not honest he wouldn't add any points, so in terms of possible upside and for getting the most out of our alliances, that seems like the right move. We need Random to show back up so he can confirm a pairing. Are you still keeping a list of who is with whom?

~Drixx
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Post Post #6200 (isolation #378) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 6:10 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

I'm pretty sure x asked a bunch of different people to ally with no response, and skybird asked x to ally, with no response, and firebringer said they can't ally anymore.

-Cerb

Pedit: yay Dnd what edition?
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Post Post #6342 (isolation #379) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:12 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@Varsoon: Is the vc correct? Firebringer is missing from the list of players
.

Everyone should claim who they voted for.

We voted for mastin2.

-Cern
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Post Post #6346 (isolation #380) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:21 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6344, Titus wrote:
In post 6342, Reasonably Rational wrote:
@Varsoon: Is the vc correct? Firebringer is missing from the list of players
.

Everyone should claim who they voted for.

We voted for mastin2.

-Cern
Ouch. Ok. We should but Mastina recommended an order. Hear me out as to why. I just got home.
Twas the plan we were aiming for since D1 Titus, your whole conftown thing kinda fucked it up. Instead of getting one slot with a bunch of votes and letting us see TWO low vote count slots we ended up splitting the votes. :/

-Cerb
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Post Post #6347 (isolation #381) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:23 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

We also need full claims on what alliances actually happened last night, because it all got messed up at the end of the day.

We ended up with A50.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6352 (isolation #382) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:28 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Yeah, it was a bad move but whatever.

Making two conftown for no reason is, again, bad in this situation, because of what it did to the votes.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6357 (isolation #383) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:36 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6353, Titus wrote:
In post 6352, Reasonably Rational wrote:Yeah, it was a bad move but whatever.

Making two conftown for no reason is, again, bad in this situation, because of what it did to the votes.

-Cerb
Mastina technically isn't conftown to anyone but Yume though. I was conftown to all.
Doesn't matter. That's not how the thought process works.

You were conftown to all, mastin was highly unlikely to be anything but town and was considered a mason by most, INCLUDING YOURSELF.

That made all three of you effectively conftown. Luckily, since Yume was less vocal, the votes would obviously flow to mastin2.

Then you used your IC.

You sorta fucked up the whole point behind me allying with Yume yesterday with what you did. I'm fairly irritated actually.

It's terrible play.

Anyways. That's the last thing I'll say on that. Can we pass get these numbers ASAP people?

-Cerb

Pedit: I organized things yesterday to basically ensure that mastin would get 10+ votes today. That's why the votes should have all been on mastin.
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Post Post #6363 (isolation #384) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:41 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Actually, not the last thing.

If you friggin vote for mastin as I'm sure Yume encouraged you to...we end up with you at 3!!!! votes, meaning there's even LESS room for people to hide.

I even made a post yesterday CLEARLY outlining the order of vote preference for beachapalooza, to account for who to vote for in case certain people were dead.

Farside would have been reasonable eventually. *sigh*

Okay I'm done now for reals. My bitching about other people's poor play isn't going to do anything.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6371 (isolation #385) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:48 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6364, Firebringer wrote:Why the duck did you morons vote mastin for that
Because she's town per yume, and I worked with yume (and I THOUGHT Titus) to organize getting as many votes as possible on her so we'd be able to see the low vote count slots so if any scum points showed up there we'd have a super small poe pool.

Instead we have this shit which will, at best, give us three pools with like one scum in each, if it even does anything. Having all the votes almost the same is way less helpful.

The only upside of all this is someone needs to explain wtf the NC votes were for.

-Cerb

Pedit: yep. What fb said.
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Post Post #6377 (isolation #386) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 7:56 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6374, kraskaesque wrote:Cerb I get why you're annoyed
But the minute Titus confirmation happened, and right above the event's description, you should have voted her instead
We considered it, but. Ugh. Fuck. I can't tell you more. I typed shit out and realized it would expose shit that shouldn't be exposed.

Let's just say I had a reasonable expectation of having already arranged to get a fuckton of slots to vote mastin, amd knew that titus would be second and that every vote she gained decreased the overall value of the event.

-Cern
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Post Post #6380 (isolation #387) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:01 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Can we talk about how shitty mastins list is right now? Putting one of THE lurkiest slots in the game at the top and forcing us to sit around with our thumbs up our asses while they decide whether to play the game or not?

Can we just skip to having whoever fucking voted for NC claim now?
-Cerb
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Post Post #6387 (isolation #388) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:09 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6382, Titus wrote:
In post 6380, Reasonably Rational wrote:Can we talk about how shitty mastins list is right now? Putting one of THE lurkiest slots in the game at the top and forcing us to sit around with our thumbs up our asses while they decide whether to play the game or not?

Can we just skip to having whoever fucking voted for NC claim now?
-Cerb
hey, let's just calm down and play. Who is scum RR?
Probably fucking DGB except the fact that KC of all fucking people died last night looks a HELL of a lot like a shitty framing attempt aimed at DGB.

NC is FAR more likely to be scum than they were yesterday from the simple fact that they picked up a fuck load of votes, but I guess that could be explained by scum throwing votes on them just so they'd look bad? I don't know.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6395 (isolation #389) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:18 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@NC: what are you basing the DGB read off of exactly? I know there are some things, I've brought them up myself, but I'd like to hear your reasoning.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6398 (isolation #390) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:20 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6397, kraskaesque wrote:If I take chara and far at their word, they're conftown
Huh. True. I hasn't actually considered that. I considered two possible scenarios and it didn't click that one of the scenarios guaranteed they were both town.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6400 (isolation #391) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:27 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6399, Titus wrote:
In post 6397, kraskaesque wrote:If I take chara and far at their word, they're conftown
How so?
Let's end this line of discussion.

Remember, you wanted to stick to the order.

Thoughts on maths wagon Titus?

-Cerb
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Post Post #6402 (isolation #392) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:31 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6401, Not Chara wrote:
In post 6395, Reasonably Rational wrote:@NC: what are you basing the DGB read off of exactly? I know there are some things, I've brought them up myself, but I'd like to hear your reasoning.

-Cerb
i've spoken about her a bit. granted, not very much.
when i last ISOed her, i literally found no town evidence. the only scumhunting-ish behaviour is when she brings up lurkers promising to catch up (Cooldog) or Seraphim saying he was busy and would catch up the next day. and that isn't counting her behaviour in the topic with Klingon, because it's her in-thread behaviour that concerns me.
in between her reads posts, most of her content is ignoring major game events in favour of fluff responses. which aren't bad in and of themselves, but it's like she isn't concerned with engaging the thread at all.
All NAI for her, in my experience. I bitched on like D1 about her noncontribution in every game I've ever played with her.

Anything else?

-Cerb
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Post Post #6407 (isolation #393) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:37 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Mainly the late ascetic claim + the kc stuff.

She's trying to say it's a gambit, but wtf kind of gambit is it when you claim enough shit that nobody is going to believe your gambit?

-Cerb
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Post Post #6409 (isolation #394) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:39 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Granted, the late ascetic claim was obviously not telling in mathblades case but they friggin LIED about having claimed it earlier, so...yeah.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6419 (isolation #395) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:45 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Also, can whoever controls this delayed flip thing (because OBVIOUSLY someone directly controls it, or else mathblades flip wouldn't have happened in the middle of the night) please make up your mind about whatever the fuck you have to discuss and make KC flip so we can go ahead and incorporate that knowledge into our scumhunting today?

Thanks.

-Cerb

Pedit; guess what? Tomorrows the season finale, so you can BOTH ally with Shiro if that's what you want!

Peditx2: Mathblade did. They claimed cooldog had crumbed it in a specific post....and they hadn't.

That was thr proverbial nail in their coffin from our Drixxs perspective. I didn't understand why they'd lie about that as either alignment, but whatever.
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Post Post #6427 (isolation #396) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:53 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

@kraska: walk me through scum!shadow when you get back, using JUST shadows posts. The prior occupants of the slot claimed illness and exams to explain their lack of participation, so I'm not particularly interested in any argument based on their play/lack thereof. Shadows play has seemed to be...acceptable.

-Cerb

@FB: Can we bring random too? I really want my randomidget pt this game.

Also, I was about to suggest we ally too. I'm curious why you'd want to ally with me though?

Pedit: they flip AT MOST a phase after death. Mathblade flipped partway through the night, not at the start of the next phase like SC did. That indicates there is an active hand and thst whoever is causing it can CHOOSE when to let them flip.

Pedit again: with the stress movement delay, and certain other information I have, I actually find it very likely that the delayed flips are caused by a town effect. That's why I'm even wasting my effort telling them to hurry up and give us the flip if that's what they're gonna do.
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Post Post #6432 (isolation #397) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 8:58 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 143, Foxbird wrote:I'm home from my exam! It held me down, but I got up, hey~

Did everyone enjoy their six pages of shitposting while I was gone?
In post 1039, Foxbird wrote:Hey guys, sorry for this, but my final exam is today so I haven't gotten around to much.

Will get to this tonight after the stupid semester is over.
In post 1377, Foxbird wrote:Okay, I spent some time catching up and gathering some thoughts. I feel so free without exams! And tired.

Titus tunnelling is indicative of Titus and not much else. I can probably read that slot better if beeboy posts some more. They're probably town, though.
I'm inclined to believe the mastin/Yume double claim thing, though I must agree with what was said in that if that claim hadn't happened, I'd probably scumread Yume.
Getting townvibes from farside and Skybird, the latter mostly from some stuff in our PT.
I 100% fail at reading Firebringer but it's just too outlandish to be scum at this point.

My current scumpool is Xk and Snarky. There's another player who has claimed something that seems sketchy from my perspective, but it's no good commenting on that right now.

More tomorrow after I sleep and the thread inevitably grew 10 more pages during my slumber because time zones.
In post 2749, Foxbird wrote:Ugh, I'm back. Health was acting up these last couple days. Sorry. My participation this game has been awful.

Would still really like a new alliance for tomorrow. So much easier to follow than the main thread. :(
Practically half of foxbird iso includes mention of exams and illness.

-Cerb
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Post Post #6437 (isolation #398) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 9:03 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

Oh I know, I saw that too, but they specifically said (in the posts I quoted) that it's much easier to follow an ally chat than the main thread. Which it is.

Anyways, I view those arguments against the slot as dumb. Imagine if she had set v/la, as she probably should have. Would we be attacking her for lack of invomovement at that time? No. So, it's not an angle of attack I'm going to be receptive to. I assume people are telling the truth about rl.

-Cerb
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"We'll see who is bad at mafia after I've lynched you." - RadiantCowbells

"Reasonably Rational was bubbled on Day 2. They were Lapis Lazuli, aligned with The Crystal Gems"(town) - Varsoon

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Post Post #6440 (isolation #399) » Fri Sep 30, 2016 9:11 pm

Post by Reasonably Rational »

In post 6430, TheFuzzylogic99 wrote:@RR
was talking about the annoying delay/ No flip mechanic.......
So was I fuzzy. That mechanic is almost certainly caused by a town effect. Not least because there's NO reason for scum to inform the town's night actions by causing the flip to happen early, especially when so many were CONVINCED mathblade was scum.

@NC: it's possible there are two mechanics in play, yes. So what governs lynches may not govern kills, but both delay.

-Cerb

Pedit: got it. Yeah, I'm basing my appraisal wholly on shadow_step. Lurker scumreading lurkers is like meaningless. It's hypocritical but doesn't mean anything, and if anything should be expected. If someone is lurking and lazy/busy, who else can you actually make a case against without having to put time into the push? Seems to make sense to me that lurkers would naturally lean towards scumreading other lurkers, if for no other reasons than to distract from themselves and because the pushes can be made with minimal effort.
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"We'll see who is bad at mafia after I've lynched you." - RadiantCowbells

"Reasonably Rational was bubbled on Day 2. They were Lapis Lazuli, aligned with The Crystal Gems"(town) - Varsoon

A hydra of Drixx and Cerberus v666

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