Mini 1699 - #swag wars: THE empire strikes back (swaggedout)
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Wickedestjr Jack of All Trades
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Wickedestjr Jack of All Trades
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I wanted to acknowledge this first:
In post 2283, RedCoyote wrote:ffrey has only gotten worse for me over time. She seemingly started off very strong, but her indecisiveness and almost, like, lack of energy lately is souring me on her a bit.
...
Her Nacho vote seemed too shady, and when Nacho/you called her out, she seemed to shirk, backtrack and claim she was just trying something different. I just don't really get what her angle is.
...
Then her whole, "I don't want to pressure people that just replaced in out of principle" stance was weird. Way too forced sounding. Either you think the slot is scummy or you don't. She should have the courage to fall one way or the other. If she disagrees with me, Nacho or anyone else about Oversoul, then she should say that.
First, I haven't really noticed a decline in effort/activity from ffery over time. I could be wrong, but I get the impression that this 'change' is actually other players becoming more active rather than her becoming less. E.g. notscience/implosion/Vinkah were all on the back burner early on, but are now noticeably more active slots. I can say this with reasonable confidence, because I think I've been given the same mis-treatment. I do share your concern with regard to her current indecisiveness though.
I completely agree with you about the Nacho vote. Aside from the possible connection to Nacho/Vinkah, that's the single most bothersome thing that I have seen from her this game. I'mstilltrying to wrap my head around it.
This third point seems kinda harsh. I don't think ffery would lie about a principle like this.
In post 2301, RedCoyote wrote:Wicked, while your here, what do you think of 2291? Am I being too harsh?
That post is null for me. It makes a lot of sense as a weak distancing attempt. But it also makes sense as a townie trying to get info from Oversoul. Oversoul exuded incorrect confidence that he didn't have to claim because nobody would ever hammer him. And I was happy that ffery put him in his place - even though it makes sense as scum v scum too.
TL;DR - ffery is suspect to me for her interactions with Nacho/Vinkah, for her weird Nacho vote, and slightly because of indecisiveness, but those are the only issues I have right now."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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Reading more of this page, I guess it would have been stronger if she had said "Intent to hammer" rather than "Don't think I won't", but that's a subtle difference. And I'm not yet ready for a hammer either. I still think Oversoul is scum, but I want to see what happens in a few hours."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2319, fferyllt wrote:As a musing aside, I'd kinda like my own flip out there so people can evaluate the read-changes today and how well supported they were.
If you're town, thenyoualready know that you'd flip town. So what do you think?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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Reading through
In post 2326, Oversoul wrote:In post 2248, Wickedestjr wrote:Why? I could understand this if you had issue with one player's arguments in particular. But it's not clear that you do, so this assumption doesn't make much sense to me. I'm still actually town reading both of them.
It seems like a powerplay. I don't think a townsperson, knowing that tomorrow is likely MyLo would willingly go into a 1v1 to try and get a single scum. The scum get two free nightkills essentially. More if on the odd chance that scum has a bookie (which is what was floating around my mind about Implosion).
This doesn't make sense / answer my question. You said "one of them is scum", thus the implication is that "one of them is town" too.
But if you don't think a townsperson would willingly go into a 1v1, does that mean you think it's scum v scum?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2329, Oversoul wrote:Meh. I won't be on when Tammy is here, but she was 100% right about my intentions with my claim.
I am a VT. Was trying to act vague and boisterous to draw the nightkill.
Unvote.
If you wanted to be "vague and boisterous to draw the nightkill", why didn't you claim "not VT" right off the bat?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2344, pieguyn wrote:In post 2277, Wickedestjr wrote:If you're town here, how would you have played it differently as scum?
given that RC's role is capable of being cleared, there is no universe where I would have walked in here and saved him when he would certainly have been lynched otherwise.
if I have the chance to eliminate a potential clear from the game, I take it, full stop - you could make the argument the alternative lynch might have been a significantly larger threat, but Boon? BOON?!?!
Ok, this seems like a fair point. What do you think of this notscience?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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Ah never mind, I see the explanation. Pretend that question was rhetorical.
In post 2461, notscience wrote:Keep reading.
I kept reading and, unless I was skimming you v pie too much, I didn't see an answer..."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2462, implosion wrote:In post 2000, Wickedestjr wrote:/mass claim over
ah, you naive fool...
Yep silly me for thinking mass claim could actually mean something
implosion wrote:Not really buying nacho's claim especially insofar asit can easily be a scum role. But we'll see what he has to say.
Bolded is a great point."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2464, Nachomamma8 wrote:When Boon became town and implosion claimed vig, my reads were past shot to shit; the only person who really seemed to have a feasible chance of being scum anymore was Vinkah, but that push in and of itself frustrated me because I knew it was a lynch that was exactly like the Boonskies lynch: no one really had a case beyond "lurking, probably not town", and while this is actually a perfectly fine reason to lynch on some occasions, it frustrated me that we kept compromising on lynches for that reason or similar reasons and I knew that Vinkah!town would leave us right back where we started and would probably be fatal for the game state the next day. I saw S-S and Ffery expressing discomfort with RC, so that's where I started.
Ok well I had gotten the impression RC was one of your strongest town reads. Why would you choose to start with RC (because others expressed concern) rather than go for a weaker town read like SS, pie or myself even? Or am I misreading the strength?
In 2464, Nacho wrote:When I started reading RC through a lens of "how does this move make sense as scum from RC?" instead of "is thisreallyRC's scumgame?", him being scum made more sense.
This whole post doesn't really answer my question though...
Ok, I understand why you wanted to look at him through a new lens (even if I think it would have made more logical sense for you to pursue someone else first). What I don't understand is how you determined this new lens was better than the old lens. You originally were accepting of RC as directionless town that was just performing under his meta - that's what you saw at first.
So why is "RC not up to snuff as town" suddenly greater than "RC performing under his meta if scum". Both concepts share the theme of RC not playing his best, so I'm actually not seeing the difference.
I'm not getting this, Nacho. And writing this post is actually making me more confused about what we're discussing."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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Nacho, looking back at your vote for RC reminds me of a strange order that occurred...
In post 1538, Nachomamma8 wrote:For the record, the initial vote is based on feeling and no reason beyond that. I am reading through him now and reasons are soon to come if I still feel good about it, but reasons that I come up with are not reasons I had in mind when I made the vote.
In post 1544, Nachomamma8 wrote:First read through of RC brings out the problem of me not liking the relative ease of his votes: RC as town usually picks a fight with someone loud and town (or, at the very least, finds problems in their play), but this game he hasn't really done that at all except maybe with the vote on SS but then he ended up dropping that decently quickly.
His hammer on Anen was a slight ping because he bothered setting it up at all; I think that was a call-back to classic RC-scum worrying about being image conscious with a decently iffy move.
Can you explain this sequence in conjunction with this:
In post 2464, Nachomamma8 wrote:When I started reading RC through a lens of "how does this move make sense as scum from RC?" instead of "is thisreallyRC's scumgame?", him being scum made more sense.
?
The {1536, 1538, 1544} group implies that you voted him and then read through his posts, unless I'm reading it wrong. But 2464 doesn't seem to acknowledge that you voted him before reading through with the 'new lens' that you talked about."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2467, Nachomamma8 wrote:In post 2242, Wickedestjr wrote:In post 2056, Nachomamma8 wrote:Picking up on who he's pushing instead of focusing on the reasons he is pushing them is a subtlety to me. Is this an unreasonable viewpoint to have? Why?
Uh... yeah I think the decision of who to push is a pretty crucial thing. I'm not sure how to explain this because it seems pretty trivial. The reasoning is probably easier to dissect and interpret than the target choice, sure. But I also think that scum put a lot of thought into picking who they will attack - e.g. what's safe, what's best for them and their partners, etc.
I've literally caught scum before with a case that mostly revolved around voting behavior.
I mean obviously it isn'tthatsubtle, or you wouldn't be referring to it now.
This argument in particular is something that I'd bring out when I'm saying I don't think you understand me.Why is the argument being subtle/not subtle significant?
What I was trying to say was that picking up on RC being scum required a different mindset and a different approach. I didn't think that his votes really looked scummy, I didn't really think that his cases were bad or uncharacteristic, and I didn't think that most of the moves he made that trended more on the anti-town side (most notably the hammer, don't think there were other things but there might have been) were worth the heat that he got and was obviously coming.
Whether this was subtle, or not subtle is not something that is important to me. I don't understand why it's important to you. I understand that you look for contradictions because they are a good place to start but I don't understand why you think me as town knows the difference between subtle and not subtle but me as scum doesn't or why you think there is any advantage as scum in pushing otherwise.
It's significant, because I think you're lying about rereading RC and changing your mind. I don't believe your RC read switch is natural. You claim that you noticed things on a reread that you didn't see originally, but I don't think said things were subtle.
"Subtle" for the purpose of our conversation means "obscure enough for you to miss on your initial read through".
I find it especially hard to understand how you weren't paying attention to who RC was pushing."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2472, Nachomamma8 wrote:Your problem with RC is that he's trying to soften the blow of a mislynch by saying that he's not that sure about it and by saying that a town flip wouldn't be that bad, which are conventional scumtells based on the theory that scum are less confident pushing mislynches than town because theyknow what they are doing is wrong.
My problem with the hammer was that he even gave reasons he was hammering at all; there was no need for him to explain himself to anyone, so explaining his mindset to everyone else (even if it was 100% how he would approach the situation as town) seemed like it had no other purpose other than damage control, which I don't think was your point but it suddenly dawns on me that I'm just making that assumption and am probably a huge ass in doing so, so sorry for that.
You're right. It did feel like he was softening the blow of a mis-lynch... because he was conscious of how the hammer would be perceived. You're not an ass, but I do think that we are making the same point here."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2518, notscience wrote:He looks more like town-oversoul instead of scum-oversoul.
Scum oversoul just feels a lot less engaged and is hyperlurky.
I think this reasoning is weak."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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-You've only been in the game for four days.
-I'm sure it's a tell that you're aware of. (You're probably also aware of how strange it would look if you made the commitment of joining an 80 page game and then lurked)
-You replaced into a slot that was already getting lots of attention.
Do you argue and say that you would be lurking right now if you were scum?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2533, notscience wrote:1) Yes he's been here 4 days but he's done a ton in the 4 days he's been here versus in WTP where it was just endless promises to catchup or replace out. He had some posts earlier but they were very underwhelming compared to here.
2) Just because someone's aware of a tell doesn't mean they are able to manipulate it. Ask Nacho/ffery how long it took me after joining the site to get over my lurkerscum tell.
3) The slot being under a lot of attention is just as likely to cause scum to clam up and do nothing. He could have shut up, ate a lynch and we would have been sitting in the mist. He didn't.
1) Aside from his big catchup post (which wasn't particularly townish and is kinda something any replacement has to do at some point) and his "Not VT" thing (which didn't inspire my confidence especially considering the "I've just obvtown'd this slot" line), I can't remember anything that he's done.
2) Well I have no idea how that's a hard thing to manipulate. Seems like all you'd have to do is post more.
3) This seems ridiculous. Still curious what Oversoul has to say about all this."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2539, pieguyn wrote:so the first thing I want to address re: Oversoul is the way he claimed not-VT and then retracted it. there's an obvious question here that I think everyone is missing: given the situation he was in, why the fuck does scum-Oversoul bother retracting the PR claim at all? I think if he was scum here, he'd either go balls-deep and continue with the PR claim or retract it immediately, not fucking both. in fact, I think continuing with the PR claim would have been a *lot* more convenient for scum-him here; it'd at the very least give him a greater chance at getting out of the lynch (and, if uncontested, could potentially allow him to survive to endgame).
retracting it, on the other hand, essentially doesn't do anything besides make him look bad. seriously. what the fuck does scum-Oversoul have to gain by retracting it in the way he did? somebody (I'M LOOKING AT YOU, RC) please tell me because it doesn't make any sense and I still haven't seen a compelling reason for it anywhere.
Maybe because he wanted to look townish-
In post 2167, Oversoul wrote:In post 2166, implosion wrote:There is a difference between "listening to the town's opinions" and "listening to oversoul's opinions" that you don't seem to see
you also seem to be ignoring any other points i make
so.
Thoughts on the fact that a dead tammy can't confirm your role?
At any rate, I've just obvtown'd this slot
He wanted to gain some town credit, but didn't actually have the power role to back it up.
If he was town, why would he gambit to attract the night kill when
-he was already under so much suspicion
-there were already other claimed power roles
-he even said that his power role wasn't strong
?
You think he actually thought he could get night killed instead of someone like Tammy who's almost certainly town? No. That's the hardest aspect of this for me to believe is that Oversoul, as town, could actually think to himself "hmm I need to protect other power roles, this is the job for me, this could actually work". It's an awful gambit if he's town. I think he's scum trying to do something that there's "no way that scum would do" (absolutely no wifom there) in an effort to get rid of the wagon'd slot he replaced into. And a power role claim is risky for him.
pieguyn wrote:I also don't make anything of him asking Tammy to rolecop him when he was in reality just a VT, for the obvious reason that he should theoretically just be able to kill Tammy anyway if he is scum here. I also think that due to him/Tammy apparently having a lot of experience with each other, he thought Tammy would see a potential VT result on him and pick up on what he was trying to do (that is, she would see him as clearly town for it as opposed to questioning why he lied). so the fact that he did that doesn't bug me. I also don't really agree that it was as misleading as a lot of people in this game seem to think it is - I had thought of the possibility that he was just VT fake claiming when it first came up (see: the first line of my setup spec post), and it appears some others had done the same.
By that same logic, he should realize, if he's town, that Tammy has a high chance of dying tonight. This point also doesn't even matter because he's not a town power role!
pieguyn wrote:outside of the claim, I thought the sheer level of conviction he had in response to his wagon read town. 2288 is one post in particular that makes me think this; I have no idea how people can read posts like this and think it comes from a scum player.
There is nothing about that post that makes me think he's town."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2561, RedCoyote wrote:What benefit is there for Nacho to withhold a claim that could be used to bolster his town cred? There's a lot of town benefit in doing that (he rolls the dice that he doesn't get pressure, Tammy dies, he gets to start catching some reports). As scum, it only serves to put a target on his back (see: Wicked's reaction). I'm not saying this because I think Nacho is necessarily town, but I could see his rationale a hell of a lot better (PR faking as VT) than I could for Oversoul (VT faking as not VT).
If he's town, it's sooo unlikely that he'd actually get to put his role to use though. He would not only have to survive today's lynch, but also tomorrow's lynch, before he could even investigate someone. I'm not seeing the value in this play..."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2563, RedCoyote wrote:Wicked, we belong together... why did you leave me for pie???
I think Nacho's slightly more likely to be scum."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2579, RedCoyote wrote:Not what I would've done, sure, but I also wouldn't have done what Oversoul did.
Agreed.
I still think they could both be scum."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2623, Nachomamma8 wrote:In post 2459, Wickedestjr wrote:In post 2329, Oversoul wrote:Meh. I won't be on when Tammy is here, but she was 100% right about my intentions with my claim.
I am a VT. Was trying to act vague and boisterous to draw the nightkill.
Unvote.
If you wanted to be "vague and boisterous to draw the nightkill", why didn't you claim "not VT" right off the bat?
Why did you unvote here?
Throughout the course of this day, you have been my top suspect. While Oversoul has been a close second, he has never surpassed you in suspiciousness. I only voted for Oversoul because he was a. ignoring a question that I had asked him (which frustrates me and gives me no other option) and b. was refusing to claim (same rationale). He claimed and eventually answered my question, so I un-voted with the intention of moving my vote back to you."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2629, Nachomamma8 wrote:I don't understand why I have to follow my set reads in order, though.
That's what I do when I'm confused (like I have been for most of this game).
Maybe that's why I don't fully understand your approach. Can you honestly tell me that, as confused town, you refer to what your other townreads think?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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implosion, why does the "why would they do this as scum" card come into play for Nacho's backup role cop claim, but not for pieguyn's change in read on notscience?
I think they're both savvy enough to realize the strangeness/surprising nature of their actions."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2664, pieguyn wrote:In post 2558, Wickedestjr wrote:He wanted to gain some town credit, but didn't actually have the power role to back it up.
[1.if he was playing for towncred, there are a fuckton of more reliable ways he could have went about it.][2.it isn't difficult at all to adequately fake a catchup - as in, a standard "read the thread and give reads on everyone" catchup]-[3.and even if he did decide to step in here and fakeclaim a PR, it would have been a lot more beneficial to scum-him here if he had just stuck with the PR claim instead of retracting it for as far as I can tell no reason]([4.and, no, trying to convince people he's "too scummy to be scum" is not a compelling reason, in no small part explicitly to how unreliable of a strategy it would be]). I still don't think, outside of that reason, anyone else has given any reason he would have bothered retracting the PR claim as scum or acknowledged the point that it would have been fairly obvious retracting it in the way he did would have done nothing to actually save him here.
1. Like what?
2. If it's not difficult to fake a catchup, then how would a regular catchup post be the optimal strategy for removing a bandwagon or getting town credit? (especially in a player list like this)
3. I don't think so. The presence of another power role is hard to believe (it's one of the reasons why I'm voting Nacho) and I'm pretty sure Oversoul realizes that. If he claimed power role, it would very much look like he was just trying to save himself from the bandwagon he's got. But the VT, not VT, VT charade is confusing/different, and it has earned him town credit because it's a strange thing for him to do as scum! e.g. He is being townread by you right now and doesn't seem to have suffered in any way from it (anyone scum reading him right now already did iirc).
4. But that seems to be basically what you're doing for him..."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2673, implosion wrote:Wicked wrote:implosion, why does the "why would they do this as scum" card come into play for Nacho's backup role cop claim, but not for pieguyn's change in read on notscience?
I don't see the comparison here. pie's change in read on notscience has a very clear motivation if she's scum beyond just "doing it to get wifom towncred."
I feel the exact opposite. Nacho's claim has very clear motivation imo. Not seeing what pie's motivation for changing her mind is -iirc, she started the argument with notscience."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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I just returned to school today, so I'll probably become less active soon too, but I'm still prioritizing mafia over other hobbies.
implosion, what did you think of not science's read change? While it wasn't as abrupt as pie's, it was also pretty radical."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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I don't like this post:
In post 2691, implosion wrote:I'm not really sure what my scumgame would look like after the year-ish long hiatus I took. I was gonna say I don't think it would look like this but aspects of it probably would, like the focusing on core townreads/waffling on others part, which is mostly because I've trained myself to do that as scum because I always wind up doing it as town. But I think my thought processes right now are not things that I would be able to fake here as scum."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2693, fferyllt wrote:And that happens to be the one concern I've never been able to shake about wicked.
There was a period of time during day 2 where I was kinda lost and trying to find a direction that I liked. But other than that, I think I've been pretty open about what my reads are."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2721, Oversoul wrote:In post 2715, Wickedestjr wrote:I just returned to school today, so I'll probably become less active soon too, but I'm still prioritizing mafia over other hobbies.
Good for you!
Thanks!"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2759, Nachomamma8 wrote:In post 2505, Wickedestjr wrote:The {1536, 1538, 1544} group implies that you voted him and then read through his posts, unless I'm reading it wrong. But 2464 doesn't seem to acknowledge that you voted him before reading through with the 'new lens' that you talked about.
I don't know if I've addressed this point or not, but what?
The bottom stuff wrt RC has nothing to do with me voting him.
So... youdidvote him before reading through his posts...
I don't understand how I'm misinterpreting."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2770, Nachomamma8 wrote:In post 2580, Wickedestjr wrote:In post 2563, RedCoyote wrote:Wicked, we belong together... why did you leave me for pie???
I think Nacho's slightly more likely to be scum.
I mean I know we talked about the whole RC switch, but is that it?
Pretty much + the lack of anything recent that sticks out as townish. Now I also don't like your backup role cop claim.
I mean, consider this from my perspective;
-everyone here is experienced, there aren't going to be a lot of mistakes being made
-you guys all know each other pretty well - but I haven't played with any of you recently and can't say that I've played more than a few times with anybody, there are a lot of strangers here
-my scum hunting style is very POEish and relies much more heavily on my ability to identify townies, that's pretty hard when everybody looks townish, unfortunately I'm not very good at catching scum tells
So yeah, I don't have a strong case against you for being scum. I just think your RC read change is hard to believe."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2773, Nachomamma8 wrote:In post 2667, Wickedestjr wrote:In post 2629, Nachomamma8 wrote:I don't understand why I have to follow my set reads in order, though.
That's what I do when I'm confused (like I have been for most of this game).
Maybe that's why I don't fully understand your approach. Can you honestly tell me that, as confused town, you refer to what your other townreads think?
Yes?
Then I guess it makes sense that you chose to reread RC first. Not sure your read-change is legitimate though."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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I've already said.
My top three suspects are probably you, Oversoul, implosion. But my best guess for scum team is still you, Oversoul, ffery."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2781, Nachomamma8 wrote:I've done most of the catching up I need to do today. The only real work I have left to do is look into Wicked some more, but something that seems weird to me is that Wicked actually let Oversoul get away with the VT-NotVT-VT claiming business and didn't drive him into the ground after that; he seems like the type who would flip the fuck out about something like that, but again, might be being judgmental again.
This isn't true. I made at least one big post explaining why I have issue with the lie. I'm not voting him, because I still thought that you were more likely to be scum.
I was frustrated, but I see no benefit to "flipping the f out" - especially when he hasn't even been around till recently."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2854, pieguyn wrote:In post 2853, Oversoul wrote:You spent the majority of this day saying I am town. What changed? How does your scum team change when I flip town?
I first thought the way you reacted to your wagon looked town as fuck. then I thought about it more and figured it'd probably be a lot easier to fake the majority of it if you did most of it from a "going down in flames" POV as opposed to a "get the wagon off me" POV.
Really? You just realized this now?
I'm pretty sure I made this point several days ago.
Are people even reading my posts?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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Unvote. Vote: Oversoul(L-1 I believe)
The recent pages are making me think that he's more likely to be scum than Nacho. In particular, I really like Tammy's posts about him on the last few pages. Oversoul's explanations don't really make sense. I can't believe him doubting Tammy right now. But my biggest problem is this: he recently said that he was trying to determine Tammy's alignment by attracting the investigation, but this doesn't work if Tammy-scum suspects that Oversoul is a VT. I have no idea what their experience with each other is like, but I do get the impression that Oversoul thought Tammy might figure it out. So the lie still seems pointless to me.
I still think Nacho is scum, but I've come to realize that about 20-30% of that scum read is based on a legitimate play style difference that I simply can't comprehend (specifically his follow town reads strategy).
I'll be honest, I'm starting to get bored with this day/game. That has nothing to do with my Oversoul vote (I would have gladly kept my vote Nacho for another day or two). But I do feel like I'm starting to mentally detach from this game, you guys are probably noticing it, and that is why. I can explain this feeling if anyone cares/wants to know."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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This is nonsense;
In post 2939, pieguyn wrote:I think Wicked's play D3 makes a hell of a lot of sense as scum distancing.1.he maintained both Oversoul and Nacho as top scum reads throughout the entire day without really committing to either.2.the scum motivation there would be that he doesn't want to draw attention onto himself if Nacho does get lynched, but wants to leave himself the option to vote on the counterwagon if necessary.3.as for the push itself, there was a lot of questioning but the only real point was Nacho's RC read flop, which felt a lot weaker than the reasoning for his Oversoul push on a general level (thinking the way Oversoul claimed was indicative of scum and that his reasoning for it didn't hold water).
1. Um no that's not true, try again. You're being ridiculous. Did I "maintain them as my top two for the entire day" or did I "not really commit to either" ? You can't argue both in the same sentence.That's a contradiction.I had been pushing Nacho and scum reading Vinkah since day 2. Day 3 was no different, they were my top two scum reads for ALL of day 3 and I almost always had my vote on one of them. I probably focused 75% of my energy on arguing why they were scum yesterday (which isn't bad considering their inactivity). I even made a big post arguing withyourOversoul-defense - nice of you to forget. So this "not really committing" point is garbage.
2. This also doesn't make sense. You think I was distancing from Nacho, but you also think I didn't want the attention if he got lynched.That's a contradiction.No, if I was bussing Nacho, then I would want it to be at least somewhat noticeable. And again: I was scum reading Vinkah long before he became a wagon, so this opportunism point is also bad.
3. You can't argue that my Nacho-push was weaker than my Oversoul and then criticize my Oversoul push in the same sentence.That's a contradiction.See the pattern everyone?I have several other problems with this sentence from you. a.) I explained why I didn't have much reasoning for my Nacho vote, but it doesn't seem like that explanation really interests you. b.) You are calling my Nacho-reasoning weak, but my vote for him was certainly not the least-justified vote. c.) There'smotivation for me to craft a multi-point case for Nacho-scum when I was already getting lots of support AND when I genuinely didn't have any other points to give AND when I have other things that I like to do in my life.zero
Seriously, give me a friggin break, this post is awful. Starting to feel like you might be the townread I was wrong about and that I'myourfinal mis-lynch target. You spent the entire game ignoring me and now that Oversoul's gone, it's my turn, huh?
You haven't given a single legitimate reason for disliking my Nacho push. Instead you've just attacked the push without considering my reasoning. You are dead set on scum reading me today. If I had taken any other stance with regard to Nacho (ignoring him completely or defending him against the bandwagon) then you could still easily scum read me fornotattacking him. But the fact of the matter is that I attacked Nacho so you have to scum read me for "bussing". But really I could have taken any stance wrt Nacho and you'd have found a way to have issue with it I bet. Again, it seems like this is true, because your reasons are awful/forced and you've ignored my town motivation/explanations for everything I've done.
Hmm... on the topic of bad Nacho votes - what would you think if a player pushed the bandwagon and then unvoted for weak reasoning ? Oh hey that was you..."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2941, RedCoyote wrote:I'm officially fine with a Wicked lynch.
Why? Please tell me it's not because of pie's last post.
But this is a surprising change considering there are still two living players outside yesterday's town bloc..."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2948, fferyllt wrote:Why do you think pie/notscience/nacho make sense?
Pie/notscience - Their interactions from yesterday are bizarre if they're not both scum and I could very well see two experienced friends orchestrating an argument to fool an equally experienced town. Note that their fight started shortly after the day began. A connection between them would also explain why they are both town reading each other now despite previously scum reading each other with certainty. I initially thought it was town v town, because they were both decently strong town reads, but it's becoming clear to me (now that Oversoul/implosion aren't mafia) that at least one of them is scum. So now scum v scum is a very legitimate possibility in my mind. Furthermore, I have trouble seeing scum push a townie as hard as they pushed each other: scum v scum makes more sense than scum v town.
Pie/Nacho - Pie didn't really start pushing Nacho till the middle of yesterday (IIRC), voted Nacho, but ended up unvoting towards the end of the day and changing her read on Oversoul from town to scum. She scum readmefor leaving myself the option to switch to the Oversoul wagon, but I had been scum reading Vinkah long before he became a wagon, so I think this point is more applicable to her.
notscience/Nacho - I honestly can't remember any of their interactions off the top of my head, which on its own might be a sign that they're scum together. But this is something that I want to look at later."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2951, pieguyn wrote:the thing is, after we blew up at each other and he read me as town he immediately doubled down on the Nacho read. that's a town thought process and I highly doubt it was faked.
I don't see how you're concluding it's a town thought process rather than a bus.
pieguyn wrote:he was the first vote on the Nacho wagon with the reasoning that he was "sheeping you". the thing with this is, you weren't even voting Nacho at that point - and when you did, it wasn't a "to lynch" vote, it was a reaction vote. so if he bussed there, he did it entirely unnecessarily.
First of all, he wasn't the first vote on the Nacho wagon. Secondly, this point is weak - not all busses have to be strong/independent/"to lynch" votes. Third, he joined the bandwagon by "sheeping ffery" which gives him the option to leave the bandwagon if he wants to- why are you ignoring that aspect ofhisvote?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2952, pieguyn wrote:the entire point is that, despite reading both Nacho and Oversoul as scum, you left the door wide open as to which, specifically, you thought was more likely to be scum. this allows you to vote whichever one looks like it's more likely to go through, or move your vote around for strategic reasons (ex: looking like you're open to a Nacho lynch but then voting Oversoul at the end - which is what I think you did here), and so forth. and I think that in this case, there is scum motivation here in that it allowed you to look like you were open to a Nacho lynch, but not actually doing anything to lynch him, which is fairly typical of scum distancing from each other.
This issooooridiculously untrue/false. Regardless of your alignment, I'm starting to get frustrated with you (and the people that don't see how you're so wrong).
1. I did not leave the door open as to which player I thought was more likely to be scum. I was voting Nacho for almost the entire day, only switched to Oversoul temporarily because he was ignoring my question and refusing to claim (and I switched it back to Nacho as soon as Oversoul did these things). I clearly stated/implied on a few occasions yesterday that Nacho was my top suspect.How in the worldare you missing that?
2. If I really wanted the ability to switch my vote from Nacho to Oversoul, then listing Nacho as my top suspect wouldn't prevent me from doing that.
3. Doing nothing to lynch him?!? Are you friggin kidding me? I did more than most/all of the other players that voted for him. I started the wagon on him on days 2 and 3, gave actual reasons for doing so beyond gut/POE, and I argued with him throughout the last day. That's more than most/all of this town can say.
pieguyn wrote:but no, I don't see anything in your posts D3 that indicates that you explicitly would have preferred a Nacho lynch over an Oversoul lynch (which is what I said in my first point).
you maintained both of them as scum reads. you voted Nacho right at the start of D3, then voted Oversoul because of claimgate and for supposedly ignoring your question. then you voted Nacho again for lying about his claim. then you put Oversoul at L-1 at the end. nowhere did you explicitly take a stance either way, ex. "I'd significantly prefer a Nacho lynch over an Oversoul lynch" or "I'd significantly prefer an Oversoul lynch over a Nacho lynch", or attempt to convince anyone on the Oversoul wagon to join you on the Nacho wagon, or anything along those lines.
so where in here am I supposed to get the impression you weren't intending to leave Oversoul open as a lynch option here?
Signs that Nacho was my top choice;
-I voted him as soon as day 3 started. That's a clear implication that I preferred his lynch over Oversoul. Obviously I wouldn't vote my 2nd strongest suspect right off the bat.
-I returned my vote to Nacho as soon as Oversoul did what I wanted him to do.
-I made it clear that I suspected Oversoul, but avoided joining the wagon even when RC was asking me to;
Spoiler: Quote 1
-I explicitly state that Nacho's my top suspect here;
Spoiler: Quote 2
BTW;
-The first time I voted Oversoul yesterday, it wasnotbecause I wanted to lynch him. It was because I was pressuring him to get answers.
-The second time I voted Oversoul, I had changed my mind, but I gave good reasons for doing so (which you have also ignored) and made the switch shortly before the day ended.
pieguyn wrote:In post 2944, Wickedestjr wrote:3. You can't argue that my Nacho-push was weaker than my Oversoul and then criticize my Oversoul push in the same sentence. That's a contradiction.
no, it isn't, and you are either misinterpreting or deliberately misrepresenting what I said there. I did not (and never intended to) criticize the reasoning behind your Oversoul push; all I'm saying is that your Oversoul push was significantly stronger than your Nacho push.
I saw this:
pieguyn wrote:as for the push itself, there was a lot of questioning but the only real point was Nacho's RC read flop, which felt a lot weaker than the reasoning for his Oversoul push on a general level (thinking the way Oversoul claimed was indicative of scum and that his reasoning for it didn't hold water).
and assumed you were saying that my Oversoul push didn't hold water. Am I wrong?"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2953, pieguyn wrote:In post 2944, Wickedestjr wrote:Hmm... on the topic of bad Nacho votes - what would you think if a player pushed the bandwagon and then unvoted for weak reasoning ? Oh hey that was you...
did you miss the part where I wanted to wait for Tammy to catch up and give her thoughts on the situation re: Nacho and where Nacho informed me I was misreading a part of why I thought he could be scum?
I didn't miss it. I just think it's weak/hypocritical if you're town, but a nice way to protect your partner if you're bussing."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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In post 2956, pieguyn wrote:the thing with this game is I'm very very very sure that both of {notsci, ffery} are town and I don't see myself reversing either of these reads unless something drastic happens. so, *if* either of {Wicked, RC} are town here, they need to convince me that I'm wrong about one of these reads.
Obviously something I cannot do because I've been town reading them for most of the game. NS is mostly a POE scum read at this point. Pretty sure RC is in the same boat as I am. All I can do is defend the allegations against myself.
In post 2957, notscience wrote:I think Wicked is the reason we didn't lynch RC at the end of day 2.
Discuss.
In post 2958, pieguyn wrote:that actually makes a lot of sense.
I'm reading through it again and Wicked had a lot of posts where he kinda sorta token-opposed the RC miller claim, but then he didn't actually vote him until it was too late to do anything about it.
This is awful too. I was initially critical of RC's claim and wanted to lynch him immediately after it, but SS convinced me that the miller claim was weird if RC was scum. SS had the most significant impact on RC's survival that day. You guys are blatantly misreading it."You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. -Wayne Gretzky"
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