Newbie 1732 [Game Over!]: InnocentVille
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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I've seen the RVS self-vote a couple of times, but I can't link it here. I don't think it's necessarily indicative of alignment.In post 42, AstralFlare wrote:
That was in 2012! In her more recent games, I'm unable to find any examples of anyone selfvoting during RVS.she opened up with a self vote in Open 398, where she ended up being scum. I couldn't find any other games where she started like that.
Chrimi: In addition to Jib's question, I would like to know if you've had any recent off-site experience.
It's the middle of the day for me (11:35 AM as I write this) so I'm working - most of my posts will come on the weekend or in the evening (my time).In post 39, AstralFlare wrote:Jibs seems towny, he's quite actively questioning people and trying to push the discussion forward, with lots of effort spent on checking Chrimi's past games. I'll be investigating those as well, and I'll post in a few hours if I find anything interesting.
Implosion, is your Penguin FoS tone based as well?
Shannon and rocnix, do you have any thoughts right now on anything?
I do find it interesting that people are checking Chrimi's past games so thoroughly at such an early stage, based on what looked (to me) to be a reasonably off-hand comment. I personally don't delve in to past games looking for clues as to play style, I just go on what I remember from playing with them.-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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IMHO having an alt account totally matters in a game like this. It's not like you're playing a hunter instead of a mage and that gives you different abilities. Unless you're faking a whole other personality, an alt in mafia only serves to obscure yourself to get an advantage over players who might otherwise recognise your style and your tells.In post 49, Chrimi wrote:Wait wait wait
Are you guys seriously taking my first post's RVS joking self-vote as somehow scummy?
I've had alternate accounts, as well, not that it matters. I've also played a shitton off-site. :s
VOTE: Chrimi for being the sort of person who has alts to hide behind.-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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In post 42, AstralFlare wrote:
That was in 2012! In her more recent games, I'm unable to find any examples of anyone selfvoting during RVS.she opened up with a self vote in Open 398, where she ended up being scum. I couldn't find any other games where she started like that.
Chrimi: In addition to Jib's question, I would like to know if you've had any recent off-site experience.
Astral Eevee - why are you defending Chrimi against Jibs' comment here?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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In post 66, Jibs wrote:Hello Shannon! I have some questions for you.
VOTE: shannon
Do you see scum agenda behind the people questioning Chrimi?In post 43, shannon wrote:I do find it interesting that people are checking Chrimi's past games so thoroughly at such an early stage, based on what looked (to me) to be a reasonably off-hand comment. I personally don't delve in to past games looking for clues as to play style, I just go on what I remember from playing with them.
How much of this post was sarcastic?In post 51, shannon wrote: IMHO having an alt account totally matters in a game like this. It's not like you're playing a hunter instead of a mage and that gives you different abilities. Unless you're faking a whole other personality, an alt in mafia only serves to obscure yourself to get an advantage over players who might otherwise recognise your style and your tells.
VOTE: Chrimi for being the sort of person who has alts to hide behind.
I don't see scum in the people isoing Chrimi, I just think it's a little unusual for this stage in the game. Like someone said, it's a Very Serious Game
I *am* a stickler for rules but that was a reaction test-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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In post 97, thenewearth wrote:
Shannon's voteIn post 67, Jibs wrote:thenewearth: Can you give me a read on penguinpower? Can you explain your read on shannon?
Incredibly scummy
Must die
In post 109, Jibs wrote:Hello everyone!
Here is the case on Shannon. (snippy snip but clicky the linky to view it again)[/post]
The point of my post and vote wasn't to test Chrimi's reaction, it was the see the rest of you react - to see what you would make out of a rubbish point made early. And the winner is ... 0x40, whose first post came in just after my 'reaction test', and who made a giant mountain out of a molehill. His very first post is 71 where he votes Chrimi over basically a typo or turn of phrase, then kicks it on to 75, 92, 93, 94, 100...etc etc. The whole ISO is basically pushing Chrimi over absolutely nothing. I'm not sure whether it's alignment indicative or just overzealous/personality based, but it's worth a vote at this point.
VOTE: 0x40
Implosion is looking fairly neutral at this point, I can't tell much between his IC posts and his regular play style.
Jibs is behaving decently townily and I liked that he questioned me over my change of mind on Chrimi
Chrimi reads like frustrated town
I've not really got much of a read on the others at this point.
Apologies for not being part of the big conversation that happened, it was overnight for me. GMT+8-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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^^Agree with Astral Flare (GMT+8 too? Perth too?) that Implosion is as much trying to IC as he is play the game. I don't think he's deliberately trying to cause confusion but it's not always clear to me whether he's saying something with his IC hat on or whether it's his personal opinion. Maybe Implosion you could italicise your IC stuff just to differentiate it from your regular play?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Astral Flare - No one else is really sticking out to me as scummy at this point, I think I'll go re-read everything.
PEdit: Actually Chrimi makes an interesting point about the misrep. And this part he quoted from AF is kinda hilariously dramatic
"You will explain this contradiction, along with giving the usernames of all your other alts, if you want this vote to be elsewhere today."-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Alright, here it is. 0x40, stop it with the Chrimi thing. All you're doing is frustrating people and derailing conversation. If Chrimi is scum, it's not because of having alt accounts. Let's find something *in this game* that's relevant to alignment. It's actually really hard to get a read on anyone with this whole thing going on, it's distracting and I don't like it.
Basically, this.In post 224, Chrimi wrote:
1. There are many players who believe meta is bogus.In post 223, 0x40 wrote:
What reason? And saying that your meta is useless is not a valid reason, because that's simply not true.In post 219, Chrimi wrote:I already gave you a reason why I can't. Remove your vote, or find a real reason why I'm scummy.
2. Alternate accounts are made to try different playstyles, or to enjoy people not knowing who your main is.
3. Me giving the username(s) of my alt(s) is completely pointless and doesn't help town or scum.
Also, for what it's worth - meta isn't necessarily helpful to town. I won my first time as scum, quite comprehensively with both of us still alive. Next game, one of the players was the moderator from my scum game, who knew all my tells and tricks from watching me do it ... and he town read me all game, we made it to MYLO, and I won again, as scum. Meta doesn't always help town. So let's just play this game and let Chrimi have alts, OK?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Quickie reads list, and thanks to Implosion for separating his IC self from his game self. Order of people copied from page 1 so I didn't miss anyone.
1. Jibs - Previously a weak town read because he called me out over my reaction test, which I thought was fair enough. Something from his 264 set me off, asking Chrimi re: Implosion - "From your perspective, who would his scumbuddy be? I think he would bother to make up a reason for townreading af if he was scum with af, but maybe I'm being paranoid here". This, to me, reads like a newbie rushing in to defend his scum buddy (implosion in this case) unnecessarily. So I'm keeping an eye on Jibs now.
2. AstralFlare - I like Astral Flare for town, especially for his comment to PP in 193. Pointing out these sorts of inconsistencies (i.e. scum reading but not voting) is good town play.
3. PenguinPower - Not much to go on, to be honest. Engages with Chrimi over the alt thing and then responds to Jibs, but there's not much more to see. Null I guess.
4. 0x40 - Scummish for the tunnelling of Chrimi over the alt issue, but could have been a TvT thing driven by personality. Keeping an eye on him.
5. Rocnix - I'm getting decently town vibes, her play reads like newbie town. Lots of questions, referring to the wiki, but also calling out things like misrepresentation. Asking for reads lists a lot is something that I think new town does, when they're unsure of how to really participate themselves.
6. Chrimi (SE) - Still think she's frustrated town.
7. thenewearth (SE) - It's bothering me that the SE hasn't provided much content, beyond a defense of alts. Unsure whether this is because of business elsewhere or general lurkerdom. Has to be null for now.
8. shannon (SE) - Me! Town! Yeah!
9. implosion (IC) - I can't get a read here, Implosion is a much better player than I am and I have seen the whole 'reasonable town leader' thing from scum as well as from town. I think I'm going to have to wait for a flip before I know anything much about him.-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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I have some questions about this postIn post 251, 0x40 wrote:Here are my reads so far:
Jibs: Seems to be extremely overconfident in some of his reads, putting shannon at 31% scum for very minor reasons, and townreading Rocnix at 19% scum for seemingly no reason at all. He thinks policy lynching is a good enough of an idea to bring it up, which is insane from a town perspective. Lynching based on policy rather than lynching whoever is the most scummy is extremely anti-town. He wants Chrimi to not get replaced and doesn't give a good explanation why. 32% scum.
Chrimi: Isn't really scumhunting much, is very selective in the questions she chooses to answer, selfvoted during rvs, votes implosion for some strange reason, anddoesn't seem to have much of a read on anyone. 30% scum.
thenewearth: Pretty much all her posts are completely useless.Seems to have basically no reads whatsoever on anyone, and has done next to no scumhunting. 27% scum.
shannon:Doesn't seem to have any reads on anyone either, but seems to at least trying to scumhunt. 23% scum.
implosion:Hasn't really given much of a read on anyone since post #33, but that's kinda understandable considering that not much has happened in this game so far. 23% scum.
AstralFlare: Is supposedly working on a readlist that will be posted today. Been actively scumhunting. 22% scum.
PenguinPower: Makes a reasonable case against Chrimi in #110. Has a readlist that makes sense. 20% scum.
Rocnix: Has a readlist that's almost identical to PenguinPower's. Not much else to go by. 23% scum.
1) Why is Implosion excused for not having reads ('kinda understandable considering that not much has happened') but for everyone else it's a negative?
2) How is TNE 'pretty much useless' at 27%, and yet me, implosion, rocnix are at 23% with seemingly neutral reads? Is 4% a significant margin for you?
3) Penguin gets credit for a reasonable case and gets 20%, but people who are not giving reads are only on 22% or 23% ... again, is 2 or 3% really significant?
Isn't this list just a way of saying that everyone is about the same, but you think Jibs and Chrimi are slightly scummier ... I guess I think that the words and %s don't match up.
Finally - aren't you town reading everyone based on this? If no one is more than 50% scum, aren't we all town? So isn't this list kind of ... meaningless?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Sorry guys, still got major renovation going on here so I haven't had as much time available to concentrate as I would like.
I can see why newbie town would ask this, but I don't think there's a good way to answer it without giving scum some kind of useful information. So here's a general answer, strategies that scum might pursue -In post 297, Rocnix wrote:
Shannon, I have a bit of an oddball question for you (or anyone who would like to throw in their two cents): Who do you think is in the most danger of being nightkilled?
1) NK the towniest person and leave everyone wondering
2) NK someone at that others have been scum reading, and leave everyone wondering
3) NK someone they suspect is a PR
4) NK someone who is doing a good job as town, i.e. is a logical thinker and able to influence others
5) NK someone chosen deliberately to make everyone wonder what was going on, like picking someone who's been on totally the wrong track and then offing them
Personally when I play as scum, I'd go for 3), then 5), 2), 4) and 1) in order of preference. Others mileage may vary.
Later you say I'd probably thinking about NKs as a town PR or as scum, and that's true of me as a vanilla townie also. I'm always looking at the whole situation and trying to draw out possible conclusions. If I'm doing this in late game as town it's generally guaranteed to get me killed, but at least (if the remaining townies don't take me for a VI or ignore my thoughts) it gives them something to go on.
In post 307, Rocnix wrote:I may as well explain my whole logic behind that question, since it's unsafe to get answers:
1) It gives a partial readlist in a different context, by talking about who would kill, who has motivation to, and who is town enough to be killed.
2) Talking about who scum should kill and why gives more context to analysis tomorrow.
3) It's a question specifically about maf's actions, so it's a lie in which they can be caught. I'm not good at reading subtle things, so I could use a specific interaction to target.
Is there a way to examine this without threatening prs?
I think it's useful to discuss potential NK or lynch candidates later in the game after we've had at least one or two flips, but this early, it's really just a crap shoot.
Also re: 2), if I said for example 'OK scum should totally kill Chrimi' and they did, how would you work out whether a) I was scum and killing Chrimi, or whether b) someone else was scum and took that as as a way of pinning it on me, or whether c) I was scum and did it because I thought I could use b) as a strategy to get away with it?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Someone said that TNE is tunnelling me, but as far as I can tell there's no tunnelling going on. This is what I've got from TNE's ISO, what am I missing?
Spoiler:
By the way, it would be really helpful TNE to tell me what you think needs fixing, I'm useless at reading between the lines. What do I need to fix or make more transparent?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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OK it's wine o'clock so I'm sitting down and trying to find something to post about because frankly I can't make head nor tail of this game so far. I suck at D1 I think it's fair to say.
The only thing I'm wondering is whether Chrimi is hiding a bit behind playstyle. Like, by using lots of accusatory tones and getting a bit dramatic, she's building in an automatic defense, something along the lines of 'you just don't like how I do things' or 'you just don't get it'. That's basically all I got.-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Agree re: Implosion's most recent post, I don't like the appeal to our just-finished game. It was a very different game from this one, it had 19 players and an unknown setup, and it was full of very strong characters and completely rubbish gambits and hundreds of pages wasted on utter tosh. I was unsure how to interact with it in the early stages, it just seemed too big to me, I'd wake up to tens of pages every morning. (My disengagement didn't serve me well in the late game, when no one really listened to/cared about my thoughts because I'd been deliberately useless early on - lesson to town, always participate). This game is nothing like that!
I think it's really helpful to see the votes in list format, it makes connections a bit clearer.
We have Chrimi on AF, AF on TNE ,TNE on 0x40, and 0x40 on Chrimi in a round-robin of OMGUS and early game grudges. I think one of our scum is here, waiting for the point when *fine*, if town demands it, they'll abandon their grudge and vote on a popular wagon. So I need to ask who's doing the most to keep this thing going?
Rocnix and Implosion are also on TNE. I can't see why TNE is scummier than any of the others in the Alt Drama Squad. Rocnix says she's there because TNE isn't participating 297. From what I can tell, TNE's entire gameplay is Alt Drama Squad stuff and then supposed tunneling of me. So OK, I can see that. Implosion gives roughly the same reason in 296. I'm not sure whether I buy it entirely. Something about Implosion's phrasing, 'ironically join the wagon', throws me off. I need to see how this develops once TNE rejoins the game.
Jibs, why aren't you voting?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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My post perhaps made me seem more confident than I am, but it just seems convenient that the whole thing keeps rolling on with these four players. and it's not like it's two sets of pairs cross-voting each other, it really is a round robin. So I think someone is invested in keeping that going as cover.In post 336, AstralFlare wrote:
Why do you think scum is there? Last I checked, you had Chrimi and I as town, and PP and implosion who aren't in the round robin as null. Assuming your first scumread is Jibs, what makes you so quick to discount PP and implosion, and so confident that it's either TNE or 0x40 as second scum?In post 333, shannon wrote:We have Chrimi on AF, AF on TNE ,TNE on 0x40, and 0x40 on Chrimi in a round-robin of OMGUS and early game grudges. I think one of our scum is here
I should probably UNVOTE: Jibs at this point to keep my options open.
Yeah that's kind of the point of the game?In post 337, thenewearth wrote:Ya'll are reading waaay to into texts btw
In post 342, PenguinPower wrote:So...you were too busy, and needed 2-3 hours, to basically say that 0x40 is scum because he's tunneling your subjectively-called weakest player, Chrimi; and, that shannon is town because you said so but will never tell us. Oh and screw providing your town reads because...yeah...
Solid reasoning...thanks for your contributions...you have definitely helped town out here.
That's totally not a defense for not participating. It's not like scum can't make their own judgments about who's towniest. And it's also not like scum auto kill the towniest looking person - someone can be both genuinely towny and wrong about who's scum, after all. (Pedit - What implosion said)In post 343, thenewearth wrote:Yeah because making it easier for scum to NK the towniest player is the greatest contribution
bzzt
So, the question is: Is TNE scum, or is he just being difficult?-
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shannon
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Quickie update because I"m just reading over lunch and have like 10 mins.
TNE has moved up my town list with her latest posts. I am feeling a bit off about Implosion and about 0x40, given what I said about the 'round robin' voting and how TNE has pointed out that 0x40 has done next to nothing useful so far. I feel like implosion is just smoothing over any issues raised about him and it feels a bit off putting. "It's the vibe of the thing", as they say. I'll try to be more specific when I can make a substantive post later tonight or tomorrow.
Regarding Rocnix: If she comes back from this prod and it becomes a 'thing' that she needs prodding but never actually gets replaced, I'd vote to lynch on policy. I've twice had it happen where someone (town) did this and in both cases it only helped scum. (They eventually replaced at the 3P LYLO stage, and it was a disaster - much better to have offed them early and got on with things).-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Alrighty, going back and ISOing Jibs I've decided he's FOS, i.e. the tone isn't the only thing that he's faking.
In 171 he seems like scum who has more info than everyone else. He seems so all-over the game that he can not only suggest scum partners for Chrimi, he can also suggest town reads based on those scum reads.
171 - "First, I had some reasonably strong associative reads at that point in the game, and I thought other town players would as well. You seemed to be putting a fair amount of effort into the game, and it was surprising that you couldn't pick a scumpartner for Chrimi.I think me, Rocnix, tne, and especially imp all would have been good choices from the perspective of town!PP, but even if you had different reads, that would have been fine, as long as there was some reasonable explanation"
"Second, I didn't like your townreads on me and imp. At that point, if you think Chrimi is scum, you should be very suspicious of imp for scumreading her, making an incredibly weak push on her, and then leaving his vote on you. Additionally, you should be suspicious of me because I voted Chrimi, changed my vote in 66, and said basically fuckall about her alignment after that while going after other players"
Later, in 243, two things stand out to me. It sounds like he's trying to suggest (but stealthily) a policy lynch on 0x40. It also sounds like he's trying to make up for some over-confidence by saying how his reads are bad. Notice how back in 171 he was full of suggestions and game theory advice for another player, and now he's no good at the game.
243 "While it might be nice to policy 0x40, we absolutely cannot afford to right now" -- " I'm just not reading the game very well at this point =/"
Now again in 266, Jibs is reading the game poorly, and apologising for discounting someone else's reads. This seems like he has realised his previous over confidence might seem scummy, and he's trying to back away from making strong claims.
"I don't mean to discount your reads, especially when I'm reading the game so poorly. I will definitely keep af and pp in mind as possible lynches. If you are town, I think it is likely that we will need your vote in order to lynch scum, and I am very happy that you took the time to post a read wall"
Finally, 283, Jibs gives himself an excuse for any future changes-of-read, he's happy to follow the herd.
"The point is, three different people called me out on my rocnix read, and it's not possible for scumteam to be you+pp+imp. I don't think you would change a read based on people disagreeing, but I 100% would"
Anyone else see what I see?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Jibs - Regarding the lynch pool.
To narrow it down, I'd like to lynch within the round robin, excluding TNE because his response to the wagon on him seemed so towny. So that's AF, 0x40, and Chrimi. I think that we might get useful info by picking one of these, since there's been a lot of interaction around them.
I am back and forth on Jibs and Implosion. They're both a bit too smooth for my liking, and I can't tell their alignment. Certainly, a flip from them would be revealing in some way, but I'm not sure whether it's worth the risk because they'd both be great assets to town *if* they're town.
I can't support a lynch on TNE (as above), or Rocnix (because it would just be policy at this point).-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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I also wouldn't mind hearing from the people who are voting elsewhere, because from my end at least, 0x40 is one of a few suspects and my vote on him is partly because we're nearing deadline and need to consolidate, as Implosion says. Implosion, AF, Rocnix, do any of you have a strong town read on 0x40, or are you feeling OK about this?
(Thought: Did ScumImplosion talk about consolidation so that I would vote 0x40?)-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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I am not very impressed with 0x40's reason for not claiming. I'm referring to this - "Of course I want to hide my role. I want this day to end with scum having as little information about who the prs are as possible, and unless I'm convinced I'm getting lynched if I don't, I'm not claiming."
0x40, here are the problems with this, for me:
1) Flips give info to scum, so if you're holding out and someone hammers you anyway, scum will know your role.
2) If you were going to claim a PR and are trying to avoid it, 1) happening is really bad because it doesn't give any other town PRs the chance to save you.
3)You haven't identified another candidate for scum. At least give us someone else to look at?-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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shannon Mafia Scum
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Given that pretty much everyone either voted or stated intent to hammer, it's pretty safe to say there was scum
Involvement.
If you are a town pr, this is the time to think about your night action. If you have a protective role, try to use it on someone you think is a PR. If you don't have any idea about other PRs, target someone you think is town. But please prioritise suspected PRs first. (I say this as someone who was once killed the same night I would have got a result on scum, because the doc protected her favourite town player instead of me).
If you have an investigative role, please target someone in your 'dunno' zone. Not someone you think is definite scum or town, but someone you're unsure of. The aim is to get as much info as possible.-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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In post 466, thenewearth wrote:Shannon its posts like that that make me think you're 1000% scum :/
Because you disagree with my recommendations, or because I posted at all? I see a few others have now added their own advice, which may be better or worse than mine (likely better, they've got more experience), so I'm sure our PRs will take that in to account.
Jibs, sorry to see you go. I don't know whether Implosion was crumbing anything TBH, and if there's cryptic stuff going on it's going over my head. That's part of why I am playing mafia, I am trying to learn not to take everything literally, and not to speak so forthrightly.-
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shannon Mafia Scum
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PR controlling = giving what I thought was good advice, YMMVIn post 473, thenewearth wrote:Nah its because that post was almost either
role fishing, LAMIST post, PR controlling
All 3 points are scummy
I don't see how it's role fishing, because how would the fish be caught? Someone says 'oh thanks Shannon, cool, I'll protect X today'?
I don't know what LAMIST is but will google it.-
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Re: Drone 483 -
For me, the vote was between four people because they were all voting each other in turn over what I think is petty distracting crap (alts and VIs and whatnot). I ruled out one of them based on a towny response to accusations. Out of the others, 0x40 was the scummiest, and he ended up being one we all agreed upon. I can't tell whether the others thought it was policy, but his behaviour definitely didn't help.
It's a little weird to me that 0x40 had four votes on him, with Chrimi and implosion both willing to hammer, Drone pointing FOS, just leaving Jibs as the only one not supporting the lynch. I guess the flip will tell whether this was the Best Town Wagon Ever or whether there's scum laughing somewhere in back.-
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There totally could be a doctor.In post 495, PenguinPower wrote:
Wait...why just those two? Could there not also be a Doctor?In post 493, Chrimi wrote:That's.. very interesting? So we've got a JK, BP or both.-
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I thought this was a bit weird at the time and now I think it's weirder given no-one died overnight, so here's a recap of D1 lynching. The quotes are spoilered in the bottom. This wasn't meant to be a massive post but it just grew that way.
408 - I respond to Jibs' question about the lynch pool, stating I'd like to lynch one of AF, 0x40, and Chrimi.
409 - Chrimi votes AF
410 - PP votes 0x40
411 - Jibs votes 0x40 and declares it L-2, questions whether the TNE wagon has scum on it
414 - Jibs suggests it's too easy for scum to hammer their buddy because we all want the day to end
415 - I say I'm waiting for the VC before I vote (implied: I want to vote 0x40 but don't want to accidentally hammer)
417 - vote count shows L-2
418 - Lengthy post by Implosion about how we need to consolidate votes on one person (it's this that twigs me, see below).
419 - Implosion questions 0x40
422 - I vote 0x40 (L-1)
424 - Chrimi gives intent to hammer
Going back to what I hinted in 425, I think Implosion gave his write up about consolidating votes as a signal to Chrimi to move to hammer 0x40 (he'd voted AF in 409 and then gives intent to hammer 0x40 in 424). We were already naturally 'consolidating', 0x40 was at L-2, and I'd said in 415 that I wanted the official VC before voting, i.e. I didn't want to accidentally hammer, so my intention to vote him to L-1 was clear. So what was the point of Implosion's post about consolidating, other than to signal a scum buddy that hammering was OK? Why did implosion basically tell us to stick with the wagon in 418, ask heaps of question of 0x40 in 419, and then not vote?
Bolded in here are the weird bits of implosions posts for me:
Spoiler:
I also want to look at Jibs' question, whether the TNE wagon had scum aboard, but I don't really know where to go with that. Maybe someone else can help? The wagons for reference:
TNE wagon - AF, Rocnix, implosion, Chrimi
0x40 wagon - TNE, PP, Jibs, shannon, Chrimi
Based on what I've said, I'm going to VOTE: Implosion
Here's all the posts I referred to in my big list above
Spoiler:-
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Ugh I missed the button, this is implosion 501 -
"shannon, I think calling for consolidation is still relevant even with those additional votes on 0x; it wasn't clear that the wagon was going to take off (I didn't interpret your 415 as saying you were going to vote 0x specifically), and just looking at the vote count before I posted there were three singleton votes, one 2-vote wagon, one 3-vote wagon, and one non-vote - hardly consolidated".
OK, so Implosion, Chrimi - -In post 502, Chrimi wrote:The reason for wanting town to consolidate is so we don't have a no-lynch and end up with no information on Day Two, no?
Implosion's post above (and Chrimi's defense of Implosion) states that the reason for asking for consolidation is to avoid the possibility of a no lynch at end of D1. This is fine in and of itself, it makes sense to vote *someone* rather than no one. The points I have a problem with are as follows:
1) I flat-out don't believe that implosion didn't realise I was going to vote 0x40. I had narrowed it down to three candidates, and stated I wanted to see the VC first. The only reason to see a VC first is, IMHO, to make sure you're not going to accidentally hammer. Otherwise, why does it matter what the votes are? The other two of my candidates had only one vote on them each, ergo, I was waiting to make sure that the L-2 wagon on 0x40 really was L-2. I think Implosion is a close reader and I think he would have noticed this signal.
2) Implosion's point above about the wagon distribution makes sense if you look at the VC in 417 alone, but not if you look at the context. The two votes on TNE were the remainder of a wagon that was disbanding, remember? One of the two votes on TNE was part of the 'round robin' four players all voting one another, and the other vote was the AFK Rocnix. I don't believe Implosion thought L-3 on TNE would be a plausible, growing wagon, let alone a competing wagon to the L-2 on 0x40. Especially since two of the votes on 0x40 happened within ten posts of Implosion calling for us to consolidate.
3) Implosion calls the wagons 'hardly consolidated', but I said that we werestartingto consolidate of our own accord. Again, immediately prior to my checking the VC, there were two votes on 0x40 in quick succession. This to me suggests that we were getting organised around one candidate.
4) Why, if the priority to lynch and get info, did implosion ask 0x40 questions, and not add his vote? Especially since 0x40 was at L-2, and Implosion didn't consider this a 'sure' wagon? An info seeking vote could have really helped put the pressure on 0x40 to give us useable stuff instead of just attitude.
I'm keen to hear anyone else's thoughts on this.-
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All I can say is that I just played with Implosion (we were both town) and he seems different here. He seems, in my limited experience, like a really good player and a really close reader. I expect him to pick up on things like my intended vote, and he says he didn't. I expect him to remember that TNE's wagon was disbanding, not building up. If someone else made those sorts of mistakes I'd expect him to call them out on it, so for him to make the mistakes himself suggests to me that they're scum and not actual mistakes.-
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Initially I thought that forgetting the doctor might have been due to Chrimi having one particular scum role, but then I looked at the matrix and saw that there could be other town PRs with that role, so nope, not a scum slip.In post 521, Chrimi wrote:
How is it a scumslip? If anything it's a "I'm obviously not a doctor" slipIn post 520, PenguinPower wrote:
Why would it be weird for someone to see a scumslip in that?In post 509, Chrimi wrote:Me forgetting this setup might have a doctor is suspicious? Oh boy.-
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Congratulations TNE, your role fishing has put you next in line to be ISOd! It's not the fishing per se, it's the fact that you cautioned against it earlier:
(when I ask what the best thing to do is)In post 473, thenewearth wrote:Nah its because that post was almost either
role fishing,LAMIST post, PR controlling
All 3 points arescummyThen today ...
But there *is* a point in a BP not claiming, it obscures things for scum.In post 515, thenewearth wrote:No point in actually hiding that fact
Hell that's the most anti-town shit you can pull especially when it reaches later days
Why would scum ask for a BP claim?
1) To find out whether or not they were JKed (like if I was targeted last night and said I was BP, scum would know they weren't JKed)
2) To narrow down the options for the setup
In my ISOing I see that you've done no scum hunting at all this game. You've talked about alts, called me scum for doing a reaction test, called Chrimi scum for really weak reasons, and dealt with the case made on you ... but you've never *really* made a case on anyone (there are no long posts with quotes), never really questioned anyone for non-alt-drama stuff, and you've never had a decent town read on anyone, either.
When I said that one of the four of you in that voting round-robin had an interest in keeping it going, I discounted you because your reaction to the wagon on you looked towny. But looking back after 0x40's flip, and after ISOing you, I think it was you. The drama over alts and the insult trading actually gave you a reason to post, but also a reason to avoid posting any real game-changing content.
VOTE: TNE - my vote stays until I see you post some real content, not just one or two liners-
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Chrimi was that a real claim?! Have you considered the possibility that scum targeted someone else and were blocked?In post 524, Chrimi wrote:This means if you're a protective role you better save my sweet ass tonight.-
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Hang on, I just thought of this, TNE's role fishing and Chrimi's response make perfect sense if TNE is scum part of a team with a Mafia Roleblocker (column A). Here's how I got there.
I think there's no reason for town to want to know about their BP at this point. So the question is automatically scummy to me. TNE asked specifically about a BP as reason for no NK, which makes no sense if he's scum in 1 or C.
So he's either -
In a goon/goon team and trying to choose between B or 3
In a goon/RB team trying to choose between A or 2
If he's goon/goon, he doesn't need to ask about the BP preventing the NK. There's no other protective role in 3 and none at all in B. So that's out.
If he's goon/RB, he's trying to establish whether the kill was prevented by a BP or JK in A, or by a doctor in 2. So it makes sense to ask about a BP, because asking about a doc would draw suspicion.
TL;DR: Since Chrimi confirmed being a BP, we're in A, and TNE is in a team that includes a goon and a roleblocker. TNE for the rope, please.-
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Quickie reply because I'm on lunch -
1) I'm going to ISO Chrimi next and see whether there's anything worthy of a NK attempt. From memory nothing sticks out but I'll re-read in light of my new theory. (It's also possible that Chrimi is having a gambit of some sort here).
2) I'm drawing strong conclusions because usually, I equivocate over everything and it's not doing me any favours. This has led me to be obv town in every single game (including the scum ones). I've never been lynched, but I've also never won as town. So, time to shake things up a bit.
3) I acknowledge that my case is mostly circumstantial, but I think all those circumstances add up. We have someone who's not doing any significant scum hunting, has no town reads, and was the D1 first wagon. He discouraged me from giving advice to PRs, then comes back today asking whether we have a BP amongst us. I can't see any town advantage to knowing that info. I can see definite scum advantage. Assuming that the question was in fact scummy, by POE it is most likely to have come from a team with a roleblocker, and if this is the case, we need to 1) lynch TNE ASAP, and 2) prevent the scum team from finding any hint of our JK. If Chrimi was lying about being BP, same goes, but substitute 'other PRs' for JK.-
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Alrighty, Chrimi ISO examined. TL;DR, a few very minor things bothered me, but overall it reads town.
The slightly bothersome things:
- Deflecting the question about not voting in 57
- Overall defensive tone, defending herself more than scum hunting (but not not-hunting, just really caught up in defending)-
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OMG but what about your aaaaaaltsIn post 542, Chrimi wrote:
As per my meta.In post 541, shannon wrote:Alrighty, Chrimi ISO examined. TL;DR, a few very minor things bothered me, but overall it reads town.
The slightly bothersome things:
- Deflecting the question about not voting in 57
- Overall defensive tone, defending herself more than scum hunting (but not not-hunting, just really caught up in defending)-
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This is in reply to PP 543 - -
The answer to why you'd start or hop on a wagon is to help find scum. Starting a wagon puts people on notice that they need to participate and be accountable for their actions. Hopping on a wagon adds pressure to someone who's already under suspicion. It helps us to get a response. (See, two votes are on you, and you're responding). If everyone waits and sees, no one does anything, You have a vote, use it.-
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PEdit:
Just saw Astral Flare's post pop up ahead of me hitting this one, and he's voted PP. I'm going to post my ISO check anyway, because I think that's the most honest thing to do. I can't vote PP, I can't see any scum motivation in his posts. What am I missing?
The other thing I want to note, AF, is that if you think the team could be Implosion and PP it might be best to vote for Implosion as he's most experienced. If those two are a team, I think PP will struggle without Implosion where as the reverse might not be so true.
***
ISOing PP -
I get newbie town vibes rather than scum vibes. Reading back, I think his response to Implosion's 531 is fair.
389- "Absent a scumslip, significant new information, or us getting within 72 hours of deadline, I don't see my vote changing until Rocnix - or her slot - returns and starts participating. "
410 - "Looks like Rocnix isn't coming back, and we won't get a replacement until D2. I will not support a TNE lynch, and I'm hesitant on Chrimi and AF. I'm willing to pursue Jibs or 0x40. Jibs has been more involved, but to what end...I don't know.
UNVOTE: Rocnix
VOTE: 0x40"
I can see why at this later stage in the day, PP changes his vote off of Rocnix. So overall, townish?-
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